• 제목/요약/키워드: Variance estimation

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선원 행동오류에 대한 최적 확률분포함수 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Estimation of Optimal Probability Distribution Function for Seafarers' Behavior Error)

  • 박득진;양형선;임정빈
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2019
  • 해양사고를 야기한 선원의 행동오류를 식별하는 것은 해양사고의 예방 또는 저감에 관한 연구의 기초가 된다. 본 연구의 목적은 선원들의 행동오류를 세 가지 행동(즉, Skill, Rule, Knowledge)으로 모델링하는데 필요한 최적의 확률분포함수를 추정하는데 있다. 본 저자들의 사전 연구에서 획득한 해양사고 종류별 행동오류 데이터를 이용하여 세 가지 행동오류에 최적인 확률분포함수를 추정하고, 확률분포함수에서 도출한 확률 값들 사이의 유의성을 검증하였다. 확률분포함수 추정에는 최우추정법(Maximum Likelihood Estimation, MLE)을 적용하고, 유의성 검증에는 분산분석(ANOVA)를 이용하였다. 실험결과 여덟 가지 해양사고 종류별 세 가지 행동으로 각각에 대해서 최소의 오차를 갖는 확률분포함수를 추정할 수 있었다. 이를 이용하여 계산한 여덟 가지의 해양사고 종류에 대한 세 가지 행동오류들의 확률 값들은 통계적인 유의성이 관측 되었다. 또한, 행동오류가 해양사고에 영향을 미치는 것으로 관측되었다.

젖소집단의 산차에 따른 체세포점수의 환경효과 및 분산성분 추정 (Estimation of Variance Component and Environment Effects on Somatic Cell Scores by Parity in Dairy Cattle)

  • 조광현;나승환;서강석;김시동;박병호;이영창;박종대;손삼규;최재관
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 1999년 1월부터 2004년 12월까지의 체세포점수의 검정일 자료를 이용하여 124,635개의 초산자료와 134,308개의 2산자료, 37,412개의 3산자료, 41787개의 4산자료, 37412개의 5산 자료를 이용하였다. 분석에 사용된 방법은 체세포 점수에 영향을 미치는 분만연도, 연령, 비유단계, 산차, 계절의 효과를 추정하기 위하여 GLM을 이용하여 최소자승법으로 분석하였으며, 검정일 모형을 이용한 분산성분 추정은 EM-REML 분석방법을 전산 프로그램한 REMLF90을 이용하였다. 각 산차별로 연령에 대한 효과는 연령이 낮은 군에서 체세포 점수가 낮게 나타났으며, 연령이 높은 군에서는 다소 높게 나타났다. 비유단계별 효과는 1산과 2산에서는 비유초기에서 체세포 점수가 낮게 나타났으며 비유말기에 3.151, 3.696로 높은 체세포 점수를 나타났으나, 3산, 4산, 5산에서는 비유중기에 높은 체세포 점수를 나타내었으며, 대체로 피크기에 체세포 점수가 높게 나타나는데 4산과 5산에서는 비유말기에 체세포 점수가 낮게 나타났다. 분만계절별 환경효과는 1산~5산 모두 대체로 9~11월에 체세포 점수가 낮게 나타났으며, 대체로 유량이 낮게 추정되는 6~8월 사이에는 체세포 점수가 대체로 높게 나타났다. 각 산차별 유전력은 1산에서 5산까지 각각 0.05, 0.09, 0.10, 0.05, 0.05를 나타냈으며, 유전분산값은 비유초기의 경우 2, 3, 5산에서 높게 나타났으며, 1산과 4산의 경우는 대체로 낮게 추정되었다.

Estimation of Genetic Parameters of Body Weight Traits in Ghezel Sheep

  • Baneh, Hasan;Hafezian, Seyed Hasan;Rashidi, Amir;Gholizadeh, Mohsen;Rahimi, Ghodrat
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.149-153
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    • 2010
  • The present study was carried out to estimate genetic parameters for body weight traits in Ghezel sheep. The data set used was records of 9,221 lambs from 180 sires and 5,060 dams for birth weight (BW), 7,206 lambs from 167 sires and 4,497 dams for weaning weight (WW) and 6,112 lambs from 157 sires and 3,841 dams for 6-months weight (6 MW), which were collected from 1999 to 2007 (9-years) at Ghezel sheep Breeding Station in west Azarbaijan. Variance components and corresponding genetic parameters were obtained with univariate analyses fitting animal models using restricted maximum likelihood (REML) methods. The most suitable model for each trait was determined based on log likelihood ratio tests. Birth year, lamb gender, type of birth, age of dam and herd were significant sources of variation on BW, WW and 6 MW (p<0.01). Direct estimate of heritability for BW, WW and 6 MW was 0.24, 0.29 and 0.37, respectively. The estimate of maternal permanent environmental variance as a proportion of phenotypic variance was 0.09 and 0.05 for BW and WW, respectively. The results of this study showed that genetic progress for growth traits is possible by selection.

Genetic parameters for marbling and body score in Anglonubian goats using Bayesian inference via threshold and linear models

  • Figueiredo Filho, Luiz Antonio Silva;Sarmento, Jose Lindenberg Rocha;Campelo, Jose Elivalto Guimaraes;de Oliveira Almeida, Marcos Jacob;de Sousa, Antonio Junior;da Silva Santos, Natanael Pereira;da Silva Costa, Marcio;Torres, Tatiana Saraiva;Sena, Luciano Silva
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권9호
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    • pp.1407-1414
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    • 2018
  • Objective: The aim of this study was to estimate (co) variance components and genetic parameters for categorical carcass traits using Bayesian inference via mixed linear and threshold animal models in Anglonubian goats. Methods: Data were obtained from Anglonubian goats reared in the Brazilian Mid-North region. The traits in study were body condition score, marbling in the rib eye, ribeye area, fat thickness of the sternum, hip height, leg perimeter, and body weight. The numerator relationship matrix contained information from 793 animals. The single- and two-trait analyses were performed to estimate (co) variance components and genetic parameters via linear and threshold animal models. For estimation of genetic parameters, chains with 2 and 4 million cycles were tested. An 1,000,000-cycle initial burn-in was considered with values taken every 250 cycles, in a total of 4,000 samples. Convergence was monitored by Geweke criteria and Monte Carlo error chain. Results: Threshold model best fits categorical data since it is more efficient to detect genetic variability. In two-trait analysis the contribution of the increase in information and the correlations between traits contributed to increase the estimated values for (co) variance components and heritability, in comparison to single-trait analysis. Heritability estimates for the study traits were from low to moderate magnitude. Conclusion: Direct selection of the continuous distribution of traits such as thickness sternal fat and hip height allows obtaining the indirect selection for marbling of ribeye.

강인한 음성인식을 위한 극점 필터링 및 스케일 정규화를 이용한 켑스트럼 특징 정규화 방식 (Cepstral Feature Normalization Methods Using Pole Filtering and Scale Normalization for Robust Speech Recognition)

  • 최보경;반성민;김형순
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.316-320
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 Cepstral Mean Normalization(CMN)과 Cepstral Mean and Variance Normalization(CMVN) 프레임워크에서 극점 필터링(pole filtering) 개념을 Mel-Frequency Cepstral Coefficient(MFCC) 특징 벡터에 적용한다. 또한 분산 정규화를 대신하여 스케일 정규화를 사용하는 Cepstral Mean and Scale Normalization(CMSN)의 성능을 잡음 환경 음성인식 실험을 통해 평가한다. CMN과 CMVN은 보통 발화 단위로 수행되기 때문에 짧은 발화의 경우 특징에 대한 평균과 분산의 추정 신뢰도가 보장되지 않는 문제점을 가지는데, 극점 필터링과 스케일 정규화 방식을 적용함으로 이러한 문제점을 보완할 수 있다. Aurora 2 데이터베이스를 이용한 실험 결과, 극점 필터링과 스케일 정규화를 결합한 특징 정규화 방식의 성능이 가장 높은 성능 향상을 보인다.

Variance component analysis of growth and production traits in Vanaraja male line chickens using animal model

  • Ullengala, Rajkumar;Prince, L. Leslie Leo;Paswan, Chandan;Haunshi, Santosh;Chatterjee, Rudranath
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.471-481
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    • 2021
  • Objective: A comprehensive study was conducted to study the effects of partition of variance on accuracy of genetic parameters and genetic trends of economic traits in Vanaraja male line/project directorate-1 (PD-1) chicken. Methods: Variance component analysis utilizing restricted maximum likelihood animal model was carried out with five generations data to delineate the population status, direct additive, maternal genetic, permanent environmental effects, besides genetic trends and performance of economic traits in PD-1 chickens. Genetic trend was estimated by regression of the estimated average breeding values (BV) on generations. Results: The body weight (BW) and shank length (SL) varied significantly (p≤0.01) among the generations, hatches and sexes. The least squares mean of SL at six weeks, the primary trait was 77.44±0.05 mm. All the production traits, viz., BWs, age at sexual maturity, egg production (EP) and egg weight were significantly influenced by generation. Model four with additive, maternal permanent environmental and residual effects was the best model for juvenile growth traits, except for zero-day BW. The heritability estimates for BW and SL at six weeks (SL6) were 0.20±0.03 and 0.17±0.03, respectively. The BV of SL6 in the population increased linearly from 0.03 to 3.62 mm due to selection. Genetic trend was significant (p≤0.05) for SL6, BW6, and production traits. The average genetic gain of EP40 for each generation was significant (p≤0.05) with an average increase of 0.38 eggs per generation. The average inbreeding coefficient was 0.02 in PD-1 line. Conclusion: The population was in ideal condition with negligible inbreeding and the selection was quite effective with significant genetic gains in each generation for primary trait of selection. The animal model minimized the over-estimation of genetic parameters and improved the accuracy of the BV, thus enabling the breeder to select the suitable breeding strategy for genetic improvement.

α-SCALAR CURVATURE OF THE t-MANIFOLD

  • Cho, Bong-Sik;Jung, Sun-Young
    • 호남수학학술지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2011
  • The Fisher information matrix plays a significant role in statistical inference in connection with estimation and properties of variance of estimators. In this paper, we define the parameter space of the t-manifold using its Fisher's matrix and characterize the t-manifold from the viewpoint of information geometry. The ${\alpha}$-scalar curvatures to the t-manifold are calculated.

Nonresponse Adjusted Raking Ratio Estimation

  • Park, Mingue
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.655-664
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    • 2015
  • A nonresponse adjusted raking ratio estimator that consists of weighting adjustment using estimated response probability and raking procedure is often used to reduce the nonresponse bias and keep the calibration property of the estimator. We investigated asymptotic properties of nonresponse adjusted raking ratio estimator and proposed a variance estimator. A simulation study is used to examine the performance of suggested estimators.

코히어런트 시스템에서 평균잔여수명함수(平均殘餘壽命函數)의 추정(推定) (Estimation of Mean Residual Life Function for a Coherent System)

  • 박병구
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제4권
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 1993
  • In this paper we propose a nonparametric estimator of the men residual life function (MRLF) on a coherent system under the condition that the component lifetimes are censored by system lifetime. It is shown that the proposed estimator, considered as a function of age t, converges weakly to a Gaussian process on a fixed interval. A consistent estimator of asymptotic variance of the proposed estimator is also given.

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A Modified Definition on the Process Capability Index Cpk Based on Median

  • Park, Hyo-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.527-535
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    • 2011
  • This study proposes a modified definition about $C_{pk}$ based on median as the centering parameter in order to more easily control the process since the mean does not represent any quantile of the asymmetric process distribution. Then we consider an estimate and derive the asymptotic normality for the estimate of the modified $C_{pk}$. In addition, we provide an example with asymmetric distributions and discuss the estimation for the limiting variance that are followed by some concluding remarks.