• Title/Summary/Keyword: deterioration prediction

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A Study on Urban Driving Pattern (실 도로 주행 특성에 대한 연구)

  • 한상명;김창현
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2002
  • The durability prediction of emission control components, especially 02 sensor and catalytic converter, is getting more important as emission regulation is getting stricter and vehicle durability mileage requirement is also extended from 80,000 ㎞ to 160,000 km in Korean market. And the duration of vehicle mileage accumulation to get vehicle exhaust emission deterioration factor for certification is required to be shorter in order to reduce the vehicle development time. Since most of the vehicle emission development tests are done on chassis dynamometer and aging bench by using vehicle aging modes, real road condition and in-use driving patterns must be reflected into them to predict the vehicle emission level and to meet emission regulation especially at high mileage. In order to get the frequent driving pattern of vehicle and the aging characteristic of emission components, a vehicle was tested by changing drivers and driving roads around Seoul. Real road driving patterns were analyzed and compared with those of the certification modes which are well known in automotive industry.

A Study on Prediction of Treeting Breakdown in XLPE Cable According to Method of Acoustic Emission Detection (음향방출 계측법에 따른 가교폴리에틸렌 케이블의 트리잉 파괴 예지에 관한 연구)

  • 김재환;박재준
    • The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 1993
  • The acoustic emission automatic detection system is developed to observe tree deterioration phenomena. Applying an alternating voltage of 15(kVnns) toXLPE tree specimens, many pulses of small amplitude are detected when the bush type tree developes branch type and a few pulses of high amplitude prcxluced as branch type propagated to bush type tree. Therefore, it is known that pulses having small amplitude operates as a destructive factor. It is observed that the skewness of the amplitude and the number of average pulses as distribution tendency of three dimension are characteristic quantity of AE pulses. As the trajectory of skewness is farther from the origin on the S-plane, it is more likely to breakdown.

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A dynamic procedure for defection detection and prevention based on SOM and a Markov chain

  • Kim, Young-ae;Song, Hee-seok;Kim, Soung-hie
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2003
  • Customer retention is a common concern for many industries and a critical issue for the survival in today's greatly compressed marketplace. Current customer retention models only focus on detection of potential defectors based on the likelihood of defection by using demographic and customer profile information. In this paper, we propose a dynamic procedure for defection detection and prevention using past and current customer behavior by utilizing SOM and Markov chain. The basic idea originates from the observation that a customer has a tendency to change his behavior (i.e. trim-out his usage volumes) before his eventual withdrawal. This gradual pulling out process offers the company the opportunity to detect the defection signals. With this approach, we have two significant benefits compared with existing defection detection studies. First, our procedure can predict when the potential defectors could withdraw and this feature helps to give marketing managers ample lead-time for preparing defection prevention plans. The second benefit is that our approach can provide a procedure for not only defection detection but also defection prevention, which could suggest the desirable behavior state for the next period so as to lower the likelihood of defection. We applied our dynamic procedure for defection detection and prevention to the online gaming industry. Our suggested procedure could predict potential defectors without deterioration of prediction accuracy compared to that of the MLP neural network and DT.

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Case Study on Deciding a Time for Repairing Asphalt Pavement of Incheon International Airport (인천국제공항 아스팔트 포장 보수시기 결정 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Jang-Rack;Mun, Hyung-Chul;Cho, Nam-Hyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : The evaluation of the pavement condition of the asphalt concrete pavement of No. 2 runway of Inchon International Airport through PMS, a supporting system for making a decision of pavement, maintenance and repair, was made, and the proper time for repair according to the PCI reduction rate was suggested. METHODS : By comparing and analyzing the evaluation results of pavements built in 2009, 2010, 2011, PCI change in each facility (No. 2 runway, C parallel taxiway, connection taxiway) was calculated. By applying the calculated change to PCI deduction rate model, the pavement condition of the target sections was estimated, and then the necessary section and time for repair were chosen. RESULTS : After careful consideration of the time for pavement and maintenance, based on the result of PCI prediction, it was estimated that the southern takeoff and landing section of No. 2 runway was required to be repaired in 2012; connection taxiway in 2013; and C parallel taxiway in 2014; however, the section which is the main moving route of connection taxiway and C parallel taxiway was needed to be repaired in 2012. CONCLUSIONS : For maintenance and repair of airport pavements, the optimal alternative should be chosen by considering economics and operability, via examining the time for repair and the aspect of management all together on the basis of this study.

DEVELOPMENT OF A RECONFIGURABLE CONTROL FOR AN SP-100 SPACE REACTOR

  • Na Man-Gyun;Upadhyaya Belle R.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a reconfigurable controller consisting of a normal controller and a standby controller is designed to control the thermoelectric (TE) power in the SP-100 space reactor. The normal controller uses a model predictive control (MPC) method where the future TE power is predicted by using support vector regression. A genetic algorithm that can effectively accomplish multiple objectives is used to optimize the normal controller. The performance of the normal controller depends on the capability of predicting the future TE power. Therefore, if the prediction performance is degraded, the proportional-integral (PI) controller of the standby controller begins to work instead of the normal controller. Performance deterioration is detected by a sequential probability ratio test (SPRT). A lumped parameter simulation model of the SP-100 nuclear space reactor is used to verify the proposed reconfigurable controller. The results of numerical simulations to assess the performance of the proposed controller show that the TE generator power level controlled by the proposed reconfigurable controller could track the target power level effectively, satisfying all control constraints. Furthermore, the normal controller is automatically switched to the standby controller when the performance of the normal controller degrades.

Carbonation depth estimation in reinforced concrete structures using revised empirical model and oxygen permeability index

  • Chandra Harshitha;Bhaskar Sangoju;Ramesh Gopal
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2023
  • Corrosion of rebar is one of the major deteriorating mechanisms that affect the durability of reinforced concrete (RC) structures. The increase in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere leads to early carbonation and deterioration due to corrosion in RC structures. In the present study, an attempt has been made to modify the existing carbonation depth prediction empirical model. The modified empirical model is verified from the carbonation data collected from selected RC structures of CSIR-SERC campus, Chennai and carbonation data available from the reported literature on in-situ RC structures. Attempt also made to study the carbonation depth in the laboratory specimens using oxygen permeability index (OPI) test. The carbonation depth measured from RC structures and laboratory specimens are compared with estimated carbonation depth obtained from OPI test data. The modified empirical model shows good correlation with measured carbonation depth from the identified RC structures and the reported RC structures from the literature. The carbonation depth estimated from OPI values for both in-situ and laboratory specimens show lesser percentage of error compared to measured carbonation depth. From the present investigation it can be said that the OPI test is the suitable test method for both new and existing RC structures and laboratory RC specimens.

Predicting and analysis of interfacial stress distribution in RC beams strengthened with composite sheet using artificial neural network

  • Bensattalah Aissa;Benferhat Rabia;Hassaine Daouadji Tahar
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.87 no.6
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    • pp.517-527
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    • 2023
  • The severe deterioration of structures has led to extensive research on the development of structural repair techniques using composite materials. Consequently, previous researchers have devised various analytical methods to predict the interface performance of bonded repairs. However, these analytical solutions are highly complex mathematically and necessitate numerous calculations with a large number of iterations to obtain the output parameters. In this paper, an artificial neural network prediction models is used to calculate the interfacial stress distribution in RC beams strengthened with FRP sheet. The R2value for the training data is evaluated as 0.99, and for the testing data, it is 0.92. Closed-form solutions are derived for RC beams strengthened with composite sheets simply supported at both ends and verified through direct comparisons with existing results. A comparative study of peak interfacial shear and normal stresses with the literature gives the usefulness and effectiveness of ANN proposed. A parametrical study is carried out to show the effects of some design variables, e.g., thickness of adhesive layer and FRP sheet.

Epigenetic Age Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease Patients Using the Aging Clock (노화 시계를 이용한 알츠하이머병 환자의 후성유전학적 연령 예측)

  • Jinyoung Kim;Gwang-Won Cho
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.61-67
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    • 2023
  • Human body ages differently due to environmental, genetic and pathological factors. DNA methylation patterns also differs depending on various factors such as aging and several other diseases. The aging clock model, which uses these differences to predict age, analyzes DNA methylation patterns, recognizes age-specific patterns, predicts age, and grasps the speed and degree of aging. Aging occurs in everyone and causes various problems such as deterioration of physical ability and complications. Alzheimer's disease is a disease associated with aging and the most common brain degenerative disease. This disease causes various cognitive functions disabilities such as dementia and impaired judgment to motor functions, making daily life impossible. It has been reported that the incidence and progression of this disease increase with aging, and that increased phosphorylation of Aβ and tau proteins, which are overexpressed in this disease and accelerates epigenetic aging. It has also been reported that DNA methylation is significantly increased in the hippocampus and entorhinal cortex of Alzheimer's disease patients. Therefore, we calculated the biological age using the Epi clock, a pan-tissue aging clock model, and confirmed that the epigenetic age of patients suffering from Alzheimer's disease is lower than their actual age. Also, it was confirmed to slow down aging.

According to Water Cement Ratio and Internal Temperature and Humidity, An Analytical Study on the Carbonation of Long-Term Concrete (물 시멘트비와 이산화탄소 농도에 따른 콘크리트의 장기 탄산화에 관한 해석적 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Hae;Park, Dong-Cheon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.188-189
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    • 2020
  • In the field of architecture, concrete and steel bars are the most common and popular combinations. The relationship between the two in a structure is a complementary good that increases in utility when consuming both materials at the same time. However, the combination of the two, which has been perceived as semi-permanent, often faces repairs or reconstruction without its lifespan reaching decades. There are a number of deterioration factors at work for the reason for this phenomenon. Among them, the neutralization of concrete in particular refers to the process in which calcium hydroxide inside concrete reacts with carbon dioxide and loses alkalinity, which creates a corrosive environment for rebars inside concrete, causing serious damage to concrete. In this study, we intend to use a multi-physical analysis program using finite element analysis method to analyze the degree of carbonation according to the internal temperature and concentration of carbon dioxide in concrete, thereby contributing to the prediction of long-term neutralization of concrete and the research related to measures for neutralization of concrete.

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Study on Big Data Linkage Method for Managing Port Infrastructure Disasters and Aging (항만 인프라 재해 및 노후화 관리를 위한 빅데이터 연계 방안 연구)

  • Choi, Woo-geun;Park, Sun-ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to develop a digital twin and big data-based port infrastructure control system that reflects smart maintenance technology. It is a technology that can evaluate aging and disaster risk by converting heterogeneous data such as sensing data and image data acquired from port infrastructure into big data, visualized in a digital twin-based control system, and comprehensively analyzed. The meaning of big data to express the physical world and processes by combining data, which are the core components of the virtual world, and the matters to be reflected in each stage of securing, processing, storing, analyzing and utilizing necessary big data, and we would like to define methods for linking with IT resources.

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