Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management (품질경영학회지)

Korean Society for Quality Management (한국품질경영학회)
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An Analysis on Confidence Level of Domestic Precision Guided Missile(PGM) based on Live-fire Test Results

국내 정밀유도무기 사격시험 결과 기반 신뢰수준 분석

  • Seo, Bo-Gil (Defence agency for Technology and Quality(DTaQ)) ;
  • Yoon, Young Ho (Defence agency for Technology and Quality(DTaQ)) ;
  • Kim, Bo Ram (Defence agency for Technology and Quality(DTaQ))
  • Received : 2019.08.01
  • Accepted : 2020.01.20
  • Published : 2020.03.31
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Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to show current states of domestic Precision Guided Missile(PGM) by analyzing Live-fire test results using general methods to get the Confidence Levels. Methods: Live-fire test results were used to get Confidence Levels of PGM. The Confidence Levels were derived by two general methods. The first method was Binomial distribution and second was convergence of Hypergeometric distribution and Bayes' rule. Results: The results of this study are as follows; The more Live-fire tests of PGM are performed, the higher Confidence Level of PGM will be estimated. And the number of Live-fire tests are related to a unit price of PGM. This results means that the increase of live-fire test, which is useful data for preparation and evaluation of Development Tests / Operation Tests for PGMs, is only way to enhance the Confidence Levels of each PGMs. Conclusion: This study shows the relationship between the Live-fire tests and Confidence Levels of PGMs and it will be used on Live-fire Test & Evaluation of PGMs for reference.

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References

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