• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic growth model

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Application of Dynamic Model SIMRIW for Predicting the Growth and Yield of Rice (수도 생육예측모형 SIMRIW의 적용)

  • 이남호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bio-Environment Control Conference
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    • 1992.12a
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    • pp.15-16
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    • 1992
  • 1. 연구의 필요성 및 목적 필요성 - 기상변화에 따른 수도생육의 예측을 통한 적절한 Crop management - 수도수확량 예측을 통한 계획생산의 가능 - 최적 물관리를 위한 기초자료제공 목적 수도의 생육 및 수확량을 예측 할 수 있는 생리학적(physiological ) 모형인 SIMRIW을 우리의 기후조건과 수도품종에 적용하여 모형의 매개변수를 보정하고, 모형의 적용성을 검사하는데 있다. (중략)

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An Empirical Investigation on the Dynamic Relationships among the Critical Factors Influencing on the High-tech Cluster Formation and Its Sustainable Growth (첨단산업클러스터 형성요인들간의 인과관계분석)

  • Kwoun, Sung-Taeck;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.133-148
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    • 2006
  • This study suggests a Causal Loop Diagram(CLD) of causality mechanism which are integrating matters of localization, networking, embeddedness & institutional thickness and collective learning. These five factors(localization, networking, embeddedness & institutional thickness, collective learning, innovative synergy) have been studied and proofed Also this study suggest a model of industry cluster based on holistic and global system thinking rather than local and linear thinking.

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The Multisector Model of the Korean Economy: Structure and Coefficients (한국경제(韓國經濟)의 다부문모형(多部門模型) : 모형구조(模型構造)와 추정결과(推定結果))

  • Park, Jun-kyung;Kim, Jung-ho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.3-20
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    • 1990
  • The multisector model is designed to analyze and forecast structural change in industrial output, employment, capital and relative price as well as macroeconomic change in aggregate income, interest rate, etc. This model has 25 industrial sectors, containing about 1,300 equations. Therefore, this model is characterized by detailed structural disaggregation at the sectoral level. Individual industries are based on many of the economic relationships in the model. This is what distinguishes a multisector model from a macroeconomic model. Each industry is a behavioral agent in the model for industrial investment, employment, prices, wages, and intermediate demand. The strength of the model lies in the simulating the interactions between different industries. The result of its simulation will be introduced in the next paper. In this paper, we only introduce the structure of the multisector model and the coefficients of the equations. The multisector model is a dynamic model-that is, it solves year by year into the future using its own solutions for earlier years. The development of a dynamic, year-by-year solution allows us to combine the change in structure with a consideration of the dynamic adjustment required. These dynamics have obvious advantages in the use of the multisector model for industrial planning. The multisector model is a medium-term and long-term model. Whereas a short-term model can taken the labor supply and capital stock as given, a long-term model must acknowledge that these are determined endogenously. Changes in the medium-term can be analyzed in the context of long-term structural changes. The structure of this model can be summarized as follow. The difference in domestic and world prices affects industrial structure and the pattern of international trade; domestic output and factor price affect factor demand; factor demand and factor price affect industrial income; industrial income and relative price affect industrial consumption. Technical progress, as measured in terms of total factor productivity and relative price affect input-output coefficients; input-output coefficients and relative price determine the industrial input cost; input cost and import price determine domestic price. The differences in productivity and wage growth among different industries affect the relative price.

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The Contribution of Innovation on Productivity and Growth in Korea (기술혁신이 생산성과 경제성장에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.72-90
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    • 2008
  • What has been the contribution of industrial innovation to economic growth? Typically, the issue has been approached with growth-accounting methods augmented to include a "stock of knowledge". An independent estimate of the rate of return to R&D is found in order to impute patents granted to the accumulation of knowledge. Griliches(1973) then uses a regression approach to assess the effect of an R&D variable on the computed TFP growth rate. The regression coefficient on the R&D variable would provide an estimate of the social rate of return to R&D. The related studies tend to show high social rates of return to R&D, typically in a range of 20 to 40 % per year. We need to provide multiple equation dynamic system for productivity and innovation in Korean economy in state space form. A wide range of time series models, including the classical linear regression model, can be written and estimated as special cases of a state space specification. State space models have been applied in the econometrics literature to model unobserved variables like productivity. Estimation produces the following results. Considering the goodness of fit, we can see that the evidence is strongly in favor of the range $0.120{\sim}0.135$ for the elasticity of TFP to R&D stock in the period between 1970's and the early 2000's.

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A dynamic competition among 3 fields & 17 key growth drivers of Korea (3대 분야 17개 신성장 동력 기술간 동태적 경쟁관계 분석)

  • Kim, Moon-Soo;Lee, Sung-Joo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.2067-2077
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    • 2011
  • The recent trend in technology development is characterized as technology convergence, mainly between IT, BT and NT and also more and more industries are starting to use several technologies simultaneously or in a combined way theses days. As a result, the needs on technology interaction analysis is increasing for strategic technology management and policy-making. Responding to the needs, this research deals with technology innovation process in terms of technology competition, particularly focusing on the 17 new growth drivers in 3 areas, which has been announced by the Korean government as a new growth vision for Korean economy, and analyzing their co-evolutionary process. For the analysis, patent data, a representative data on technology innovation, is adopted. Then, Lotka-Volterra Competition model, a model frequently used to describe the dynamism of competitive innovation is applied to the data. The research results are expected to support strategic decision-makings such as effect policy-making or R&D priority-setting, by analyzing the relationship between the 3 areas, the 17 new growth drivers, or the particular technologies in the drivers.

A Numerical Study on the Dynamic Behaviors of Single Vortex in a $CH_4/Air$ Diffusion Flame with Addition of $CO_2$ ($CH_4/Air$ 확산화염에 $CO_2$ 첨가에 따른 단일 와동의 동적 거동에 관한 수치해석)

  • Hwang, Chul-Hong;Oh, Chang-Bo;Lee, Dae-Yup;Lee, Chang-Eon
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.68-75
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    • 2002
  • The dynamic behaviors of the single vortex and flame-vortex interaction in a $CH_4/Air$ diffusion flame with addition of $CO_2$ were investigated numerically. The numerical method was based on a predictor-corrector for low Mach number flow. A two-step global reaction mechanism was adopted as a combustion model. Through comparison of results by effect of $CO_2$ added either on the fuel or oxidizer side, it was found that the growth of single vortex and entrainment of surrounding fluid by $CO_2$addition on the fuel side are larger than those by $CO_2$ addition on oxidizer side. Also, when $CO_2$ is added on fuel side, flame-vortex interaction becomes more significant than on air side.

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International Outsourcing, Unemployment and Welfare: A Re-Examination

  • Choi, Jai-Young;Yu, Eden S.H.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.261-284
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    • 2019
  • This paper explores the ramifications of international outsourcing on unemployment, income distribution and welfare, which is an important but yet unresolved issue. Using the well-known Harris-Todaro (1970) model of sector-specific unemployment, it shows that the effects of outsourcing on employment, income-distribution and welfare depend on the sector in which the outsourcing occurs, whereby sectoral factor intensities, unemployment-outsourcing response and the dynamic stability condition play crucial roles. In particular, outsourcing in the manufacturing (primary) sector widens (narrows) income inequality by increasing (decreasing) the sectoral wage gap and raising (not affecting) the rental income of the capital owners in the economy. Moreover, outsourcing in the manufacturing (primary) sector can be welfare-decreasing (is always welfare-increasing) due to its negative (positive) employment effect mitigating (reinforcing) the primary gains from the outsourcing.

A study on the Urban Growth Model of Gimhae City Using Cellular Automata (셀룰라 오토마타를 이용한 김해시의 도시성장모형에 관한 연구 - 1987~2001년을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Sung Ho;Yun, Jeong Mi;Seo, Kyung Chon;Nam, Kwang Woo;Park, Sang Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.118-125
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to decide an appropriate neighborhood and a transition rule of cellular automata by analyzing the past growth process of urban areas in Gimhae. With cellular automata which can manage the change based on the dynamic model and time, this study analyzes the urban growth of Gimhae from 1987 to 2001. Also, through the simulation of different types for neighborhood and transition rules, we can find the appropriate neighborhood and the transition rule for Gimhae. In conclusion, the forecast of physical urban growth pattern is more accurate under conditions when the number of matrixes for the neighborhood is small, the shape of the neighborhood is rectangular, "${\alpha}$" value, which control the pace of urban growth, is low and the transition possibility ($P_{ij}$) is high.

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Evolvable Neural Networks Based on Developmental Models for Mobile Robot Navigation

  • Lee, Dong-Wook;Seo, Sang-Wook;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents evolvable neural networks based on a developmental model for navigation control of autonomous mobile robots in dynamic operating environments. Bio-inspired mechanisms have been applied to autonomous design of artificial neural networks for solving practical problems. The proposed neural network architecture is grown from an initial developmental model by a set of production rules of the L-system that are represented by the DNA coding. The L-system is based on parallel rewriting mechanism motivated by the growth models of plants. DNA coding gives an effective method of expressing general production rules. Experiments show that the evolvable neural network designed by the production rules of the L-system develops into a controller for mobile robot navigation to avoid collisions with the obstacles.

Economic and Environmental Impacts of Mass Tourism on Regional Tourism Destinations in Indonesia

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Syah, Ahmad Mujafar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2018
  • The study examines economic and environmental impacts of mass tourism on regional tourism destinations, particularly the establishment of "Ten New Bali", in Indonesia. The sample is restricted to the period of time in which annual data is available and comparable among variables from 1980 to 2015 (36 observations). All of the time series data was collected and retrieved from the World Development Indicator database published by the World Bank. This study applies cointegrating regression analysis using the fully modified OLS, canonical cointegrating regression, and dynamic OLS. The results of the study suggest that 1) there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between tourism receipts, environmental degradation and economic growth in Indonesia, 2) tourism growth and agriculture land growth are positively related to an increase of total output in the short-run in Indonesia, and 3) arable land is significant at the 0.01 level, but forest rents and CO2 from transport are not significant in the short-run in Indonesia. The results confirm that arable land is negatively related to an increase of total output in Indonesia. That is, when tourism growth in the economy is getting realized it shows that the environmental degradation increases greatly in inverse in the model, eventually negative impacts to the environment.