• Title/Summary/Keyword: Warming trend

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An Uncertainty Assessment of AOGCM and Future Projection over East Asia (동아시아 지역의 AOGCM 불확실성 평가 및 미래기후전망)

  • Kim, Min-Ji;Shin, Jin-Ho;Lee, Hyo-Shin;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.507-524
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, future climate changes over East Asia($20^{\circ}{\sim}50^{\circ}N$, $100^{\circ}{\sim}150^{\circ}E$) are projected by anthropogenic forcing of greenhouse gases and aerosols using coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) B1, A1B and A2 scenarios. Before projection future climate, model performance is assessed by the $20^{th}$ Century (20C3M) experiment with bias, root Mean Square Error (RMSE), ratio of standard deviation, Taylor diagram analysis. The result of examination of the seasonal uncertainty of T2m and PCP shows that cold bias, lowered than that of observation, of T2m and wet bias, larger than that of observation, of PCP are found over East Asia. The largest wet bias is found in winter and the largest cold bias is found in summer. The RMSE of temperature in the annual mean increases and this trend happens in winter, too. That is, higher resolution model shows generally better performances in simulation T2m and PCP. Based on IPCC SRES scenarios, East Asia will experience warmer and wetter climate in the coming $21^{st}$ century. It is predict the T2m increase in East Asia is larger than global mean temperature. As the latitude goes high, the warming over the continents of East Asia showed much more increase than that over the ocean. An enhanced land-sea contrast is proposed as a possible mechanism of the intensified Asian summer monsoon. But, the inter-model variability in PCP changes is large.

Prediction of Corn Yield based on Different Climate Scenarios using Aquacrop Model in Dangme East District of Ghana (Aquacrop 모형을 이용한 Ghana Dangme 동부지역 기후변화 시나리오 기반 옥수수 생산량 예측)

  • Twumasi, George Blay;Junaid, Ahmad Mirza;Shin, Yongchul;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2017
  • Climate change phenomenon is posing a serious threat to sustainable corn production in Ghana. This study investigated the impacts of climate change on the rain-fed corn yield in the Dangme East district, Ghana by using Aquacrop model with a daily weather data set of 22-year from 1992 to 2013. Analysis of the weather data showed that the area is facing a warming trend as the numbers of years hotter and drier than the normal seemed to be increasing. Aquacrop model was assessed using the limited observed data to verify model's sufficiency, and showed credible results of $R^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). In order to simulate the corn yield response to climate variability four climate change scenarios were designed by varying long-term average temperature in the range of ${\pm}1^{\circ}C{\sim}{\pm}3^{\circ}C$ and average annual rainfall to ${\pm}5%{\sim}{\pm}30%$, respectively. Generally, the corn yield was negatively correlated to temperature rise and rainfall reduction. Rainfall variations showed more prominent impacts on the corn yield than that of temperature variations. The reduction in average rainfall would instantly limit the crop growth rate and the corn yield irrespective of the temperature variations.

Research on Thermal Performance by Different Fins in a Solar Air Heater (태양열 공기난방기에서 핀의 형상에 따른 열전달 성능 평가)

  • Choi, Hwi-Ung;Hong, Boo-Pyo;Yoon, Jung-In;Son, Chang-Hyo;Choi, Kwang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2013
  • It is essential to reduce the amount of fossil fuel because facing with the natural problem such as a global warming. To achieve this goal, many of interests in the use of renewable energy is growing. Especially, as one of these renewable energy systems, a solar air heater invention has been conducted for enhancing the efficiency of solar air heater. According to this trend, scale-down sized experiment apparatus was constructed and performed for searching a proper fin and confirming the heat transfer performance by fin shape on constant heat condition to enhance efficiency of solar air heater. In this experiment, heat gain, convection heat transfer coefficient, number of transfer units, Nusselt number, Reynold's number, friction factor, performance factor were investigated in order to evaluate the thermal characteristics based on the real data obtained. By comparison with the each fin performance, a zigzag shape keeping a right angle to the plate had the highest value among them.

The Observed Change in Interannual Variations of January Minimum Temperature between 1951-1980 and 1971-2000 in South Korea (지난 반세기 동안 남한에서 관측된 1월 최저기온의 연차변이)

  • Jung J. E.;Chung U.;Yun J. I.;Choi D. K.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2004
  • There is a growing concern about the possible increase in inter-annual variation of minimum temperature during the winter season in Korea. This view is strengthened by frequently reported freezing injury to dormant fruit trees, while warmer winters have prevailed recently. The January minimum temperature record at fourteen weather stations was analyzed for 1951-2000. The results showed no evidence of increasing standard deviation at 3 locations between 1951-1980 and 1971-2000, while the remaining 11 stations showed a trend of decreasing standard deviation for the two periods. An empirical model explaining the spatial variation of the standard deviation was derived by regression analysis of 56 stations' data for 1971-2000. Daily minimum temperature and the site elevation may account for 68% of the observed variations. We applied this model to restore the average standard deviation of the January minimum temperature for 1971-2000, and the result was used to produce gridded minimum temperature data for the recurrence interval of 10 and 30 years at 250m resolution. A digital form of the plant hardiness zone map may be developed from this product for site-specific selection of adapted plant species.

Additional LNG Stations location problem for LNG cargo vehicle convert in Korea (LNG 가스 화물 차량전환 수요 변화에 따른 LNG 충전소 추가 건설 문제 연구)

  • Shin, Jae Young;Park, Jongwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.10a
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    • pp.79-81
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    • 2012
  • The concern of Global warming and greenhouse gas emission has been issuing so many countries are trying to establish environmental friendly logistics policies. With this trend, several technical and operational methods are developed to realize green logistics way. In Korea, government promoted converting LNG cargo vehicles and constructed LNG station at Dajeon, Pohang, Gwangyang, Incheon, and Donghae as a national project. In spite of economic and environmental advantages, this project was not successful enough, even the project was cancelled. So, this paper seeks the reason why the project was failed and find if there were enough capacity and numbers of LNG stations, then analyze the problem.

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Hold up Time Extension Technique for high efficiency, high power density server power supply (고효율 고밀도 서버용 전원장치를 위한 Hold up Time 보상 기술)

  • Kim, Young-Do;Cho, Kyu-Min;Moon, Gun-Woo
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.96-102
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    • 2010
  • Nowadays, climate change becomes serious problem in all around country. Especially because of global warming problem, every country is suffered from various natural disasters. To prevent these changes, every industry are keep requiring the increase in energy efficiency. Recently, in the regulation of CSCI (climate savers computing initiate), the efficiency of server power supply should meet the demand of 94% at 50% load condition by 2010, which is called platinum level. Hence, server power system has been dramatically developed with the various technique for the high efficiency of it. Among those technique, hold up time extension technique has received wide attention and has been researched for a long time. In this paper, technical trend of hold up time extension circuit will be covered for the high efficiency, high power density server power supply.

Characteristics of a Turbidite Sediment from the Southern Margin of the Okinawa Trough, Japan (오끼나와해곡 남쪽해역의 저탁류 퇴적물의 특성)

  • 현상민
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 1995
  • A turbidite core sediment (RN88-PC5) from 2051 m on the deep-sea floor at the southern margin of Okinawa Trough was examined. Sedimentological characteristics were quite different between sandy sediments and hemipelagic sediments and hemipelagic sediments in terms of benthic foraminiferal assemblage, grain-size and chemical composition. All turbidite sandy sediments were clearly transported from shallow area as they include typical coral reef dwelling benthic foraminifera which were not found in the background hemipelagic sediments. These layers also suggest that the sediments were transported by turbidity-related currents and implies that sedimentological mechanisms were different between sandy sediments and hemipelagic sediments. The result of the /SUP 14/ C age dating and the stable oxygen isotopic fluctuation of planktonic foraminifera show a gradual warming trend of the surface water from about 10 Ka to present. Also Termination lb as well as two fresh water input events were recognized at ca2 and 7 ka.

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Trend of Climatic Growing Season using Average Daily Temperature (1971~2013) in Suwon, Korea (일평균기온(1971~2013)을 이용한 수원지역의 기후학적 식물생육기간의 변화 경향)

  • Jung, Myung-Pyo;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Kim, Yong-Seok;Choi, In-Tae;So, Kyu-Ho
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.285-289
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    • 2014
  • The extension of growing season (GS) across the Northern Hemisphere have been linked to increasing temperature, related with global warming. Therefore, in this study, The start, end, and length of GS in Suwon, Korea from 1971 to 2013 based on observed daily mean air temperature are examined using three indices. The GS starts on average after $98.598.5{\pm}1.42$ Julian days and ends after $318.7{\pm}1.08$ Julian days. The average length of GS is $220.2{\pm}2.09$ Julian days. The length of GS in Suwon from 1971 to 2013 has been extended by 6.8 days/decade with an earlier onset of the GS (-4.1 days/decade) and later end of the GS (2.7 days/decade). This change may be due to an advanced start of the GS in spring rather than later end of the GS. In further study, it is necessary to select an index carefully to find the most suitable one for Korea.

The Analysis of Greenhouse Gases Emission of Cropland Sector Applying the 2006 IPCC Guideline (2006 IPCC 지침을 적용한 농경지 온실가스 배출량 분석)

  • Park, Seong Jin;Lee, Chang Hoon;Kim, Myung Sook
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.445-452
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    • 2018
  • The field of agriculture, forestry, and other land-use (AFOLU) is concerned with greenhouse emissions of agriculture (crop and livestock), as is the field of land-use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF). The 1996 IPCC guideline and the 2006 IPCC guideline are used in combination for calculation of greenhouse gas emission from the agricultural sector, and the 2003 IPCC guideline is used for that from the land-use sector. In this research, we analyzed GHG emissions of the cropland sector in AFOLU based on the 2006 IPCC guideline. The results showed that GHG emissions of 1990 was $-504Gg{\cdot}CO_2-eq$, while that of the last year was $2,871Gg{\cdot}CO_2-eq$. Compared with the 2003 methodology, total emissions according to the 2006 IPCC was lower except in 1997 and 2003. This trend is due to difference of analyzed emission sources, lower default values, and global warming potential by the 2006 IPCC. The results are estimated using limited data at the Tier 1 level and the first issue to be solved is the activity data from the land-use change matrix. Although this result should be improved, it can be used as the basis for calculating GHG emissions of the AFOLU sector.

Changes in Localized Heavy Rain that Cause Disasters Due to Climate Crisis - Focusing on Gwangju (기후 위기로 인한 재난을 야기하는 집중호우 변화 - 광주광역시를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Youn-Su;Chang, In-Hong;Song, Kwang-Yoon
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.162-175
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    • 2021
  • Recently, due to global warming, the average temperature of the earth has risen, and the glaciers in the Antarctic and Arctic melt, leading to a rise in sea level, which is accompanied by powerful natural disasters such as strong typhoons and tsunamis around the world. Accordingly, a precipitation in summer in Korea also increased, and changes in the form of precipitation were showed with the increase. Compared to the past, the frequency of localized heavy rain is increasing, and the damage from flooding and flooding is increasing day by day. In this study, based on the precipitation data measured in hours from May to September from 2016 to 2021 according to the change in the precipitation form, according to the nature of the torrential rain investigated the change in the summer precipitation form. In addition, the trend of localized heavy rain from 2016 to 2021 was confirmed by classifying them into two types: localized heavy rains caused by cyclones and weather front, and by typhoons and large-scale cyclones. Through this, the change in precipitation due to the climate crisis should not be viewed as a single phenomenon, it should be reflected and discussed on our life focused on scientific and technological development, and it should be used as a stepping stone for realizing a humanistic.