• Title/Summary/Keyword: change point analysis

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An Analysis Method of Accelerated Life Test Data with a Change of Failure Mechanism (가변 고장메카니즘을 가진 가속수명시험 데이타 분석방법)

  • Won, Y.C.;Kong, M.B.
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 1994
  • Almost all accelerated life tests assume that no basic failure mechanism changes within the test stresses. But accelerated life test, considering failure mechanism changes, is needed since failure mechanism changes when accelerating beyond the used stress. This paper studies the analysis when the failure mechanism changes within the test stresses. The piecewise linear regression, which the join point of two lines is estimated, is applied In particular, two accelerated life tests, with and without a change in failure mechanism are examined.

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Advanced Lane Change Assist System for Automatic Vehicle Control in Merging Sections : An algorithm for Optimal Lane Change Start Point Positioning (고속도로 합류구간 첨단 차로변경 보조 시스템 개발 : 최적 차로변경 시작 지점 Positioning 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Jinsoo;Jeong, Jin-han;You, Sung-Hyun;Park, Janhg-Hyon;Young, Jhang-Kyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 2015
  • A lane change maneuver which has a high driver cognitive workload and skills sometimes leads to severe traffic accidents. In this study, the Advanced Lane Change Assist System (ALCAS) was developed to assist with the automatic lane changes in merging sections which is mainly based on an automatic control algorithm for detecting an available gap, determining the Optimal Lane Change Start Point (OLCSP) in various traffic conditions, and positioning the merging vehicle at the OLCSP safely by longitudinal automatic controlling. The analysis of lane change behavior and modeling of fundamental lane change feature were performed for determining the default parameters and the boundary conditions of the algorithm. The algorithm was composed of six steps with closed-loop. In order to confirm the algorithm performance, numerical scenario tests were performed in various surrounding vehicles conditions. Moreover, feasibility of the developed system was verified in microscopic traffic simulation(VISSIM 5.3 version). The results showed that merging vehicles using the system had a tendency to find the OLCSP readily and precisely, so improved merging performance was observed when the system was applied. The system is also effective even during increases in vehicle volume of the mainline.

Structural Analysis and Performance Evaluation of Quick Change Power Chuck for Lathe Operations (선반용 급속 교환 파워 척의 구조해석 및 성능평가)

  • 유중학
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.90-95
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    • 1999
  • Chucking for workpieces is very important for productivity and efficiency in lathe operations. In point of productivity top jaws of the chuck should be changed as quickly as possible in order to reduce idle times wherever workpieces are regripped. A quick change power chuck which can change top jaws quickly by using a jaw change handle without any assembly/disassembly processes of screws is analyzed for this study. strength and stiffness of top jaws by centrifugal force are considered for the design. Structural analysis for the chuck is executed and the finite element method is introduced using MSC/NASTRAN software. Also, the performance of the chuck is evaluated by experiments.

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Tests for the Structure Change and Asymmetry of Price Volatility in Farming Olive Flounder (양식 넙치가격 변동성의 구조변화와 비대칭성 검증)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2014
  • This study is to analyse the timing of the structural change of price volatility and the asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after the timing of the structural change of price volatility using Jeju Farming Olive Flounder's production area market price data from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2013. The analysis methods of Quandt-Andrews break point test and Threshold GARCH model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the result of Quandt-Andrews break point test shows that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on May 4, 2010 over the sample period. Second, during the period before structural change, daily price change rate has averagely positive value which means price increase, but during the period after structural change daily price change rate has averagely negative value which means price decrease. Also, daily volatility of price change rate during the period before structural change is higher than during the period after structural change. This indicates that price volatility decreases after structural change. Third, the estimation results of Threshold GARCH Model show that the volatility response against price increase is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. Also the result shows the volatility response against price decrease is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. And, irrespective of the timing of structural change, price increase has an larger effect on volatility than price decrease. This means volatility is asymmetric at price increase.

A detection procedure for a variance change points in AR(1) models (AR(1) 모형에서 분산변화점의 탐지절차)

  • 류귀열;조신섭
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1987
  • In time series analysis, we usually require the assumption that time series are stationary. But we may often encounter time series whose parameter values subject to change. Inthis paper w propose a method which can detect the variance change point in anAR(1) model which is subjct to changesat non-predictable time points. Proposed method is compared with other methods using the simulated and real data.

Bayesian Analysis for Multiple Change-point hazard Rate Models

  • Jeong, Kwangmo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.801-812
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    • 1999
  • Change-point hazard rate models arise for example in applying "burn-in" techniques to screen defective items and in studing times until undesirable side effects occur in clinical trials. Sometimes in screening defectives it might be sensible to model two stages of burn-in. In a clinical trial there might be an initial hazard rate for a side effect which after a period of time changes to an intermediate hazard rate before settling into a long term hazard rate. In this paper we consider the multiple change points hazard rate model. The classical approach's asymptotics can be poor for the small to all moderate sample sizes often encountered in practice. We propose a Bayesian approach avoiding asymptotics to provide more reliable inference conditional only upon the data actually observed. The Bayesian models can be fitted using simulation methods. Model comparison is made using recently developed Bayesian model selection criteria. The above methodology is applied to a generated data and to a generated data and the Lawless(1982) failure times of electrical insulation.

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항바이러스제가 단백질의 구조적 거동에 미치는 영향에 대한 유한요소법 기반 분석

  • Yun, Gi-Seok;Kim, Jae-Hun
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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    • 2015.03a
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    • pp.212-216
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    • 2015
  • Oseltamivir, also known as Tamifu, is an inhibitor of neuraminidase protein which plays an essential role in proliferation and replication of influenza virus. Binding to the active site of neuraminidase, the oseltamivir prevents the protein from enzyme reaction. Conformational change of the protein(neuraminidase) should be accompanied by the enzyme reaction, but the drug inhibits the protein to deform. In this study, we examine the influence of oseltamivir on protein's conformational change in the structural and mechanical point of view. Finite element analysis of the protein can be an useful approach to investigate the influence of oseltamivir on the deformation of a protein. We suggest the finite element based protein model, and then perform the linear static analysis with the displacement loading condition based on the first two largest motion which can be obtained from the normal mode analysis. The results show that it takes more energy to change shape of the protein with an oseltamivir attached than the protein without an oseltamivir.

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Error Rate Analysis according to Setting of the Reference Point for Calculating the Flood Runoff that using Surface Image Velocimeter (SIV) (표면영상유속계(SIV)를 활용한 홍수유출량 산정 시 참조점 설정에 따른 오차율 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Seok;Yang, Sung-Kee
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.799-815
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    • 2016
  • In this study, according to the reference setting based on the runoff video of 9:00 where the highest water level of 3.94 m has been recorded during the runoff of Cheon-mi Stream in Jeju Island by the attack of Typhoon no. 16 Sanba on September $17^{th}$, 2012, the error rate of long-distance and short-distance velocimetry and real-distance change rate by input error have been calculated and the input range value of reference point by stream has been suggested. In the reference setting process, if a long-distance reference point input error occurs, the real-distance change rate of 0.35 m in the x-axis direction and 1.35 m in y-axis direction is incurred by the subtle input error of 2~11 pixels, and if a short-distance reference point input error occurs, the real-distance change rate of 0.02 m in the x-axis direction and 0.81 m in y-axis direction is incurred by the subtle input error of 1~11 pixels. According to the long-distance reference point setting variable, the velocity error rate showed the range of fluctuation of at least 14.36% to at most 76.06%, and when calculating flux, it showed a great range of fluctuation of at least 20.48% to at most 78.81%.

A Study of Physical Therapy Curriculum (물리치료학과 교육과정 연구)

  • Kim On-Ju;Nam Jae-Man;Lee Seung-Min;Bae Sung-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 1998
  • This research has been studied proper physical therapy curriculum to produce 21 century physical therapist according to the change of the times by industrialization and specialization. The curriculums of 13 colleges and 5 universities was analysed. The curriculum analysis was made up the comparision and the analysis by a liberal arts point the teaching profession point a major point a clinical practice paint the rates of total opening subjects. The analyzing results were as follows: 1. A point of the credits a liberal elective subject is the small number 2. To deeping of major by spreading major foundation 3. Lack of the time for the clinical practice education.

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