• Title/Summary/Keyword: drought year

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Forecasting Monthly Agricultural Reservoir Storage and Estimation of Reservoir Drought Index (RDI) Using Meteorological Data Based Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (기상자료기반 다중선형회귀분석에 의한 농업용 저수지 월단위 저수율 예측 및 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI) 추정)

  • LEE, Ji-Wan;KIM, Jin-Uk;JUNG, Chung-Gil;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate monthly agricultural reservoir storage with multiple linear regression model(MLRM) based on reservoir storage and meteorological data. The regression model was developed using 15 years(2002 to 2016) of 3,067 reservoirs by KRC(Korea Rural Community) and 63 meteorological stations by KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration), and the MLRM showed the determination coefficient($R^2$) of 0.51~0.95. The MLRM was applied to 9 selected reservoirs among the whole reservoirs and validated with $R^2$ of 0.44~0.81. The ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristics) analysis of Reservoir Drought Index(RDI) classified by comparing the present reservoir storage with normal year(1976~2005 average) reservoir storage showed average value of 0.64 for 2 years(2015~2016) with the highest value of 0.70 for winter period, lowest value of 0.58 for summer period. If 1 to 3 months weather forecasting data such as Glosea5 produced by KMA are applied, the predicted monthly reservoir storage from the MLRM can be a useful information for agricultural drought pre-preparation.

Evaluation and Comparison of Meteorological Drought Index using Multi-satellite Based Precipitation Products in East Asia (다중 위성영상 기반 강우자료를 활용한 동아시아 지역의 기상학적 가뭄지수 비교 분석)

  • Mun, Young-Sik;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Taegon;Hong, Eun-Mi;Sur, Chanyang
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2020
  • East Asia, which includes China, Japan, Korea, and Mongolia, is highly impacted by hydroclimate extremes such drought, flood, and typhoon recent year. In 2017, more than 18.5 million hectares of crops have been damaged in China, and Korea has suffered economic losses as a result of severe drought. Satellite-derived rainfall products are becoming more accurate as space and time resolution become increasingly higher, and provide an alternative means of estimating ground-based rainfall. In this study, we verified the availability of rainfall products by comparing widely used satellite images such as Climate Hazards Groups InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS), Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC), and Precipitation Estimation From Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) with ground stations in East Asia. Also, the satellite-based rainfall products were used to calculate the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The temporal resolution is based on monthly images and compared with the past 30 years data from 1989 to 2018. The comparison between rainfall data based on each satellite image products and the data from weather station-based weather data was shown by the coefficient of determination and showed more than 0.9. Each satellite-based rainfall data was used for each grid and applied to East Asia and South Korea. As a result of SPI analysis, the RMSE values of CHIRPS were 0.57, 0.53 and 0.47, and the MAE values of 0.46, 0.43 and 0.37 were better than other satellite products. This satellite-derived rainfall estimates offers important advantages in terms of spatial coverage, timeliness and cost efficiency compared to analysis for drought assessment with ground stations.

Effect of Carbon Dioxide Concentration, Temperature, and Relative Drought on Growth Responses and Yield in Spring Potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) (이산화탄소와 온도 그리고 한발 영향에 따른 감자의 생육과 수량반응)

  • Lee, Yun-Ho;Cho, Hyeoun-Suk;Kim, Jun-Hwan;Sang, Wan-Gyu;Shin, Pyong;Baek, Jae-Kyeong;Seo, Myung-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2018
  • Agriculture is strongly influenced by climate change such as increased temperature and carbon dioxide ($CO_2$). This study describes the effects of climate change elevated $CO_2$, temperature, and relative drought on growth responses and yield in potato (Solanum tuberosum L.). The assessment was conducted for spring seasons in Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Research (SPAR) chamber at National Institute of Crop Science (NICS). Potatoes exhibit a positive response to $CO_2$ enrichment but water stress primarily reduces potato canopy and tuber yield. Elevated $CO_2$ and temperature increased both dry weight and tuber yield. Elevated $CO_2$ and temperature influenced SPAR 2 plants to a larger, and tuber increased yield up to 28% of than in SPAR 1(30-year average temperature at 450 ppm of $CO_2$). Our study findings indicate that tuber yield increase in potato under high $CO_2$ concentration was due to an increase in the size of individual tubers rather than in the number of the tubers per plant. On other hand, SPAR 3(30-year average temperature $+2.8^{\circ}C$ at 700 ppm of $CO_2$ under water stress) was lower than SPAR 2(30-year average temperature $+2.8^{\circ}C$ at 700 ppm of $CO_2$) nearly 56% of tuber yield due to drought. The results confirm potato drought sensitivity in terms of yield response. The experiment also showed that, in the conditions of climate change, climate change scenarios that improve cropping systems with potato.

Variations of Limnological Functions in a Man-made Reservoir Ecosystem during High-flow Year vs. Low-flow Year

  • Lee, Sang-Jae;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.487-494
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    • 2009
  • We compared spatial and temporal variations of water chemistry between high-flow year ($HF_y$) and low-flow year ($LF_y$) in an artificial lentic ecosystem of Daechung Reservoir. The differences in the rainfall distributions explained the variation of the annual inflow and determined flow characteristics and water residence time and modified chemical and biological conditions, based on TP, suspended solids, and chlorophylla, resulting in changes of ecological functions. The intense rainfall and inflow from the watershed resulted in partial disruption of thermal structure in the metalimnion depth, ionic dilution, high TP, and high suspended solids. This condition produced a reduced chlorophyll-a in the headwaters due to low light availability and rapid flushing. In contrast, reduced inflow and low rainfall by drought resulted in strong thermal difference between the epilimnion and hypolimnion, low inorganic solids, high total dissolved solids, and low phosphorus in the ambient water. The riverine conditions dominated the hydrology in the monsoon of $HF_y$ and lacustrine conditions dominated in the $HF_y$. Overall data suggest that effective managements of the flow from the watershed may have an important role in the eutrophication processes.

Comparison of Quality and Cell Enlargement of 'Nero' Black Chokeberry Fruits According to Different Soil Water Conditions (토양수분 조건에 따른 블랙쵸크베리 'Nero' 과실의 품질 및 세포 발달 비교)

  • Won, Jungyeon;Shin, Hyunsuk;Oh, Youngjae;Han, Hyeondae;Kim, Keumsun;Oh, Sewon;Kim, Daeil
    • Korean Journal of Plant Resources
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2017
  • Effects of different soil water conditions on fruit characteristics were investigated in 5-year-old 'Nero' black chokeberry trees (Aronia melanocarpa). Three kinds of drought stresses, including low water deficit, severe water deficit, and very severe water deficit, due to decline of soil water decreased the fruit quality of weight of 10 berries, soluble solid content, and anthocyanin, compared with the control (consistent water supply) during the harvest period. After longer drought stress, supply of soil water could induce berry cracking because cell size of epidermis of fruits contracted, whereas cell size of sub-epidermis and flesh expanded. Thus periodic water supply using water supply facility is needed for yield and quality of 'Nero' black chokeberry fruits.

Development of a Long-slope Water Harvesting System in Natural Channel for Drought Mitigation in Upland (밭작물 가뭄피해 경감을 위한 소류천 유출수 저수 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Youngjin;Choi, Yonghun;Lee, Sangbong;Kim, Minyoung;Jeon, Jonggil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.6
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2020
  • This study developed a rainwater harvesting system for the irrigation of upland on sloping area. The assessment of water supply capacity was evaluated in farm field experience. This system consists of a water catchment device and a collapsible storage tank. The water catchment device was designed to collect runoff water in natural channel of 500 mm width into a pipe of 50 mm inner diameter. The device has funnel-shaped plan and cross-section of square. The storage capacity of the collapsible water tank was caculated to meet the water demand for irrigation in 30 a cultivated land for 10-year frequancy drought. The tank has a cuboid shape with a capacity of 30 ㎥, 5 m in width and length, 1.2 m in height. This system can supply 92% of the water required for drop irrigation of red pepper and 88% of the water required for drop irrigation of onions in 30 a cultivation land during the month of May and June. In the case of 16-dry days of 10-years frequency, this system is capable to irrigate 100% of required water for red pepper and onion, 76.7% of required water for Omija (Schisandra chinensis), and 51.5% of required water for autumn kimchi cabbage.

Estimating Exploitable Groundwater as a Function of Precipitation Using a Distributed Hydrologic Model and Frequency Analysis (분포형 수문모형과 빈도해석을 이용한 강수량별 지하수 개발가능량 산정)

  • Kim, Minsoo;Jeong, Gyocheol;Lee, Jeong Eun;Kim, Min-Gyu
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.253-268
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    • 2020
  • In this study, recharge rates are estimated using SWAT-K (a distributed hydrological model). The validity of the estimated recharge rates were evaluated by employing the baseflow separation method based on observed hydrological data. The exploitable groundwater is typically determined as the 10-year drought frequency recharge rate that is calculated by average recharge ratio multiplied by 10-year drought frequency precipitation. In practice, however, recharge rates typically decrease in line with precipitation; therefore, exploitable groundwater could be overestimated when average recharge rates are used without considering precipitation. To resolve this overestimation, exploitable groundwater was calculated by re-estimating recharge rates that consider precipitation intensity. By applying this method to the Uiwang, Gwacheon, and Seongnam sub-basins, the exploitable groundwater decreased by 55.5~77.6%, compared with recharge rates obtained using the existing method.

Possibility of Climate Change and Simulation of Soil Moisture Content on Mt. Hallasan National Park, Chejudo Island, Korea

  • Kim, Eun-Shik;Kim, Young-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2000
  • Changing patterns and the possibility of climate change in the area of Cheiudo island, the southernmost Island in Korea, were analyzed using daily temperature and Precipitation data observed at the Cheiu Regional Meteorological Office from May 1923 to December 1998. A hydrologic simulation model "BROOK" was used to simulate and analyze the dynamics of daily soil moisture content and soil moisture deficit by applying the daily weather data. During the period, significantly increasing pattern was observed in temperature data of both annual and monthly basis, while no significantly changing pattern was observed in precipitation data. During the last 76 years. mean annual temperature was observed to have risen about 1.4$^{\circ}C$, which may show the Possibility of the initiation of climate change on the island whose validity should be tested in future studies after long-term studies on temperature. Based on the simulation, due to increased temperature, significant increase was predicted in evapotranspiration. while no significant decrease was detected in simulated soil moisture content during the period. Changing pattern of annual soil moisture content was markedly different from those of precipitation. In some dominant trees, negative effects of the drought of the late season for the previous year were shown to be statistically significant to radial growth of the tree for the current year. As annual variation of radial growth of trees is mainly affected by the soil moisture content. the information on the dynamics of soil moisture deficit possibly provides us with useful information for the interpretation of tree growth decline on the mountain. mountain.

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A Method of Estimating Conservative Potential Amount of Groundwater (보수적 지하수 개발가능량 산정 방안)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeongwoo;Lee, Jeong Eun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1797-1806
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    • 2014
  • By far, groundwater management has been conducted by 'safe yield' policy based on the estimation of annual average of groundwater recharge throughout the world. However, as groundwater recharge show spatiotemporal variation, dynamic analysis must be carried out to evaluate the sustainable groundwater resources. In this study, an integrated surface-groundwater model, SWAT-MODFLOW was used to compute the spatial distribution of groundwater recharge in Gyungju region. Frequency analysis is adopted to evaluate the existing values of potential amount of groundwater development which is made by the 10 year drought frequency rainfall multiplied by recharge coefficient. The conservative methods for estimating recharge rates of 10 year drought frequency in subbains are newly suggested and compared with the existing values of potential amount of groundwater development. This process will promote the limitations for existing precesses used for computing potential amount of groundwater development.

Evaluation of Potential Amount of Groundwater Development in Chungju Basin by Using Watershed Hydrologic Model and Frequency Analysis (유역수문모형과 빈도해석을 이용한 충주댐 상류유역 지하수 개발가능량의 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong-Eun;Kim, Nam-Won;Chung, Il-Moon;Lee, Jeong-Woo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2008
  • Memon(1995) pointed out that the groundwater recharge from the precipitation is affected by various factors such as the occurrence, intensity, duration, and seasonal distribution of rainfall; air temperature, humidity, and wind velocity; the character and thickness of the soil layer above the water table; vegetated cover, soil moisture content, depth to the water table, topography; and land use. To reflect above factors, groundwater recharge in Chungju basin is computed by using the SWAT-K which is a longterm continuous watershed hydrologic model. Frequency analysis is adopted to evaluate the existing values of potential amount of groundwater development which is made by the 10 year drought frequency rainfall multiplied by recharge coefficient. In this work, the recharge rates of 10 year drought frequency in subbains were computed and compared with the existing values of potential amount of groundwater development. This process could point out the problems of existing precesses used for computing potential amount of groundwater development.