• 제목/요약/키워드: delphi method

검색결과 636건 처리시간 0.031초

Delphi를 활용한 융합 서비스 설계에 관한 연구 : 은행지점 도입용 금융 서비스 로봇 사례 (Convergence Service Design Using Delphi Technique : Financial Service Robot for Introduction to Bank Branches)

  • 송영규;이정우;한창희
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2020
  • This study applies the Delphi method to design services with convergence characteristics in the financial sector. In designing a service robot for practical deployment that can support and replace bank teller, the opinions and judgments of various expert groups were extracted and a consensus process was made through feedback. A total of six dimensions and thirty service elements were derived over three rounds. Coefficient of Variation and content validity were used to verify the suitability and reliability of the selected service elements. As a result, the essential service element of robots was interaction with customers, followed by basic and professional financial services. Based on these service factors, we proposed two types of service models. support mode to assist employees during business hours and alternative mode on behalf of employees outside business hours. It is hoped that this study will use the Delphi technique in the design of IT convergence services.

Delphi-SWOT 분석을 이용한 제조물책임법 개정에 따른 기업의 대응전략 수립 (Establish Company's Response Strategy by Revision Product Liability Law through Delphi-SWOT Method)

  • 서준혁;배성민
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.911-922
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study provides an overview of the Product Liability Act which was revised in 2017 and took effect in 2018. It analyzes the effects of the revised Act on corporate management from internal and external perspectives to present coping strategies so that companies can synthetically respond to such effects. Methods: In order to achieve the purpose of this study, experts like companies, academia, governmental institutions, and consultants were invited, and Delphi techniques were applied to derive means, standard deviations, and Content Validity Ratio. Results: In this study, based on two expert questionnaire surveys, strengths and weaknesses of the internal environment of companies and opportunities and threats of the external environment were derived, followed by provision of S/O, W/O, S/T, and W/T strategies. Conclusion: To fundamentally remove the causes of accidents on their products, the relevant companies should strengthen the activities to increase product safety. They shall cooperate with suppliers to arrange the measures to speedily secure safety of consumers.

델파이기법을 이용한 급성심근경색증 질 평가지표 가중치 부여 (Weighting of Acute Myocardial Infarction Quality Indicators using Delphi Method)

  • 김형선;조연희
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.565-573
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service (HIRA) launched an Acute Myocardial Infarction(AMI) assessment for the Payment For Performance(Quality Incentives) Pilot Project from July 2007. Assessment measures of AMI were composed of five process measures and one outcome measure, and each measure was incorporated into one composite quality score to Pay for Performance. Method: For calculation of composite quality score, we considered weighting for the measures using the Delphi method. The questionnaire was composed of three measure groups, 'Reperfusion rate'(Fibrolytic therapy received within 60 minutes of hospital arrival, Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention within 120 minutes of hospital arrival), 'Medication prescription rate'(Aspirin at arrival, Aspirin prescribed at discharge, Beta-blocker prescribed at discharge) and 'Survival Index'(30-day mortality rate). Result: A panel composed of 18 and completed a questionnaire by allocation of 10 scores to the three above mentioned measure groups. The Delphi was carried out until three rounds of surveys. In conclusion, each measure group was weighted differently and the 10 scores were allocated as 4.5 to 'Reperfusion rate', 2.5 to 'Medication prescription rate', and 3.0 to 'Survival Index'. Conclusion: The results of this study proposed the calculation method for weighting of Acute Myocardial Infarction quality indicators.

Delphi기법에 의한 기계공학기술과 다른 기술분야의 국제적 기술수준과 국제기술협력 가능성에 대한 비교연구

  • 권영주
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1997년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.794-798
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    • 1997
  • We provide a set of information on technologies to draw meaningful action plans for the inter- nationalization of National R&D activities. In this study, we employed a modified Delphi method to evaluate level od our technological capabilities and developed countries' as well. We investigated technology acquistion methodologies,technology characteristics and various aspects of international cooperation in terms of technology. Then we analyzed final responses of participants (i.e, the third round results of Delphi method) to see the correlation among various factors in developing tehnologies through international R&D cooperation. The technology classification used in this research was developed by STEPI (Science and Technology Policy Institute). In conclusion, levels of our technologies were investigated to be between the stage of imitating/absorbing advanced technologies and the stage of digesting acquired technologies. Especially, comparing with other technologies, mechanical engineering was evaluated to be almost near the stage of digesting acquired technology (the middle level stage of technology). Out overal technological capabilites were evaluated to be 40~60% of top level countries'.

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경종작물분야의 델파이 기술예측조사 (Survey for Technology Forecasting for Crop Production using Delphi Method)

  • 이종인;조근태;채영암;김재한
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제49권3호
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2004
  • 델파이법을 이용한 본 연구는 한국농업의 미래 유망기술을 예측$.$도출하기 위하여 시도되었다. 이 미래유망기술을 토대로 우리나라의 농업은 고부가가치를 지닌 2떼기의 핵심전략산업으로 성장하게 할 것이다. 델파이법을 이용하여 경종작물 분야의 전문가에게 각 기술의 전문도, 중요도, 실현시기(국내 및 세계), 연구개발수준, 실현시기의 확신도, 기술적으로 가장 앞선 국가, 연구개발 추진주체, 유효한 정책수단 등을 질문하였다. 이 조사의 대상은 경종작물분야의 전문가로 한정하였다. 미래유망기술로는 44개의 기술이 도출되었고, 이 조사에 응답한 전문가는 39명이었다.

전문가 델파이 설문 조사를 통한 농촌경관 유형분류 및 평가지표 개발 (Classifying Rural Landscape Types and Developing Rural Landscape Evaluation Indicators Using Expert Delphi Survey Method)

  • 반영운;백종인;김민아;윤진옥
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2008
  • This study has intended to elicit the definition of rural landscape, to classify rural landscape type, and to develop the evaluation indicators of rural landscape, meeting the definition through delphi expert survey method. The survey was performed five times for 80 days by 20 experts. The delphi expert survey asked experts as follows: 1) to fill out open-ended questions regarding the definition of rural landscape, and classification of rural landscape types, and evaluation indicators; 2) to provide their own feasibility evaluation regarding the results of the previous answer; and 3) to reevaluate the feasibility of the definition, types, and indicators. Based on the survey results, this study has found the appropriate definition of rural landscape like the comprehensive complex of physical (objective) and nonphysical (subjective) factors characterizing natural and/or artificial scenary of rural village itself Also, this study has developed the evaluation indicators of rural landscape in accordance with space types and landscape units classified. The developed indicators included areal ratio, the degree of green naturality, the building coverage ratio for physical landscape field, and skyline, landscape adjectives, color landscape, semantic scale.

델파이법을 활용한 우리 나라 주요 암질환의 장애정도 가중치 추정 (Estimating the Disability Weight of Major Cancers in Korea Using Delphi Method)

  • 권영대;김병익;윤석준
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.409-414
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    • 2000
  • Objectives : To estimate the weighting for the disability caused by major cancers in Korea using the Delphi method. Methods : We selected 19 panelists to estimate the disability weighting of major cancers in Korea by using the Delphi method. To select the relevant kinds of cancers, we used National Death Certificate Data produced by the National Statistical Office in 1996. Then the stability of each delphi round was calculated by using the coefficient of variance. Results : The disability weight of major cancers for males was pancreas cancer(0.36), liver cancer(0.35), esophageal cancer(0.30), stomach cancer(0.27), lung cancer(0.26), and colorectal cancer(0.30). The disability weight of major cancers fer females was pancreas cancer(0.36), liver cancer(0.34), esophageal cancer(0.29), stomach cancer(0.28), lung cancer(0.26), and colorecial cancer(0.28). Conclusion : The results of this study will provide baseline data useful for the measurement of the burden of disease caused by cancers in Korea.

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Delphi 기법을 이용한 해수담수화 플랜트 유망 국가 분석 (Analysis of Promising Country for Seawater Desalination Plant Using Delphi Method)

  • 양정석;김일환
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.2351-2357
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    • 2013
  • 해수담수화 플랜트 시장 진출 유망 국가 분석을 위한 지수를 개발하였고 이를 위해서 관련된 자료를 수집하고 분석하였다. 자료의 특성상 국가별로 편차가 커 스케일 재조정 방법을 통해 각 지표별로 표준화를 실시하였고, 해수담수화 플랜트에 대한 전문가들을 대상으로 Delphi 기법을 통한 설문 조사를 통해 가중치를 결정하였다. 총 23개의 지표를 3가지 요소로 나누어 각각의 항목별로 가중치를 결정하였으며, 사우디아라비아, UAE, 쿠웨이트, 이란, 카타르, 중국, 싱가포르, 인도, 알제리, 터키, 미국 등 11개 국가, 즉 해수담수화 플랜트 해외 시장 유망 국가들에 대해서 지수를 산정하였다. 산정된 지수를 비교하였을 때 미국이 0.537, 중국이 0.490, 사우디아라비아가 0.329로 나타났다. 현지 사정을 고려하였을 때는 미국과 중국은 해외 시장 진출을 하는데 많은 어려움이 있을 수 있지만 그 외에 국가에 대해서는 본 연구의 결과를 바탕으로 전략적으로 시장 진출을 도모하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

델파이 방법을 이용한 비즈니스 프로세스 관리 시스템의 기능 평가에 관한 연구 (A study on evaluation of functions of business process management systems using delphi method)

  • 유성열;이강배
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.40-53
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    • 2005
  • 최근 들어 많은 기업들이 비즈니스 프로세스 관리시스템(BPMS)에 큰 관심을 나타내고 있다. 본 연구에서는 델파이 방법을 이용하여 BPMS를 도입하고자 하는 기업들이 원하는 BPMS의 기능에 관하여 조사, 분석을 수행하였다. 델파이 설문 조사를 통해 기업의 BPMS도입 목적별 기능의 중요성에 관한 가중치를 설정하였다. 이를 토대로 각 기업이 효율적인 BPMS 솔루션을 선정하기 위한 평가모형을 제시하였다.

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어혈변증설문지(瘀血辨證設問紙) 개발(開發) (Development of Questionnaires for Blood Stasis Pattern)

  • 양동훈;박영재;이상철;박영배
    • 대한한의진단학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2006
  • Background and Objectives: The diagnosis of flood stasis pattern is one of the most important methods in oriental medicine. The aim of this study is to Develop clinically useful questionaire of Blood stasis(瘀血) and quantitative analysis. Methods: The questionnaire including symptoms and signs for diagnosis of Blood stasis pattern is studied by delphi method and statistical analysis. Result: By the delphi method and statistical analysis, 14 Items of questionnaries are choosen. Conclusion: Further research is necessary for improvement reliabilities and validities of the questionnaires of Blood stasis pattern.

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