• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.129-140
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• 2002

This study is try to do the empirical tests on the relationship among innovation cycle, investment cycle, and business cycle suggested in recent economic growth models. We apply co-spectra analysis to estimate dynamic correlations in the extraction HP filtered variables and first difference filtered variables in our data set. Our empirical results are; (i) an existing asynchronization between innovation cycle and investment cycle, (ii) in the long frequency, an existing positive correlation between innovation cycle and business cycle, (iii) in the short frequency, however, a finding the high negative correlation between the two cycle. Our empirical findings support the recent growth through cycle models and suggest some economic policy implementations for economic stabilization during a severe business cycle.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제60권11호
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• pp.1993-1999
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• 2011

Today, the power utilities is setting on the slow load growth and the aging of power equipment, and then could spend the efforts on the stability of system performance. Asset management may be defined as the process of maximizing corporate profit by maximizing performance and minimizing cost over the entire life cycle of power equipment. Therefore, asset management is great way to fulfill the economic investment and the stability of system performance. This paper presents the application of effective asset managem ent from an economic perspective. A proposed method is considering the life cycle analysis using life cycle cost methodology for hydro-generator during the total life cycle. The life cycle cost methodology include a way to calculating maintenance and operating costs. The proposed method will be expected to play an important role in investment decision making considering economic evaluation.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.57-68
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• 2002

The economical aspects should be evaluated to decide the LCC(Life Cycle Cost) of the long life facilities or equipments. Airplane operators evaluate the economical aspects to decide whether they maintain the existing airplane or substitute the new one. This paper presents economic life cycle and economic life cost for both Cessna 172R and Mooney 20J that are operated for flight training in 'H' University. The residual value that is used to calculate the capital recovery rate of the airplane is calculated based on the data from Blue Book published in USA. The annual equivalent on operation cost is calculated based on the 500 flight hours per year which is the annual flight hour for the airplane in 'H' university. This paper showed that economic life cycle of Cessna 172R is nine years since it was introduced in 2001, and Mooney 20J which was introduced in 1991 exceeds the economic life cycle in 2002.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.138-150
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• 1997

The life-cycle of the K-1 tank has been 10 years simply applying that of the U.S. M-1 tank. Therefore, this paper is focused on determination of an economic life-cycle for the K-1 tanks. The current operation cost is adjusted by interest rate and the depreciation cost is applied in this study for more reliable estimation of the life-cycle cost. The Equivalent Annual Method is utilized and then various regression techniques are applied for deriving an effective economic life-cycle. The economic life-cycle of the K-1 tank results in 13 years in this study. considering 95% confidence interval, the life cycle of the K-1 tank is between 10.5 years and 15.5 years.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.903-924
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• 2000

This paper examines the alternative method to measure the state of overall economic activity. The macroeconomic variables, used for business cycle, take more than a month after a period for collection and aggregation. The electricity generation data is compiled in mechanical ways just after the period. Based on this fact, we develop the two stage estimation method for coincident economic indicators in order to detect the business cycle in an earlier period, using Stock-Watson's Dynamic Factor Model. Using monthly data from 1970 to 1999, it is found that the experimental coincidence economic indicators are well-fitted to data and also that the estimates of two stage estimation method have good explanatory power, equivalent to the experimental coincidence economic indicators. While the RMSE of coincidence economic indicators is found to be 1.27%, that of the experimental coincidence economic indicators is found to be 1.31% and that of the two stage estimation method is around 1.44%. If we take consideration into the fact that it measures the business cycle in one month earlier, we come to the conclusion that the two stage estimation is of great use.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.47-85
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• 2009

본 연구는 1970년 이후 우리나라 거시경제변수들의 경기변동과 관련된 특징들을 포괄적으로 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 각종 거시경제 변수들이 어떠한 특성을 보여 왔는지에 대해 실증분석하였다. 실증분석에서는 크게 국내 경제의 순환적 변동을 어떻게 식별할 것인지, 주요 경제변수들이 전체 경기순환과정에서 어떠한 패턴으로 변동하고 있는지, 그리고 경기변동과정의 안정성에 대한 변화 여부 등의 이슈를 다루었다. 분석 결과, 1970년 이후 우리나라 거시경제의 안정성은 외환위기 기간을 제외하고는 개선되었으며, 특히 2000년 이후부터는 경제내의 부문 간에 상호보완적인 관계가 나타나면서 전체적인 경기변동성이 감소하였던 것으로 나타나고 있다.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.221-240
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• 2023

Purpose - This paper investigates how business cycle impacts on corporate credit spreads since global financial crisis. Furthermore, it tests how the impact changes by the phase of the cycle. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected dataset from Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index through the Bloomberg. It conducted multi-regression analysis by projecting business cycle using Hodrick-Prescott filtering and various cyclical variables, while ran dynamic analysis of 5-variable Vector Error Correction Model to confirm the robustness of the test. Findings - First, it proves to be statistically significant that corporate credit spreads have moved countercyclicaly since the crisis. Second, It indicates that the corporate credit spread's countercyclicality to the macroeconomic changes works symmetrically by the phase of the cycle. Third, the VECM supports that business cycle's impact on the spreads maintains more sustainably than other explanatory variable does in the model. Research implications or Originality - It becomes more appealing to accurately measure the real economic impact on corporate credit spreads as the interaction between credit and business cycle deepens. The economic impact on the spreads works symmetrically by boom and bust, which implies that the market stress could impact as another negative driver during the bust. Finally, the business cycle's sustainable impact on the spreads supports the fact that the economic recovery is the key driver for the resilience of credit cycle.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제48권3호
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• pp.241-246
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• 1999

This paper describes the economic evaluation of battery energy storage system(BESS) for the domestic application. Application target is decided on conventional combined cycle of domestic and we analyzed economics that compared conventional combined cycle with power generation cost in development and the commercialized in case that establish it on utility and customer, urban and rural. The result shows that about the same conventional combined cycle of Anyang, Bundang and Pyungtak but more economical than seoincheon conventional combined cycle. And, in case of capacity enlargment and using the maintenance free battery more economical than conventional system.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.73-77
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• 1993

This paper considers an Economic Order Quantity Model under random life cycle. It is assumed that the life cycle of the product is unknown; a random variable. Three cost parameters are considered; ordering cost, inventory carrying cost and salvage cost. Expected total cost is the optimization criterion. We show that the optimal cycle length is unique and finite, and present a simple line search method to find an optimal cycle length.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제57권8호
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• pp.1327-1333
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• 2008

Since Cost Based Pool markets has been continued to power markets, Genco. needs economic analysis about investment in power plants. Particularly most Private Genco.s have presently a construction plan about LNG combined cycle thermal power plants. In this paper, we propose a economic analysis method of LNG combined cycle thermal power plants using Economic Dispatch and Optimal Power Flow in CBP markets. Also we develope computation model using it for decision making to build a plant. This method can consider a variation of power facility like power plants and transmission lines in CBP markets. Finally, this dissertation provides a relevant case study to confirm the effect of cost factor to economical efficiency.