• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.17-27
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• 2023

Today, as AI (Artificial Intelligence) technology develops and its practicality increases, it is widely used in various application fields in real life. At this time, the AI model is basically learned based on various statistical properties of the learning data and then distributed to the system, but unexpected changes in the data in a rapidly changing data situation cause a decrease in the model's performance. In particular, as it becomes important to find drift signals of deployed models in order to respond to new and unknown attacks that are constantly created in the security field, the need for lifecycle management of the entire model is gradually emerging. In general, it can be detected through performance changes in the model's accuracy and error rate (loss), but there are limitations in the usage environment in that an actual label for the model prediction result is required, and the detection of the point where the actual drift occurs is uncertain. there is. This is because the model's error rate is greatly influenced by various external environmental factors, model selection and parameter settings, and new input data, so it is necessary to precisely determine when actual drift in the data occurs based only on the corresponding value. There are limits to this. Therefore, this paper proposes a method to detect when actual drift occurs through an Anomaly analysis technique based on XAI (eXplainable Artificial Intelligence). As a result of testing a classification model that detects DGA (Domain Generation Algorithm), anomaly scores were extracted through the SHAP(Shapley Additive exPlanations) Value of the data after distribution, and as a result, it was confirmed that efficient drift point detection was possible.

• Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.495-509
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• 2020

This study is a theoretical research to explore ways to effectively learn AI in the age of intelligent information driven by artificial intelligence (hereinafter referred to as AI). The emphasis is on presenting a teaching method to make AI education accessible not only to students majoring in mathematics, statistics, or computer science, but also to other majors such as humanities and social sciences and the general public. Given the need for 'Explainable AI(XAI: eXplainable AI)' and 'the importance of storytelling for a sensible and intelligent machine(AI)' by Patrick Winston at the MIT AI Institute [33], we can find the significance of research on AI storytelling learning model. To this end, we discuss the possibility through a pilot study targeting general students of an university in Daegu. First, we introduce the AI storytelling(AI+ST) learning method[30], and review the educational goals, the system of contents, the learning methodology and the use of new AI tools in the method. Then, the results of the learners are compared and analyzed, focusing on research questions: 1) Can the AI+ST learning method complement algorithm-driven or developer-centered learning methods? 2) Whether the AI+ST learning method is effective for students and thus help them to develop their AI comprehension, interest and application skills.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.484-487
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• 2022

This study suggests an XAI-based machine learning method to predict the productivity of tight oil reservoirs according to the production period. The XAI algorithm refers to interpretable artificial intelligence and provides the basis for the predicted result and the validity of the derivation process. In this study, we proposed a supervised learning model that predicts productivity in the early and late stages of production after performing data preprocessing based on field data. and then based on the model results, the factors affecting the productivity prediction model were analyzed using XAI.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.129-148
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• 2023

Bitcoin is a blockchain technology-based digital currency that has been recognized as a representative cryptocurrency and a financial investment asset. Due to its highly volatile nature, Bitcoin has gained a lot of attention from investors and the public. Based on this popularity, numerous studies have been conducted on price and trend prediction using machine learning and deep learning. This study employed LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) and CNN (Convolutional Neural Networks), which have shown potential for predictive performance in the finance domain, to enhance the classification accuracy in Bitcoin price trend prediction. XAI(eXplainable Artificial Intelligence) techniques were applied to the predictive model to enhance its explainability and interpretability by providing a comprehensive explanation of the model. In the empirical experiment, CNN was applied to technical indicators and Google trend data to build a Bitcoin price trend prediction model, and the CNN model using both technical indicators and Google trend data clearly outperformed the other models using neural networks, SVM, and LSTM. Then SHAP(Shapley Additive exPlanations) was applied to the predictive model to obtain explanations about the output values. Important prediction drivers in input variables were extracted through global interpretation, and the interpretation of the predictive model's decision process for each instance was suggested through local interpretation. The results show that our proposed research framework demonstrates both improved classification accuracy and explainability by using CNN, Google trend data, and SHAP.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.39 no.6_1
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• pp.1437-1449
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• 2023

The purpose of this study is to analyze whether pervious and impervious areas in urban areas affect tree growth. In order to determine the differences in the growth of six species of trees planted simultaneously, the effects of pervious and impervious surfaces on tree growth were analyzed using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) produced using Sentinel-2 and sub-divided land cover map from the Ministry of Environment. For this purpose, the Geospatial eXplainable Artificial Intelligence(GeoXAI) concept was applied. As a result of the analysis, the explanatory power of the model was found to be the best when considering the area of land cover included in the 10m range for Pinus densiflora, the 20 m range for Zelkova Serrata, Metasequoia glyptostroboides, and Ginkgo biloba, the 30 m range for Platanus occidentalis, and the 40 m range for Yoshino cherry trees. In addition, the wider the pervious area, the more active the growth of trees,showing a positive correlation, and the wider the impervious area, such as nearby artificial ground, showed a negative correlation with tree growth. This shows that surrounding pervious and impervious areas affect the growth of trees and that the scope of influence varies depending on the tree species.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.12 no.8
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• pp.333-340
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• 2023

Efficient prediction of corporate bankruptcy is an important part of making appropriate lending decisions for financial institutions and reducing loan default rates. In many studies, classification models using artificial intelligence technology have been used. In the financial industry, even if the performance of the new predictive models is excellent, it should be accompanied by an intuitive explanation of the basis on which the result was determined. Recently, the US, EU, and South Korea have commonly presented the right to request explanations of algorithms, so transparency in the use of AI in the financial sector must be secured. In this paper, an artificial intelligence-based interpretable classification prediction model was proposed using corporate bankruptcy data that was open to the outside world. First, data preprocessing, 5-fold cross-validation, etc. were performed, and classification performance was compared through optimization of 10 supervised learning classification models such as logistic regression, SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM. As a result, LightGBM was confirmed as the best performance model, and SHAP, an explainable artificial intelligence technique, was applied to provide a post-explanation of the bankruptcy prediction process.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.21-24
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• 2022

최근 통신업계에서는 축적된 빅데이터를 활용하여 고객의 특성을 이해하고 맞춤형 마케팅에 이용하려는 노력이 지속되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 CatBoost 모델을 사용하여 이탈 가능성이 높은 고객을 예측하고 XAI(eXplainable Artificial Intelligence) 기법 중 하나인 SHAP을 적용하여 이탈에 영향을 미치는 요인을 설명하고자 하였다. SHAP의 global explanation 기법을 사용하여 특정 고객 segmentation 에 대한 이해력을 높이고, local explanation 기법을 사용하여 개별 고객에 대한 설명과 개인화 마케팅에 적용 가능성을 제시하였다. 본 연구는 기존의 이탈 예측모델인 블랙박스 모델이 갖는 한계점을 극복하고 고객의 특성을 이해하여 실제 비즈니스에 활용 가능성을 높였다는 점에서 의의를 가진다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2020.11a
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• pp.1122-1125
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• 2020

AI의 결과를 이해하기 위해서 XAI(eXplainable Artificial Intelligence)의 연구는 매우 중요하다. 세계적으로 XAI 개발 연구는 많이 진행되고 있지만 개발된 XAI를 평가하는 연구는 매우 적다. 본 논문은 사용성 측면에서 XAI를 평가하기 위해 AI 사용성 요소, 과학적 설명의 요소, 휴리스틱 평가 요소를 분류하고 의사결정 나무를 시각화여 심미도를 평가한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.854-856
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• 2022

본 논문에서는 설명가능한 머신러닝 모델과 관련된 다양한 도구를 활용해보고, 최근 각광받는 주제인 신뢰성에 대해서도 고찰해보았다. 근래의 인공지능 모델은 설명력을 덧붙여 정보 장벽을 낮추는 방향으로 진화하고 있다. 이에 따라 AI 모형이 제공하는 정보량이 늘고 사용자 진화적 인 방식으로 바뀌면서 사용자층이 확대되고 있는 추세이다. 또한 데이터 분석 분야의 영향력이 높아지고 연구 주체들이 다양해지면서, 해당 모델이나 데이터에 관한 신뢰성을 확보해야한다는 요구가 많아지고 있다. 이에 많은 연구자들이 인공지능 모델의 신뢰성의 확보를 위해 노력하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 노력의 발자취를 따라가보면서 인공지능의 설명가능성에 관하여 소개하려고 한다. 그 과정에서 민감한 데이터를 다루어보면서 신뢰성 활보의 필요성에 대해서도 논의해보려고 한다.

• The Journal of Bigdata
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.195-204
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• 2022

The tourism industry is facing a crisis due to the recent COVID-19 pandemic, and it is vital to improving profitability to overcome it. In situations such as COVID-19, it would be more efficient to sell additional products other than guest rooms to customers who have visited to increase the unit price rather than adopting an aggressive sales strategy to increase room occupancy to increase profits. Previous tourism studies have used machine learning techniques for demand forecasting, but there have been few studies on cross-selling forecasting. Also, in a broader sense, a resort is the same accommodation industry as a hotel. However, there is no study specialized in the resort industry, which is operated based on a membership system and has facilities suitable for lodging and cooking. Therefore, in this study, we propose a cross-selling prediction model using various machine learning techniques with an actual resort company's accommodation data. In addition, by applying the explainable artificial intelligence XAI(eXplainable AI) technique, we intend to interpret what factors affect cross-selling and confirm how they affect cross-selling through empirical analysis.