• Title/Summary/Keyword: economy model

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Comparison of the forecasting models with real estate price index (주택가격지수 모형의 비교연구)

  • Lim, Seong Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1573-1583
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    • 2016
  • It is necessary to check mutual correlations between related variables because housing prices are influenced by a lot of variables of the economy both internally and externally. In this paper, employing the Granger causality test, we have validated interrelated relationship between the variables. In addition, there is cointegration associations in the results of the cointegration test between the variables. Therefore, an analysis using a vector error correction model including an error correction term has been attempted. As a result of the empirical comparative analysis of the forecasting performance with ARIMA and VAR models, it is confirmed that the forecasting performance by vector error correction model is superior to those of the former two models.

Measures of Effectiveness and Selection Criteria of Technology Development (산업기술도입의 선정기준과 효율측정)

  • Kim, Jae-Ju;Lee, Myeon-Ryang;Jeong, Yeong-Sam
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 1976
  • It is necessary for developing countries to increase their consolidation of domestic technology in order to improve their economy. In order to raise their techniques, they have to try to induce the advanced know-how from other countries in spite of heavy cost. The object of this study is to establish the model on which we base our choice of the proper techniques or plants and give priority to them by using quantified selection criteria. The method in this study has two stages, and the writer has selected 12 factors affecting the decision making for the importation of technology from the industrially advanced countries. First, the lists of valuable know-how for the better development of national industry should be determined, and for the formulation and arrangement of the lists, a council of specialists which uses questionnaires in terms of the Semantic Differential Method, should be organized. Second, for the assignments of priority to the prospective items for importation, the writer has imployed both the Leontief Model and the Disman Model as objective methods and Mottley-Newton method, one of the R&D Project Selection Methods, as a general model. The writer has applied the methods described above to the fields of petrochemical industry in Korea.

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Utilization of a Mathematical Programming Data Structure for the Implementation of a Water Resources Planning System (수자원 운영계획 시스템의 구현을 위한 수리계획 모형 자료구조의 활용)

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Sheung-Kown;Park, Young-Joon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.485-495
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    • 2003
  • This paper reports on the application of the integration of mathematical programming model and database in a decision support system (DSS) for the planning of the multi-reservoir operating system. The DSS is based on a multi-objective, mixed-integer goal programming (MIGP) model, which can generate efficient solutions via the weighted-sums method (WSM). The major concern of this study is seamless, efficient integration between the mathematical model and the database, because there are significant differences in structure and content between the data for a mathematical model and the data for a conventional database application. In order to load the external optimization results on the database, we developed a systematic way of naming variable/constraint so that a rapid identification of variables/constraints is possible. An efficient database structure for planning of the multi-reservoir operating system is presented by taking advantage of the naming convention of the variable/constraint.

Medical Tourism Industry in Kangwon Province and Its Economic Impacts on the Region

  • Zhu, Yan Hua;Kang, Joo Hoon;Jung, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2014
  • This paper has two purposes. The first is to suggest the new and simple method to derive a regional input-output model from the national input-output table published by the Bank of Korea. The interregional input-output table has not been devised in spite of its potential use while the national table has been made every five years with the revised version during each five years. Second, this paper aims to derive Kangwon interregional input-output model from the national model using the regional supply proportion of industry and to analyze the effect of medical tourism industry on the regional economy of Kangwon Province. The paper measures, in particular, the effect of medical tourism industry on the financial self-sufficiency of Kangwon Province using the estimated output elasticity of tax revenue with the autoregressive distributed lag scheme ADL(1,1) in which the dependent variable and the single explanatory variable are each lagged once.

Development of FCHEV Virtual Platform using Motor Model Based on Mathematical Formulation (수학적 모터 모델 기반 연료전지 자동차 가상 플랫폼 개발)

  • Kim, Sung-Soo;Park, Sangcheol;Choi, Jangyoung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2013
  • A virtual chassis platform for Fuel Cell Hybrid Electric Vehicles(FCHEV) has been developed, and a virtual platform similar to the actual system has been composed. In addition, major components such as a motor, fuel cell and battery for the virtual platform have been constructed by using a mathematical formulation. The FCHEV virtual platform using a detailed model based on the mathematical formula is capable of simulating various conditions according to changes of the control logic and component modules to evaluate performance, considering the vehicle dynamic characteristics. Usability of the mathematical model has been verified by comparative simulations according to the motor current control variation. In addition, reliability of the developed virtual chassis platform has been verified by simulating its fuel consumption with the UDDS(Urban Dynamometer Driving Schedule) FTP-72 velocity profile.

New Response Surface Approach to Optimize Medium Composition for Production of Bacteriocin by Lactobacillus acidophilus ATCC 4356

  • RHEEM, SUNGSUE;SEJONG OH;KYOUNG SIK HAN;JEE YOUNG IMM;SAEHUN KIM
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.449-456
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    • 2002
  • The objective of this study was to optimize medium composition of initial pH, tryptone, glucose, yeast extract, and mineral mixture for production of bacteriocin by Lactobacillus acidophilus ATCC 4356, using response surface methodology. A response surface approach including new statistical and plotting methods was employed for design and analysis of the experiment. An interiorly augmented central composite design was used as an experimental design. A normal-distribution log-link generalized linear model based on a subset fourth-order polynomial ($R^2$=0.94, Mean Error Deviance=0.0065) was used as an analysis model. This model was statistically superior to the full second-order polynomial-based generalized linear model ($R^2$=0.80, Mean Error Deviance=0.0140). Nonlinear programming determined the optimum composition of the medium as initial pH 6.35, typtone $1.21\%$, glucose $0.9\%$, yeast extract $0.65\%$, and mineral mixture $1.17\%$. A validation experiment confirmed that the optimized medium was comparable to the MRS medium in bacteriocin production, having the advantage of economy and practicality.

Multi-objective Optimal Design for the Low Drag Tail Shape of the MIRA model with the Lift Effect taken into account (양력 효과를 고려한 MIRA model 후미의 저저항 다목적 최적설계)

  • Lee Juhee;Lee Kyunghuhn;Kim Joonbae
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2002.08a
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    • pp.565-568
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    • 2002
  • In the flow analysis around a bluffbody such as road vehicles, drag reduction has been of the primary concern mainly due to the effect on fuel economy. To reduce the drag, which is mostly due to the pressure difference caused by the flow separation, the location of the separation and eddy sizes are controlled. However, less attention has been given to the effect of the lift. The effect of lift may cause the driving stability problem of the vehicle at high speed white heavy downward effect of lift together with the vehicle weight may require more power to drive the vehicle forward. It is considered worthwhile to pursue the optimal design of the low drag tail shape of the MIRA model while taking the lift effect into account, even though it is considered as a reference. To this end, a commercial multi-objective optimization code, FRONTIER, Is used together with the CFD code, STAR-CD. It is hoped that the results will provide more insight into the flow field around the bluffbody as transportation means.

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Important Issues of the 2016 Revision of the Korean Arbitration Act (2016년 개정 중재법의 주요내용)

  • Lee, Ho-Won
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.3-37
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    • 2020
  • The Korean Arbitration Act (KAA) enacted in 1966 was entirely revised in 1999, adopting the 1985 UNCITRAL Model Law on International Commercial Arbitration. Korea is trying to be an international arbitration hub in the region, taking advantage of its geographical location in Asia and its highly open economy. KAA was revised in 2016 again in order to reflect the criticisms against the previous KAA, changes in the arbitration environment, and the 2006 amendment to the UNCITRAL Model Law. The basic direction of the revision was to maintain the UNCITRAL Model Law system and to deal with the national arbitration and international arbitration in the same framework. The scope of revision covers all fields of arbitration, including arbitration agreements, arbitrators, arbitral proceedings, interim measures of the arbitral tribunals, recognition/enforcement of arbitral awards, and their annulment. This paper aims to introduce the important issues of the 2016 revision of KAA, to offer important information discussed in the process of revision, and thus to help those concerned in the interpretation and implementation of KAA. The 2016 revision of KAA is expected to help greatly in promoting not only the national arbitration, but also the international arbitration in Korea.

Profit-oriented Impact Analysis of Demand Management Strategy on Design-Build Firms Using System Dynamics

  • Yoo, Wi-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.169-182
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    • 2012
  • In the past, a strategic management of work demands has been increasingly challenged to design-build (DB) firms. Such a management is capable of providing sufficient profitable impact of a project on them. Total project profit is mainly related to actual resources, work completion time, amount of rework, and costs. The degree of recycling work packages in the DB project delivery system is used as a measure of the quality of the performed work. However, there are few models available to evaluate the impact of a demand management strategy on the DB firms and to predict its behavior. We propose a decision-making support model as an aid for assessing the amount of rework and for predicting project profit resulting in a convincible demand management strategy. This model is constructed by using a dynamic feedback approach that can analyze the problems arising in complex managerial systems. For the purpose of illustration, widely acceptable strategies were applied into the model to explore their impacts on the DB firms. The results indicate that the model is helpful for the managers in selecting the most appropriate demand management strategy for successfully achieving their objectives.

A Study on the Nonlinear Relationship between CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth : Empirical Evidence with the STAR Model (비선형 STAR 모형을 이용한 이산화탄소 배출량과 경제성장 간의 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Seiwan;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 2008
  • We study nonlinearities of $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth m Korea using the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (or STAR) model. We find evidence for nonlinearities and cyclical regime changes of both time series. In the extended nonlinear empirical work, we characterize dynamic properties of the two time series and then find mutually significant Granger causality between $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth. All these empirical evidences together reinforce long standing concern that economy-wide restrictions on $CO_2$ emissions would hurt economic growth for Korean styled medium industrialized countries.

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