• 제목/요약/키워드: Trade Conflict

검색결과 117건 처리시간 0.022초

세계 낙농산업 동향: V. 2020년 이후 우유 생산 및 교역을 중심으로 (Outlook of the Global Dairy Industry and Its Current Situation: V. Milk Production and Trade after 2020)

  • 김수빈;오세종
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2024
  • The global dairy industry has faced substantial challenges because of the prolonged coronavirus of 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic since 2020 and the initiation of conflict between the Ukraine and Russia. In 2022, the overall milk production reached 936 million tons, reflecting a modest 1.1% increase in total global production. This indicates below-average growth for the second consecutive year because the supply to major export regions became more challenging owing to a significant increase in costs. In China, India, and Pakistan, total milk production increased markedly by 3.1% (average) because of buffalo milk production. In the near future, global milk production is expected to exhibit an average annual growth rate of 1.5%, exceeding that of other major agricultural products. Notably, the trade flow of dairy products is highly reactive to changes in the trade policy environment. Revisions to existing trade agreements or the introduction of new agreements can significantly impact the demand for dairy products and alter the trade patterns of the industry. Collectively, adaptability and strategic policy responses are critical in shaping the future development of this industry, and industry stakeholders worldwide should remain vigilant and prepare for these challenges.

Should TPP Be Formed? On the Potential Economic, Governance, and Conflict-Reducing Impacts of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement

  • Bergstrand, Jeffrey H.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.279-309
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    • 2016
  • The proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a free trade agreement among 12 Pacific Rim countries whose joint gross domestic products (GDPs) account for 36 percent of world GDP and whose mutual trade accounts for approximately 24 percent of world trade. As for most proposed free trade agreements (FTAs), trade economists have provided ex ante computable general equilibrium (CGE) estimates to predict the trade, employment, and real per capita income effects of this agreement, such as ITC (2016). This paper-intended to complement these studies-examines the potential impacts of TPP beyond such traditional CGE estimates, taking a broader economic, governance, and historical perspective. First, we contrast these traditional CGE trade and welfare estimates that treat all firms within an industry as homogeneous with more recent CGE analyses that allow firms' productivities to be heterogeneous. We show that the latter models' trade predictions are much more consistent with ex post empirical evidence of average trade effects of FTAs. Second, empirical evidence now strongly confirms the existence of FTA "contagion." We review this evidence and show that predictive models of the evolution of FTAs indicate that the TPP should be formed. With China now having formed 12 FTAs and negotiating five new ones (including a sixteen member Asia-Pacific FTA), the United States would likely face considerable trade diversion without the TPP. Third, we examine empirical evidence on the likely further economic growth implications of FTAs by reducing firms' uncertainty over trade relations and trade policies. Fourth, we examine empirical evidence on the additional impact of FTAs on consolidating democratic institutions in countries. The TPP would likely help consolidate some of the less mature democracies. Fifth, we examine empirical evidence on the reductions of conflicts (and enhanced peace) between countries owing to the formations of FTAs. We conclude the paper noting that the potential net benefits to member countries of the proposed TPP extend well beyond the real income gains to households based upon traditional CGE models.

국내시장에서의 중국 수산물 경쟁력 분석 (An Analysis of the Chinese Fishery Products Competitiveness in Korean Market)

  • 장영수
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.51-79
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    • 2005
  • The main propose of this study is to analyze of the Chinese Fisheries Products competitiveness in Korean Market. This study was using a model of working partnerships by James C. Anderson & James A. Narus(1990). That is, Support is found for a number of the hypothesized construct relations and in both manufacture firm and distributor firm model, for the respecification of cooperation as an antecedent rather than a consequence of trust. This study was able to apply this model's intention for the relationship between Chinese fisheries products exporter and Korean importer, because I thought that competitiveness of trade market was based on relationship between the two countries traders. The results of this study are summarized as follows. As the above result, the several hypothesized correlation among the factors were significant. These results was tried to apply the competitiveness degree index as main factors among the countries, The method of measuring competitiveness .degree index was [(outcome + influence + communication + coopration + trust + satisfaction) - conflict, In result, China was 21.5583, USA was 20.2667, East Asia was 18.79126, EU was 18.4723, Russia was 16.3858.

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Conflicts of Interest in the Research Publication Process-A Case Study Approach

  • KANG, Eungoo;HWANG, Hee-Joong
    • 연구윤리
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: A conflict of interest is defined broadly as a scenario in which one's responsibilities and self-interest collide in a manner that has a significant probability of corrupting one's discernments, motivations, actions, desires, values, and judgments. This study aims to investigate various cases of conflict of interest. Research design, data and methodology: Our study used the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) to identify resources. The eligibility of selected prior studies thoroughly was investigated whether they are suitable for the topic of present study. Finally, we collected total 15 previous studies published between 2000 and 2021. Results: Research findings indicate that there are three main cases that might cause a conflict of interest and mandated research ethics education might provide researchers with the tools to identify and battle the temptations and biases provided by conflicts of interest. Researchers could likely be better prepared for conflicts of interest if they investigated the moral difficulties associated with them in advance. Conclusions: Researchers might evade deliberate or unconscious detriment of duties, and also objectivity loss because of the siren song of self-interest by escaping situations whereby they may be tempted to shirk their responsibilities, not to remark the hassles of unveiling conflicts.

경상북도 농산물 수출지원정책의 효과와 과제 (The Effectiveness and Proposal of Agri-Food Export Subsidies in GyeongBuk)

  • 김희호
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2022
  • This paper examines the effects of export subsidies on agricultural food exports, focusing on a case of Gyeongsangbuk-do. Using monthly data of agricultural food exports during 2007-2020 and the GLS regression analysis, we test the hypothesis whether the export subsidies would increase the exports of four major agri-food categories with three digit codes of HS such as fruits, vegetables, flowers, and mushrooms. Evidence shows that the export subsidies had statistically significant impacts on the agri-food exports except flowers. In order to test the robustness of the analysis, the agri-food export subsidies are reclassified into four sub-subsidy policies, and the analysis re-examines the effects of the sub-subsidies on agri-food exports. It shows that export policies for production stabilization, logistics, and overseas marketing promote the exports of agri-foods significantly. Alternative export policies are drawn in this study since the existing subsidies conflict with the WTO agricultural agreement.

우리나라의 기술무역수지 적자개선에 관한 연구 (The Study of deficit improvements of technology trade balance in Korea)

  • 정재승
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.227-248
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    • 2012
  • 우리나라 기술무역수지는 OECD 회원국 20개국 중 19위에 불과하다고 한다. 기술무역시장의 규모가 지속적으로 증가함에 따라 거래수단 중에 하나인 지식재산권의 중요성이 증가하고 있다. 기술수출 1억달러는 상품수출 16억 달러의 효과가 있으며, 기술수출은 비용이 소요되지 않는 고부가가치원이다. 무역수지의 개선을 위해 상품수출을 고도화함과 동시에 통상마찰 및 중국의 추격으로 어려움에 봉착하고 있는 상품무역 주도의 무역수지 개선에서 벗어나 다양한 수입원의 창출을 위해 로열티 수입 등 기술수출을 통한 수지개선이 필요하다. 우리나라의 기술무역수지 현황을 파악 분석하여 효율적인 기술무역수지 적자개선방안을 제시하고자 한다.

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SSM 진출규제에 따른 국제통상마찰 완화를 위한 소상공인 정책방향 : 소상공인 조직화 결정요인 실증분석 (Micro Enterprise Policy to Reduce Trade Conflict Due to SSM Enter Restriction : An Empirical Analysis on the Determinants of Micro Enterprise Organization)

  • 전인우;문선웅
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.245-270
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 SSM 등 대규모 소매점 진출규제로 인한 WTO GATS 위배 여부 쟁점에 대한 논의를 바탕으로 WTO에의 제소로 인한 통상마찰 가능성에 대비한 소상공인의 조직화 문제에 대해 연구하였다. 소상공인의 조직화 결정요인에 대한 실증분석결과에 따르면, 인력부족이나 원재료비의 부담이 클수록 소상공인 조직화에 부(-)의 효과를 미치는 바, 조직화가 인력난 해소나 원재료비 감소효과를 주지 못하고 있음을 사사한다. 또한 매출부진 및 대형업체로의 고객이탈로 인한 고객 감소는 조직화에 정(+)의 효과를 미치는 것으로 나타나, 매출부진이나 고객감소가 소상공인들의 조직 가입에 유인요인으로 작용하고 있음을 시사한다. 한편 업종별로는 음식업의 경우 인근 대형업체로의 고객 이탈이 조직에 가입하도록 하는 중요한 요인이나, 인력부족 및 구인난 그러고 원재료비 부담은 조직 가입을 기피하게 하는 요인으로 분석되었다. 소매업의 경우에는 영업 및 매출부진이 조직 가입을 촉진하는 요소로 작용하고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 분석결과는, 향후 불필요한 통상마찰을 피해하면서 소상공인 조직화를 촉진할 수 있는 정책 수립에 있어 업종별로 차별화된 접근이 필요함을 시사한다.

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TRIZ의 모순 해결 이론을 이용한 창의적 요구사항 충돌 해결 (Creative Resolution for Requirement Conflict Using Conflict Resolution Theory of TRIZ)

  • 정지영;김진태;박수용
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.411-415
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    • 2010
  • 요구사항 충돌은 시스템의 기능의 오작동이나 프로젝트 전체의 실패를 가져올 수 있다. 현재 요구사항 충돌연구는 식별에 치중되어 있고 해결에 관한 연구는 우선순위에 의하여 선택을 하는 것이 대부분이다. 요구사항 충돌을 해결하기 위해 본 논문에서는 TRIZ의 이론을 적용하여 창의적인 아이디어를 제시할 수 있도록 돕는 요구사항 충돌 해결 원리(CRRC)를 제안한다. TRIZ는 모순을 해결하여 아이디어를 내는 데 특화된 이론으로 200만 건 이상의 특허 사례를 바탕으로 만들어졌다. CRRC는 요구사항 충돌을 분류하고 유형에 적합한 TRIZ이론을 소프트웨어에 맞게 적용하였다. 대조 실험 적용 결과 CRRC를 제공하면 다양한 종류의 창의적인 요구사항 충돌 해결 방안을 제시할 수 있었다.

공서양속에 반하는 중재판결: 경제제재에 대한 분석을 중심으로 (Arbitration awards against public policy; in regards to economic sanctions)

  • 한수민;김진비;이재혁
    • 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2024
  • This paper examines issues concerning conflicts between arbitral awards and public interests, particularly with respect to economic sanctions. Sanctions have been widely used by political entities, such as States and organizations, as means to promote public interests and to resolve cross-border disputes. In particular, economic sanctions have been increasingly more visible in recent years due to the accelerating fragmentation of the international communities, and their magnitude and range of the impacts have grown accordingly. For example, the U.S. and the EU have imposed economic sanctions on Russia and related persons in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The U.S. recently re-introduced a comprehensive economic sanction on Iran. One of the notable impacts of the sanctions, particularly economic sanctions, is that on international arbitration. Sanctions are essentially built on the notion of the protection of public interests, and public interests are some of the few grounds upon which recognition and enforceability or arbitral awards may be rejected. However, jurisprudence on such conflict between sanctions and arbitral awards have not been sufficiently addressed in Korea because court case and administrative decision records on this conflict have not been sufficiently accumulated. In this regard, this paper begins with offering a survey of the concept of public interests, economic and trade sanctions, arbitral awards and their enforceability, and the relationships between them. It then examines the mechanism upon which public interests, trade and economic sanctions may lead certain arbitral awards unenforceable. Next, the paper suggests judiciaries' balanced approach toward the public interests protected by trade and economic sanctions and the predictability and fairness in the enforcement of arbitral awards. Finally, this paper concludes with the methods of the implementation of such balanced approach.

Evaluation of the Policy Effects of Free Trade Agreements: New Evidence from the Korea-China FTA

  • Xiang Li;Hyukku Lee;Seung-Lin Hong
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The policy implications of free trade agreements have traditionally been a matter of debate among economists. The official signing of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement provides economists with a quasi-natural experiment to analyze the FTA's policy effects. This article aims to more accurately understand the impact of Korea's FTA accession on the macro economy. Design/methodology - This study adopts the counterfactual method based on panel data to find common factors in the generation process of macro data to fit the counterfactual path, to accurately evaluate the effect of the macro policy. Findings - Our research results show that the signing of the Korea-China FTA has a relatively significant short-term positive effect on Korea's economic growth. On average, Korea's real GDP growth rate has increased by 2.1%. This study finds evidence in support of FTA signing not having a significant impact on Korea's GDP growth in the long run. Additionally, we evaluated the impact of the FTA on Korea's imports and exports and found that it had a significant positive impact in the short term, but the trade effect of the FTA is significantly affected by the external macro-environment. Originality/value - First, this study uses macro panel data at the national level to examine the impact of the Korea-China FTA on Korea, and more accurately describes the policy effect of the FTA. Second, our empirical results show that the Korea-China FTA policy impact is subject to occasional changes in the external environment, such as the geopolitical conflict (crisis) between Korea and China, and the US-China trade war. Finally, the analysis shows that the short-term effect of FTA is significant but the long-term is uncertain, which provides empirical evidence for the debate on whether joining FTA can promote national economic growth.