• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Estimate

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On the Seasonal Prediction of Traffic Accidents in Relation to the Weather Elements in Pusan Area (기상요소에 따른 부산지역 계절별 교통사고 변화와 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이동인;이문철;유철환;이상구;이철기
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.469-474
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    • 2000
  • The traffic accidents in large cities such as Pusan metropolitan city have been increased every year due to increasing of vehicles numbers as well as the gravitation of the population. In addition to the carelessness of drivers, many meteorological factors have a great influence on the traffic accidents. Especially, the number of traffic accidents is governed by precipitation, visibility, cloud amounts temperature, etc. In this study, we have analyzed various data of meteorological factors from 1992 to 1997 and determined the standardized values for contributing to each traffic accident. Using the relationship between meteorological factors(visibility, precipitation, relative humidity and cloud amounts) and the total automobile mishaps, and experimental prediction formula for their traffic accident rates was seasonally obtained at Pusan city in 1997. Therefore, these prediction formulas at each meteorological factor may by used to predict the seasonal traffic accident numbers and contributed to estimate the variation of its value according to the weather condition it Pusan city.

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A Study on the assessment of the marine traffic safety at the Pusan approaching waters (부산항부산항 접근수역에 대한 해상교통안전성평가에 관한 연구)

  • 강영식;박영수;정재용;박진수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2000.10b
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2000
  • Recently, marine traffic engineering has been developed until that possible to estimate a change in traffic flow caused from some transformations of the traffic condition and to assess whether changed traffic condition is can be accepted as a useful thing in navigation or not by compute simulation. This paper's main substance is assessment of the present marine traffic safety at these area adjacent to Pusan harbor. Also in this study, it was carried out in order to be convinced of validity of round about TSS to expect changing in traffic flows by the institution of round about TSS and to assess expected traffic flows by using Environmental Stress assessment model.

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Development of Greenhouse Gas Estimation Method for a Local Government Level Using Traffic Demand Model

  • Maurillo, Pennie Rose Anne R.;Jung, Hyeon-Ji;Lee, Seon-Ha;Ha, Dong-Ik
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.114-128
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    • 2013
  • Greenhouse gas emissions have been an important issue in different countries because of their effects on global warming. The government has to organize greenhouse gas reduction measures suitable to regional characteristics by establishing annual implementation plans and comprehensive policies based on the UNFCCC. The transportation sector is one of the major contributors of air pollution; hence increasing need to estimate current and future traffic emissions precisely. Under these circumstances, a number of emission models have been developed recently. However, current methods of estimation cannot carry out effective analyses because it does not reflect vehicle movement characteristics. This study aims to present a new method for calculating road traffic emissions in Goyang city. A travel demand model is utilized to carry out GHG emission estimates according the traffic data (fleet composition, vehicle kilometers travelled, traffic intensity, road type, emission factors and speed). This study evaluates two approaches to estimate the road traffic emissions in Goyang City: Pollution-Emis and the Handbook of Emission Factors for Road Transport (HBEFA v.3.1) which is representative of the "average speed" and the "traffic situation" model types. The evaluation of results shows that the proposed emission estimation method may be a good practice if vigilant implementation of model inputs is observed.

A Review on the Estimation of Traffic Capacity and Operating Rate of a Fairway (항로의 교통용량 추정 및 항로 가동률에 대한 고찰)

  • Gong, In-Young;Yang, Chan-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.231-235
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    • 2005
  • Rapid increase of maritime traffic volume and the increase of vessel size make it indispensible for the fairway designer to estimate the traffic capacity of a fairway at its early design stage. In this paper, as one of the methods to estimate the maritime traffic capacity of a fairway, operating rate of a fairway is defined and reviewed together with its basic characteristics, which is a brief estimation model based on bumper model around a ship. The method is applied to the approach channels of major harbors in Korea to give some guidelines on the acceptable traffic capacity of a fairway. In spite of its simplicity, this method can be used as an effective tool to discriminate whether the principal dimension of a fairway is enough or not from the viewpoint of maritime traffic capacity at its initial design stage.

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A Study on Assessment of Vessel Traffic Safety Management by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation (해상교통류 시뮬레이션에 의한 해상교통안전관리평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park Young- Soo;Jong Jae-Yong;Inoue Kinzo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2002
  • Vessel traffic safety management means the managerial technical measures for improving the marine traffic safety in general terms. The main flow of vessel traffic safety management is that: 1) Traffic Survey, 2) Replay by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation, 3) Quantitative Assessment, 4) Policy Alternatives, 5) Prediction·Verification. In the management of vessel traffic safety, it is most important to establish assessment models that can numerically estimate the current safety level and quantitatively predict the correlation between the measures to be taken and the improvement of safety and the reduction of ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners. In this paper, the replay model for traffic flow simulation was made using marine traffic survey data, and the present traffic situation became replay in the computer. An attempt was made to rate the current safety of ports and waterways by applying the Environmental Stress model. And, as a countermeasure for traffic management, by taking of, the promotion of total traffic congestion in early morning rush hour, the correlation between traffic control rate and the reduction in ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners was predicted quantitatively.

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Speed Estimation from Tire Marks for Vehicle Accident Reconstruction (곡선 형태의 타이어 자국으로부터 차량사고시 속도추정)

  • Kim, Min-Seok;Lee, Ji-Hoon;Yoo, Wan-Suk;Kim, Kee-Nam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.128-133
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a new technique was suggested to estimate vehicle speed for the traffic accident reconstruction, and accident investigators can estimate initial vehicle speed based on this suggested technique. Turning tests with several vehicle speeds were executed and compared with the motion of the vehicle and the shape of the tire marks. A new method for estimating the coefficient of friction is suggested by using the longitudinal and lateral components of tire marks. And also, a speed calculation graph is suggested to estimate vehicle speed for traffic accident reconstruction.

A Study on Estimation of Traffic Flow Using Image-based Vehicle Identification Technology (영상기반 차량인식 기법을 이용한 교통류 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Minjeong;Jeong, Daehan;Kim, Hoe Kyoung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.110-123
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    • 2019
  • Traffic data is the most basic element necessary for transportation planning and traffic system operation. Recently, a method of estimating traffic flow characteristics using distance to a leading vehicle measured by an ADAS camera has been attempted. This study investigated the feasibility of the ADAS vehicle reflecting the distance error of image-based vehicle identification technology as a means to estimate the traffic flow through the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) based on the number of lanes, traffic demand, penetration rate of probe vehicle, and time-space estimation area by employing the microscopic simulation model, VISSIM. As a result, the estimate of low density traffic flow (i.e., LOS A, LOS B) is unreliable due to the limitation of the maximum identification distance of ADAS camera. Although the reliability of the estimates can be improved if multiple lanes, high traffic demands, and high penetration rates are implemented, artificially raising the penetration rates is unrealistic. Their reliability can be improved by extending the time dimension of the estimation area as well, but the most influential one is the driving behavior of the ADAS vehicle. In conclusion, although it is not possible to accurately estimate the traffic flow with the ADAS camera, its applicability will be expanded by improving its performance and functions.

Highway traffic noise modeling and estimation based on vehicles volume and speed

  • Rassafi, Amir Abbas;Ghassempour, Jafar
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 2015
  • Traffic noise estimation models are useful in evaluation of the noise pollution in current circumstances. They are helpful tools for design and planning new roads and highways. Measurement of average traffic noise level is possible when traffic speed and volume are known. The objective of this study was to devise a model for prediction of highway traffic noise levels based on current traffic variables in Iran. The design of this model was to take the impact of traffic congestion into consideration and to be field tested. This study is a library research augmented by field study conducted on Saeedi Highway located south west of Tehran. The period for the field study lasted 5 days from 7-12 February, 2013. This study examined liner and non-liner methods in formulation of its model. Liner method without a fixed coefficient was the best fit for the intended model. The proposed model can serve as a decision making tool to estimate the impact of key influential factors on sound pressure levels in urban areas in Iran.

A Simplified Method to Estimate Travel Cost based on Traffic-Adaptable Heuristics for Accelerating Path Search

  • Kim, Jin-Deog
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.239-244
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    • 2007
  • In the telematics system, a reasonable path search time should be guaranteed from a great number of user's queries, even though the optimal path with minimized travel time might be continuously changed by the traffic flows. Thus, the path search method should consider traffic flows of the roads and the search time as well. However, the existing path search methods are not able to cope efficiently with the change of the traffic flows and to search rapidly paths simultaneously. This paper proposes a new path search method for fast computation. It also reflects the traffic flows efficiently. Especially, in order to simplify the computation of variable heuristic values, it employs a simplification method for estimating values of traffic-adaptable heuristics. The experiments are carried out with the $A^*$ algorithm and the proposed method in terms of the execution time, the number of node accesses and the accuracy. The results obtained from the experiments show that the method achieves very fast execution time and the reasonable accuracy as well.

Simulation Model Construction for Real-Time Monitoring of Traffic Signal Controller (교통신호제어기 실시간 감시를 위한 시뮬레이션 모델 구축)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Chang, Dae-Soon;Jang, Jung-Sun;Park, Sang-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Plant Engineering
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2018
  • This paper proposed the real-time monitoring methodology of a traffic signal controller. The proposed methodology is based on the simulation technology, and it is necessary to construct a simulation model imitating the behavior of a traffic signal controller. By executing the simulation model, we can obtain the 'nominal system trajectory' of the traffic signal controller. On the other hand, an IoT(Internet of Things)-based monitoring device is implemented in a traffic signal controller. Through the monitoring device, it is possible to obtain the 'actual system trajectory'. By comparing the nominal system trajectory and the actual system trajectory, we can estimate the degree of deterioration of a traffic signal controller.