• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.12
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• pp.993-1007
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• 2004

There are many different techniques for the estimation of the Hurst exponent. However, the techniques can produce different characteristics for the persistence of a time series each other. This study uses several techniques such as adjusted range, resealed range(RR) analysis, modified restated range(MRR) analysis, 1/f power spectral density analysis, Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE), detrended fluctuations analysis(DFA), and aggregated variance time(AVT)method for the Hurst exponent estimation. The generated time series from chaos and stochastic systems are analyzed for the comparative study of the techniques. Then this study discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the techniques and also the limitations of them.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.349-360
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• 2006

PROC MIXED in SAS can be utilized to make inferences on parameters in a mixed model by use of Restricted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method or Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method which has more merits than ANOVA method. A regression model with unbalanced nested error structure that belongs to a mixed model is used to construct confidence intervals on variances among groups, within groups, and regression coefficients in the model. PROC MIXED is applied to three different sample sizes for simulation. As a result of the simulation study, PROC MIXED generates confidence intervals on parameters that maintain the stated confidence coefficient in a large sample size. However, it does not generate confidence intervals that maintain the stated confidence coefficient for variance components among groups and intercept in a small sample size.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.605-617
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• 2014

Small area estimation is a statistical inference method to overcome large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. A shrinkage estimator obtained by minimizing relative error(RE) instead of MSE has been suggested. The estimator takes advantage of good interpretation when the data range is large. A semiparametric estimator is also studied for small area estimation. In this study, we suggest a semiparametric shrinkage small area estimator and compare small area estimators using labor statistics.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.1-21
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• 2016

The Markowitz portfolio selection model uses estimators to deduce input parameters. However, the estimation errors of input parameters negatively influence the performance of portfolios. Therefore, this model cannot be reliably applied to real-world investments. To overcome this problem, we suggest an algorithm that can exclude stocks with large estimation error from the portfolio by applying a tracking signal to the Markowitz portfolio selection model. By calculating the tracking signal of each stock, we can monitor whether unexpected departures occur on the outcomes of the forecasts on rate of returns. Thereafter, unreliable stocks are removed. By using this approach, portfolios can comprise relatively reliable stocks that have comparatively small estimation errors. To evaluate the performance of the proposed approach, a 10-year investment experiment was conducted using historical stock returns data from 6 different stock markets around the world. Performance was assessed and compared by the Markowitz portfolio selection model with additional constraints and other benchmarks such as minimum variance portfolio and the index of each stock market. Results showed that a portfolio using the proposed approach exhibited a better Sharpe ratio and rate of return than other benchmarks.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.503-510
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• 2004

In this paper, the well-conditioned observer for a stochastic system is designed so that the observer is less sensitive to the ill-conditioning factors in transient and steady-state observer performance. These factors include not only deterministic uncertainties such as unknown initial estimation error, round-off error, modeling error and sensing bias, but also stochastic uncertainties such as disturbance and sensor noise. In deterministic perspectives, a small value in the L$_{2}$ norm condition number of the observer eigenvector matrix guarantees robust estimation performance to the deterministic uncertainties. In stochastic viewpoints, the estimation variance represents the robustness to the stochastic uncertainties and its upper bound can be minimized by reducing the observer gain and increasing the decay rate. Both deterministic and stochastic issues are considered as a weighted sum with a LMI (Linear Matrix Inequality) formulation. The gain in the well-conditioned observer is optimally chosen by the optimization technique. Simulation examples are given to evaluate the estimation performance of the proposed observer.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.97-101
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• 2010

FIR type system identification with noisy input and output data can be solved by a total least squares (TLS) estimation. However, the performance of the TLS estimation is very sensitive to the ratio between the variances of the input and output noises. In this paper, we propose an iterative convex combination algorithm between TLS and least squares (LS). This combined algorithm shows robustness against the noise variance ratio. Consequently, the practical workability of the TLS method with noisy data has been significantly broadened.

• Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.247-266
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• 2018

In this paper, three main concepts are chosen for this statistical estimation study, based on previous studies: confidence interval and reliability, sampling distribution of mean and population mean estimation, and relationships between elements of confidence interval. The main objectives of this study are as follows: 1. How are the attitudes that future math teachers and high school students have to ward the statistical estimation? 2. Is there some difference in the awareness of misconceptions about the statistical estimation that future math teachers and high school students have? A study result shows that both groups have difficulties in understanding statistical concepts and their meaning used in Unit Statistical Estimation. They tend to wrongly think that the meaning of reliability is the same as that of probability. They also have difficulties in understanding sample variance in the sampling distribution of mean, which makes it impossible to connect with population mean estimation. It is shown that relationships between elements consisting of confidence interval are not consistent.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.395-407
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• 2016

This study aims to apply the G-theory for estimation of reliability of evaluation scores between raters on Taekwondo Poomsae rating categories. Selecting a number of game days and raters as multiple error sources, we analyzed the error sources caused by relative magnitude of error variances of interaction between the factors and proceeded with D-study based on the results of G-study for optimal determination of measurement condition. The results showed below. The estimated outcomes of variance component for accuracy among the Taekwondo Poomsae categories with G-theory showed that impact of error was the biggest influence factor in raters conditions and in order of interaction in subjects and between subjects, also impact of variance component estimation error on expression category was the major influence factor in interaction and in order of the between subjects and raters. Finally, the result of generalizability coefficient estimation via D-study showed that measurement condition of optimal level depend on the number of raters was 8 persons of raters on accuracy category, and stable reliability on expression category was gained when the raters were 7 persons.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.171-180
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• 2003

CDMA(Code Division Multiple Access) mobile communication systems require accurate channel estimation in the receiver to compensate the fading distortions. Instantaneous channel estimates are obtained by dividing the received symbol by the transmitted symbol and then refined by filtering to reduce the estimation variance. In the channel estimation filter, the determination of the filter size is a very important task which greatly affects the estimation quality. While conventional methods usually use only velocity estimators to determine the channel estimation filter size, this paper proposes a filter size determination method for decision-directed channel estimators considering the symbol error rate and the signal-to-noise ratio in addition to the velocity of the mobile station. This paper shows that the symbol error rate and the signal-to-noise ratio are important factors for the determination of the channel estimation filter size.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.8
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• pp.807-823
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• 2008

This paper presents a technique for estimating discharge rating curve parameters. In typical practical applications, the original non-linear rating curve is transformed into a simple linear regression model by log-transforming the measurement without examining the effect of log transformation. The model of pseudo-likelihood estimation is developed in this study to deal with heteroscedasticity of residuals in the original non-linear model. The parameters of rating curves and variance functions of errors are simultaneously estimated by the pseudo-likelihood estimation(P-LE) method. Simulated annealing, a global optimization technique, is adapted to minimize the log likelihood of the weighted residuals. The P-LE model was then applied to a hypothetical site where stage-discharge data were generated by incorporating various errors. Results of the P-LE model show reduced error values and narrower confidence intervals than those of the common log-transform linear least squares(LT-LR) model. Also, the limit of water levels for segmentation of discharge rating curve is estimated in the process of P-LE using the Heaviside function. Finally, model performance of the conventional log-transformed linear regression and the developed model, P-LE are computed and compared. After statistical simulation, the developed method is then applied to the real data sets from 5 gauge stations in the Geum River basin. It can be suggested that this developed strategy is applied to real sites to successfully determine weights taking into account error distributions from the observed discharge data.