• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Parameter

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A Evaluation of P-S-N Curve of Low Pressure Steam Turbine Blade Steel (저압 증기 터빈블레이드 강의 P-S-N 선도 평가)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Jung, Hwa-Young;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2001
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue data of the LP steam turbine blade steel, it is important to estimate P - S - N curves to accurately define the probability distributions. In this study, new procedure is introduced to determine the expression of P - S - N curves. For this purpose, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue life were examined by the proposed analysis. Furthermore, parameter estimation for P - S - N curves was performed using various optimization to maximize the correlation coefficient. As a result of this, sequential linear programing method is used for estimation of P - S - N curves.

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Bayesian Estimation of k-Population Weibull Distribution Under Ordered Scale Parameters (순서를 갖는 척도모수들의 사전정보 하에 k-모집단 와이블분포의 베이지안 모수추정)

  • 손영숙;김성욱
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2003
  • The problem of estimating the parameters of k-population Weibull distributions is discussed under the prior of ordered scale parameters. Parameters are estimated by the Gibbs sampling method. Since the conditional posterior distribution of the shape parameter in the Gibbs sampler is not log-concave, the shape parameter is generated by the adaptive rejection sampling. Finally, we applied this estimation methodology to the data discussed in Nelson (1970).

The Analysis of Discharge Distribution due to the Inner Void of Extra High Voltage Cable

  • Kim Tag-Yong;Hong Jin-Woong
    • KIEE International Transactions on Electrophysics and Applications
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    • v.5C no.4
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2005
  • This paper addresses the discharge characteristics of cross-linked polyethylene according to void by the Weibull function. It analyzes discharge number and amount of discharge using Weibull distribution to identify the inter-relationship between partial discharge and defect. We detected a 10 second discharge. The applied voltage increased by 1 [kV] at discharge inception voltage. As a result, in a no-void specimen, the shape parameter was consistent according to the increase of voltage, whereas, in a void specimen, it increased according to the increase of voltage. As the result, the shape parameter expressed a fixed value at no-void specimen. However, in void specimen, according to increasing voltage shape parameter rapidly increases.

The Fractional Bayes Factor Approach to the Bayesian Testing of the Weibull Shape Parameter

  • Cha, Young-Joon;Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.927-932
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    • 2006
  • The techniques for selecting and evaluating prior distributions are studied over recent years which the primary emphasis is on noninformative priors. But, noninformative priors are typically improper so that such priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants which affect the values of Bayes factors. In this paper, we consider the Bayesian hypotheses testing for the Weibull shape parameter based on fractional Bayes factor which is to remove the arbitrariness of improper priors. Also we present a numerical example to further illustrate our results.

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Comparison of Parameter Estimation for Weibull Distribution

  • Wang, Fu-Kwun;J. Bert Keats;B. Y. Leu
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2003
  • This paper represents the first comprehensive comparison of the Newton-Raphson's method and Simple Iterative Procedure (SIP) in the maximum likelihood estimation of the two-parameter Weibull distribution. Computer simulation is employed to compare these two methods for multiply censored, singly censored data (Type I or Type Ⅱ censoring) and complete data. Results indicate the Newton-Raphson's with the Menon's estimated value, as an initial point remains the effective iterative procedure for estimating the parameters.

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Tree Size Distribution Modelling: Moving from Complexity to Finite Mixture

  • Ogana, Friday Nwabueze;Chukwu, Onyekachi;Ajayi, Samuel
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2020
  • Tree size distribution modelling is an integral part of forest management. Most distribution yield systems rely on some flexible probability models. In this study, a simple finite mixture of two components two-parameter Weibull distribution was compared with complex four-parameter distributions in terms of their fitness to predict tree size distribution of teak (Tectona grandis Linn f) plantations. Also, a system of equation was developed using Seemingly Unrelated Regression wherein the size distributions of the stand were predicted. Generalized beta, Johnson's SB, Logit-Logistic and generalized Weibull distributions were the four-parameter distributions considered. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and negative log-likelihood value were used to assess the distributions. The results show that the simple finite mixture outperformed the four-parameter distributions especially in stands that are bimodal and heavily skewed. Twelve models were developed in the system of equation-one for predicting mean diameter, seven for predicting percentiles and four for predicting the parameters of the finite mixture distribution. Predictions from the system of equation are reasonable and compare well with observed distributions of the stand. This simplified mixture would allow for wider application in distribution modelling and can also be integrated as component model in stand density management diagram.

Failure Analysis and Weibull Statistical Analysis according to Impact Test of the Angular Pin for Injection Molding Machines (사출금형기계용 앵귤러핀의 충격시험에 따른 파손분석과 와이블 통계 해석)

  • Kim, Cheol-Su;Nam, Ki-Woo;Ahn, Seok-Hwan
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2017
  • In this study, failure analysis of the angular pin for molding machines to aluminum component molding was carried out. SM45C steel was used for the angular pin, it was surface hardened by the induction surface hardening heat treatment. The cross section of damaged angular pin was observed, and micro Vickers hardness value from the fractured part was measured. Brittle fracture was occurred from the fracture surface of angular pin, therefore, impact toughness value was evaluated by V-notch Charpy impact test. It was confirmed that the impact absorption energy was high when was tempered at a high temperature for a long time, and the toughness was slightly increased. Also, 2-parameter Weibull statistical analysis was investigated in order to evaluate the reliability of the measured micro Vickers hardness values and absorbed energy. The micro Vickers hardness and absorbed energy well followed a two-parameter Weibull probability distribution, respectively. The reverse design against angular pin was proposed as possible by using test results.

Goodness-of-fit tests for randomly censored Weibull distributions with estimated parameters

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.519-531
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    • 2017
  • We consider goodness-of-fit test statistics for Weibull distributions when data are randomly censored and the parameters are unknown. Koziol and Green (Biometrika, 63, 465-474, 1976) proposed the $Cram\acute{e}r$-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version for a simple hypothesis based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit of the distribution function. We apply their idea to the other statistics based on the empirical distribution function such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Liao and Shimokawa (Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 64, 23-48, 1999) statistics. The latter is a hybrid of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, $Cram\acute{e}r$-von Mises, and Anderson-Darling statistics. These statistics as well as the Koziol-Green statistic are considered as test statistics for randomly censored Weibull distributions with estimated parameters. The null distributions depend on the estimation method since the test statistics are not distribution free when the parameters are estimated. Maximum likelihood estimation and the graphical plotting method with the least squares are considered for parameter estimation. A simulation study enables the Liao-Shimokawa statistic to show a relatively high power in many alternatives; however, the null distribution heavily depends on the parameter estimation. Meanwhile, the Koziol-Green statistic provides moderate power and the null distribution does not significantly change upon the parameter estimation.

An Analysis of Grinding Effects and Economic Life of Cutting Tool with Proportional Age Reduction Model (비례 수명 감소 모형을 사용한 절삭공구의 연마효과 및 경제적 수명 분석)

  • Oh, Sung-Youl;Hong, Jung-Wan;Lee, Sang-Cheon;Lie, Chang-Hoon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.316-323
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    • 2006
  • In this study, based on Weibull proportional age reduction model and age replacement policy, we analyze economic life of cutting tool which allows re-grinding. Re-grinding task, usually for high-priced machining tools(e.g., broaching tool), is a kind of preventive maintenance activities to extend tool life at the completion of a lot production. The numerical results are also presented. Among the parameters of Weibull proportional age reduction model, the re-grinding effect parameter and Weibull shape parameter have a strong effect on economic tool life, and in the cost parameters, shortage cost is most sensitive. With further study on the parameter estimation of tool life process and cost function, this study can be expected to give more practical contribution to management of general machining tools.

Estimation for the Weibull Distribution Based on Censored Samples

  • Lee, Hwa-Jung;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2005
  • We consider the problem of estimating the scale and shape parameter of the Weibull distribution based on censored samples. we propose the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (AMLEs) of the scale and shape parameters in the Weibull distribution based on Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of mean squared error (MSE).

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