• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.83-91
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• 2012

PURPOSES : This study deals with Rotary by Accident Occurrence Location. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident models of rotary by location. METHODS : In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the appropriate models using multiple linear, Poisson and negative binomial regression models and statistical analysis tools. RESULTS : First, four multiple linear regression models which are statistically significant(their $R^2$ values are 0.781, 0.300, 0.784 and 0.644 respectively) are developed, and four Poisson regression models which are statistically significant(their ${\rho}^2$ values are 0.407, 0.306, 0.378 and 0.366 respectively) are developed. Second, the test results of fitness using RMSE, %RMSE, MPB and MAD show that Poisson regression model in the case of circulatory roadway, pedestrian crossing and others and multiple linear regression model in the case of entry/exit sections are appropriate to the given data. Finally, the common variable that affects to the accident is adopted to be traffic volume. CONCLUSIONS : 8 models which are all statistically significant are developed, and the common and specific variables that are related to the models are derived.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.67-74
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• 2011

This study deals with the traffic accidents data from the Korean rotaries (circular intersections) to verify their characteristics affected by different vehicle types. This paper categorized the data into three groups based on vehicle types, and developed a set of accident models. The paper proposed two ZIP models and one negative binomial model through a statistical analysis for three vehicle types: automobile, truck and van, and others. The differences among those models were then statistically compared.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.153-162
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• 2008

This study deals with the traffic accidents at the 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheong-ju. The purpose is to comparatively analyze the characteristics and models by the accident type using the data of 143 intersections. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to modeling such the accidents as head on collision, rear end collision, side swipe, side right angle collision, and others. The main results are the followings. First, the overdispersion tests show that the negative binomial regression models are appropriate to the traffic accident data in the above contexts. Second, five accident models are developed, which are all analyzed to be statistically significant. Finally, the models are comparatively evaluated using the common variable(ADT) and type-specific variables.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.112-121
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• 1995

Let $p_1$ and $p_2$ be the proportions of two populations. To test the hypothesis $H_0 : p_1 = p_2$, we usually use the $x^2$ statistic, the large sample binomial statistic Z, and the Generalized Likelihood Ratio statistic-2log $\lambda$developed based on different mathematical rationale, respectively. Since testing the above hypothesis is equivalent to testing whether two populations follow the common Bernoulli distribution, one may also test the hypothesis by comparing 1 with the ratio of each density estimate and the hypothesized common density estimate, called comparison density, which was devised by Parzen(1988). We show that the above traditional test statistics ate actually estimating the measure of distance between the true densities and the common density under $H_0$ by representing them with the comparison density.

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2010.11a
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• pp.551-557
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• 2010

The research proposes the hypergeometric, binomial and Poisson yield models for defective and defect. The paper also presents the hypothesis test, confidence interval and control charts for DPU(Defect Per Unit) and DPO(Defect Per Opportunity). Especially the study considers the analysis of compound Poisson yield models using various DOU density distributions.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.177-182
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• 2012

A structural break in the level as well as in the innovation variance has often been exhibited in economic time series. In this paper we propose robust unit root tests based on a sign-type test statistic when a time series has a shift in its level and the corresponding volatility. The proposed tests are robust to a wide class of partially stationary processes with heavy-tailed errors, and have an exact binomial null distribution. Our tests are not affected by the size or location of the break. We set the structural break under the null and the alternative hypotheses to relieve a possible vagueness in interpreting test results in empirical work. The null hypothesis implies a unit root process with level shifts and the alternative connotes a stationary process with level shifts. The Monte Carlo simulation shows that our tests have stable size than the OLSE based tests.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.475-484
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• 2018

Gamma generalized linear models are useful for non-negative and skewed responses. However, these models have received less attention than Poisson and binomial generalized linear models. In particular, hypothesis testing for the significance of regression coefficients has not been thoroughly studied. In this paper we assess the performance of various test statistics for gamma generalized linear models based on numerical studies. Our results show that the likelihood ratio test and F-type test are generally recommended and that the partial deviance test should be avoided in practice.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.48 no.1
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• pp.215-225
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• 2020

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to show current states of domestic Precision Guided Missile(PGM) by analyzing Live-fire test results using general methods to get the Confidence Levels. Methods: Live-fire test results were used to get Confidence Levels of PGM. The Confidence Levels were derived by two general methods. The first method was Binomial distribution and second was convergence of Hypergeometric distribution and Bayes' rule. Results: The results of this study are as follows; The more Live-fire tests of PGM are performed, the higher Confidence Level of PGM will be estimated. And the number of Live-fire tests are related to a unit price of PGM. This results means that the increase of live-fire test, which is useful data for preparation and evaluation of Development Tests / Operation Tests for PGMs, is only way to enhance the Confidence Levels of each PGMs. Conclusion: This study shows the relationship between the Live-fire tests and Confidence Levels of PGMs and it will be used on Live-fire Test & Evaluation of PGMs for reference.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.73-83
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• 2013

Among class quantitative tests for the credit rating systems, the credit rating tests for calibration are to test the class homogeneous differences between observed and predicted probabilities. For one time period, binomial test and chi-square test are included, and normal test and extended traffic lights test are also contained for several time peroids. In this work, we consider real data in which there exists correlation among variables, so that these test methods could be applied to the credit rating systems as well as various kinds of the class data such as BWT data and FSI data.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.33-38
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• 2000

Krishnamoorphy and Raghavarao(1993) invented exact binomial and asymptotically normal test procedures for truthful answering in the repeated randomized response models under the assumption that two repeated response measures are independent. Under the same assumption, Lakshmi and Raghavarao(1992) suggested asymptotic chi-square test for respondents' truthful answering in the same models. In this article we detect the factors and the conditions with which two response variables might be independent, and find the condition for independence in the repeated randomized response models with considering untruthful answer. But, the condition of independence make the randomized model no meaning. Under the assumption of conditional independence between two response variables, we can apply the same logical statements on deriving the tests for truthful answering in the repeated randomized response models as in Krishnamoorphy and Raghavarao(1993).