• 제목/요약/키워드: economic instability

검색결과 189건 처리시간 0.026초

Risk Factors of Depressive Symptoms among Community-Dwelling Elderly

  • Lee, Eunhee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to assess risk indicators of depressive symptoms such as demographic, socio-economical domains (age, gender, marital status, education, child, religion, income, health, friendship) and personality domains (neurotic personality, self-esteem and life goal attitude) of community dwelling elderly persons. A total of 300 community-residing elderly participants aged 65+ in a metropolitan city in Korea, were recruited for this interview survey. The interview covered demographic and socio-economic characteristics, and administration of the 20-item Korean Version of CES-D, the 10-item Self-esteem, the 19-item Neuroticism and the 10-itm Goal Instability scale. The prevalence of significant depressive symptoms (CES-D scale >= 21) was 31%. Logistic regression analysis showed high risk for depression was associated with high neuroticism, less intimate friendship, high goa1 instability, and childlessness, respectively in the order of significance. Factors in the personality domains were more strongly associated with depressive symptoms than factors in the socio- economical domains. Both cultural and universal meaning of the findings was discussed with regard to intervention.

Dynamic fracture instability in brittle materials: Insights from DEM simulations

  • Kou, Miaomiao;Han, Dongchen;Xiao, Congcong;Wang, Yunteng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제71권1호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2019
  • In this article, the dynamic fracture instability characteristics, including dynamic crack propagation and crack branching, in PMMA brittle solids under dynamic loading are investigated using the discrete element method (DEM) simulations. The microscopic parameters in DEM are first calibrated using the comparison with the previous experimental results not only in the field of qualitative analysis, but also in the field of quantitative analysis. The calibrating process illustrates that the selected microscopic parameters in DEM are suitable to effectively and accurately simulate dynamic fracture process in PMMA brittle solids subjected to dynamic loads. The typical dynamic fracture behaviors of solids under dynamic loading are then reproduced by DEM. Compared with the previous experimental and numerical results, the present numerical results are in good agreement with the existing ones not only in the field of qualitative analysis, but also in the field of quantitative analysis. Furthermore, effects of dynamic loading magnitude, offset distance of the initial crack and initial crack length on dynamic fracture behaviors are numerically discussed.

라틴아메리카의 식민경험과 경제성장의 상관관계 (The Relationship Between Colonial Experience and Economic Growth in Latin America)

  • 이상현
    • 이베로아메리카
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.241-265
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    • 2010
  • The main purpose of this study is to reveal the historical origins of Latin American economic underdevelopment, by answering two research questions; 1)'Why is Latin America underdeveloped?' and 2)'How has colonial experience impacted on the economic growth in Latin America?' First, this essay analyzes long-term tendency of growth domestic product(GDP) per capita data. The data verify that current underdevelopment of Latin American economy is the result of economic stagnation during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, when Latin America suffered political and economic instability before and after the independence from Spain and Portugal. It elucidates that colonial experience affected on the economic growth in Latin America. Second, this essay reviews key independent variables of the relationship between colonial experience and economic growth in Latin America. To do so, the study categorizes extant literature into two groups according to the type of its independent variables: 1)internal factor and 2)external factor. Finally, the essay surveys the role of institutions in Latin American economic growth and development. The survey confirms that the importance of institutions in the study of Latin American economic history. In addition, the essay suggests some tasks for further research in Latin American economic history; 1)the construction of basic economic data, 2)the substantialization of the role and characteristics of institutions, and 3)the expansion of research on institutions which overcomes ideological rigidity of existing institutional approach.

Effects of noe-economic factors on the cyclcal fluctuations of price level in Korea

  • Yoon, Suk-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 1974
  • There are a number of studies on the peculiarities of inflation in underdeveloped economies. These studies are, however, confined to the cases of Latin American countries, and the essence of methodologies applied in the studies is basically estimations of linear parameters of an extended quantity equation with lagged variables. As it is generally observed, inflation in most of underdeveloped economies are, to some extent, affected by non-economic factors such as political instability, social disorder, abrupt institutional changes, etc. Sometimes, these factors underlying the basic movement of price level change are reflected in such variables as quantity of money supply, income velocity, gross national product.

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선형 및 신경망 자기회귀모형을 이용한 주식시장 불안정성지수 개발 (Stock market stability index via linear and neural network autoregressive model)

  • 오경주;김태윤;정기웅;김치호
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.335-351
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    • 2011
  • 오경주와 김태윤 (2007) 등은 위기 관련 데이터의 희귀성 에서 발생하는 문제를 해결하기 위해 과거 금융시장이 안정적이었던 구간을 기준 구간으로 설정하고 기준 구간의 금융시장 움직임을 점 근 자기회귀 모형으로 적합한 후 현재의 금융시장 상황과 비교하여 불안정 지수를 도출할 것을 제안하였다. 그러나 비모수 기법인 신경망을 사용하여 도출된 불안정 지수가 기준 구간의 데이터에 지나치게 의존하는 관계로 불안정 지수가 종종 실제 경제상황을 제대로 반영하지 못하는 것으로 관찰되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 비모수 기법인 신경망과 모수 기법인 선형모형을 이용하여 기준구간에 대한 적합을 독립적으로 수행하여 두 종류의 불안정성 지수들을 도출한 후 이 둘을 결합한 통합 불안정성 지수를 사용할 것을 제안한다. 두 지수의 적절한 통합을 위해 신경망과 선형모형을 통해 도출된 두 지수의 최적 결합비율을 부여하는 방법을 제안하며 제안기법의 타당성을 국내 주식시장 대상으로 검증하였다.

사회적 배제 잠재유형이 노후의 경제적 불안에 미치는 영향: 주관적 계층의식의 조절효과 (The effects of latent classes in social exclusion on the economic instability of old age)

  • 김수진;김주현;주경희
    • 한국노년학
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 사회적 배제의 잠재유형을 구분하고 노후의 경제적 불안에 미치는 영향을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 또한 주관적 계층의식에 따라 그 영향력이 달라지는지를 함께 살펴보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 2016년 한국종합사회조사(KGSS) 14차 자료를 사용하여, 조사 당시 기준 만 18세의 성인남녀 1,041명의 응답지를 분석하였다. STATA14와 MPLUS 7 통계프로그램을 이용하여 기술통계분석과 t-test, 잠재계층분석(LCA), 잠재집단에 대한 다항로지스틱분석을 실시하였다. 마지막으로 다중회귀분석을 실시하여 변수 간 영향관계 및 조절 효과를 확인하였다. 연구결과 사회적 배제의 유형은 3집단으로 나타났으며, 사회활동배제집단(49.3%), 다차원적 배제집단(30.9%), 사회 활동 적극집단(19.7%)의 순으로 나타났다. 사회활동배제집단은 경제, 고용, 건강 배제의 가능성이 가장 낮지만, 공식/비공식 사회활동의 배제가 두드러진 집단이며, 다차원적 배제집단은 모든 영역에서 배제를 경험할 가능성이 50% 이상인 집단으로 나타났다. 사회활동 적극집단은 비공식 사회활동에 매우 적극적으로 참여하는 것이 특징인 집단이다. 다항로지스틱 분석결과 사회활동배제집단은 다른 집단에 비해 청년층이 많이 포함되었으며, 다차원적 배제집단에는 배우자가 없는 여성노인이 많이 포함되어 있는 것으로 나타났다. 마지막으로 다중회귀분석 결과 사회적 배제 유형은 주관적 계층의식과 상호작용하여 노후의 경제적 불안에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구결과를 바탕으로 노후의 경제적 불안을 예방하기 위한 정책적·실천적 방안을 제언하였다.

실질금리 결정모형에서의 구조변화분석 (Structural Change Analysis in a Real Interest Rate Model)

  • 전덕빈;박대근
    • 경영과학
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2001
  • It is important to find the equilibrium level of real interest rate for it affects real and financial sector of economy. However, it is difficult to find the equilibrium level because like the most macroeconomic model the real interest model has parameter instability problem caused by structural change and it is supported by various theories and definitions. Hence, in order to cover these problems structural change detection model of real interest rate is developed to combine the real interest rate equilibrium model and the procedure to detect structural change points. 3 equations are established to find various effects of other interest-related macroeconomic variables and from each equation, structural changes are found. Those structural change points are consistent with common expectation. Oil Crisis (December, 1987), the starting point of Economic Stabilization Policy (January, 1982), the starting point of capital liberalization (January, 1988), the starting and finishing points of Interest deregulation (January, 1992 and December, 1994), Foreign Exchange Crisis (December, 1977) are detected as important points. From the equation of fisher and real effects, real interest rate level is estimated as 4.09% (October, 1988) and dependent on the underlying model, it is estimated as 0%∼13.56% (October, 1988), so it varies so much. It is expected that this result is connected to the large scale simultaneous equations to detect the parameter instability in real time, so induces the flexible economic policies.

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GIS와 지구통계학을 이용한 충주호 남부지역의 광역적인 사면안정평가 (Regional Evaluation of Slope Stability by Using GIS and Geostatistics Around the Southern Area of Chungju Lake)

  • 문상기
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2000
  • Regional evaluations of slope stability by the failure criterion and by environmental geological factors were conducted. The failure criterion is the general conditions for plane failure which consider the geometrical conditions between geological discontinuities and topographical slope planes. The factor focused in this condiction is dip and dip direction. Geostatics, named semivariogram was used for establishing structural domains in slope stability evaluation by the failure criterion. The influential range was calculated to 6 km in the case of dip direction of dominant joint set and 7 km in the case of dip of the same dominant joint set. Then applying this failure criterion to the study area produced a slope stability map using the established domains and slopes generated by TIN module of ARC/INFO GIS. This study considered another regional slope stability analysis. 5 failure-driven factors 9the unstable slope map, geology, engineering soil, groundwater, and lineament density) were selected and used as data coverages for regional slope stability evaluation by geoenvironmental factors. These factors were weighted and overlayed in GIS. From the graph of cumulatave area (%) and instability index, finding critical points classified the instability indices. The most unstable slopes are located in the southern area of Mt. Eorae, Dabul-ri, and the eastern area of Junkok-ri in the first area is plane failure. Also, the expected orientations of failure are 59/338 and 86/090 (dip/dip direction).

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요추 불안정 환자에서 단순방사선 소견과 자기공명영상 소견의 비교 (Comparison of Radiography Findings and Magnetic Resonance Image Findings of Lumbar Spine Instability Patients)

  • 이인희;박희준;진종식;이정현;김윤년
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: This study was to investigate how dose the radiography findings are to magnetic resonance (MR) image findings in the L5-S1 instability patients. The subjects of this study were comprised of eleven males and fifteen females, who had Lumbago and agreed with this research. Methods: Radiography and MR images of Lumbar spine were acquired respectively from subjects in conditions of maximum flexion and extension. The horizontal and angular displacements in lumabosacral spine radiography were used to assess the instability of lumbar spine. MR images were also used to evaluate the intervertebral disc abnormalities and change of bone marrow. Results: The results are as follows. 1. In the case of flexion transitional displacement proposed by Dupuis et al, the specificity and negative predictive value were good accuracy ($0.7{\sim}0.8$), and the negative predictive value was in average. In the case of extension displacement, the negative predictive value was about average ($0.6{\sim}0.7$), but the sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value were below the poor (<0.6). On the other side, the specificity was about average but other things were below in the case of angular displacement. 2. In the case of flexion transitional displacement proposed by Dupuis et al., compared with the intervertebral disc abnormalities, the negative prediction value was excellent, the sensitivity good, and the specificity about average. In the case of extension, the negative prediction value was about average, but the other things were poor. On the other side the specificity and negative predictive value had good accuracy and the sensitivity and positive prediction value were below average in the case of angular displacement. Conclusion: The above results show that the radiography finding is sufficiently helpful to find the lumbar spine instability as an economic point of view.

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농촌빈곤가계의 경제문제 I -경제자원 문제를 중심으로- (Economic Problems of Rural Poor Households in Korea - Focused on the Economic Resources -)

  • 최은숙
    • 한국농촌생활과학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 1995
  • The objective of this thesis is to analyse empirically the economic resource problems of the rural poor households. Data from 444 rural sample households in four provinces, divided into two subgroups, the poor and the non-poor households, were analysed and compared. The owned arable land size, level of agricultural and non-agricultural income, assets, debts and the sufficiency of living expenses of the poor households were measured and compared with those of non-poor households respectively. The significant findings and drawn conclusions are as follows : The rural poor households 1. tends to show smaller family size, older age and lower level of education of homemakers than the non-poor households, that might work as constraints to income sources and quality. 2. has not only small arable lands and agricultural income but also even smaller cash income, less than 50% of total income, with 27% of self-product consumption and depends more on non-agricultural income than the non-poor households. Such weakness of income structure might cause and increase the income instability of the rural poor households. 3. reveals significantly different level and components of assets from the non-poor households lower level of assets, less amounts of but more load of debt due to lower solvency that comes from low level of income and assets, higher debts for consumption and lower accessibility to credit. All these socio-demographic and economic characteristics of the rural poor households might have compound effects on the economic problems of the poor households and make vicious circle of poor.

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