• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull

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The Comparative Study for Property of Learning Effect based on Software Reliability Model using Doubly Bounded Power Law Distribution (이중 결합 파우어 분포 특성을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 학습효과 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2013
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The doubly bounded power law distribution model makeup Weibull distribution applied to distribution was based on finite failure NHPP. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than automatic error that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a numerical example of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and $R^2$.

Estimating Willingness to Pay of Korean Forest Owners for Forest Products Disaster Insurance Premiums (임산물재해보험에서 산림경영인의 보험료 지불의사액 추정)

  • Kim, Myeong-Eun;Min, Kyung-Taek;Koo, Ja-Choon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2015
  • The purposes of this study are estimating willingness to pay (WTP) of forest owners for the disaster insurance premium for forest products in Korea and investigating factors affecting their WTP. The result with contingent valuation method shows that forest owners' median WTP is $9,440\;KRW/ha{\cdot}yr$. Advanced forest managers including devoted forest managers and forestry successors are willing to pay more for insurance premium compared to non-advanced ones, and those who have experienced disaster in their own forest land have higher WTP than others. WTP of advanced forest managers appears to be 50% higher than that of non-advanced. These results imply that policy makers should consider advanced forest managers as a priority to introduce the insurance system.

A Review on the Analysis of Life Data Based on Bayesian Method: 2000~2016 (베이지안 기법에 기반한 수명자료 분석에 관한 문헌 연구: 2000~2016)

  • Won, Dong-Yeon;Lim, Jun Hyoung;Sim, Hyun Su;Sung, Si-il;Lim, Heonsang;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to arrange the life data analysis literatures based on the Bayesian method quantitatively and provide it as tables. Methods: The Bayesian method produces a more accurate estimates of other traditional methods in a small sample size, and it requires specific algorithm and prior information. Based on these three characteristics of the Bayesian method, the criteria for classifying the literature were taken into account. Results: In many studies, there are comparisons of estimation methods for the Bayesian method and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and sample size was greater than 10 and not more than 25. In probability distributions, a variety of distributions were found in addition to the distributions of Weibull commonly used in life data analysis, and MCMC and Lindley's Approximation were used evenly. Finally, Gamma, Uniform, Jeffrey and extension of Jeffrey distributions were evenly used as prior information. Conclusion: To verify the characteristics of the Bayesian method which are more superior to other methods in a smaller sample size, studies in less than 10 samples should be carried out. Also, comparative study is required by various distributions, thereby providing guidelines necessary.

Characteristics of Ultimate Load in a Wind Turbine for IEC 61400-1 DLC1.1 and DLC1.3 (IEC 61400-1 DLC1.1과 DLC1.3에 대한 풍력터빈의 극한하중 특성)

  • Kim, Chung-Ok;Nam, Hyun-Woo;Eum, Hark-Jin;Kim, Gui-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2012
  • IEC 61400-1 requires design lifetime of wind turbines at least 20 years, thus wind turbine should be assured for structural safety through load assessment. DLCs have been defined with respect to the load assessment in IEC 61400-1. In addition, if the extreme design values for DLC1.3 are equal or exceed the extreme design value for DLC1.1, DLC1.1 may be omitted. To omit DLC1.1, scale factor (c) will be increased in DLC1.3. However, this particular adjustment is not specified guidelines. Thus, this study was conducted. DLC1.1 was calculated for extrapolation of 50 years-extreme events using several probability distribution functions and fitting methods. And DLC1.3 was calculated for up to seven different values of scale factor (c) with $2{\leq}c{\leq}5$ in steps of 0.5. Finally, in this study, scale factor (c) that was the value of 4.51 was determined.

The Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model from the Perspective of Learning Effects (학습 효과 기법을 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2011
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The Weibull distribution applied to distribution was based on finite failure NHPP. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than automatic error that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a numerical example of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and $R_{sq}$.

Direct Strength Evaluation of the CVD SiC Coating of TRISO Coated Fuel Particle with Micro Hemi Spherical Shell Configuration (마이크로 반구 쉘 형상의 화학증착 탄화규소 TRISO 코팅층의 파괴강도 직접평가)

  • Lee, Hyeon-Keun;Kim, Do-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.44 no.7
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    • pp.368-374
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    • 2007
  • CVD-SiC coating has been introduced as a protective layer in TRISO nuclear fuel particle of high temperature gas cooled reactor (HTGR) due to its excellent mechanical stability at high temperature. In order to prevent the failure of the TRISO particles, it is important to evaluate the fracture strength of the SiC coating layer. It is needed to develop a new simple characterization technique to evaluate the mechanical properties of the coating layer as a pre-irradiation step. In present work, direct strength measurement method with the specimen of hem i-spherical shell configuration was suggested. The indentation experiment on a hemisphere shell with a plate indenter was conducted. The fracture strength of the coating layer is related with the critical load for radial cracking of the shell. The finite element analysis was used to drive the semi-empirical equation for the strength measurement. The SiC hemispherical shells were successfully recovered from the section-grinding of TRISO coated particle and successive heat treatment in air. The strength of CVD-SiC coating layer was evaluated from the experimentally measured critical load during the indentation on SiC hemisphere shell. Weibull diagram of fracture strength was also constructed. This study suggested a new strength equation and experimental method to measure the fracture strength of CVD-SiC coating of TRISO coated fuel particles.

Offshore Wind Resource Assessment around Korean Peninsula by using QuikSCAT Satellite Data (QuikSCAT 위성 데이터를 이용한 한반도 주변의 해상 풍력자원 평가)

  • Jang, Jea-Kyung;Yu, Byoung-Min;Ryu, Ki-Wahn;Lee, Jun-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.1121-1130
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    • 2009
  • In order to investigate the offshore wind resources, the measured data from the QuikSCAT satellite was analyzed from Jan 2000 to Dec 2008. QuikSCAT satellite is a specialized device for a microwave scatterometer that measures near-surface wind speed and direction under all weather and cloud conditions. Wind speed measured at 10 m above from the sea surface was extrapolated to the hub height by using the power law model. It has been found that the high wind energy prevailing in the south sea and the east sea of the Korean peninsula. From the limitation of seawater depth for piling the tower and archipelagic environment around the south sea, the west and the south-west sea are favorable to construct the large scale offshore wind farm, but it needs efficient blade considering relatively low wind speed. Wind map and monthly variation of wind speed and wind rose using wind energy density were investigated at the specified positions.

Prediction of Compressive Strength of Unsaturated Polyester Resin Based Polymer Concrete Using Maturity Method (성숙도 방법을 이용한 불포화 폴리에스터 수지 폴리머 콘크리트의 압축강도 예측)

  • Choi, Ki-Bong;Jin, Nan Ji;Lee, Youn-Su;Yeon, Kyu-Seok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2017
  • This study investigated to predict the compressive strength of unsaturated polyester resin based polymer concrete using the maturity method. The test results show that the development of the compressive strength increased exponentially until an age of 24 hours. After 24 hours, the development of the compressive strength just increased gradually. This test result shows that the strength of unsaturated polyester resin based polymer concrete was developed mainly at the early age. Estimated datum temperature of unsaturated polyester resin based polymer concrete was $-20.67^{\circ}C$ which was much lower than of datum temperature ($-10^{\circ}C$) of Portland cement concrete. Also, this study result shows that the existing maturity index associated with Portland cement concrete was not applicable for polymer concrete because curing time of Portland cement concrete is different clearly with curing time of polymer concrete. The cause of different curing time was that there were different curing mechanisms between Portland cement concrete and polymer concrete. In order to best apply the experimental data to a model, CurveExpert Professional, the commercial software, was used to determine the predictive model regarding the compressive strength of unsaturated polyester resin based polymer concrete. As a result, Gompertz Relation or Weibull Model was an appropriate model as a predictive model. The proposed model can be used to predict the compressive strength, especially, it is more useful when the maturity is in the range between $40^{\circ}C{\cdot}h^{0.4}$ and $900^{\circ}C{\cdot}h^{0.4}$.

Investigation on Oil-paper Degradation Subjected to Partial Discharge Using Chaos Theory

  • Gao, Jun;Wang, Youyuan;Liao, Ruijin;Wang, Ke;Yuan, Lei;Zhang, Yiyi
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1686-1693
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, oil-paper samples composed of transformer windings were used to investigate the insulation degradation process subjected to partial discharge (PD), with artificial defects inside to simulate the PD induced insulation degradation. To determine appropriate test voltages, the breakdown time obtained through a group of accelerated electrical degradation tests under high voltages was firstly fitted by two-parameter Weibull model to acquire the average breakdown time, which was then applied to establish the inverse power law life model to choose advisable test voltages. During the electrical degradation process, PD signals were synchronously detected by an ultra-high frequency (UHF) sensor from inception to breakdown. For PD analysis, the whole degradation process was divided into ten stages, and chaos theory was introduced to analyze the variation of three chaotic parameters with the development of electrical degradation, namely the largest Lyapunov exponent, correlation dimension and Komogorov entropy of PD amplitude time series. It is shown that deterministic chaos of PD is confirmed during the oil-paper degradation process, and the obtained results provide a new effective tool for the diagnosis of degradation of oil-paper insulation subjected to PD.

A Study on the Insulation Basis of Hts Transformer (초전도 변압기의 절연기반 연구)

  • Cheon, Hyeon-Gweon;Kwag, Dong-Soon;Yun, Mun-Soo;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.639-642
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    • 2005
  • HTS Transformer developing is developing a power distribution and transmission class HTS transformer that is one of the 21st century superconducting frontier projects. Therefore, we prepared the model, that is Z continuous winding from Kapton insulated Cu tape for a small simulated the HTS transformer. For the development of electrical insulation design of a HTS transformer with Z continuous winding, we have been discussed insulation composition and investigated breakdown characteristics such as breakdown of liquid $N_2(LN_2)$, polymer and surface flashover on FRP and breakdown-surface combination in $LN_2$. Also we have been designed and manufactured a bobbin that has spiral slot for the Z continuous winding. The Z continuous winding mini-model from Kapton film insulated Cu tape for simulated 22.9kV class HTS transformer has been constructed using 0.1 % breakdown strength obtained by Weibull distribution. The widing model was measured their insulation characteristics such as ac (50kV, 1min) and impulse (154kV, $1.2\times50{\mu}s$ full wave, 3 times) withstand test and its excellent performance was confirmed.

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