• Title/Summary/Keyword: bayesian

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Automatic Construction of Hierarchical Bayesian Networks for Topic Inference of Conversational Agent (대화형 에이전트의 주제 추론을 위한 계층적 베이지안 네트워크의 자동 생성)

  • Lim, Sung-Soo;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.877-885
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    • 2006
  • Recently it is proposed that the Bayesian networks used as conversational agent for topic inference is useful but the Bayesian networks require much time to model, and the Bayesian networks also have to be modified when the scripts, the database for conversation, are added or modified and this hinders the scalability of the agent. This paper presents a method to improve the scalability of the agent by constructing the Bayesian network from scripts automatically. The proposed method is to model the structure of Bayesian networks hierarchically and to utilize Noisy-OR gate to form the conditional probability distribution table (CPT). Experimental results with ten subjects confirm the usefulness of the proposed method.

Bayesian Model for Probabilistic Unsupervised Learning (확률적 자율 학습을 위한 베이지안 모델)

  • 최준혁;김중배;김대수;임기욱
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.849-854
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    • 2001
  • GTM(Generative Topographic Mapping) model is a probabilistic version of the SOM(Self Organizing Maps) which was proposed by T. Kohonen. The GTM is modelled by latent or hidden variables of probability distribution of data. It is a unique characteristic not implemented in SOM model, and, therefore, it is possible with GTM to analyze data accurately, thereby overcoming the limits of SOM. In the present investigation we proposed a BGTM(Bayesian GTM) combined with Bayesian learning and GTM model that has a small mis-classification ratio. By combining fast calculation ability and probabilistic distribution of data of GTM with correct reasoning based on Bayesian model, the BGTM model provided improved results, compared with existing models.

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Texture segmentation using Neural Networks and multi-scale Bayesian image segmentation technique (신경회로망과 다중스케일 Bayesian 영상 분할 기법을 이용한 결 분할)

  • Kim Tae-Hyung;Eom Il-Kyu;Kim Yoo-Shin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.4 s.304
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes novel texture segmentation method using Bayesian estimation method and neural networks. We use multi-scale wavelet coefficients and the context information of neighboring wavelets coefficients as the input of networks. The output of neural networks is modeled as a posterior probability. The context information is obtained by HMT(Hidden Markov Tree) model. This proposed segmentation method shows better performance than ML(Maximum Likelihood) segmentation using HMT model. And post-processed texture segmentation results as using multi-scale Bayesian image segmentation technique called HMTseg in each segmentation by HMT and the proposed method also show that the proposed method is superior to the method using HMT.

Texture Segmentation Using Statistical Characteristics of SOM and Multiscale Bayesian Image Segmentation Technique (SOM의 통계적 특성과 다중 스케일 Bayesian 영상 분할 기법을 이용한 텍스쳐 분할)

  • Kim Tae-Hyung;Eom Il-Kyu;Kim Yoo-Shin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a novel texture segmentation method using Bayesian image segmentation method and SOM(Self Organization feature Map). Multi-scale wavelet coefficients are used as the input of SOM, and likelihood and a posterior probability for observations are obtained from trained SOMs. Texture segmentation is performed by a posterior probability from trained SOMs and MAP(Maximum A Posterior) classification. And the result of texture segmentation is improved by context information. This proposed segmentation method shows better performance than segmentation method by HMT(Hidden Markov Tree) model. The texture segmentation results by SOM and multi-sclae Bayesian image segmentation technique called HMTseg also show better performance than by HMT and HMTseg.

Decision Tree State Tying Modeling Using Parameter Estimation of Bayesian Method (Bayesian 기법의 모수 추정을 이용한 결정트리 상태 공유 모델링)

  • Oh, SangYeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2015
  • Recognition model is not defined when you configure a model, Been added to the model after model building awareness, Model a model of the clustering due to lack of recognition models are generated by modeling is causes the degradation of the recognition rate. In order to improve decision tree state tying modeling using parameter estimation of Bayesian method. The parameter estimation method is proposed Bayesian method to navigate through the model from the results of the decision tree based on the tying state according to the maximum probability method to determine the recognition model. According to our experiments on the simulation data generated by adding noise to clean speech, the proposed clustering method error rate reduction of 1.29% compared with baseline model, which is slightly better performance than the existing approach.

Multinomial Group Testing with Small-Sized Pools and Application to California HIV Data: Bayesian and Bootstrap Approaches

  • Kim, Jong-Min;Heo, Tae-Young;An, Hyong-Gin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.131-159
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    • 2006
  • This paper consider multinomial group testing which is concerned with classification each of N given units into one of k disjoint categories. In this paper, we propose exact Bayesian, approximate Bayesian, bootstrap methods for estimating individual category proportions using the multinomial group testing model proposed by Bar-Lev et al (2005). By the comparison of Mcan Squre Error (MSE), it is shown that the exact Bayesian method has a bettor efficiency and consistency than maximum likelihood method. We suggest an approximate Bayesian approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for posterior computation. We derive exact credible intervals based on the exact Bayesian estimators and present confidence intervals using the bootstrap and MCMC. These intervals arc shown to often have better coverage properties and similar mean lengths to maximum likelihood method already available. Furthermore the proposed models are illustrated using data from a HIV blooding test study throughout California, 2000.

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Development of Stochastic Rainfall Downscaling using Bayesian Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model(NSRPM) (Bayesian NSRP 모형을 이용한 추계학적 Downscaling 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Ban, Woo-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.9-9
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    • 2018
  • 추계학적 강우생성모형 중 포아송 클러스터(Poisson Cluster) 모형은 단일지점에 대하여 시간강우량의 관측연한 문제점을 해결하기 위한 강우모형으로 강우 단계별 계층적 구조를 이해하는데 유용한 모형이다. 특히 강우 특성을 계절, 지역 등과 같이 비교하는 기준에 따라 5~6개의 비교적 적은 매개변수들로 모의 강우시계열을 생성할 수 있다는 점에서 장기간 강우분석에 필요한 관측연한 문제를 보완할 수 있다. 그러나 매개변수 최적해가 수렴되지 않는 사례가 많고, 매개변수들이 강우의 물리적 특성을 반영하는 것에 비해 내포된 불확실성에 관한 연구는 미흡하다. 본 연구에서는 포아송 클러스터 강우생성모형 중 Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse(NSRP) 모형을 Bayesian 모형과 연계한 Bayesian NSRP 모형을 개발하여 매개변수간 물리적 상관성을 고려한 최적화 기법을 개발하였다. Bayesian 모형은 물리적 범위가 다른 매개변수간의 결합확률분포를 산정하여 사후분포(posterior)를 추정하므로 매개변수 최적화와 불확실성 정량화 문제를 동시에 해결할 수 있다. 최종적으로 Bayesian NSRP 모형에 기후변화 시나리오의 통계적 특성을 고려한 시간단위 강우시계열 생성 모의 기법의 활용 가능성을 평가하고자 한다.

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Bayesian analysis of longitudinal traits in the Korea Association Resource (KARE) cohort

  • Chung, Wonil;Hwang, Hyunji;Park, Taesung
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.16.1-16.12
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    • 2022
  • Various methodologies for the genetic analysis of longitudinal data have been proposed and applied to data from large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with traits of interest and to detect SNP-time interactions. We recently proposed a grid-based Bayesian mixed model for longitudinal genetic data and showed that our Bayesian method increased the statistical power compared to the corresponding univariate method and well detected SNP-time interactions. In this paper, we further analyze longitudinal obesity-related traits such as body mass index, hip circumference, waist circumference, and waist-hip ratio from Korea Association Resource data to evaluate the proposed Bayesian method. We first conducted GWAS analyses of cross-sectional traits and combined the results of GWAS analyses through a meta-analysis based on a trajectory model and a random-effects model. We then applied our Bayesian method to a subset of SNPs selected by meta-analysis to further discover SNPs associated with traits of interest and SNP-time interactions. The proposed Bayesian method identified several novel SNPs associated with longitudinal obesity-related traits, and almost 25% of the identified SNPs had significant p-values for SNP-time interactions.

Estimating dose-response curves using splines: a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method

  • Lee, Jiwon;Kim, Yongku;Kim, Young Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2022
  • In radiation epidemiology, the excess relative risk (ERR) model is used to determine the dose-response relationship. In general, the dose-response relationship for the ERR model is assumed to be linear, linear-quadratic, linear-threshold, quadratic, and so on. However, since none of these functions dominate other functions for expressing the dose-response relationship, a Bayesian semiparametric method using splines has recently been proposed. Thus, we improve the Bayesian semiparametric method for the selection of the tuning parameters for splines as the number and location of knots using a Bayesian knot selection method. Equally spaced knots cannot capture the characteristic of radiation exposed dose distribution which is highly skewed in general. Therefore, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method based on a Dirichlet process mixture model. Inference of the spline coefficients after obtaining the number and location of knots is performed in the Bayesian framework. We apply this approach to the life span study cohort data from the radiation effects research foundation in Japan, and the results illustrate that the proposed method provides competitive curve estimates for the dose-response curve and relatively stable credible intervals for the curve.

A Parametric Empirical Bayesian Method for Multiple Comparisons

  • Kim, Woo-Chul;Hwang, Hyung-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.44-56
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    • 1991
  • For all pairwise comparisons of treatments, Bayesian simultaneous confidence intervals are proposed and studied. First Bayesian solutions are obtained for a fixed prior, and then prior parameters are estimated by a parametric empirical Bayesian method. The nominal confidence level is shown to be controlled asymptotically. An extension to the unbalanced design is also considered.

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