• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather Index

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Impact of Climate Change Induced by the Increasing Atmospheric $CO_2$Concentration on Agroclimatic Resources, Net Primary Productivity and Rice Yield Potential in Korea (대기중 $CO_2$농도 증가에 따른 기후변화가 농업기후자원, 식생의 순 1차 생산력 및 벼 수량에 미치는 영향)

  • 이변우;신진철;봉종헌
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.112-126
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    • 1991
  • The atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration is ever-increasing and expected to reach about 600 ppmv some time during next century. Such an increase of $CO_2$ may cause a warming of the earth's surface of 1.5 to 4.5$^{\circ}C$, resulting in great changes in natural and agricultural ecosystems. The climatic scenario under doubled $CO_2$ projected by general circulation model of Goddard Institute for Space Studies(GISS) was adopted to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on agroclimatic resources, net primary productivity and rice productivity in Korea. The annual mean temperature was expected to rise by 3.5 to 4.$0^{\circ}C$ and the annual precipitation to vary by -5 to 20% as compared to current normal climate (1951 to 1980), resulting in the increase of possible duration of crop growth(days above 15$^{\circ}C$ in daily mean temperature) by 30 to 50 days and of effective accumulated temperature(EAT=∑Ti, Ti$\geq$1$0^{\circ}C$) by 1200 to 150$0^{\circ}C$. day which roughly corresponds to the shift of its isopleth northward by 300 to 400 km and by 600 to 700 m in altitude. The hydrological condition evaluated by radiative dryness index (RDI =Rn/ $\ell$P) is presumed to change slightly. The net primary productivity under the 2$\times$$CO_2$ climate was estimated to decrease by 3 to 4% when calculated without considering the photosynthesis stimulation due to $CO_2$ enrichment. Empirical crop-weather model was constructed for national rice yield prediction. The rice yields predicted by this model under 2 $\times$ $CO_2$ climatic scenario at the technological level of 1987 were lower by 34-43% than those under current normal climate. The parameters of MACROS, a dynamic simulation model from IRRI, were modified to simulate the growth and development of Korean rice cultivars under current and doubled $CO_2$ climatic condition. When simulated starting seedling emergence of May 10, the rice yield of Hwaseongbyeo(medium maturity) under 2 $\times$ $CO_2$ climate in Suwon showed 37% reduction compared to that under current normal climate. The yield reduction was ascribable mainly to the shortening of vegetative and ripening period due to accelerated development by higher temperature. Any simulated yields when shifted emergence date from April 10 to July 10 with Hwaseongbyeo (medium maturity) and Palgeum (late maturity) under 2 $\times$ $CO_2$ climate did not exceed the yield of Hwaseongbyeo simulated at seedling emergence on May 10 under current climate. The imaginary variety, having the same characteristics as those of Hwaseongbyeo except growth duration of 100 days from seedling emergence to heading, showed 4% increase in yield when simulated at seedling emergence on May 25 producing the highest yield. The simulation revealed that grain yields of rice increase to a greater extent under 2$\times$ $CO_2$-doubled condition than under current atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration as the plant type becomes more erect.

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Enhancement of Ozone and Carbon Monoxide Associated with Upper Cut-off Low during Springtime in East Asia

  • Moon, Yun-Seob;Drummond, James R.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.475-489
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    • 2010
  • In order to verify the enhancement of ozone and carbon monoxide (CO) during springtime in East Asia, we investigated weather conditions and data from remote sensors, air quality models, and air quality monitors. These include the geopotential height archived from the final (FNL) meteorological field, the potential vorticity and the wind velocity simulated by the Meteorological Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5), the back trajectory estimated by the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model, the total column amount of ozone and the aerosol index retrieved from the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS), the total column density of CO retrieved from the Measurement of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT), and the concentration of ozone and CO simulated by the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART). In particular, the total column density of CO, which mightoriginate from the combustion of fossil fuels and the burning of biomass in China, increased in East Asia during spring 2000. In addition, the enhancement of total column amounts of ozone and CO appeared to be associated with both the upper cut-off low near 500 hPa and the frontogenesis of a surface cyclone during a weak Asian dust event. At the same time, high concentrations of ozone and CO on the Earth's surface were shown at the Seoul air quality monitoring site, located at the surface frontogenesis in Korea. It was clear that the ozone was invaded by the downward stretched vortex anomalies, which included the ozone-rich airflow, during movement and development of the cut-off low, and then there was the catalytic photochemical reaction of ozone precursors on the Earth's surface during the day. In addition, air pollutants such as CO and aerosol were tracked along both the cyclone vortex and the strong westerly as shown at the back trajectory in Seoul and Busan, respectively. Consequently, the maxima of ozone and CO between the two areas showed up differently because of the time lag between those gases, including their catalytic photochemical reactions together with the invasion from the upper troposphere, as well as the path of their transport from China during the weak Asian dust event.

Application of Snowmelt Parameters and the Impact Assessment in the SLURP Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model (준 분포형 수문모형 SLURP에서 융설매개변수 적용 및 영향 평가)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.8
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    • pp.617-628
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to prepare snowmelt parameters using RS and GIS and to assess the snowmelt impact in SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Process) model for Chungju-Dam watershed $(6,661.5km^2)$. Three sets of NOAA AVHRR images (1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2001-2002) were analyzed to prepare snow-related data of the model during winter period. Snow cover areas were extracted using 1, 3 and 4 channels, and the snow depth was spatially interpolated using snowfall data of ground meteorological stations. With the snowmelt parameters, DEM (Digital Elevation Model), land cover, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and weather data, the model was calibrated for 3 years (1998, 2000, 2001), and verified for 1 year (1999) using the calibrated parameters. The average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies for 4 years (1998-2001) discharge comparison with and without snowmelt parameters were 0.76 and 0.73 for the full period, and 0.57 and 0.19 for the period of January to May. The results showed that the spatially prepared snow-related data reduced the calibration effort and enhanced the model results.

Analysis on Productivity and Efficiency of Greenhouse Rose Farming (시설장미 재배농가의 효율성 및 생산성분석)

  • Yun, Jin-Woo;Lee, Dong-Su;Kim, Seong-Sup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.532-542
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    • 2020
  • Due to abnormal weather conditions such as high temperature, the management of greenhouse rose farms is getting worse. In order to enhance the competitiveness of these farms, new measures are needed to improve their management performance. Therefore, this study suggests alternatives to improve the efficiency and productivity by identifying the causes of inefficiency of greenhouse rose farms in terms of management performance analysis through DEA analysis and MPI analysis. As a result of DEA analysis, the average TE of farmers increased from 0.867('16) to 0.905('17), but decreased to 0.850 in 2018, indicating that it was inefficient. In order to increase the management efficiency of farmers, efforts to preferentially reduce the costs (equipment, employment labor, fertilizer, facilities, seeds) that cause inefficiencies are needed. As a result of MPI analysis, TECI decreased from 1.044(T2) to 0.939(T3), which was the cause of the MPI decrease, and the TCI was rather increased from 0.958(T2) to 0.969(T3). In other words, it means that the decrease in productivity is due to insufficient utilization of potential production technology rather than the slowing of technological progress. This implies that it is important to provide technical guidance on utilization after technology dissemination.

Estimation of THI Index to Evaluate Thermal Stress of Animal-occupied Zone in a Broiler House Using BES Method (BES 기법을 이용한 육계사 내부 고온 스트레스 평가를 위한 THI 지수 모의)

  • Ha, Taehwan;Kwon, Kyeong-seok;Hong, Se-Woon;Choi, Hee-chul;Lee, Jun-yeob;Lee, Dong-hyun;Woo, Saemee;Yang, Ka-young;Kim, Rack-woo;Yeo, Uk-hyeon;Lee, Sangyeon;Lee, In-bok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.2
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2018
  • Thermal stress of livestock has been issued due to recent climate change trends and this causes reproductive disorders, decreased feed consumption, immunosuppression, and increased mortality of animals. Concept of THI has been widely used to quantitatively evaluate the degree of thermal stress for animals, however use of this concept is restricted for animals living in the enclosed facilities such as mechanically ventilated broiler houses. In this study, time-based internal energy flow and variation trends of temperature and humidity were analyzed based on BES technique. Local weather data, insulation characteristics of building materials, heat and moisture generation rate from broilers according to age, algorithm of ventilation operation were adopted for boundary condition of the model to accurately compute THI values inside the mechanically ventilated broiler house. From the BES computation, excess frequency of THI threshold in Jeju city was highest on the assumption that air conditioning equipments were not installed. When general raising density ($39kg\;m^{-2}$) was adopted, total 2,191 hours were exceeded. Excess hours of THI threshold were strongly related to the cumulative air temperature ($R^2=0.87$).

Evaluation of Women with Myofascial Abdominal Syndrome Based on Traditional Chinese Medicine

  • Mitidieri, Andreia;Gurian, Maria Beatriz;Silva, Ana Paula;Tawasha, Kalil;Poli-Neto, Omero;Nogueira, Antonio;Reis, Francisco;Rosa-e-Silva, Julio
    • Journal of Pharmacopuncture
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: This study used semiology based on traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) to investigate vital energy (Qi) behavior in women with abdominal myofascial pain syndrome (AMPS). Methods: Fifty women diagnosed with chronic pelvic pain (CPP) secondary to AMPS were evaluated by using a questionnaire based on the theories of "yin-yang," "zang-fu", and "five elements". We assessed the following aspects of the illness: symptomatology; specific location of myofascial trigger points (MTrPs); onset, cause, duration and frequency of symptoms; and patient and family history. The patients tongues, lips, skin colors, and tones of speech were examined. Patients were questioned on various aspects related to breathing, sweating, sleep quality, emotions, and preferences related to color, food, flavors, and weather or seasons. Thirst, gastrointestinal dysfunction, excreta (feces and urine), menstrual cycle, the five senses, and characteristic pain symptoms related to headache, musculoskeletal pain, abdomen, and chest were also investigated. Results: Patients were between 22 and 56 years old, and most were married (78%), possessed a elementary school (66%), and had one or two children (76%). The mean body mass index and body fat were 26.86 kg/cm2 (range: 17.7 - 39.0) and 32.4% (range: 10.7 - 45.7), respectively. A large majority of women (96%) exhibited alterations in the kidney meridian, and 98% had an altered gallbladder meridian. We observed major changes in the kidney and the gallbladder Qi meridians in 76% and 62% of patients, respectively. Five of the twelve meridians analyzed exhibited Qi patterns similar to pelvic innervation Qi and meridians, indicating that the paths of some of these meridians were directly related to innervation of the pelvic floor and abdominal region. Conclusion: The women in this study showed changes in the behavior of the energy meridians, and the paths of some of the meridians were directly related to innervation of the pelvic floor and abdominal region.

Analysis on the Changes of Remote Sensing Indices on Each Land Cover Before and After Heavy Rainfall Using Multi-temporal Sentinel-2 Satellite Imagery and Daily Precipitation Data (다중시기 Sentinel-2 위성영상과 일강수량 자료를 활용한 집중호우 전후의 토지피복별 원격탐사지수 변화 분석)

  • KIM, Kyoung-Seop;MOON, Gab-Su;CHOUNG, Yun-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 2020
  • Recently, a lot of damages have been caused by urban flooding, and heavy rainfall that temporarily occur are the main causes of these phenomenons. The damages caused by urban flooding are identified as the change in the water balance in urban areas. To indirectly identify it, this research analyzed the change in the remote sensing indices on each land cover before and after heavy rainfall by utilizing daily precipitation data and multi-temporal Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. Cases of heavy rain advisory and warning were selected based on the daily precipitation data. And statistical fluctuation were compared by acquiring Sentinel-2 satellite images during the corresponding period and producing them as NDVI, NDWI and NDMI images about each land cover with a radius of 1,000 m based on the Seoul Weather Station. As a result of analyzing the maximum value, minimum value, mean and fluctuation of the pixels that were calculated in each remote sensing index image, there was no significant changes in the remote sensing indices in urban areas before and after heavy rainfall.

Effects of Fine Particles on Pulmonary Function of Elementary School Children in Ulsan (미세먼지가 울산지역 초등학생의 폐기능에 미치는 영향)

  • Yu, Seung-Do;Cha, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Dae-Seon;Lee, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.365-371
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    • 2007
  • To evaluate the effect of air pollution on respiratory health in children, We conducted a longitudinal study in which children were asked to record their daily levels of Peak Expiratory Flow Rate(PEFR) using potable peak flow meter(mini-Wright) for 4 weeks. The relationship between daily PEFR and ambient air particle levels was analyzed using a mixed linear regression models including gender, age in year, weight, the presence of respiratory symptoms, and relative humidity as an extraneous variable. The daily mean concentrations of $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ over the study period were $64.9{\mu}g/m^3$ and $46.1{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively. The range of daily measured PEFR in this study was $182{\sim}481\;l/min$. Daily mean PEFR was regressed with the 24-hour average $PM_{10}(or\;PM_{2.5})$ levels, weather information such as air temperature and relative humidity, and individual characteristics including sex, weight, and respiratory symptoms. The analysis showed that the increase of air particle concentrations was negatively associated with the variability in PEFR. We estimated that the IQR increment of $PM_{10}$ or $PM_{2.5}$ were associated with 1.5 l/min (95% Confidence intervals -3.1, 0.1) and 0.8 l/min(95% CI -1.8, 0.1) decline in PEFR. Even though this study showed negative findings on the relationship between respiratory function and air particles, it was worth noting that the findings must be interpreted cautiously because exposure measurement based on monitoring of ambient air likely resulted in misclassification of true exposure levels and this was the first Korean study that $PM_{2.5}$ measurement was applied as an index of air quality.

Surface Ozone Episode Due to Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange and Free Troposphere-Boundary Layer Exchange in Busan During Asian Dust Events

  • Moon, Y.S.;Kim, Y.K.;K. Strong;Kim, S.H.;Lim, Y.K.;Oh, I.B.;Song, S.K.
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.419-436
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    • 2002
  • The current paper reports on the enhancement of O$_3$, CO, NO$_2$, and aerosols during the Asian dust event that occurred over Korea on 1 May 1999. To confirm the origin and net flux of the O$_3$, CO, NO$_2$, and aerosols, the meteorological parameters of the weather conditions were investigated using Mesoscale Meteorological Model 5(MM5) and the TOMS total ozone and aerosol index, the back trajectory was identified using the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model(HYSPLIT), and the ozone and ozone precursor concentrations were determined using the Urban Ashed Model(UAM). In the presence of sufficiently large concentrations of NO$\sub$x/, the oxidation of CO led to O$_3$ formation with OH, HO$_2$, NO, and NO$_2$ acting as catalysts. The sudden enhancement of O$_3$, CO, NO$_2$ and aerosols was also found to be associated with a deepening cut-off low connected with a surface cyclone and surface anticyclone located to the south of Korea during the Asian dust event. The wave pattern of the upper trough/cut-off low and total ozone level remained stationary when they came into contact with a surface cyclone during the Asian dust event. A typical example of a stratosphere-troposphere exchange(STE) of ozone was demonstrated by tropopause folding due to the jet stream. As such, the secondary maxima of ozone above 80 ppbv that occurred at night in Busan, Korea on 1 May 2001 were considered to result from vertical mixing and advection from a free troposphere-boundary layer exchange in connection with an STE in the upper troposphere. Whereas the sudden enhancement of ozone above 100 ppbv during the day was explained by the catalytic reaction of ozone precursors and transport of ozone from a slow-moving anticyclone area that included a high level of ozone and its precursors coming from China to the south of Korea. The aerosols identified in the free troposphere over Busan, Korea on 1 May 1999 originated from the Taklamakan and Gobi deserts across the Yellow River. In particular, the 1000m profile indicated that the source of the air parcels was from an anticyclone located to the south of Korea. The net flux due to the first invasion of ozone between 0000 LST and 0600 LST on 1 May 1999 agreed with the observed ground-based background concentration of ozone. From 0600 LST to 1200 LST, the net flux of the second invasion of ozone was twice as much as the day before. In this case, a change in the horizontal wind direction may have been responsible for the ozone increase.

Analysis of MODIS LAI and NDVI Patterns of Broad-leaved Trees by the Timesat Program on the Korean Peninsula (Timesat 프로그램에 의한 한반도 활엽수의 지역별 MODIS LAI 및 NDVI 패턴 분석)

  • Seo, Dae Kyo;Lee, Jeong Min;Lim, Ye Seul;Han, Sang Won;Pyeon, Mu Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyzed MODIS data from 2006 to 2013 to determine relationship between meteorological changes and vegetation index. The experimental area was divided into the northern, central and southern regions according to the regional characteristics, and the smoothed MODIS LAI and NDVI were obtained using Timesat. In the case of precipitation, MODIS NDVI had correlation coefficients of 0.66, 0.44 and 0.35 in the northern, central and southern regions and the correlation was the highest in the northern region. In the case of temperature, MODIS LAI had correlation coefficients of 0.66, 0.64 and 0.68, and MODIS NDVI had 0.89, 0.89 and 0.80. The correlation of MODIS NDVI was higher and showed similar positive correlation regardless of region. In addition, The accuracy between Timesat plant seasonal start and actual plant seasonal start in MODIS NDVI was higher than MODIS LAI. The average error in MODIS LAI was 19 days in the central region and 20 days in the southern region. And the average error in MODIS NDVI was 6 days in the central region and 8 days in the southern region.