• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.412-417
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• 2013

Analytical modeling of photovoltaic power systems has been receiving significant attentions in recent years in that it is easy to apply for prediction of its dynamics and fault detection and diagnosis in advanced engineering technologies. This paper presents a novel probabilistic modeling approach for such power systems with a big data sequence. Firstly, we express input/output function of photovoltaic power systems in which solar irradiation and ambient temperature are regarded as input variable and electric power is output variable respectively. Based on this functional relationship, conditional probability for these three random variables(such as irradiation, temperature, and electric power) is mathematically defined and its estimation is accomplished from ratio of numbers of all sample data to numbers of cases related to two input variables, which is efficient in particular for a big data sequence of photovoltaic powers systems. Lastly, we predict the output values from a probabilistic model of photovoltaic power systems by using the expectation theory. Two case studies are carried out for testing reliability of the proposed modeling methodology in this paper.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.299-307
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• 2012

Data mining is a method of searching for an interesting relationship among items in a given database. The decision tree is a typical algorithm of data mining. The decision tree is the method that classifies or predicts a group as some subgroups. In general, when researchers create a decision tree model, the generated model can be complicated by the standard of model creation and the number of input variables. In particular, if the decision trees have a large number of input variables in a model, the generated models can be complex and difficult to analyze model. When creating the decision tree model, if there are marginally conditional variables (intervening variables, external variables) in the input variables, it is not directly relevant. In this study, we suggest the method of creating a decision tree using marginally conditional variables and apply to actual data to search for efficiency.

• Economic Analysis
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.33-60
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• 2021

This study estimates the fiscal multiplier using Input-Output table panel data from year of 2010 to 2018. Considering the endogeneity of the government expenditure, this study uses the share of government expenditure by sector in the initial period as an instrument variable. The estimation from the panel fixed effect instrumental variables model shows that the estimate for the current period of government expenditure is 1.15~1.22 and the estimate for the cumulative multiplier is 1.23~1.32 depending on the method of controlling time trend. Since the general equilibrium effect absorbed by the time-fixed effect in the estimation equation, the estimated multiplier in this study may be different from the multiplier of the economy as a whole. The general equilibrium effect depends on the response of monetary policy, changes in tax policy, and interaction between sectors.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.677-684
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• 2024

In this paper, the design method of a step-up DC-DC converter based on PWM control was studied for solar power system application. The operating principle of the switching mode step-up type DC-DC converter was analyzed and the basic design method was studied. For photovoltaic system application, an output voltage feedback control algorithm based on PWM control was developed to enable the converter's output voltage to follow the target voltage under variable input conditions. As a procedure to verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, a prototype of a step-up DC-DC converter with a single feedback output voltage was designed and made by boosting the input voltage DC 10V to DC 30V. In experiments with prototypes, it was confirmed that the output voltage of the oscilloscope and LCD accurately followed the target output voltage. In the performance evaluation test, it was confirmed that the output voltage of the oscilloscope and LCD accurately followed the target output voltage by showing an error rate within 1 [%] of the reference voltage.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.67-83
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• 1997

The utility of learning techniques in investment analysis has been demonstrated in many areas, ranging from forecasting individual stocks to entire market indexes. To date, however, the application of artificial intelligence to financial forecasting has focused largely on short predictive horizons. Usually the forecast window is a single period ahead; if the input data involve daily observations, the forecast is for one day ahead; if monthly observations, then a month ahead; and so on. Thus far little work has been conducted on the efficacy of long-term prediction involving multiperiod forecasting. This paper examines the impact of alternative procedures for extended prediction using knowledge discovery techniques. One dimension in the study involves temporal granularity: a single jump from the present period to the end of the forecast window versus a web of short-term forecasts involving a sequence of single-period predictions. Another parameter relates to the numerosity of input variables: a technical approach involving only lagged observations of the target variable versus a fundamental approach involving multiple variables. The dual possibilities along each of the granularity and numerosity dimensions entail a total of 4 models. These models are first evaluated using neural networks, then compared against a multi-input jump model using case based reasoning. The computational models are examined in the context of forecasting the S&P 500 index.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1999.07f
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• pp.2610-2612
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• 1999

In controlling vector of induction motor, PID controller is required much time as the expert should control manually a gain of controller according to plant or a change of circumstances. Accordingly, this paper has gotten a gain of PID controller used neural network by self-funning method in order to settle above problem. The neural network can describe an input/output features in spite of non-linear system which is hard to get mathematical model by controlling the strength of connection by learning. It has a strong character against a distortion and noise of input information, and is suitable modeling of diver-variable system which is composed of several input/output. This paper has represented the self-tunning method for gain of PID controller used neural network when using PID controller to control speed of induction motor, and has checked strong characters against distortion and noise of input information through simulation.

• Journal of Welding and Joining
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.58-67
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• 2003

In this study, the formation mechanism of discontinuities in the laser fusion zone of diamond saw blade was investigated. $CO_2$ laser weldings were conducted along the butt between Fe base sintered tip and carbon steel shank with sets of variable welding parameters. The effect of heat input on irregular humps, outer cavity, inner cavity and bond strengh was evaluated. The optimum heat input to have a proper humps was in the range of 10.4~$17.6kJm_{-1}$. With increasing heat input, both outer and inner cavities were reduced. The outer cavity was caused by insufficient refill of keyhole, while inner cavity was caused by trapping of bubble in molten metal. The bubble came from sintered tip and intensive vaporization at bottom tip of the keyhole. A gas formation and low melting point element vaporization were not occurred during welding. We could not find any relationship between bond strength and amount of discontinuities. Because the fracture were occurred in not only sintered tip but also carbon steel shank due to hardness distributions.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.37-42
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• 2001

This paper resents a biological reaction model of describing processing features in treating wastewater via activated sludge A proposed model is designed by combining fuzzy rules investigating several elements which have influence on variables to be supervised BOD and SS are suggested as common variables in input and output variables, and O$_2$quantity is closed as input variable. We chose triangular type membership functions for input variables and determined the grades in each membership function based upon process data According to simulation result to show the validity of proposed model, fuzzy model's outputs give almost similar data to process output under same input conditions.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1996.07b
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• pp.1359-1361
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• 1996

This paper describes a design of real time fuzzy controller using Minimum fuzzy control Rule Selection Method(MRSM). The control algorithm of dynamic systems needs less computation time and memory. To reduce the computation time of fuzzy logic controller, minimum number of rules are to be selected for the fuzzy input variable. The universe of discourse is divided by the number of linguistic labels to allocate the assigned membership function to the fuzzy input variables. In this case, since fuzzy input variables are continuous, scale factor SU is tuned independently. According to increment of SU control surface is improved to adapt the change of system parameter. At this, crisp control surface is increased. With the increament of crisp control surface, fuzzy control surface is reduced. When error state deviates from desirable error state, crisp control surface is more useful than fuzzy control surface for obtaining fast rising time.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.40 no.1
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• pp.84-99
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• 2014

In this study, determinant input-output variables are identified for calculating Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) efficiency scores relating to evaluating the efficiency of government-sponsored research and development (R&D) projects. In particular, this study proposes a systematic framework of design and analysis of experiments, called "all possible DEAs", for pinpointing DEA determinant input-output variables. In addition to correlation analyses, two modified measures of time series analysis are developed in order to check the similarities between a DEA complete data structure (CDS) versus the rest of incomplete data structures (IDSs). In this empirical analysis, a few DEA determinant input-output variables are found to be associated with a typical public R&D performance evaluation logic model, especially oriented to a mid- and long-term performance perspective. Among four variables, only two determinants are identified : "R&D manpower" ($x_2$) and "Sales revenue" ($y_1$). However, it should be pointed out that the input variable "R&D funds" ($x_1$) is insignificant for calculating DEA efficiency score even if it is a critical input for measuring efficiency of a government-sonsored R&D project from a practical point of view a priori. In this context, if practitioners' top priority is to see the efficiency between "R&D funds" ($x_1$) and "Sales revenue" ($y_1$), the DEA efficiency score cannot properly meet their expectations. Therefore, meticulous attention is required when using the DEA application for public R&D performance evaluation, considering that discrepancies can occur between practitioners' expectations and DEA efficiency scores.