• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather adjustment

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Investigate the effect of spatial variables on the weather radar adjustment method for heavy rainfall events by ANFIS-PSO

  • Oliaye, Alireza;Kim, Seon-Ho;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.142-142
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    • 2022
  • Adjusting weather radar data is a prerequisite for its use in various hydrological studies. Effect of spatial variables are considered to adjust weather radar data in many of these researches. The existence of diverse topography in South Korea has increased the importance of analyzing these variables. In this study, some spatial variable like slope, elevation, aspect, distance from the sea, plan and profile curvature was considered. To investigate different topographic conditions, tried to use three radar station of Gwanaksan, Gwangdeoksan and Gudeoksan which are located in northwest, north and southeast of South Korea, respectively. To form the suitable fuzzy model and create the best membership functions of variables, ANFIS-PSO model was applied. After optimizing the model, the correlation coefficient and sensitivity of adjusted Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) based on spatial variables was calculated to find how variables work in adjusted QPE process. The results showed that the variable of elevation causes the most change in rainfall and consequently in the adjustment of radar data in model. Accordingly, the sensitivity ratio calculated for variables shows that with increasing rainfall duration, the effects of these variables on rainfall adjustment increase. The approach of this study, due to the simplicity and accuracy of this method, can be used to adjust the weather radar data and other required models.

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Estimation of Non-Working Day Considering Weather Factors in Construction Projects - Based on Estimation Periods for Improving the Forecast - (건설공사의 기후요소에 의한 작업불능일 산정기준에 관한 연구 - 예측성 향상을 위한 산정기간 비교분석 중심으로 -)

  • Lee Keun-Hyo;Kim Kyung-Rai;Shin Dong-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.394-397
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    • 2004
  • Working-day calculation with weather factors of construction-site has estimated wethout proper data. They usually estimate it with their own experience and intuition. It causes not only economic loss to time-adjustment but also conflict with each participants. Moreover, weather estimation becomes worse than before, due to tendency of recently weather change. So, in this paper we present optimal estimation method as assessment by period of the arithmetical mean methods. For that, we analyse characteristic of the regions and weather change of temperature and rainfall which affects time.

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Improvement of Non-Working Day Estimation Affected by Weather Conditions in the Construction Projects in Korea (국내 건설공사의 기후조건에 의한 작업불능일 예측방법 개선)

  • Lee, Keun-Hyo;Shin, Dong-Woo;Kim, Kyung-Rai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.4 s.32
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    • pp.100-108
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    • 2006
  • Non-working days affected by weather conditions of the construction-sites have been estimated without proper data. They are usually estimated based on project engineer's own experience and intuition. As a result, they cause not only economic loss to time-adjustment but also conflicts among project participants. It becomes more difficult to predict the weather nowadays than before due to tendency of recently weather change. Therefore, this paper presents an improved estimation method for non-working days, which could minimize estimation errors. The estimation method is developed based on analysis of regional characteristics and weather conditions which affect project duration.

A Study on the Baseline Load Estimation Method using Heating Degree Days and Cooling Degree Days Adjustment (냉난방도일을 이용한 기준부하추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Wi, Young-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.5
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    • pp.745-749
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    • 2017
  • Climate change and energy security are major factors for future national energy policy. To resolve these issues, many countries are focusing on creating new growth industries and energy services such as smartgrid, renewable energy, microgrid, energy management system, and peer to peer energy trading. The financial and economic evaluation of new energy services basically requires energy savings estimation technologies. This paper presents the baseline load estimation method, which is used to calculate energy savings resulted from participating in the new energy program, using moving average model with heating degree days (HDD) and cooling degree days (CDD) adjustment. To demonstrate the improvement of baseline load estimation accuracy, the proposed method is tested. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed baseline load estimation method.

A Time Series Analysis on Urban Weather Conditions for Constructing Urban Integrated Energy System (차세대에너지시스템 구축을 위한 도시기상조건 시계열분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Ok;Han, Kyung-Min;Yee, Jurng-Jae;Yoon, Seong-Hwan
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2009
  • This study was analysed influence of urban higher temperature in Busan about time series analysis of AWS data. The results are as follows. (1) The temperature of Busan show min $13.2^{\circ}C$ ~max $15.8^{\circ}C$ by 50 years, it is on the rise. (2) The seasonal adjustment series, summer appeared min $17.5^{\circ}C$ ~max $28.9^{\circ}C$ with primitive series similarly. The winter was min $-11.4^{\circ}C$ ~max $17.9^{\circ}C$, the minimum temperature was more lowly than primitive series and maximum temperature was more higher than primitive series. The results, seasonal adjustment series is guessed with influence difference urban structural element beside seasonal factor. (3) Regional analytical result, January appeared with range of min 28% ~max 196% of the seasonal factor and August appeared min 90% ~ max 106%. One of the case which is of 100% or more of the seasonal factor January 12nd~17th, August appears at the 15~17th.

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Analysis of Weather Conditions from Hourly to Seasonal Scales for Pilot Aviation Training Organization(ATO): Case study for Muan International Airport (조종사 양성 전문교육기관을 위한 시간대 및 계절별 기상분석 연구 : 무안국제공항을 중심으로)

  • Son, Byoung Wook;Kim, Hyeonmi;Kim, Hui Yang
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.249-260
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    • 2022
  • Student pilots receiving flight education are inexperienced in piloting and situation judgment skills and are greatly affected by various factors such as psychological, physical, and environmental factors. In particular, one of the most influential factors in the flight education of student pilots is the weather conditions. Unlike large aircraft used in the air transportation business, small aircraft used for flight education have a great impact on education, such as flight restrictions depending on weather conditions, psychological pressure in severe weather, and deterioration of student skills. Therefore, in this study, the meteorological characteristics of meteorological factors that have a great influence on small aircraft were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, an efficient and safe training operation method was suggested to a professional pilot aviation training organization through the adjustment of the training period for the season, the increase in aircraft operation rate, and a safe solo flight plan considering the weather.

A Study on the Improvement in Local Gauge Correction Method (국지 우량계 보정 방법의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Min-Seong;Seo, Seong-Woon;Kim, Park-Sa;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Kwon, Byung-Hyuk
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.525-540
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    • 2015
  • Spatial distribution of precipitation has been estimated based on the local gauge correction (LGC) with a fixed inverse distance weighting (IDW), which is not optimized in taking effective radius into account depending on the radar error. We developed an algorithm, improved local gauge correction (ILGC) which eliminates outlier in radar rainrate errors and optimize distance power for IDW. ILGC was statistically examined the hourly cumulated precipitation from weather for the heavy rain events. Adjusted radar rainfall from ILGC is improved to 50% compared with unadjusted radar rainfall. The accuracy of ILGC is higher to 7% than that of LGC, which resulted from a positive effect of the optimal algorithm on the adjustment of quantitative precipitation estimation from weather radar.

Adjustment of the Mean Field Rainfall Bias by Clustering Technique (레이더 자료의 군집화를 통한 Mean Field Rainfall Bias의 보정)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.8
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    • pp.659-671
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    • 2009
  • Fuzzy c-means clustering technique is applied to improve the accuracy of G/R ratio used for rainfall estimation by radar reflectivity. G/R ratio is computed by the ground rainfall records at AWS(Automatic Weather System) sites to the radar estimated rainfall from the reflectivity of Kwangduck Mt. radar station with 100km effective range. G/R ratio is calculated by two methods: the first one uses a single G/R ratio for the entire effective range and the other two different G/R ratio for two regions that is formed by clustering analysis, and absolute relative error and root mean squared error are employed for evaluating the accuracy of radar rainfall estimation from two G/R ratios. As a result, the radar rainfall estimated by two different G/R ratio from clustering analysis is more accurate than that by a single G/R ratio for the entire range.

Optimized Trim and Heeling Adjustment by Using Heuristic Algorithm (휴리스틱 알고리즘을 이용한 트림 및 힐링 각도 조절 최적화)

  • HONG CHUNG You;LEE JIN UK;PARK JE WOONG
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.62-67
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    • 2004
  • Many ships in voyage experience weight and buoyancy distribution change by various reasons such as change of sea water density and waves, weather condition, and consumption of fuel, provisions, etc . The weight and buoyancy distribution change can bring the ships out of allowable trim, heeling angle. In these case, the ships should adjust trim and heeling angle by shifting of liquid cargo or ballasting, deballasting of ballast tanks for recovery of initial state or for a stable voyage. But, if the adjustment is performed incorrectly, ship's safety such as longitudinal strength, intact stability, propeller immersion, wide visibility, minimum forward draft cannot be secured correctly. So it is required that the adjustment of trim and heeling angle should be planned not by human operators but by optimization computer algorithm. To make an optimized plan to adjust trim and heeling angle guaranteeing the ship's safety and quickness of process, Uk! combined mechanical analysis and optimization algorithm. The candidate algorithms for the study were heuristic algorithm, meta-heuristic algorithm and uninformed searching algorithm. These are widely used in various kinds of optimization problems. Among them, heuristic algorithm $A^\ast$ was chosen for its optimality. The $A^\ast$ algorithm is then applied for the study. Three core elements of $A^\ast$ Algorithm consists of node, operator, evaluation function were modified and redefined. And we analyzed the $A^\ast$ algorithm by considering cooperation with loading instrument installed in most ships. Finally, the algorithm has been applied to tanker ship's various conditions such as Normal Ballast Condition, Homo Design Condition, Alternate Loading Condition, Also the test results are compared and discussed to confirm the efficiency and the usefulness of the methodology developed the system.

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A Study on the Effective Decision-Making Support Model for Construction Duration by the Hypothetical Weather Simulation (가상기후 시뮬레이션에 의한 공기산정 의사결정 지원모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong Suk-Nam;Lee Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.1 no.4 s.4
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 2000
  • The duration of construction in the construction works contains non-working days as well as working days. The duration is so relevant to climate that it should be calculated after fully considered about the regional climate in which construction processes. In most construction fields, however, there has been a frequent adjustment of duration because the field supervisor's experiences have decided non-working days indiscriminately without any accurate information about weather. Not only has that done great economic damages, but also caused many problems in interests among construction subject. So, in this study, we will analyse the elements of climate which has influences on the duration and implement the hypothetical weather simulation. By connecting the results of simulation with the duration of construction, we will propose the decision-making support model for the efficient calculation of duration when the field supervisor makes the projects schedule.

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