• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.318-324
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• 1998

This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Generalized Extreme-value(GEV) distribution for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. L-coefficient of variation, L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of Moments and L-Moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in GEV distribution were compared by the relative mean and relative absolute error. It was found that design floods derived by the method of L-moments using weibull plotting position formula in GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by method of moments using different formulas for plotting positions in view of relative mean and relative absolute error.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.143-152
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• 1998

This paper focuses on the determining the optimal replacement interval and the corresponding minimum cost of replacement for the renewal T-53 engine. It is assumed that sample failure data of T-53 engine are drawn from the mixed population, and then parameters of the failure distributions are estimated. On the basis of the above situation, the Multi-step Weibull distributions are estimated and then the optimal replacement time of T-53 engine is determined. This paper shows that if the replacement time is reduced to 2000 hours, the 2,217won of the replacement cost per unit time is only saved but also reliability of the T-53 engine is increased.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.111-123
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• 1998

We consider the problem of modeling count data where the observation period is determined by the life time of the system under study. We assume random effects or a frailty model to allow for a possible association between the death times and the counts. We assume that, given a random effect or a frailty, the death times follow a Weibull distribution with a hazard rate. For the counts, given a frailty, a Poisson process is assumed with the intensity depending on time. A gamma distribution is assumed for the frailty model. Maximum likelihood estimators of the model parameters are obtained. A model for the time to death and the number of failures system received is constructed and consequences of the model are examined.

• KCID journal
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.34-50
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• 1997

This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Log Pearson Type III distribution model of the annual maximum series at five watersheds along Geum, Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Design floods obtained by different methods for evaluatio

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.29 no.7
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• pp.71-79
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• 2015

This paper is on the development of computer software which can be utilized as a power system analysis tool for reliability assessment education. The input data of the developed software are so simple that even a non-expert easily understand how to use it. The software provides not only reliability indices but also their distributions, moreover, it provides the factors those effect the indices, which made the software even more useful for educational purpose. The developed software utilized Monte-carlo simulation based on the state duration sampling, therefore it can manage various probability distributions such as exponential, Weibull, gamma and lognormal distribution. Within the software, the parameters of the distribution can be decided automatically from its mean and variance, that is another advantage as an educational software.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.372-374
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• 2006

This paper presents a methodology to predict a failure probability related to the aging generating units in Korea power system. Each generator is represented by a combined reliability model of its individual components, which is determined by failure data. The Weibull distribution is used to calculate failure probability and its parameters are obtained from Type II Censoring. Consequently, the proposed methods would likely to permit utilities to reduce overall costs in the new deregulated environment.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.229-239
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• 2013

This paper reports a manner to use a Bayesian approach to derive the optimal replacement policy. In order to produce a system with minimal repair warranty, a replacement model with the extended warranty is considered. Within the warranty period, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the end-user. The failure time is assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters. The expected cost rate per unit time, from the end-user's viewpoints, is induced by the Bayesian approach, and the optimal replacement policy to minimize the cost rate is proposed. Finally, a numerical example illustrating to derive the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach is described.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• summer
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• pp.464-466
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• 2004

This paper proposes a method to consider an aging failure probability and survival probability of power system components unlike uses only aging failure probability in existing mean life calculation. The estimates of the mean and its standard deviation is calculated by using Weibull distribution and each estimated parameters is obtained from Data Analytic Method (Type II Censoring). The parameter estimation using Data Analytic Method is simpler and faster than a traditional calculation method. This paper shows how to calculate the mean life and its standard deviation by the proposed method and illustrates a exactness using real historical records of generator utilities in korea.

• The Journal of Information Technology
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.47-64
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called enhanced non-homogeneous poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-coverage model was reviewed, proposes the exponentiated exponential coverage reliability model, which maked out efficiency substituted for gamma and Weibull model(2 parameter shape illustrated by Gupta and Kundu(2001). In this analysis of software failure data, algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

• Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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• 2002.06a
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• pp.273-273
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• 2002

In this paper, we investigate a software release policy with software reliability growth factor during the warranty period by assuming that the software reliability growth is assumed to occur after the testing phase with probability p and the software reliability growth is not assumed to occur after the testing phase with probability 1-p. The optimal release policy to minimize the expected total software cost is discussed. Numerical examples are shown to illustrate the results of the optimal policy. And we consider a Bayesian decision theoretic approach to determine an optimal software release policy. This approach enables us to update our uncertainty when determining optimal software release time, When the failure time is Weibull distribution with uncertain parameters, a bayesian approach is established. Finally, numerical examples are presented for illustrative propose.