• 제목/요약/키워드: decision-making reliability

검색결과 377건 처리시간 0.036초

Visibility of Electric Distribution Utility Performance to Manage Loss and Reliability Indices

  • Honarmand, Mohammad-Esmaeil;Ghazizadeh, Mohammad-Sadegh;Kermanshah, Ali;Haghifam, Mahmoud-Reza
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.1764-1776
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    • 2017
  • To achieve economic stability, distribution Company as an economic institution should be managed by various processes. In this way, knowledge of different processes is the first step. Furthermore, expectations, outputs, requirement data, and sub-processes should be extracted and determined. Accordingly, to assign the performance responsibility of each process, the decision-making points must be introduced and, the deviation or change in set-points should be investigated into processes. Also, the performance of processes could be monitored by introducing of the sub-indictors. In this study, a practical method is presented for monitoring of reliability and power loss indices from viewpoint components' supply chain into the distribution network. At first, the visibility model of the supply chain is illustrated by focus group and the sub-indicators are extracted for each process of this chain. Then, validation and verification of the sub-indicators are accomplished by the Delphi method and, an information dashboard is presented by confirmed the sub-indicators and statistics methods. Finally, the proposed method is investigated by real data in a typical network and the results are analyzed.

온라인 쇼핑몰 패션 제품 설명 소구 유형과 댓글의 방향성.유형에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Fashion Product Description Appeal Type, the Direction and Type of Consumer Replies on Online Shopping Mall)

  • 김보경;김미숙
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.408-422
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    • 2010
  • The purposes of this study is to investigate the attitudes and value of fashion product description and consumer replies used in online shopping malls, and to examine the differences in the perceived reliability(objectivity, expertise, trustworthiness) preference and purchase intention toward the product as determined by the appeal type (evaluation-sentimental vs. factual-information) of the product description, the direction(negative vs. positive) and type(factual vs. evaluative) of consumer replies for the product in online shopping malls. Data was collected from female college students with fashion products purchase experience at online shopping malls by questionnaire survey (N=424) and analyzed by using frequency analysis, t-test and ANOVA. Results showed that consumers respondents tended to read product description and other consumer replies before purchasing, when shopping for fashion products through an on-line shopping mall. They thought that sellers' product description and the consumers' replies were helpful in making their decision; but, they were also skeptical about product description. Respondents showed higher perceived reliability, preference and purchase intention to the factual-information type product description than the evaluation-sentimental type. Positive consumer replies were more effective in yielding higher preferences and purchase intentions. Factual replies tend to yield higher reliability than evaluative replies.

서답형 문항의 인터넷 기반 채점시스템 설계 연구 (A Study on design of The Internet-based scoring system for constructed responses)

  • 조지민;김경훈
    • 컴퓨터교육학회논문지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2007
  • 대규모 집단을 대상으로 시행하는 서답형 문항을 수기 채점 방식으로 채점하는 경우 채점 과정에서 발생하는 채점 오차를 줄이기 위해서는 많은 노력과 시간을 필요로 한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 세계 각국에서는 서답형 문항 채점 시스템을 개발하여 운용하고 있지만, 국내에서는 채점 시스템의 기초적인 연구도 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구의 목적은 '서답형 문항의 인터넷 기반 채점 시스템' 설계의 기반을 마련하는데 있다. 시스템 설계의 기반 마련을 위한 시스템의 개요와 기본 설계도, 채점자 배정 방법, 채점자 신뢰도 추정에 의한 채점자 오류 검색 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 본 시스템은 실시간으로 채점 신뢰도를 추정하여 채점 오차를 보정할 수 있는 장점이 있다.

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Extended cognitive reliability and error analysis method for advanced control rooms of nuclear power plants

  • Xiaodan Zhang;Shengyuan Yan;Xin Liu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권9호
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    • pp.3472-3482
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    • 2024
  • This study proposes a modified extended cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM) for achieving a more accurate human error probability (HEP) in advanced control rooms. The traditional approach lacks failure data and does not consider the common performance condition (CPC) weights in different cognitive functions. The modified extended CREAM decomposes tasks using a method that combines structured information analysis (SIA) and the extended CREAM. The modified extended CREAM performs the weight analysis of CPCs in different cognitive functions, and the weights include cognitive, correlative, and important weights. We used the extended CREAM to obtain the cognitive weight. We determined the correlative weights of the CPCs for different cognitive functions using the triangular fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (TF-DEMATEL), and evaluated the importance weight of CPCs based on the interval 2-tuple linguistic approach and ensured the value of the importance weight using the entropy method in the different cognitive functions. Finally, we obtained the comprehensive weights of the different cognitive functions and calculated the HEPs. The accuracy and sensitivity of the modified extended CREAM were compared with those of the basic CREAM. The results demonstrate that the modified extended CREAM calculates the HEP more effectively in advanced control rooms.

블록체인 기술 다식부기 시스템 도입에 따른 회계전문인 육성 방안 (Training of Accounting Professionals Following the Introduction of Block Chain Technology)

  • 양해진;배기수
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2019
  • Block chain technology revolutionizes the 'double entry bookkeeping' of accounting principles in 600 years. It will be an opportunity for you to become one. The advent of the block chain will revolutionize the accounting world. It is no exaggeration to say that it is a skill. The use of block chains for accounting leads to the occurrence of transactions. It's easy to identify a transaction, and it's easy to fake or tamper with it. The accounting industry because it is difficult to communicate transparent accounting information to stake holders. Transformations will be possible across the board (Carlozo, 2017). An entity shall provide financial information that is useful to interested parties in making reasonable economic decisions. Transactions arising from business activities are recorded and provided in the books. Interested parties are here. We need to make decisions to protect our interests and make those decisions rationally. To make a decision, we know how the outcome of the decision will affect our self-interest. Because it has to do so, it uses corporate information for this purpose. But the investor is one way of doing business. It is difficult to trust the information provided by (Yermack, 2017). As a result, ICO companies, startups, small businesses lose a lot of business opportunities because they don't have investors. In addition, the management mixes cash flows with accounting interests to indicate changes in cash flows. It experiences failure in its business due to its inability to analyze and predict faithfully. But it's a blockhead in accounting. Applying the factors and recording them in the book will result in a number of benefits for different stake holders. It can be provided. The financial information in the block chain is not subject to further review or verification. It can improve the timeliness and increase reliability of financial information because it cannot be forged or tampered with (Delloitte, 2016). Based on the fourth industrial revolution, the pace of change in all sectors of society has never been faster. Based on block chain technology, decision-making structure is based on vertical structure of the past. Transforming into a horizontal structure collapses existing tools and advances transparency and decentralization a change of Copernican interpersonal awareness with the trend of the times, which is becoming angry with modern people.

피로시험 데이터의 산포를 고려한 스프링의 신뢰성 최적설계 (Reliability based optimization of spring fatigue design problems accounting for scatter of fatigue test data)

  • 안다운;원준호;최주호
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1314-1319
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    • 2008
  • Fatigue reliability problems are nowadays actively considered in the design of mechanical components. Recently, Dimension Reduction Method using Kriging approximation (KDRM) was proposed by the authors to efficiently calculate statistical moments of the response function. This method, which is more tractable for its sensitivity-free nature and providing the response PDF in a few number of analyses, is adopted in this study for the reliability analysis. Before applying this method to the practical fatigue problems, accuracies are studied in terms of parameters of the KDRM through a number of numerical examples, from which best set of parameters are suggested. In the fatigue reliability problems, good number of experimental data are necessary to get the statistical distribution of the S-N parameters. The information, however, are not always available due to the limited expense and time. In this case, a family of curves with prediction interval, called P-S-N curve, is constructed from regression analysis. Using the KDRM, once a set of responses are available at the sample points at the mean, all the reliability analyses for each P-S-N curve can be efficiently studied without additional response evaluations. The method is applied to a spring design problem as an illustration of practical applications, in which reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is conducted by employing stochastic response surface method which includes probabilistic constraints in itself. Resulting information is of great practical value and will be very helpful for making trade-off decision during the fatigue design.

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현 기후예측시스템에서의 기온과 강수 계절 확률 예측 신뢰도 평가 (Reliability Assessment of Temperature and Precipitation Seasonal Probability in Current Climate Prediction Systems)

  • 현유경;박진경;이조한;임소민;허솔잎;함현준;이상민;지희숙;김윤재
    • 대기
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2020
  • Seasonal forecast is growing in demand, as it provides valuable information for decision making and potential to reduce impact on weather events. This study examines how operational climate prediction systems can be reliable, producing the probability forecast in seasonal scale. A reliability diagram was used, which is a tool for the reliability by comparing probabilities with the corresponding observed frequency. It is proposed for a method grading scales of 1-5 based on the reliability diagram to quantify the reliability. Probabilities are derived from ensemble members using hindcast data. The analysis is focused on skill for 2 m temperature and precipitation from climate prediction systems in KMA, UKMO, and ECMWF, NCEP and JMA. Five categorizations are found depending on variables, seasons and regions. The probability forecast for 2 m temperature can be relied on while that for precipitation is reliable only in few regions. The probabilistic skill in KMA and UKMO is comparable with ECMWF, and the reliabilities tend to increase as the ensemble size and hindcast period increasing.

서비스 중요도를 사용한 서비스나무분석의 개선 (Improvement of Service Tree Analysis Using Service Importance)

  • 박종훈;황영훈;이상천
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to improve the service tree analysis introduced recently by Geum et al. [15]. Service tree analysis structures the service based on the customer participation perspective and provides a qualitative analysis method categorizing the service elements on the basis of its impact to top service. This paper attempts to apply the concept of reliability importance to the service tree analysis as a perspective of quantitative analysis, which is considered little in Geum et al. [15]. Reliability importance is a measure of the structural impact of the components that make up the system on the system lifetime in reliability engineering field and often used in fault tree analysis. We transform the reliability importance into service importance in accordance with service tree analysis, so that the influence of service elements on the service can be judged and compared. The service importance is defined as the amount of change of the service according to the change of the service element, therefore, it can be utilized as an index for determining a service element for service improvement. In addition, as an index for paired service elements, the relationship between the two service components can be measured by joint service importance. This paper introduces conceptual changes in the process of applying reliability importance to service analysis, and shows how to use the service importance for identifying the priority of service element for the final service and improving customer satisfaction through an example. By using the service importance and joint service importance in service tree analysis, it is possible to make efficient decision making in the process of determining the service elements for analyzing and improving the service.

확률론적 기법을 이용한 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Assessment of Tunnel Support Systems Using a Probability-Based Method)

  • 박도현;박의섭;송원경;류동우
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 확률론적 기법을 토대로 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있는 프로그램을 개발하였다. 개발된 프로그램은 솔버로서 FLAC2D를 사용하며 수치해석과 확률론적 해석의 전 과정을 자동적으로 처리할 수 있다. 지반을 모델링한 수치해석시 상당한 계산시간이 소요되므로 시뮬레이션 기법을 적용하여 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성을 확률론적으로 평가하는 것은 현실적으로 불가능하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 샘플의 수를 시뮬레이션 기법에 비해 상당히 줄일 수 있어 확률론적 해석을 하는 데 효율적인 점추정법을 사용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 프로그램을 터널 프로젝트에 적용하여 결정론적 접근법에 의한 결과와 비교 분석하였다. 이로부터 확률론적 접근법은 파괴확률을 토대로 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있고 터널 지보설계시 의사결정의 도구로서 활용될 수 있다는 것을 확인하였다.

통계적 공정관리(SPC)를 이용한 무한고장 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 접근방법 연구 (Assessing Infinite Failure Software Reliability Model Using SPC (Statistical Process Control))

  • 김희철;신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2012
  • 소프트웨어의 디버깅에 오류 발생의 시간을 기반으로 하는 많은 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모델이 제안되어 왔다. 무한고장 모형과 비동질적인 포아송 과정에 의존한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형을 이용하면 모수 추정이 가능하다. 소프트웨어를 시장에 인도하는 결정을 내리기 위해서는 조건부 고장률이 중요한 변수가 된다. 유한 고장 모형은 실제 상황에서 다양한 분야에 사용된다. 특성화 문제, 특이점의 감지, 선형 추정, 시스템의 안정성 연구, 수명을 테스트, 생존 분석, 데이터 압축 및 기타 여러 분야에서의 사용이 점점 많아지고 있다. 통계적 공정 관리 (SPC)는 소프트웨어 고장의 예측을 모니터링 함으로써 소프트웨어 신뢰성의 향상에 크게 기여 할 수 있다. 컨트롤 차트는 널리 소프트웨어 산업의 소프트웨어 공정 관리에 사용되는 도구이다. 본 논문에서 NHPP에 근원을 둔 로그 포아송 실행시간 모형, 로그선형 모형 그리고 파레토 모형의 평균값 함수를 이용한 통계적 공정관리 차트를 이용한 제어 메커니즘을 제안하였다.