• Title/Summary/Keyword: baseline model

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A Prediction on the Wetlands Change of Suncheon Bay by the Sea Level Rise (해수면 상승에 따른 순천만 습지 변화 예측)

  • MOON, Bora;KIM, Dong-Myung;LEE, Suk-Mo
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.627-635
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    • 2017
  • Sea level rise caused by climate change has become a global issue. Sea level rise seems to be an important factor of the research for coastal areas as it affects topography and vegetation of coasts and especially for the plan of coastal wetlands restoration which needs to be carried out for a long term, it has to be considered sufficiently. The coastal wetlands in Korea was damaged by the land reclamation project but recent concerns on the restoration have increased as its value is evaluated highly. Suncheon Bay had also reclaimed from wetlands to rice field once however this site is very active for restoration nowadays. This study estimated an effect according to sea level rise by 2100, reappearing the none dike condition of Suncheon Bay so that it can be taken account of a future plan of wetland restoration. The Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model(SLAMM) was selected as predicting model. The input data such as DEM(Digital Elevation Model), slope, wetlands category, sea level rise senario, tidal range and accretion rate was applied for the simulation. The results showed a decrease in tidal flat, an increase in sea area and a change of the rice field to transitional salt marsh consistently by 2100. These results of this study could be used as baseline data in the future plan of ecological restoration in Suncheon Bay.

A Comparative Study of Global Economic Models for Climate Change Policy: A Structural and Technological Analysis (기후변화 글로벌 경제모형의 구조 및 기술적 변화에 따른 비교 분석)

  • Hong, Jong Ho;Kim, Changhun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.419-457
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    • 2011
  • This study aims at understanding the characteristics of global economic models, which are widely used for climate change policy analysis. A literature review study was conducted in order to derive general features of top-down models such as CGE and bottom-up/hybrid models such as GTEM. Furthermore, a structural analysis was carried out by applying parameter and structural components from other models to a particular model to observe the potential differences in outcomes. Literature review shows that bottom-up or hybrid models generally have higher level of reduction potentials than top-down models in the long run. This contradicts the conclusion presented by IPCC, and raises the need for more rigorous investigation through structural analysis. Structural analysis of EPPA model indicates that the structural component of the energy sector in a particular model is the most influential factor in predicting baseline emissions and reduction potentials. This includes the structure among energy, capital, and labor inputs, and the substitution elasticities within the energy bundle. Technology bundle can establish the conclusions from literature review, and change in Armington elasticities do not significantly affect the outcome in aggregate.

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Performance Evaluation for a Multistage Interconnection Network with Buffered $a{\times}a$ Switches under Hot-spot Environment (핫스팟을 발생시 출력 버퍼형 $a{\times}a$ 스위치로 구성된 다단 연결망의 성능분석)

  • Kim, Jung-Yoon;Shin, Tae-Zi;Yang, Myung-Kook
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a performance evaluation model of the Multistage Interconnection Network(MIN) with the multiple-buffered crossbar switches under Hot-spot environment is proposed and examined. Buffered switch technique is well known to solve the data collision problem of the MIN. The proposed evaluation model is developed by investigating the transfer patterns of data packets in a switch. The performance of the multiple-buffered $a{\times}a$ crossbar switch is analyzed. Steady state probability concept is used to simplify the analyzing processes. Two important parameters of the network performance, throughput and delay, are then evaluated. To validate the proposed analysis model, the simulation is carried out on a Baseline network that uses the multiple buffered crossbar switches. Less than 2% differences between analysis and simulation results are observed. It is also shown that the network performance is significantly improved when the small number of buffer spaces is given. However, the throughput elevation is getting reduced and network delay becomes increasing as more buffer spaces are added in a switch.

Satellite Mobility Pattern Scheme for Centrical and Seamless Handover Management in LEO Satellite Networks

  • Tuysuz, Aysegul;Alagoz, Fatih
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.451-460
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    • 2006
  • Since low earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations have important advantages over geosynchronous earth orbit (GEO) systems such as low propagation delay, low power requirements, and more efficient spectrum allocation due to frequency reuse between satellites and spotbeams, they are considered to be used to complement the existing terrestrial fixed and wireless networks in the evolving global mobile network. However, one of the major problems with LEO satellites is their higher speed relative to the terrestrial mobile terminals, which move at lower speeds but at more random directions. Therefore, handover management in LEO satellite networks becomes a very challenging task for supporting global mobile communication. Efficient and accurate methods are needed for LEO satellite handovers between the moving footprints. In this paper, we propose a new seamless handover management scheme for LEO satellites (SeaHO-LEO), which utilizes the handover management schemes aiming at decreasing latency, data loss, and handover blocking probability. We also present another interesting handover management model called satellite mobility pattern based handover management in LEO satellites (PatHO-LEO) which takes mobility pattern of both satellites and mobile terminals into account to minimize the handover messaging traffic. This is achieved by the newly introduced billboard manager which is used for location updates of mobile users and satellites. The billboard manager makes the proposed handover model much more flexible and easier than the current solutions, since it is a central server and supports the management of the whole system. To show the performance of the proposed algorithms, we run an extensive set of simulations both for the proposed algorithms and well known handover management methods as a baseline model. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithms are very promising for seamless handover in LEO satellites.

Contingency and Management Reserves Estimation Method for Project Budget (프로젝트 예비비 편성 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyukchun;Kang, Changwook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2016
  • Many organizations have transformed their business in order to survive and compete in the future. They generate projects by creating a vision, using strategies and objectives with funds aligning strategies and make efforts to complete them successfully because project success leads to business success. All projects have triple constraints such as scope, time, and cost to be completed. Project cost performance is a key factor to achieve project goals and which is mostly related with risks among various cost drivers. Projects require a cost estimation method to complete them within their budget and on time. An accurate budget cannot be estimated due to the uncertainties and risks. Thus some additional money should be funded in addition to the base budget as a contingency reserve for identified risks and a management reserve for unidentified risks. While research on contingency reserve for identified risks included in project budget baseline have been presented, research on management reserve for unidentified risks included in total project budget is still scarce. The lack of research on estimation method and role of the management reserve have made project managers little confidence to estimate project budget accurately with reasonable basis. This study proposes a practical model to estimate budgets including contingency and management reserves for not only project cost management but also to keep the balance of organization's total funds to maximize return on investments for project portfolio management. The advantages of the proposed model are demonstrated by its application to construction projects in Korea and the processes to apply this model for verification are also provided.

Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Carcinoma Treated With Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor-Targeting Agents

  • Cetin, Bulent;Kaplan, Mehmet Ali;Berk, Veli;Ozturk, Selcuk Cemil;Benekli, Mustafa;Isikdogan, Abdurrahman;Ozkan, Metin;Coskun, Ugur;Buyukberber, Suleyman
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.1059-1063
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    • 2012
  • Objective: Angiogenesis represents a key element in the pathogenesis of malignancy. There are no robust data on prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-targeted therapy. The present study was conducted to establish a prognostic model for patients using an oxaliplatin-based or irinotecan-based chemotherapy plus bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal cancer. Methods: Baseline characteristics and outcomes on 170 patients treated with FOLFIRI or XELOX plus anti-VEGF therapy-naive metastatic colorectal cancer were collected from three Turkey cancer centers. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS. Results: The median OS for the whole cohort was 19 months (95% CI, 14.3 to 23.6 months). Three of the seven adverse prognostic factors according to the Anatolian Society of Medical Oncology (ASMO) were independent predictors of short survival: serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) greater than the upper limit of normal (ULN; p<0.001); neutrophils greater than the ULN (p<0.0014); and progression free survival (PFS) less than 6 months (p =0.001). Conclusion: Serum LDH and neutrophil levels were the main prognostic factors in predicting survival, followed by PFS. This model validates incorporation of components of the ASMO model into patient care and clinical trials that use VEGF-targeting agents.

Future Demand and Supply of Physicians for Korean Medicine (한의사인력의 중장기 수급 추계 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Hyun;Bae, Hyun-Ji;Lee, Sun-Dong
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2013
  • Objectives : This study was conducted to estimate the future demand and supply of physicians for korean medicine from 2016 year to 2026 year in order to make an adequate manpower policy in a way of keeping a balance between demand and supply. Methods : Baseline projection method and trend analysis(a polynomial log power equation model) were used in the estimation of future supply and demand respectively. We used data about the amount of oriental doctors from Ministry of Health and Welfare Statistics Yearbook and the treatment days from HIRA Statistics Yearbook. Results : It was projected that the total number of physician of Korean medicine will be 25,178 registered and 18,967 available in clinical setting. According to polynomial equation model which explained the trend of demand and had the highest score of $R^2$ among the equation models, 3,800~5,600 physician in Korean medicine will be oversupplied in 2016 year, 9,000~10,700 physicians in 2021 year and 15,700~17,000 persons in 2026 year depends on annual working days which is 265days, 255days or 239days. Log equation model also showed that overall excess supply of physician manpower in Korean medicine. Conclusions : Alternative manpower policies for Korean medicine doctors should be implemented in a way of both dwindling supplies and growing demand in Korean medical service in terms of Korean medical services utilization and improving physician's productivity.

Performance Evaluation of a Multistage Interconnection Network with Output-Buffered ${\alpha}{\times}{\alpha}$ Switches (출력 버퍼형${\alpha}{\times}{\alpha}$스위치로 구성된 다단 연결망의 성능 분석)

  • 신태지;양명국
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.738-748
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, a performance evaluation model of the Multistage Interconnection Network(MIN) with the multiple-buffered crossbar switches is Proposed and examined. Buffered switch technique is well known to solve the data collision problem of the MIN. The proposed evaluation model is developed by investigating the transfer patterns of data packets in a switch with output-buffers. The performance of the multiple-buffered${\alpha}{\times}{\alpha}$ crossbar switch is analyzed. Steady state probability concept is used to simplify the analyzing processes, Two important parameters of the network performance, throughput and delay, are then evaluated, To validate the proposed analysis model, the simulation is carried out on a Baseline network that uses the multiple buffered crossbar switches. Less than 2% differences between analysis and simulation results are observed. It is also shown that the network performance is significantly improved when the small number of buffer spaces is given. However, the throughput elevation is getting reduced and network delay becomes increasing as more buffer spaces are added in a switch.

Applying SeqGAN Algorithm to Software Bug Repair (소프트웨어 버그 정정에 SeqGAN 알고리즘을 적용)

  • Yang, Geunseok;Lee, Byungjeong
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2020
  • Recently, software size and program code complexity have increased due to application to various fields of software. Accordingly, the existence of program bugs inevitably occurs, and the cost of software maintenance is increasing. In open source projects, developers spend a lot of debugging time when solving a bug report assigned. To solve this problem, in this paper, we apply SeqGAN algorithm to software bug repair. In detail, the SeqGAN model is trained based on the source code. Open similar source codes during the learning process are also used. To evaluate the suitability for the generated candidate patch, a fitness function is applied, and if all test cases are passed, software bug correction is considered successful. To evaluate the efficiency of the proposed model, it was compared with the baseline, and the proposed model showed better repair.

Experimental Study on Underwater Docking of a Visual Servoing Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (비쥬얼 서보 자율무인잠수정의 수중 도킹에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, Pan-Mook;Jeon, Bong-Hwan;Lee, Ji-Hong;Kim, Sea-Moon;Hong, Young-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.89-93
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    • 2003
  • The Korea Research Institute of Ships and Ocean Engineering (KRISO), the ocean engineering branch of KORDI, has designed and manufactured a model of an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) to test underwater docking. This paper introduces the AUV model, ASUM, equipped with a visual servo control system to dock into an underwater station with a camera and motion sensors. To make a visual servoing AUV, this paper implemented the visual servo control system designed with an augmented state equation, which was composed of the optical flow model of a camera and the equation of the AUV's motion. The system design and the hardware configuration of ASUM are presented in this paper. A small long baseline acoustic positioning system was developed to monitor and record the AUV's position for the experiment in the Ocean Engineering Basin of KRISO, KORDI. ASUM recognizes the target position by processing the captured image for the lights, which are installed around the end of the cone-type entrance of the duct. Unfortunately, experiments are not yet conducted when we write this article. The authors will present the results for the docking test of the AUV in near future.

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