• Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.630-636
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• 2020

This paper presents a experimental study on the performance of the heat pump. Uncertainty of measurement means the degree of uncertainty in the measurement. Therefore, it estimates a section where expected value of the measurement might be within a certain confidence level and suggests a range where measured representative value might be incorrect. Uncertainty of measurement is a parameter that shows characteristics of dispersion of measured value that was reasonably estimated from measured quantity. Measurement result of performance experiment is not a true value but estimated value that was estimated reasonably. Therefore, uncertainty of measurement needs to be calculated and presented with the result of measurement.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.484-491
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• 2003

For most of linear time-varying (LTV) systems, it is difficult to design time-varying controllers in analytic way. Accordingly, by approximating LTV systems as uncertain linear time-invariant, control design approaches such as robust control have been applied to the resulting uncertain LTI systems. In particular, a robust control method such as quantitative feedback theory (QFT) has an advantage of guaranteeing the frozen-time stability and the performance specification against plant parameter uncertainties. However, if these methods are applied to the approximated linear. time-invariant (LTI) plants with large uncertainty, the resulting control law becomes complicated and also may not become ineffective with faster dynamic behavior. In this paper, as a method to enhance the fast dynamic performance of LTV systems with bounded time-varying parameters, the approximated uncertainty of time-varying parameters are reduced by the proposed QFT parameter-scheduling control design based on radial basis function (RBF) networks.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.10
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• pp.773-783
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• 2009

The effects of rainfall input uncertainty on predictions of stream flow are studied based extended GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) approach. The uncertainty in the rainfall data is implemented by systematic/non-systematic rainfall measurement analysis in Weida catchment, Germany. PDM (Probability Distribution Model) rainfall runoff model is selected for hydrological representation of the catchment. Using general correction procedure and DUE(Data Uncertainty Engine), feasible rainfall time series are generated. These series are applied to PDM in MC(Monte Carlo) and GLUE method; Posterior distributions of the model parameters are examined and behavioural model parameters are selected for simplified GLUE prediction of stream flow. All predictions are combined to develop ensemble prediction and 90 percentile of ensemble prediction, which are used to show the effects of uncertainty sources of input data and model parameters. The results show acceptable performances in all flow regime, except underestimation of the peak flows. These results are not definite proof of the effects of rainfall uncertainty on parameter estimation; however, extended GLUE approach in this study is a potential method which can include major uncertainty in the rainfall-runoff modelling.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.300-313
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• 2020

The Bayesian approach can be used to estimate hydrologic model parameters from the prior expert knowledge about the parameter values and the observed data. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of the two Bayesian methods, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm and the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method. These two methods were applied to the TANK model, a hydrological model comprising 13 parameters, to examine the uncertainty of the parameters of the model. The TANK model comprises a combination of multiple reservoir-type virtual vessels with orifice-type outlets and implements a common major hydrological process using the runoff calculations that convert the rainfall to the flow. As a result of the application to the Nam River A watershed, the two Bayesian methods yielded similar flow simulation results even though the parameter estimates obtained by the two methods were of somewhat different values. Both methods ensure the model's prediction accuracy even when the observed flow data available for parameter estimation is limited. However, the prediction accuracy of the model using the MH algorithm yielded slightly better results than that of the GLUE method. The flow duration curve calculated using the limited observed flow data showed that the marginal reliability is secured from the perspective of practical application.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.143-151
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• 2009

Extreme hydrologic events cause serious disaster, such as flood and drought. Many researchers have an effort to estimate design rainfalls or discharges. This study evaluated parameter estimation methods to estimate probability rainfalls with low uncertainty which will be used in design rainfalls. This study collected rainfall data from Incheon, Gangnueng, Gwangju, Busan, and Chupungryong gage station, and generated synthetic rainfall data using ARMA model. This study employed the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian inference method for estimating parameters of the Gumbel and GEV distribution. Using a bootstrap resampling method, this study estimated the confidence intervals of estimated probability rainfalls. Based on the comparison of the confidence intervals, this study recommended a proper parameter estimation method for estimating probability rainfalls which have a low uncertainty.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.321-327
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• 2012

This paper presents a comparative analysis on three different types of performance indices of obstacle detection for an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring. Due to beam overlap, the entire sensing zone of each ultrasonic sensor can be divided into three smaller sensing subzones, which leads to significant reduction of positional uncertainty in obstacle detection. First, the positional uncertainty in obstacle detection is expressed in terms of the area of a sensing subzone, and type 1 performance index is then defined as the area ratio of side and center sensing subzones. Second, based on the area of a sensing subzone, type 2 performance index is defined taking into account the size of the entire range of obstacle detection as well as the degree of the positional uncertainty in obstacle detection. Third, the positional uncertainty in obstacle detection is now expressed in terms of the length of the uncertainty arc spanning a sensing subzone, and type 3 performance index is then defined as the average value of the uncertainty arc lengths over the entire range of obstacle detection. Fourth, using a commercial low directivity ultrasonic sensor, the changes of three different performance indices depending on the parameter of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring are examined and compared.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.40-52
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• 2012

This paper presents the uncertainty analysis results of fire modeling input parameters for motor control center in switchgear room of nuclear power plants. FDS (Fire Dynamics simulator) 5.5 was used to simulate the fire scenario and Latin Hyper Cube Monte Carlo simulations were employed to generate random samples for FDS input parameters. The uncertainty analysis results of input parameters are compared with those of the model uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis approaches of NUREG-1934. The study results show that the input parameter uncertainty analysis approach may lead to more conservative results than the uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis methods of NUREG-1934.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.35 no.7
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• pp.791-798
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• 2011

All mechanical-system parameters have uncertainty, and this uncertainty directly affects system performances and results in a decrease in the manufacturing outputs. In particular, since the size of a MEMS system is extremely small, the manufacturing tolerances of a MEMS system are relatively large when compared to the tolerances of a macro-scale system. High manufacturing tolerances result from an increase in the uncertainty of the system parameters, thereby affecting the performances and manufacturing yields. In this paper, the performance uncertainty of a MEMS accelerometer due to system parameter uncertainty is analyzed by using several uncertainty analysis methods. Finally, the performance distributions and manufacturing yields of the MEMS accelerometer are predicted.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.426-429
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• 1997

This paper proposes a robust H$_{\infty}$ tracking filter to improve the unacceptable target tracking performance for systems with parameter uncertainties. Also, we use here the input estimation approach to account for the possibility of maneuver. Simulation results show that the robust H$_{\infty}$ tracking filter which is proposed here to solve the systems with all system parameter uncertainties, has a good tracking performance for a maneuvering target tracking problem.m.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.33-38
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• 1996

In this paper, we present a robust H\ulcorner control design method for parameter uncertain systems that have delay in both state and control input. Through a certain algebraic Riccati inequality approach, a state feedback controller is obtained. The proposed state feedback controller stabilizes parameter uncertain delay systems and guarantees disturbance attenuation within a prescribed level. An illustrative example is given to demonstrate the results of the proposed method.