• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.50 no.8
• /
• pp.563-577
• /
• 2017

As the uncertainty of precipitation increases due to climate change, seasonal forecasting and the use of weather forecasts become essential for efficient water resources management. In this study, the categorical probabilistic long-term forecasts implemented by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) since June 2014 was evaluated using assessment indicators of Hit Rate, Reliability Diagram, and Relative Operating Curve (ROC) and a technique for obtaining quantitative precipitation estimates based on probabilistic forecasts was proposed. The probabilistic long-term forecasts showed its maximum predictability of 48% and the quantified precipitation estimates were closely matched with actual observations; maximum correlation coefficient (R) in predictability evaluation for 100% accurate and actual weather forecasts were 0.98 and 0.71, respectively. A precipitation quantification approach utilizing probabilistic forecasts proposed in this study is expected to enable water management considering the uncertainty of precipitation. This method is also expected to be a useful tool for supporting decision-making in the long-term planning for water resources management and reservoir operations.

• Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
• /
• v.44 no.2
• /
• pp.59-63
• /
• 2002

Phylogenetic relationships among mulberry varieties (Morus species) were analyzed on the basis of RAPD in order to identify the possibility of classification for the species. Polymorphisms under RAPD method were compared among 41 mulberry varieties. From the results of RAPD for 41 mulberry varieties by use of 30 different primers, 151 polymorphic bands were formed out of 201 ones. Under the dendrogram based on cluster analysis with the polymorphic bands, the varieties were classified into 7 groups including two large and five small ones on 0.747 value of genetic similarity coefficient. In the large groups 19 and 16 varieties were belong to group I and III, respectively. On the other hand, relatively high genetic similarity was shown among the varieties belonging to the group I, II and III. While, relatively low similarity were done between them in the group IV-Ⅵ and the other groups, and Mohusang in the group Ⅶ showed the lowest phylogenetic relationship with the other varieties.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.30 no.6
• /
• pp.3-12
• /
• 2012

Additive willingness-to-pay (WTP) for leisure-travel time saving focused on the Iksan-Pohang Expressway and the Donghae Expressway was surveyed during the summer months to estimate the value of travel-time savings (VTTS) for non-business leisure trips. Travelers traveling between 2 and 3 hours on Iksan-Pohang Expressway had WTP of 723 won per 10 minutes of leisure-travel time savings and those traveling between 3 and 4 hours on Donghae Expressway had WTP of 854 won per the same. Based on this survey, we learned that WTP in leisure travel time savings increased with the total travel time. 300 effective samples for each expressway were collected, and estimation was separately conducted on the basis of Cox test.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
• /
• v.29 no.4 s.235
• /
• pp.495-503
• /
• 2005

Experiments were conducted in a low speed stationary annular cascade to investigate local heat transfer characteristics on the tip and shroud and the effect of inlet Reynolds number on the tip and shroud heat transfer. Detailed mass transfer coefficients on the blade tip and the shroud were obtained using a naphthalene sublimation technique. The turbine test section has a single stage composed of sixteen guide vanes and blades. The chord length and the height of the tested blade are 150 mm and about 125 mm, respectively. The blade has flat tip geometry and the mean tip clearance is about $2.5{\%}$of the blade chord. The inlet flow Reynolds number based on chord length and incoming flow velocity is changed from $1.0{\times}10^{5}\;to\;2.3{\times}10^{5}.$ to investigate the effect of Reynolds number. Flow reattachment after the recirculation near the pressure side edge dominates the heat transfer on the tip surface. Shroud surface has very intricate heat/mass transfer distributions due to complex flow patterns such as acceleration, relaminarization, transition to turbulent flow and tip leakage vortex. Heat/mass transfer coefficient on the blade tip is about 1.7 times as high as that on the shroud or blade surface. Overall averaged heat/mass transfer coefficients on the tip and shroud are proportional to $Re_{c}^{0.65}\;and\;Re_{c}^{0.71},$ respectively.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
• /
• v.29 no.4 s.235
• /
• pp.485-494
• /
• 2005

For the extensive investigation of local heat/mass transfer on the near-tip surface of turbine blade, experiments were conducted in a low speed stationary annular cascade. The turbine test section has a single stage composed of sixteen guide vanes and blades. The chord length and the height of the tested blade are 150 mm and about 125 mm, respectively. The blade has flat tip geometry and the mean tip clearance is about $2.5{\%}$ of the blade chord. Detailed mass transfer coefficient on the blade near-tip surface was obtained using a naphthalene sublimation technique. The inlet flow Reynolds number based on chord length and incoming flow velocity is changed from $1.0{\times}10^{5}\;to\;2.3{\times}10^{5}.$ Extremely complex heat transfer characteristics are observed on the blade surface due, to complicated flow patterns, such as flow acceleration, laminarization, transition, separation bubble and tip leakage flow. Especially, the suction side surface of the blade has higher heat/mass transfer coefficients and more complex distribution than the pressure side surface, which is related to the leakage flow. For all the tested Reynolds numbers, the heat/mass transfer characteristics on the turbine blade are the similar. The overall averaged $Sh_{c}$ values are proportional to $Re_{c}^{0.5}$ on the stagnation region and the laminar flow region such as the pressure side surface. However, since the flow is fully turbulent in the near-tip region, the heat/mass transfer coefficients are proportional to $Re_{c}^{0.8}.$

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
• /
• v.38 no.12
• /
• pp.971-974
• /
• 2014

A ventricular assist device (VAD) is used for bridge to heart transplantation and heart diseases. Knowing the status of a pneumatic pulsatile VAD when implanting it into the body is important: when the velocity of blood flow through the VAD is slow, a thrombus may occur, and thrombosis can be fatal to a patient. In order to determine the state of a VAD, various sensors need to be implanted. Because this introduces the risk of infection and difficulties with sensor management, we developed a method for estimating the state of a VAD indirectly via the pressure in an air tube that can be measured in vitro. We compared the measured values to in vitro experimental results. The estimated and measured values showed some errors, but the accuracy can be improved by refining the estimation process to minimize the risk of infection.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
• /
• v.37 no.12
• /
• pp.1547-1557
• /
• 2013

A forced vibration model of a rail system was established using the Timoshenko beam theory to determine the dynamic response of a rail under time-varying load considering the damping effect and stiffness of the elastic foundation. By using a Fourier series and a numerical method, the critical velocity and dynamic response of the rail were obtained. The forced vibration model was verified by using FEM and Euler beam theory. The permanent deformation of the rail was predicted based on the forced vibration model. The permanent deformation and wear were observed through the experiment. Parametric studies were then conducted to investigate the effect of five design factors, i.e., rail cross-section shape, rail material density, rail material stiffness, containment stiffness, and damping coefficient between rail and containment, on four performance indices of the rail, i.e., critical velocity, maximum deflection, maximum longitudinal stress, and maximum shear stress.

• Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
• /
• v.60 no.4
• /
• pp.441-447
• /
• 2017

Objective : Computed tomography (CT)-based method of three dimensional (3D) analysis ($MIMICS^{(R)}$, Materialise, Leuven, Belgium) is reported as very useful software for evaluation of OPLL, but its reliability and reproducibility are obscure. This study was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of $MIMICS^{(R)}$ system, and inter- and intra-observer reliability in the measurement of OPLL. Methods : Three neurosurgeons independently analyzed the randomly selected 10 OPLL cases with medical image processing software ($MIMICS^{(R)}$) which create 3D model with Digital Imaging and Communication in Medicine (DICOM) data from CT images after brief explanation was given to examiners before the image construction steps. To assess the reliability of inter- and intra-examiner intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), 3 examiners measured 4 parameters (volume, length, width, and length) in 10 cases 2 times with 1-week interval. Results : The inter-examiner ICCs among 3 examiners were 0.996 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.987-0.999) for volume measurement, 0.973 (95% CI, 0.907-0.978) for thickness, 0.969 (95% CI, 0.895-0.993) for width, and 0.995 (95% CI, 0.983-0.999) for length. The intra-examiner ICCs were 0.994 (range, 0.991-0.996) for volume, 0.996 (range, 0.944-0.998) for length, 0.930 (range, 0.873-0.947) for width, and 0.987 (range, 0.985-0.995) for length. Conclusion : The medical image processing software ($MIMICS^{(R)}$) provided detailed quantification OPLL volume with minimal error of inter- and intra-observer reliability in the measurement of OPLL.

• Resources Recycling
• /
• v.25 no.6
• /
• pp.29-40
• /
• 2016

Effects of crushed coal bottom ash (CBA) with maximum size of 1 mm on the properties of mortar with various water-to-binder ratios (w/b) were evaluated. The present work is a fundamental study to establish a method of mix proportion design for mortar and concrete with CBA. The workability, air contents, and compressive strength of mortar were measured. Efficiency of CBA on the compressive strength at 28 days, which was adopted for mix proportion design, was evaluated based on concepts of 'equivalent strength' in CEN/TR 16637. It was found that the CBA could be contributed as a binder in mortar in some cases, while in other cases act as at aggregates. The efficiency of CBA was influenced by types of CBA and their replacement ratio, and w/b of mortar.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
• /
• v.6 no.3
• /
• pp.81-88
• /
• 1996

Cluster analysis is based on partitioning a collection of data points into a number of clusters, where the data points in side a cluster have a certain degree of similarity and it is a fundamental process of data analysis. So, it has been playing an important role in solving many problems in pattern recognition and image processing. For these many clustering algorithms depending on distance criteria have been developed and fuzzy set theory has been introduced to reflect the description of real data, where boundaries might be fuzzy. If fuzzy cluster analysis is tomake a significant contribution to engineering applications, much more attention must be paid to fundamental questions of cluster validity problem which is how well it has identified the structure that is present in the data. Several validity functionals such as partition coefficient, claasification entropy and proportion exponent, have been used for measuring validity mathematically. But the issue of cluster validity involves complex aspects, it is difficult to measure it with one measuring function as the conventional study. In this paper, we propose four performance indices and the way to measure the quality of clustering formed by given learning strategy.