• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence Level

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Tolerance Intervals for Expected Time at the Given Reliability and Confidence Level (신뢰도와 신뢰수준을 고려한 기대수명 공차구간 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Choi Sung woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2005
  • This paper is to propose tolerance intervals for expected time at the given reliability and confidence level for continuous and discrete reliability model. We consider guaranteed - coverage tolerance intervals, that is, reliability - confidence level tolerance intervals. These proposed methodologies can be applied to any industrial application where the customer's operating specification require a high level of reliability.

Influence of the change of driving confidence level upon driving behavior in the age groups (운전확신수준의 변화가 연령별 운전행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Soonyeol Lee;Soonchul Lee;Sunjin Park
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.23-47
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this research is to study the relation between the change of driver's driving confidence level in the age categories and driving behavior. To survey the driving confidence level, we used the 'Driving Confidence Scale' questionnaire and surveyed the drive career, mileage, driving days, violation of traffic regulation (drunk driving, overspeed), traffic accident experience (assaulter, sufferer) together. The subjects of investigation were from 19-year-old to 80-year-old and 1,055 persons were participated in the research totally. To examinethe structure of driving confidence level, we executed the factor analysis. We compared the driving confidence level in the age categories (under 29-year-old, 30~39, 40~49, 50~64, over 65-year-old) and studied the relation between driving confidence level and driving behavior. Driving confidence level was composed of 4 factors such as 'insensibility to situation', 'unsafe driving', 'careless concentration' and 'self-efficacy of driving', and there was decreasing tendency for driving confidence level and overall driving behavior according to increasing age. Driving confidence level had the interrelation with age range, assaulting accident, suffered accident, driving period, drunk driving, overspeed, driving career and so on. We examined the difference of driving confidence level and driving behavior by dividing the participated drivers' groups into the traffic accident experienced group, drunk driving group and overspeed driving group, and there was a significant difference on driving confidence level and driving behavior between the group who had not experienced the violation of traffic regulation or traffic accident and another group who had experienced the violation of traffic regulation or traffic accident.

Automatic Speech Database Verification Method Based on Confidence Measure

  • Kang Jeomja;Jung Hoyoung;Kim Sanghun
    • MALSORI
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    • no.51
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose the automatic speech database verification method(or called automatic verification) based on confidence measure for a large speech database. This method verifies the consistency between given transcription and speech using the confidence measure. The automatic verification process consists of two stages : the word-level likelihood computation stage and multi-level likelihood ratio computation stage. In the word-level likelihood computation stage, we calculate the word-level likelihood using the viterbi decoding algorithm and make the segment information. In the multi-level likelihood ratio computation stage, we calculate the word-level and the phone-level likelihood ratio based on confidence measure with anti-phone model. By automatic verification, we have achieved about 61% error reduction. And also we can reduce the verification time from 1 month in manual to 1-2 days in automatic.

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ESTIMATING THE SIMULTANEOUS CONFIDENCE LEVELS FOR THE DIFFERENCE OF PROPORTIONS FROM MULTIVARIATE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Jhun, Myoung-Shic;Lee, Jae-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.397-410
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    • 2007
  • For the two groups data from multivariate binomial distribution, we consider a bootstrap approach to inferring the simultaneous confidence level and its standard error of a collection of the dependent confidence intervals for the difference of proportions with an experimentwise error rate at the a level are presented. The bootstrap method is used to estimate the simultaneous confidence probability for the difference of proportions.

A DECISION-MAKER CONFIDENCE LEVEL BASED MULTI-CHOICE BEST-WORST METHOD: AN MCDM APPROACH

  • SEEMA BANO;MD. GULZARUL HASAN;ABDUL QUDDOOS
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.257-281
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    • 2024
  • In real life, a decision-maker can assign multiple values for pairwise comparison with a certain confidence level. Studies incorporating multi-choice parameters in multi-criteria decision-making methods are lacking in the literature. So, In this work, an extension of the Best-Worst Method (BWM) with multi-choice pairwise comparisons and multi-choice confidence parameters has been proposed. This work incorporates an extension to the original BWM with multi-choice uncertainty and confidence level. The BWM presumes the Decision-Maker to be fully confident about preference criteria vectors best to others & others to worst. In the proposed work, we consider uncertainty by giving decision-makers freedom to have multiple choices for preference comparison and having a corresponding confidence degree for each choice. This adds one more parameter corresponding to the degree of confidence of each choice to the already existing MCDM, i.e. multi-choice BWM and yields acceptable results similar to other studies. Also, the consistency ratio remained low within the acceptable range. Two real-life case studies are presented to validate our study on proposed models.

An Analysis on Confidence Level of Domestic Precision Guided Missile(PGM) based on Live-fire Test Results (국내 정밀유도무기 사격시험 결과 기반 신뢰수준 분석)

  • Seo, Bo-Gil;Yoon, Young Ho;Kim, Bo Ram
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.215-225
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to show current states of domestic Precision Guided Missile(PGM) by analyzing Live-fire test results using general methods to get the Confidence Levels. Methods: Live-fire test results were used to get Confidence Levels of PGM. The Confidence Levels were derived by two general methods. The first method was Binomial distribution and second was convergence of Hypergeometric distribution and Bayes' rule. Results: The results of this study are as follows; The more Live-fire tests of PGM are performed, the higher Confidence Level of PGM will be estimated. And the number of Live-fire tests are related to a unit price of PGM. This results means that the increase of live-fire test, which is useful data for preparation and evaluation of Development Tests / Operation Tests for PGMs, is only way to enhance the Confidence Levels of each PGMs. Conclusion: This study shows the relationship between the Live-fire tests and Confidence Levels of PGMs and it will be used on Live-fire Test & Evaluation of PGMs for reference.

Impacting Student Confidence : The effects of using virtual manipulatives and increasing fraction understanding. (수학에 대한 자신감 증진: 가상학습교구를 통한 분수 개념 이해의 결과)

  • ;Jenifer Suh;Patricia S. Moyer
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 2004
  • There have been studies reporting the increase in student confidence in mathematics when using technology. However, past studies indicating a positive correlation between technology and confidence in mathematics do not explain why they see this positive outcome. With increased availability and easy access to the Internet in schools and the development of free online virtual manipulatives, this research was interested in how the use of virtual manipulatives in mathematics can affect students confidence in their mathematical abilities. Our hypothesis was that the classes using virtual manipulatives which allows students to connecting dynamic visual image with abstract symbols will help students gain a deeper conceptual understanding of math concept thus increasing their confidence and ability in mathematics. The participants in this study were 46 fifth-grade students in three ability groups: one high, one middle and one low. During a two-week unit on fractions, students in three groups interacted with several virtual manipulative applets in a computer lab. Data sources in the project included a pre and posttest of students mathematics content knowledge, Confidence in Learning Mathematics Scale, field notes and student interviews, and classroom videotapes. Our aim was to find evidence for increased level of confidence in mathematics as students strengthened their understanding of fraction concepts. Results from the achievement score indicated an overall main effect showing significant improvement for all ability groups following the treatment and an increase in the confidence level from the preassessment of the Confidence in Learning Mathematics Scale in the middle and high ability groups. An interesting finding was that the confidence level for the low ability group students who had the highest confidence level in the beginning did not change much in the final confidence scale assessment. In the middle and high ability groups, the confidence level did increase according to the improvement of the contest posttest. Through interviews, students expressed how the virtual manipulatives assisted their understanding by verifying their answers as they worked and facilitated their ability to figure out math concept in their mind and visually.

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A Study on Utterance Verification Using Accumulation of Negative Log-likelihood Ratio (음의 유사도 비율 누적 방법을 이용한 발화검증 연구)

  • 한명희;이호준;김순협
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.194-201
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    • 2003
  • In speech recognition, confidence measuring is to decide whether it can be accepted as the recognized results or not. The confidence is measured by integrating frames into phone and word level. In case of word recognition, the confidence measuring verifies the results of recognition and Out-Of-Vocabulary (OOV). Therefore, the post-processing could improve the performance of recognizer without accepting it as a recognition error. In this paper, we measure the confidence modifying log likelihood ratio (LLR) which was the previous confidence measuring. It accumulates only those which the log likelihood ratio is negative when integrating the confidence to phone level from frame level. When comparing the verification performance for the results of word recognizer with the previous method, the FAR (False Acceptance Ratio) is decreased about 3.49% for the OOV and 15.25% for the recognition error when CAR (Correct Acceptance Ratio) is about 90%.

A Study on the Mothers Perception, Caring-Confidence, and Attitude towards Own Newborn Infants (어머니의 신생아에 대한 지각, 신생아 돌보기 자신감 및 양육태도)

  • Kang Kyung-Ah;Kim Shin-Jeong;Son Eun-Jin
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: To investigate the relationships among mother's perception of her own newborn, her caring-confidence level, and her child-rearing attitude; and to provide data for developing effective nursing education programs on maternal newborn care. Method: Explorative survey questionnaires were completed by 159 married mothers of newborns from November 2003 to March 2004. Data were analyzed using SPSS/Win 10.0 by t-test and Pearson's Correlation coefficient. Result: The mean scores of the mother's perception of her own newborn, her caring- confidence level, and her child-rearing attitude were .26, 3.13, and 3.43 respectively. There was a positive correlation between mother's perception of her own newborn and her child-rearing attitude. There was a significant correlation between mothers caring-confidence level and her child-rearing attitude. Score of caring-confidence was significantly different depending on the availability of helper and history of delivery. Conclusion: Availability of helper and history of delivery significantly affected mothers caring-confidence. This in turn, along with mothers perception of her own newborn, enhanced mothers child-rearing attitude. Thus, an effective education for mothers should include these factors.

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A Comparative Study on Maternal Role Confidence and Parenting Stress according to the Infant's Feeding Method (영아모의 수유방법에 따른 어머니 역할 수행 자신감과 양육 스트레스)

  • Lee, Soo-Yeon;Kwon, In-Soo
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: This study was done to investigate differences in maternal role confidence and parenting stress according to the infant's feeding method. Method: The participants were 257 mothers of infants aged 5$\sim$7 months. 145 breast-feeding mothers and 112 bottle-feeding mothers participated. The Maternal Role Confidence Scale and Parenting Stress Index(PSI) were used. Results: The score of maternal role confidence of breast-feeding mothers (3.28) was significantly higher than that of bottle-feeding mothers(2.84). In addition, the parenting stress level of breast-feeding mothers(1.80) was lower than that of bottle-feeding mothers(2.97). However, the scores of maternal role confidence and the parenting stress level were not different according to the mother's and infant's personality characteristics. There was a significant negative correlation between the score of maternal role confidence and parenting stress levels(r=-.55, p<.001). Conclusion: Breast feeding mothers had more confidence of their maternal role, and a lower parenting stress level. Therefore, nurses must encourage infant mothers to breast feed since it is the best option for mothers as well as infants.

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