• 제목/요약/키워드: Variance estimation

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소표본 자기상관 자료의 분산 추정을 위한 최적 부분군 크기에 대한 연구 (A Study on Optimal Subgroup Size in Estimating Variance of Small Autocorrelated Samples)

  • 이종선;이재준;배순희
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.106-112
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    • 2007
  • In statistical process control, it is assumed that the process data are independent. However, most of chemical processes such as semi-conduct processes do not satisfy the assumption because of presence of autocorrelation between process data. It causes abnormal out of control signal in the process control and misleading estimation in process capability. In this study, we adopted Shore's method to solve the problem and propose an optimal subgroup size to estimate the variance correctly for AR(1) processes. Especially, we focus on finding an actual subgroup size for small samples based on simulation study.

Asymptotic Properties of Variance Change-point in the Long-memory Process

  • 주민정;조신섭
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2000년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2000
  • It is noted that many econometric time series have long-memory properties. A long-memory process, or strongly dependent process, is characterized by hyperbolic decaying autocorrelations and unbounded spectral density at the origin. Since the long-memory property can be observed by data obtained from rather a long period, there is some possibility of parameter change in the process. In this paper, we consider the estimation of change-point when there is a change in the variance of a long-memory process. The estimator is based on some reasonable statistic and the consistency is shown using Taqqu's strong reduction theorem

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Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimation for Distributions with Support Dependign on Two Parameters

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Park, Hyun-Jip;Lee, Chong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.45-64
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    • 1995
  • When a random sample is taken from a certain class of discrete and continuous distributions whose support depend on two parameters, we could find that there exists the complete and sufficient statistic for parameters which belong to a certain class, and fomulate the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) of any estimable function. Some UMVUE's of parametric functions are illustrated for the class of the distribution. Especially, we find that the UMVUE of some estimable parametric function from the truncated normal distribution could be expressed by the version of the Mill's ratio.

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Applicability of the Ordinary Least Squares Procedure When Both Variables are Subject to Error

  • Kim, Kil-Soo;Byun, Jai-Hyun;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 1996
  • An errors-in-variables model (EVM) differs from the classical regression model in that in the former the independent variable is also subject to error. This paper shows that to assess the applicability of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation procedure to the EVM, the relative dispersion of the independent variable to its error variance must be also considered in addition to Mandel's criterion. The effect of physically reducing the variance of errors in the independent variable on the performance of the OLS slope estimator is also discussed.

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Minimum Variance FIR Smoother for Model-based Signals

  • Kwon, Bo-Kyu;Kwon, Wook-Hyun;Han, Soo-Hee
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.2516-2520
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, finite impulse response (FIR) smoothers are proposed for discrete-time systems. The proposed FIR smoother is designed under the constraints of linearity, unbiasedness, FIR structure, and independence of the initial state information. It is also obtained by directly minimizing the performance criterion with unbiased constraints. The approach to the MVF smoother proposed in this paper is logical and systematic, while existing results have heuristic assumption, such as infinite covariance of the initial state. Additionally, the proposed MVF smoother is based on the general system model that may have the singular system matrix and has both system and measurement noises. Thorough simulation studies, it is shown that the proposed MVF smoother is more robust against modeling uncertainties numerical errors than fixed-lag Kalman smoother which is infinite impulse response (IIR) type estimator.

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A Study on Kernel Type Discontinuity Point Estimations

  • Huh, Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.929-937
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    • 2003
  • Kernel type estimations of discontinuity point at an unknown location in regression function or its derivatives have been developed. It is known that the discontinuity point estimator based on $Gasser-M\ddot{u}ller$ regression estimator with a one-sided kernel function which has a zero value at the point 0 makes a poor asymptotic behavior. Further, the asymptotic variance of $Gasser-M\ddot{u}ller$ regression estimator in the random design case is 1.5 times larger that the one in the corresponding fixed design case, while those two are identical for the local polynomial regression estimator. Although $Gasser-M\ddot{u}ller$ regression estimator with a one-sided kernel function which has a non-zero value at the point 0 for the modification is used, computer simulation show that this phenomenon is also appeared in the discontinuity point estimation.

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Recent Review of Nonlinear Conditional Mean and Variance Modeling in Time Series

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Lee, J.A.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.783-791
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we review recent developments in nonlinear time series modeling on both conditional mean and conditional variance. Traditional linear model in conditional mean is referred to as ARMA(autoregressive moving average) process investigated by Box and Jenkins(1976). Nonlinear mean models such as threshold, exponential and random coefficient models are reviewed and their characteristics are explained. In terms of conditional variances, ARCH(autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) class is considered as typical linear models. As nonlinear variants of ARCH, diverse nonlinear models appearing in recent literature including threshold ARCH, beta-ARCH and Box-Cox ARCH models are remarked. Also, a class of unified nonlinear models are considered and parameter estimation for that class is briefly discussed.

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단위 무응답 보정에서 보조변수의 선택에 관한 연구 (A Study on Auxiliary Variable Selection in Unit Nonresponse Calibration)

  • 손창균;홍기학;이기성
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2003
  • 조사과정에서 필연적으로 발생하는 무응답을 보정하기 위해 보조정보를 사용해야 한다. 이 때, 이용 가능한 보조정보의 차원이 크면, 계산과정에서 많은 시간이 소요되며 데이터를 다루기가 매우 어렵다. 또한 추정량의 분산이 보조전보의 차원에 의존하기 때문에 과소추정의 문제가 발생한다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 무응답 보정에서 적절한 보조정보의 선택 방법을 제안하였고, 이에 대한 효율성을 모의실험을 통해 살펴보았다.

GEOSTATISTICAL UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN SEDIMENT GRAIN SIZE MAPPING WITH HIGH-RESOLUTION REMOTE SENSING IMAGERY

  • Park, No-Wook;Chi, Kwang-Hoon
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a geostatistical methodology to model local uncertainty in spatial estimation of sediment grain size with high-resolution remote sensing imagery. Within a multi-Gaussian framework, the IKONOS imagery is used as local means both to estimate the grain size values and to model local uncertainty at unsample locations. A conditional cumulative distribution function (ccdf) at any locations is defined by mean and variance values which can be estimated by multi-Gaussian kriging with local means. Two ccdf statistics including condition variance and interquartile range are used here as measures of local uncertainty and are compared through a cross validation analysis. In addition to local uncertainty measures, the probabilities of not exceeding or exceeding any grain size value at any locations are retrieved and mapped from the local ccdf models. A case study of Baramarae beach, Korea is carried out to illustrate the potential of geostatistical uncertainty modeling.

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Preliminary Identification of Branching-Heteroscedasticity for Tree-Indexed Autoregressive Processes

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Choi, M.S.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.809-816
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    • 2011
  • A tree-indexed autoregressive(AR) process is a time series defined on a tree which is generated by a branching process and/or a deterministic splitting mechanism. This short article is concerned with conditional heteroscedastic structure of the tree-indexed AR models. It has been usual in the literature to analyze conditional mean structure (rather than conditional variance) of tree-indexed AR models. This article pursues to identify quadratic conditional heteroscedasticity inherent in various tree-indexed AR models in a unified way, and thus providing some perspectives to the future works in this area. The identical conditional variance of sisters sharing the same mother will be referred to as the branching heteroscedasticity(BH, for short). A quasilikelihood but preliminary estimation of the quadratic BH is discussed and relevant limit distributions are derived.