• Title/Summary/Keyword: decision making method

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A Study on the Determinant Factor Analysis for the Characterization of Saemangeum New Port (새만금신항만 특화에 관한 결정요인 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Nam-Suk;Choe, Do-Won;Jeon, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.263-288
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to define which factors will contribute to vitalization of Saemangeum New Port to secure international competitiveness in order to attract international shipping companies, shippers and forwarders in constructing Saemangeum New Port, and to propose subsequent implications. For research methods of the current study, a factor analysis and a decision making method of analytic hierarchy process(AHP) were used. Through precedent studies, total 11 measuring variables were selected including short entrance and exit channels, main infrastructure development project, tax cut and deregulation, and through a factor analysis, total 3 high rank evaluation factors including 'location and facilities', 'surrounding infrastructure and hydrophile property', and 'local policy and environment'. Analysis results summarizing a test of reliability of measuring variables in this study indicate that as Cronbach alpha coefficient of total 11 measuring variables were turned out to be over 0.8, it is surpassing general average 0.6, which means there is reliability.

A Study on Simulation based Manufacturing in Shipyards : Focused on a Long-term Plan Verification (조선소에서의 시뮬레이션 기반 생산에 관한 연구 : 선표 계획 검증을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Oh, Dae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 2014
  • Productivity improvement of a shipbuilding company depends on how efficiently its limited resources are managed and utilized. Recently, research on modeling and simulation (M&S) to support shipyard production management system has been being under study. The production management based on M&S rejects decision making on experience, and it can establish productivity improvement method based on quantitative and specific data. In this paper, M&S is applied to the long-term plan as a part of the production planning in shipyards. To this end, the long-term plan processes and related management systems are analyzed. Based on the analysis, a simulation model and an application system using commercial simulation software are suggested. And basic structure of the suggested system is based on web technology such as Rich Internet Application, web services protocol for compatibility with existing shipyard enterprise systems. Utilizing the results of this study, it is expected that shipyard production planners can settle down work flow, in which one can establishes the production plan, simulates the plan, and analyzes the results, enabling a more reliable production plans.

A study of the Guidelines for Investigation and Management of Uterine Myomas with Korean Medicine Therapies in Korea (자궁근종의 한의학 연구 경향과 임상적 접근에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Il
    • The Journal of Korean Obstetrics and Gynecology
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.240-260
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    • 2006
  • Purpose : The objective of this study is to serve guidelines for the investigation and management of uterine myomas with KM therapies. Methods : English-language articles from PubMed and Korean-language articles from the database of the journal of oriental gynecology were reviewed from 2000 to 2005, using the key words 'uterine myoma', 'uterine leiomyoma', 'fibroid', 'uterine artery embolization', 'endometrial ablation', 'myomectomy', and jagungguenjong(子宮筋腫)'. Results and Limits : The areas of clinical practices considered in formulating this guideline are assessment, KM therapies, medical treatments, myolysis, selective artery occlusion, endometrial ablation and surgical therapies including myomectomy and hysterectomy. Implementation of this guideline would optimize the decision-making process of women with uterine myomas and further investigation or therapy of their KM doctors. But we don't have abundant evidences of clinical trials of uterine myoma treated with KM therapy, though we treat or manage that with every-day clinical practices. Moreover cultural gaps between Korea and other western countries make many differences in the attitude to surgical therapies, especially hysterectomy. So it is very difficult to compare W therapies with other therapies. Moreover it is much difficult to estimate cost-effectiveness and benefit of those therapies in QOL. Conclusions : The majority of uterine myoma is asymptomatic and will not require any intervention or further investigation. But unmarried women who wish to marry and get pregnant want to find safe therapy for their asymptomatic uterine myomas. In that case, most of the patients prefer non-surgical therapy to surgical therapy. So KM herbal medicinal therapy is a good alternative method for those patients. For the symptomatic myomas, hysterectomy offers a definitive solution. However, it is not the best solution for women who wish to preserve their uterus. So KM therapy is a good alternative for them. But the predicted benefits of alternative therapies including KM therapy must be carefully weighed against the Possible risks of these therapies. To improve the quality of life of both women with asymptomatic and symptomatic myomas, selecting and treating patients should be done carefully. Moreover, the effect of KM therapy has to evaluated, comparing the possible situation without treatment and the benefit of constant treatment as a health-care system.

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A Study on the Standardization of TS-QSCD (사상체질 진단을 위한 2단계 설문지(TS-QSCD)의 표준화 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Yoon;Song, Jeong-Mo
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.99-126
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    • 2009
  • 1. Objective TS-QSCD (The Two-Step Questionnaire for the Sasang Constitution Diagnosis) is one of the self-reporting Sasang-Constitutional diagnosis questionnaires and one constituted by a two-step discriminant function. The process of TS-QSCD is as follows. During the first step, the testers are classified into two groups: the Yangin(陽人) group and Eumin(陰人) group. Following this, the Yangin group is divided into the Soyangin group and Taeyangin group likewise the Eumin group is divided into the Taeumin group and Soeumin group. This questionnaire has the merits of an ordinary questionnaire with four discriminant functions and a decision tree method. The purpose of this study is to evaluate and standardize TS-QSCD 2. Materials and Methods TS-QSCD was administered to 352 random informants who were examined by professionals. Reliability was tested by inter-item consistency using cronbach's ${\alpha}$, and validity was tested by a two step discriminant function. Cross tabulation Analysis was also used to look into the distribution of responses among the groups. 3. Result 1) The reliability of TS-QSCD was relatively valid. The internal consistency of TS-QSCD (AB) was cronbach's ${\alpha}$= 0.815, and TS-QSCD (AC) was cronbach's ${\alpha}$= 0.832. 2) There was a significant difference in points between Eumin group teens and other age groups, between those of Soeumin teens and other age groups. 3) TS-QSCD corresponded with the real Sasang constitution at the rate of 65.0%. When using 61 questions and four discriminant function as with ordinary methods, TS-QSCD corresponded with the real Sasang constitution at the rate of 74.9%. 4. Conclusion 1) TS-QSCD that complements the merits of existing questionnaires is effective in diagnosing Sasang constitutions. 2) Deleting duplicate questions is thought to be one of the reasons for the decreased validity rate. 3) The lower the validity of the first step, the more we should build up at each second steps a way to rescue the groups which were assigned wrongly during the first steps. 4) This standardization of TS-QSCD would be helpful in making a program for diagnosing the Sasang Constitution

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A Review on Probabilistic Climate-economy Models and an Application of FUND (기후경제 모형의 불확실성 분석 방법 비교분석 및 FUND 모형 응용)

  • Hwang, In Chang
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.359-398
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    • 2017
  • Uncertainty is central to energy and climate policy. A growing number of literature show that almost all components of energy and climate models are, to some extent, uncertain and that the effect of uncertainty on the model outputs, in turn policy recommendations, is significantly large. Most existing energy and climate-economy models developed and used in Korea, however, do not take uncertainty into account explicitly. Rather, many models conduct a deterministic analysis or do a simple (limited) sensitivity analysis. In order to help social planners to make more robust decisions (across various plausible situations) on energy and climate change issues, an uncertainty analysis should be conducted. As a first step, this paper reviews the theory of decision making under uncertainty and the method for addressing uncertainty of existing probabilistic energy and climate-economy models. In addition, the paper proposes a strategy to apply an uncertainty analysis to energy and climate-economy models used in Korea. Applying the uncertainty analysis techniques, this paper revises the FUND model and investigates the impacts of climate change in Korea.

A Study on the Application of EXPERT-CHOICE Technique for Selection of Optimal Decontamination Technology for Nuclear Power Plant of Decommissioning (원전 해체 시 최적 제염기술 선정을 위한 EXPERT-CHOICE 기법 적용에 대한 연구)

  • Song, Jong Soon;Shin, Seung Su;Lee, Sang Heon
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.231-237
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    • 2017
  • The present study researched and analyzed decontamination technology for decommissioning a nuclear power plant. The decision-making technique (EXPERT-CHOICE) was used to evaluate and select the optimal decontamination technology. In principle, this evaluation method is generally performed by a group of experts in the relevant field. The results of the weights were calculated by multiplying the weights with regard to each criterion and evaluation score. The evaluation scores were categorized into 3 ranges (high, medium, and low), and each range was weighted for differentiation. The level of the technology analysis was improved by additionally quantifying the weights with regard to each criterion and subdividing criteria into subcriteria. The basic assumption of the evaluation was that the weight values would decided on in an expert survey and assigned to each criterion. The evaluation criteria followed high weight for the 'High' range. Accordingly, H, M, and L were assigned weights of 10:5:1, respectively. This was based on the EXPERT-CHOICE optimal analysis. The minimum and maximum values were excluded, and the average value was used as the evaluation value for each scenario.

Relationship between Characteristics of Lengthy Hospital Stay Patients, Knowledge of Transfer Needs and Their Willingness to Transfer - Strategies for the Effective Transfer of Lengthy Hospital Stay Patients - (장기재원환자의 특성 및 전원 인지도와 전원 의향과의 관계 - 장기재원환자의 효율적 전원을 위한 전략 제시 -)

  • Kang, Eun Sook;Tark, Kwan-Chul;Lee, Taewha;Kim, In Sook
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.116-133
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    • 2002
  • Background : It is very common in Korea to take care of non-acute patients in an acute setting, due to the lack of long-term facilities. Long term hospitalization increase medical expenses and decreases the bed utilization, which can affect the urgent and emergent admissions, and eventually jeopardize the hospital financially. In this study, strategies for effective transfers to the lower levels of care, and to decrease the length of stay were presented by surveying and analyzing the patient's knowledge of the transfer needs, and the willingness to transfer those whose hospital length of stay was more than 30days. Method : The survey is subject to a group of 251 patients who have been hospitalized over 30 days in a general hospital in Seoul. Excluding those that were in the Intensive Care Unit and psychiatric ward, 214 in-patients were used as participants. They were surveyed from April 9, 2002 to April 17, 2002. One hundred and thirty seven out of 214 were responded which made the response rate 64%. Data were analyzed by SAS and SPSS. Result : Multi-variable Logistic Regression Analysis showed a significant effect in medical expenses, knowledge of referral system and the information of the receiving hospital. The financial burden in medical expenses made the patient 10.7 times more willing to be transferred, knowledge of the referral system made them 5 times more willing to be transferred, and the information of receiving hospital makes 6.5 times more willing to be transferred. Reasons for willing to be transferred to a lower level of care were the phase of physical therapy, the distance from home, the attending physician's advice and being unable to be treated as an out patient. Reasons for refusing to be transferred were the following. The attending physician's competency, not being ready to be discharged, not trusting the receiving hospital's competency due to the lack of information, or never hearing about the referring system by the attending physician. Conclusion : Based on this, strategies for the effective transfer to the lower levels of care were suggested. It is desirable for the attending physician to be actively involved by making an effort to explain the transfer need, and referring to the Healthcare Coordinating Center, which can help the patient make the right decision. Nationwide networking for the referral system is the another key factor that may need to be suggested as an alternative to decrease the medical expenses. Collaborating with the Home Health Agency for the early discharge planning and the Social Service Department for financial aid are also needed. It is recommended that the hospital should expedite the transfer process by prioritizing the cost and the information as medical expenses, knowledge of referring system and the information of the receiving hospital, are the most important factors to the willingness to transfer to a lower level of care.

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Framework for Technology Valuation of Early Stage Technologies (초기단계 기술의 가치평가 방법론 적용 프레임워크)

  • Park, Hyun-Woo;Lee, Jong-Taik
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.242-261
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    • 2012
  • Early stages of technology valuation have been often overlooked or under-represented. The early stage technologies are even riskier due to their inadequacy of commercial development and market applicability. More than 95% of patents fail to earn any revenues so that the majority of patents were valueless. Technology transfers from laboratories at universities and research institutes to industrial firms have increased to acquire value from invented technologies. Technology transfer, a process of transferring discoveries and innovations resulted from research to commercial sectors, typically comprises several steps: disclosing the discoveries and innovations, i.e., intellectual property (IP), evaluating the IP's economic prospects, securing a patent, copyright or trademark for the IP, commercializing the technology through licensing, forming a joint venture, or selling. At each of those stages in the research and development of technology, the value of technology would play a very important role of making decision on the movement toward the next step, however, the financial value of technology is not easy to determine due to a great amount of uncertainty in the course of research and development, and commercialization. This paper refers to technology embodied as devices, equipment, software or processes primarily developed at public research institutions such as universities. Sometimes it is also as the result of externally financed projects contracted with industry. Nearly always technology developed at public research entities results in laboratory prototypes. When it is required to define the technology transfer contract terms for the license of the university patrimonial rights to external funding companies or other interested parties, a question arises: what is the monetary value? In this paper, we present a method for technology valuation based on the identification of specific value points related to its development. The final technology value must be within previously defined value limits. This paper consists of the review of issues related to technology transfer and commercialization, the identification of characteristics of technologies in the early stage of technology development, the formulation of framework of methods to value the early stage technologies, and the conclusion and implication of the previous review.

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Improving of land-cover map using IKONOS image data (IKONOS 영상자료를 이용한 토지피복도 개선)

  • 장동호;김만규
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.101-117
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    • 2003
  • High resolution satellite image analysis has been recognized as an effective technique for monitoring local land-cover and atmospheric changes. In this study, a new high resolution map for land-cover was generated using both high-resolution IKONOS image and conventional land-use mapping. Fuzzy classification method was applied to classify land-cover, with minimum operator used as a tool for joint membership functions. In separateness analysis, the values were not great for all bands due to discrepancies in spectral reflectance by seasonal variation. The land-cover map generated in this study revealed that conifer forests and farm land in the ground and tidal flat and beach in the ocean were highly changeable. The kappa coefficient was 0.94% and the overall accuracy of classification was 95.0%, thus suggesting a overall high classification accuracy. Accuracy of classification in each class was generally over 90%, whereas low classification accuracy was obtained for classes of mixed forest, river and reservoir. This may be a result of the changes in classification, e.g. reclassification of paddy field as water area after water storage or mixed use of several classification class due to similar spectral patterns. Seasonal factors should be considered to achieve higher accuracy in classification class. In conclusion, firstly, IKONOS image are used to generated a new improved high resolution land-cover map. Secondly, IKONOS image could serve as useful complementary data for decision making when combined with GIS spatial data to produce land-use map.

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A Study on the Systematic Integration of WASP5 Water Quality Model with a GIS (GIS와 WASP5 수질모델의 유기적 통합에 관한 연구)

  • 최성규;김계현
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.291-307
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    • 2001
  • In today's environmental engineering practice, many technologies such as GIS have been adopted to analyze chemical and biological process in water bodies and pollutants movements on the land surface. However, the linkage between spatially represented land surface pollutants and the in-stream processes has been relatively weak. This lack of continuity needs to develop a method in order to link the spatially-based pollutant source characterization with the water quality modeling. The objective of this thesis was to develop a two-way(forward and backward) link between ArcView GIS software and the USEPA water quality model, WASP5. This thesis includes a literature review, the determination of the point source and non-point source loadings from WASP5 modeling, and the linkage of a GIS with WASP5 model. The GIS and model linkage includes pre-processing of the input data within a GIS to provide necessary information for running a model in the forms of external input files. The model results has been post-processed and stored in the GIS database to be reviewed in a user defined form such as a chart, or a table. The interface developed from this study would provide efficient environment to support the easier decision making form water quality management.

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