• 한국안전학회지
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• 제35권6호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2020

In recent years, hydrogen has received much attention as an alternative energy source to fossil fuels. In order to ensure safety from the increasing number of hydrogen refueling stations, prevention methods have been required. In this regard, this study suggested an approach to reduce the risk of hydrogen refueling station by increasing Safety Integrity Level (SIL) for a Steam Methane Reformer (SMR) in On-Site Hydrogen Refueling Station. The worst scenario in the SMR was selected by HAZOP and the required SIL for the worst scenario was identified by LOPA. To verify the required SIL, the PFDavg.(1/RRF) of Safety Instrumented System (SIS) in SMR was calculated by using realistic failure rate data of SIS. Next, several conditions were tested by varying the sensor redundancy and proof test interval reduction and their effects on risk reduction factor were investigated. Consequently, an improved condition, which were the redundancy of two-out-of-three and the proof test interval of twelve months, achieved the tolerable risk resulting in the magnitude of risk reduction factor ten times greater than that of the baseline condition.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제54권6호
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• pp.781-785
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• 2016

위험물인 염산을 취급하는 사업장에서 발생할 수 있는 사고를 알아내고 사고시 인근에 미치는 영향을 평가하여 어느 정도 위험이 있는지 알아보며 이에 대한 대비책을 적용하고자 하였다. 취급 화학물질 정보와 공정정보로부터 사고 시나리오를 선정하고 염산 누출시 사업장외로 영향을 미치는 사고 시나리오를 선정하여 환경부의 지침에 따라서 ALOHA를 활용하여서 평가하였다. 최악의 사고 시나리오를 비롯한 사고 시나리오를 평가하였으며 이들의 사고시 피해완화대책도 살펴보았다. 평가결과 염산생산시설은 현재의 안전조치가 충분하여서 추가의 개선대책이 필요하지 않은 것으로 판명되었다.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.71-85
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• 2014

This study proposes the future strategy of semiconductor companies corresponding to the growth of cloud computing. Cloud computing is the delivery of IT resources such as hardware and software as a service rather than a product, and it is expected to significantly change the IT market. By employing the scenario planning method, this study develops a total of eight scenario cases, and presents the three possible scenarios including the best market, the worst market, and the neutral market scenario. This study suggests the future strategy of semiconductor companies based on the best market scenario (increasing firms' IT expenditure, increasing the complexity and performance of devices, the frequent replacement of devices). The suggested future strategy of semiconductor includes that the semiconductor companies need to strengthen their price competitiveness, secure the next generation technologies, and develop the better capability for market prediction with the growth of cloud computing. This study will help semiconductor companies set up the strategy direction of technology development, and understand the connections between cloud computing and the memory semiconductor industry. This study has practical implications for semiconductor industry to prepare for the future of cloud computing.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.13-22
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• 2023

현재 통용되고 있는 화석연료로부터 발생되는 환경오염에 대한 대안으로써 대기오염이 발생하지 않는 수소를 사용하기 위한 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 하지만, 최근까지도 수소 누출에 의한 화재 및 폭발사고가 발생함에 따라 특수한 환경인 선박에서 수소를 상용화하기 위해 안전에 관한 연구가 더욱 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 수소저장탱크가 설비된 수소연료전지 추진선박이 울산 장생포항을 운항하던 중 누출사고가 발생할 경우의 계절별 대안 시나리오와 최악의 시나리오를 가정하였다. 또한, 환경변수를 고려하기 위하여 기상청 2021년도 연평균 기상자료와 통계청 지리정보 자료를 토대로 ALOHA와 프로빗 분석을 통해 피해 영향 범위를 도출하였다. 복사열이 대안 시나리오와 최악의 시나리오 모두에서 과압과 화염의 피해 영향범위 보다 넓은 피해범위가 나타났고 프로빗 분석 결과 가정한 모든 구역에서 99%의 사망률을 확인하였다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.121-129
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• 2024

Harmful cyanobacterial blooms (HCBs) are caused by the rapid proliferation of cyanobacteria and are believed to be exacerbated by climate change. However, the extent to which HCBs will be stimulated in the future due to increased temperature remains uncertain. This study aims to predict the future occurrence of cyanobacteria in the Nakdong River, which has the highest incidence of HCBs in South Korea, based on temperature rise scenarios. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were used as the basis for these scenarios. Data-driven model simulations were conducted, and out of the four machine learning techniques tested (multiple linear regression, support vector regressor, decision tree, and random forest), the random forest model was selected for its relatively high prediction accuracy. The random forest model was used to predict the occurrence of cyanobacteria. The results of boxplot and time-series analyses showed that under the worst-case scenario (RCP8.5 (2100)), where temperature increases significantly, cyanobacterial abundance across all study areas was greatly stimulated. The study also found that the frequencies of HCB occurrences exceeding certain thresholds (100,000 and 1,000,000 cells/mL) increased under both the best-case scenario (RCP2.6 (2050)) and worst-case scenario (RCP8.5 (2100)). These findings suggest that the frequency of HCB occurrences surpassing a certain threshold level can serve as a useful diagnostic indicator of vulnerability to temperature increases caused by climate change. Additionally, this study highlights that water bodies currently susceptible to HCBs are likely to become even more vulnerable with climate change compared to those that are currently less susceptible.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.151-158
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• 1999

Offsite consequences resulting form worst-case scenarios involving release of toxic substances in the Yochon area were estimated using the ALOHA(Areal Locations of Hazardous Atmospheres) model. Eight toxic substances, including NH3, were considered; five were toxic gases and three were toxic liquids at ambient temperature. For toxic gases, the entire quantity was assumed to be released at a constant rate during a 10-minute period. For toxic liquids, the entire quantity stored in the tank was assumed to be spilled and spread and spread instantaneously to form a pool with a depth of 1cm, and then evaporated over some period of time. Except for phosgene and toluene 2,4-diisocyanate, for which concentration levels corresponding to human health effects are very low, average distances of the area at risk of adverse health effects for a 1- tom release were predicted to be $2.3{\pm}1.1 km$ for the worst-case meteorological conditions and $0.93{\pm}0.69km$ under typical meteorological conditions of the Yochon are. Because a large number of people were predicted to be affected in the current analysis, refined analyses considering both realistic accident scenarios and topographic effects were warranted.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제67권6호
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• pp.708-714
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• 2018

Islanded operation of a microgrid can ensure the reliable operation of the system when a large accident occurs in the main grid. However, because the generation capability of a microgrid is typically limited, a microgrid operator should take islanded operation risk into account in scheduling its generation resources. To address this problem, in this paper we have proposed two unit commitment formulations based on the islanding scenario that reflect the expected and worst-case values of the islanded operation risk. An optimal resource scheduling strategy is obtained for the microgrid operator by solving these optimization problem, and the effectiveness of the proposed method is investigated by numerical simulations.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1165-1171
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• 2006

The purpose of this study is to implement an emergency response procedure based on the scenario of the field of vehicles and provide more rapid and exact response program needed when train accidents happen. Therefore, we have made worst case combinations of accidents and prioritized the combinations. A number of accidents have been analyzed according to the type of, the people affected by, and the location of accident. Both horizontal and vertical response system have also been defined. Furthermore, Activity-Action Diagram has been applied to the emergency response scenario and action procedure of each group has been clearly systematized. Consequently, this paper provides a specific response system useful when train accidents happen.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.1880-1888
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• 2012

본 연구에서는 지구단위 설계시 교통부문에서 다양한 도시설계 및 교통정책의 적용에 따른 교통량 패턴 효과를 분석해보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 가상네트워크(Toy Network)를 설정하고 토지이용패턴과 교통정책을 접목한 19개의 시나리오를 가정한 후 교통수요 예측 프로그램인 EMME3를 이용하여 교통량 배정량을 산정하고 비교하였다. 그 결과 총 교통량이 가장 많이 감소한 정책은 지구의 중간부를 개발하면서 동시에 내부의 2차로 도로는 차량 통행을 금지시키고 보행자 천국을 만드는 것이었다. 총 통행량이 가장 많이 발생된 정책은 균등개발을 하며 지구의 중간부에 공동 주차장을 만드는 것이었으며 내부 연도 주민에게 가장 불리한 정책은 지구 중심의 한 개 존만을 개발하는 것임을 확인할 수 있었다.

• JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.229-236
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• 2005

This paper presents a system level architecture evaluation technique that leverages transaction level modeling but also significantly extends it to the realm of system level performance evaluation. A major issue lies with the modeling effort. To reduce the modeling effort the proposed technique develops the concept of worst case scenarios. Since the memory controller is often found to be an important component that critically affects the system performance and thus needs optimization, the paper further addresses how to evaluate and optimize the memory controllers, focusing on the test environment and the methodology. The paper also presents an industrial case study using a real state-of-the-art design. In the case study, it is reported that the proposed technique has helped successfully find the performance bottleneck and provide appropriate feedback on time.