• 상하수도학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.51-58
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• 2016

On account of the increase in water demand and climate change, droughts are in great concern for water resources planning and management. In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using Weibull distribution model with 40-year records of annual minimum rainfall depth collected in major cities of Korea. As a result, the non-stationary minimum probable rainfall was expected to decrease, compared with the stationary probable rainfall. The reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the decrease of the minimum rainfall depth due to climate change, in Wonju, Daegu, and Busan was over 90%, indicating the probability that the minimal rainfall depths in those city decrease is high.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.99-105
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• 2001

Delay time analysis is a pragmatic mathematical concept readily embraced by engineers which has been developed as a means to model maintenance decision problem. This paper considers an inspection period using delay time analysis for fishing vessel equipment. We assume that delay time has a Weibull distribution. In this paper, we determine the optimal inspection period which minimize the expected downtime per unit time. Explicit solutions for the optimal inspection are presented for illustrative purposes.

• 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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• 제19권10호
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• pp.947-952
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• 2006

It has been confirmed that the inner defect of insulator and the perfect diagnosis for aging are closely related to safe electric power transmission system and that the detection of accident and diagnosis technique turn out to be very important issues. But perfect diagnosis is difficult because discharge pattern is irregular. Thus, we investigated discharge pattern using the new distribution statistical models with cross-inked polyethylene(XLPE) specimens. Voltage was applied to power frequency by step method, and calibration of discharge was set to 50 pC. After the voltage was applied, it measured the discharge occurring during 10s. We investigated discharge pattern using the K-means analysis and Weibull function. We also investigated variation of centroid and shape parameter due to variation of voltage. As a result of analyzing K-means, it was confirmed that cluster including many object numbers was formed by the presence of void. And result of Weibull distribution, it was confirmed that shape parameter of discharge varied from 1.28 to 1.62 in no void specimens, and that shape parameter of discharge number varied from 1.28 to 1.62. In the void, shape parameter of discharge varied from 5.66 to 6.43, and shape parameter of discharge number varied from 5.05 to 5.08.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.840-849
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• 2013

This paper presents a statistical approach to analyze electrical tree inception voltage, electrical tree breakdown voltage and tree breakdown time of unsaturated polyester resin subjected to AC voltage. The aim of this work was to show that Weibull and lognormal distribution may not be the most suitable distributions for analysis of electrical treeing data. In this paper, an investigation of statistical distributions of electrical tree inception voltage, electrical tree breakdown voltage and breakdown time data was performed on 108 leaf-like specimen samples. Revelations from the test results showed that Johnson SB distribution is the best fit for electrical tree inception voltage and tree breakdown time data while electrical tree breakdown voltage data is best suited with Wakeby distribution. The fitting step was performed by means of Anderson-Darling (AD) Goodness-of-fit test (GOF). Based on the fitting results of tree inception voltage, tree breakdown time and tree breakdown voltage data, Johnson SB and Wakeby exhibit the lowest error value respectively compared to Weibull and lognormal.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제57권2호
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• pp.208-213
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• 2008

In order to assess the reliability of the electronics control unit for vehicles, accelerated life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows : i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure that is, junction destruction of a semiconductor resin by high temperature. ii) the life distribution of the electronics control unit for vehicles is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model. iii) at the result of the life distribution, accelerated life test method is developed, and test time for life assessment will be shortened by 5,000 hours by this test method.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.231-237
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• 1997

The Koziol-Green(KG) model has become an important topic in industrial life testing. In this paper we suggest MLE of the reliability function for the Weibull distribution under the KG model. Futhermore, we compare Kaplan-Meier estimator, Nelson estimator, Cheng & Chang estimator, and Ebrahimi estimator with proposed estimator for the reliability function under the KG model.

• 에너지공학
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.36-41
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• 2014

The world's overall need for natural gas (NG) has been growing up fast, especially in the residential sector. The better the estimation of residential NG consumption (RNGC) distribution, the better decision-making for a residential NG policy such as pricing, demand estimation, management options and so on. Approximating the distribution of RNGC is complicated by zero observations in the sample. To deal with the zero observations by allowing a point mass at zero, a mixture model of RNGC distributions is proposed and applied. The RNGC distribution is specified as a mixture of two distributions, one with a point mass at zero and the other with full support on the positive half of the real line. The model is empirically verified for household RNGC survey data collected in Korea. The mixture model can easily capture the common bimodality feature of the RNGC distribution. In addition, when covariates were added to the model, it was found that the probability that a household has non-expenditure significantly varies with some variables. Finally, the goodness-of-fit test suggests that the data are well represented by the mixture model.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.191-199
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 한국 연안의 해상풍력 발전을 위한 적지를 검토하기 위해 기상청에서 제공하는 20개 지점의 풍속 자료를 수집하고 이를 분석하였다. 관측된 풍속 자료의 분석을 위하여 Rayleigh 모델과 Weibull 모델을 이용하였으며, 풍속 출현빈도에 따라 연간 부존량을 추정하였다. 풍력발전기 모델로는 출력 1.5~5 MW의 7종류를 선정하여 각각의 성능곡선을 이용하였다. 그 결과, 풍속이 7.15 m/s 이상인 지점에서는 Repower-5 MW의 터빈이 높은 에너지 생산이 가능한 것으로 나타났으나 그 이하의 풍속에서는 G128-4.5 MW의 터빈이 유리한 것으로 나타났다. 10 m/s 이상의 풍속 출현율이 높은 마라도, 거제도 및 포항의 경우 REpower사의 5 MW급 해상풍력발전기 설치 시 설비이용률이 56.49%, 50.92%, 50.08%로 높게 나타났다.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.71-80
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• 2012

This paper introduces a new approach for evaluating reliability of a complex system in terms of distributional parameters where analytical determination of reliability is intractable. The concept of discrete approximation, reported in the literature so far, fails to meet the latter requirement in terms of distributional parameters. The current work aims at offering a bound based approach where reliability planners not only get a clear idea about the extent of error but also can manipulate in terms of distributional parameters. This reliability approximation has been under taken under the Weibull frame work which is the most widely used model for reliability analysis. Numerical study has been carried out to examine the strength of our proposed reliability approximation via closeness between the two reliability bounds. This approach will be very useful during the early stages of product design as the distributional parameters can be adjusted.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2011년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.41-48
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• 2011

In order to assess the reliability of the Tire Pressure Sensor for automobiles, accelerated life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure that is, PCB destruction and battery Discharge by high temperature. ii) the life distribution of the Tire Pressure Sensor fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model. iii) at the result of the life distribution, accelerated life test method is developed