• 제목/요약/키워드: Temporal distribution of rainfall

검색결과 126건 처리시간 0.029초

B2 기후변화시나리오와 극한지수를 이용한 기후변화가 극한 강우 발생에 미치는 영향분석 (Analysis of Impact Climate Change on Extreme Rainfall Using B2 Climate Change Scenario and Extreme Indices)

  • 김보경;김병식
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제29권1B호
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2009
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화, 이상기후와 과거에는 경험하지 못했던 극한 사상이 미래에는 어떠한 크기와 출현빈도를 가지고 공간적 분포가 변화하게 될지 관심이 높아지고 있다. 그러나 이들 사상은 일정한 지역 또는 규칙적인 패턴이나 주기를 따르지 않아 그 빈도와 경향성을 정량적으로 평가하기에는 무리가 있다. 본 연구에서는 극한 사상을 보다 객관적으로 평가하기 위하여 강우 관련 극한 지수(STARDEX, 2005)를 제시하였다. 현재와 미래 극한 사상의 시공간적 분포를 비교하기 위하여 우리나라 전역에 위치한 기상청 산하 66개 관측소의 과거 자료로부터 각 지수들을 산정하여 현재까지의 경향성을 분석하고, SRES B2시나리오와 YONU CGCM으로부터 모의된 2045s(2031-2050)자료를 이용하여 미래의 극한 사상의 각 지수별 차이를 산정한 후 그 경향성을 공간적으로 나타내었다. 그 결과 여름철에는 동서 방향으로 내륙 전반에 걸쳐 강우량 증가 경향성을 보였으며 가을철에는 강원도 일부 지역과 남해안 지역을 중심으로 경향성이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 강우 발생이나 집중 시기와 대별되는 건조 지속기간 분석 결과에서는 여름철보다 가을철 상승 경향성이 더 큰 것으로 나타났으며, 제주도와 해안부근에서 증가 경향성이 뚜렷하였다.

광양만에서 무기 영양염의 시공간적 분포를 조절하는 요인 (Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Inorganic Nutrients and Factors Controlling Their Distributions in Gwangyang Bay)

  • 장풍국;이원제;장민철;이재도;이우진;장만;황근춘;신경순
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.359-379
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    • 2005
  • In order to understand the spatial and temporal variations of nutrients and factors controlling their distribution in Gwangyang Bay, this study was carried out bimonthly from June 2001 to July 2003, Inorganic silicate and nitrate concentrations ranged from $0.04{\mu}M\;to\;69.5{\mu}M(avg.\;12.9{\mu}M)$, and from $0.12{\mu}M\;to\;42.2{\mu}M\;(avg.\;7.83{\mu}M)$, respectively. Silicate concentrations measured just after the typhoon were the highest with an average of $43.2{\mu}M$ at the surface layer in June 2001, whereas the highest nitrate concentration $(avg.\;37.0{\mu}M)$ was observed in the surface layer in July 2003. River runoff apparently influenced variations in silicate and nitrate concentrations (r=0.701 and 0.728, p<0.000, respectively) as well as salinity (r=-0.628, p<0.000). Phosphate concentrations ranged from $0.24{\mu}M\;to\;5.70{\mu}M\;(avg.\;1.34{\mu}M)$ and were highest at stations 5, 6, and 7, near a fertilizer plant with an average of $2.01{\mu}M$. On the basis of N/P and Si/N molar ratios, limiting nutrients have varied temporary and spatially. During 2001-2002, nitrogen was a limiting nutrient in the study area, and Phosphate was limited when a large volume of freshwater flowed into the bay. Silicate was limited when the high standing crops of phytoplankton occurred in the whole study area throughout 2003, and in the inner bay in February and August 2002. During the study period, factors controlling the distribution of nutrients might be summarized as follows; 1) inflow of freshwater by heavy rain accompanied by typhoons and frequent rainfall in summer, showing high concentrations of silicate and nitrate, 2) release of high phosphate concentrations from the fertilizer plant located in the south of Moydo to adjacent stations, 3) release of nutrients from bottom sediment, 4) magnitude of occurrence of phytoplankton standing crops.

기후변동을 고려한 조건부 GEV 분포를 이용한 비정상성 빈도분석 (Non-stationary Frequency Analysis with Climate Variability using Conditional Generalized Extreme Value Distribution)

  • 김병식;이정기;김형수;이진원
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.499-514
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    • 2011
  • 전통적 수문빈도분석의 기본가정은 기후와 수문사상이 정상성이라는 것으로 즉, 분포형의 매개변수들이 시간에 따라 불변이라는 것이다. 댐, 제방, 운하, 교량 등 수공 관련 기간시설물을 계획하고 설계할 때는 과거 상황을 이해하고 미래에도 그 상황이 유지될 것이라는 것을 근거로 한다. 그러나 현실은 기본가정과는 달리 수문자료들은 비정상성을 지니고 있으며 수자원관리자들에 의해 항상 기간시설물을 계획하고 설계 할 때 비정상성을 다루고자 끊임없이 노력해 왔다. 본 논문에서는 비정상성 수문빈도분석기법을 소개하고, 조건부 Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) 분포를 이용하여 비정상성 빈도분석을 실시하였다. 본 논문에서는 6개 기상관측소지점의 24시간 연최고치 강우량을 대상으로 비정상성 빈도분석을 실시하였으며 최우도법(Maximum Likelihood)을 사용하여 GEV 분포형의 매개변수를 추정하였다. 그 결과 비정상성 GEV 분포가 확률 강우량을 산정하는데 있어 적합함을 확인 할 수 있었다. 또한 ENSO(El Nino Southern Oscillation)를 나타내는 지수인 SOI(Southern Oscillation Index)를 이용하여 기후변동 고려한 비정상성 빈도분석을 실시하였다.

Search of submarine discharge locations with multi-temporal thermal infrared images and ground radar surveys

  • Onishi K.;Sairaiji M.;Rokugawa S.;Tokunaga T.;Sakuno Y.
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.685-688
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    • 2004
  • Fresh water discharge from the sea floor strongly affects a coastal ecology and the diffusion of contaminants. Much fresh water discharge has been found in the edge of Kurobe alluvial fan, in which annual rainfall is over 4000mm and there is abundant groundwater. However, it is difficult to find the groundwater discharge, thus the search of possible areas with some remote sensing tools is required. Because the temperature of the discharge point is relatively low compared with the surrounding sea water surfaces, there is a possibility to detect the area as an irregular zone of thermal infrared images. Two anomalous temperature zones, which have no surface streams from rivers, are detected by ASTER thermal-infrared images. One of them was verified as the groundwater discharge point by dives. In addition, the distribution of water table under the land side of the two areas is also detected as irregular zones by a ground-penetrating radar

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섬진강 및 영산강 유역 기상자료의 시.공간적 상관성 (Temporal and Spatial correlation of Meteorological Data in Sumjin River and Yongsan River Basins)

  • 김기성
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 1999
  • The statistical characteristics of the factors related to the daily rainfall prediction model are analyzed . Records of daily precipitation, mean air temperature, relative humidity , dew-point temperature and air pressure from 1973∼1998 at 8 meteorological sttions in south-western part of Korea were used. 1. Serial correlatino of daily precipitaiton was significant with the lag less than 1 day. But , that of other variables were large enough until 10 day lag. 2. Crosscorrelation of air temperature, relative humidity , dew-point temperature showed similar distribution wiht the basin contrours and the others were different. 3. There were significant correlation between the meteorological variables and precipitation preceded more than 2 days. 4. Daily preciption of each station were treated as a truncated continuous random variable and the annual periodic components, mean and standard deviation were estimated for each day. 5. All of the results could be considered to select the input variables of regression model or neural network model for the prediction of daily precipitation and to construct the stochastic model of daily precipitation.

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레이더강우와 Vflo모형을 이용한 남강댐유역 홍수유출해석 (Flood Runoff Analysis using Radar Rainfall and Vflo Model for Namgang Dam Watershed)

  • 박진혁;강부식;이근상;이을래
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2007
  • 최근 기상이변에 따른 국지성 돌발 홍수의 빈번한 발생으로 인해 레이더 등을 이용한 초단기 강수예보의 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구는 시공간 분포를 적절하게 표현할 수 있는 레이더 강우시계열자료와 GIS기반의 분포형모형을 연계하여 국내 댐유역에 적용해 봄으로써, 분포형모형의 홍수유출시 실무에서의 적용가능성을 검증해 본 것이다. 본 연구에서 사용한 물리적기반의 분포형모형으로는 미국 오클라호마 대학에서 개발한 Vflo모형을 이용하였으며, 낙동강권역의 남강댐유역($2,293km^2$)을 시험유역으로 적용하였다. 입력강우로는 진도레이더로 부터 레이더강우 전처리프로그램인 K-RainVieux를 이용하여 모형의 격자해상도에 맞는 분포형 강우를 생성하였다. 또한, GIS수문매개변수를 DEM, 토지피복도, 토양도 등의 기본 GIS자료들로 부터 추출, 물리적기반의 분포형모형(Vflo)의 입력인자로 사용하여 모형의 초기설정을 향상시켰다. 본 연구의 성과는 향후 돌발홍수에 대응한 실시간 단기 강우유출예측시스템을 구축하기 위한 기반이 될 것으로 사료된다.

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낙동강 유역 환경유량에 대한 기후변화의 영향 분석 (An Analysis of the Effect of Climate Change on Nakdong River Environmental Flow)

  • 이아연;김상단
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.273-285
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    • 2011
  • This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.

Spatial distribution and temporal variation of hydrogeochemistry in coastal lagoons and groundwater on the eastern area of korea

  • Chanyoung Jeong;Soo Min Song;Woo-Hyun Jeon;Hee Sun Moon
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.247-247
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    • 2023
  • Coastal lagoons play a crucial role in water exchange, water quality, and biodiversity. It is essential to monitor and understand the dynamics of hydrogeochemistry in lagoon water and its groundwater to preserve and sustainably manage the groundwater-dependent ecosystems like coastal lagoons. This study investigated the spatial and temporal hydrogeochemical characteristics of coastal lagoon (Songjiho) and groundwater on the east coast of Korea. The concentrations of major ions, water isotopes, and nutrients (nitrogen and dissolved organic carbon) in lagoon water and groundwater were periodically monitored for one year. The study revealed that major ions and total dissolved solids (TDS) concentration were higher at deeper depths of aquifers and closer to the coastal area. The hydrogeochemical characteristics of coastal lagoon and groundwater chemistry were classified into two types, Ca-Mg-HCO3 and Na-Cl, based on their spatial location from inland to coastal area. Moreover, the hydrogeochemical characteristics of coastal lagoons and groundwater varied significantly depending on the season. During the wet season, the increased precipitation and evaporation lead to changes in water chemistry. As a result, the total organic carbon (TOC) of coastal lagoons increases during this season, likely due to increased runoff by rainfall whereas the variation of chemical compositions in the lagoon and groundwater were not significant because there is reduced precipitation, resulting in stable water levels and during the dry season. The study emphasizes the impact of spatial distribution and seasonal changes in precipitation, evaporation, and river discharge on the hydrogeochemical characteristics of the coastal aquifer and lagoon system. Understanding these impacts is crucial for managing and protecting coastal lagoons and groundwater resources.

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산지사면에서의 TDR을 이용한 토양수분 집중모니터링을 통한 토양수분 감쇄특성 분석 (Analysis of Soil Moisture Recession Characteristics on Hillslope through the ~ntensive Monitoring Using TDR)

  • 이가영;김상현;김기훈;이혜선
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.78-90
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    • 2005
  • 각 지점의 강우 발생에 따른 토양수분의 감쇄 현상을 특성화 할 수 있는 감쇄 곡선의 경험식을 도출하였다. 시간에 따른 토양수분의 감쇄 곡선은 거의 모든 지점에서 지표와 지하에 걸친 토양수분 측정 자료들과 높은 일치성을 나타내었다. 각 사면에서의 감쇄 특성 을 살펴보면 사면 상부에서 하부로 내려올수록 추정된 감쇄 곡선에 보다 더 수렴하는 경향을 보였다. 또한 각 지점별로 감쇄 곡선이 각 강우에 대하여 재현되는 경향을 보여 각 지점에서 포화와 감쇄가 각 지점의 고유한 특성을 가지고 있음을 나타내었다. 또한, 강우 발생에 대한 토양수분의 감쇄와 충전 등의 사면의 특성화에 기준이나 지표로서의 습윤지수의 유의성을 확인할 수 있었다. 궁극적으로 사면 유출의 명확한 기작을 규명하는데 있어서 보다 더 객관적인 검증을 위하여 계절별, 연별과 같은 추가적인 토양수분의 측정과 정밀도 있는 자료의 분석이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

영일만 수질환경과 식물플랑크톤의 시·공간적 분포 (Spatial and Temporal Variability of Phytoplankton in Relation to Environmental Factors in Youngil Bay)

  • 심정민;권기영;정희동;최용규;김상우
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.1683-1690
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    • 2013
  • We investigated the spatial and temporal variations of phytoplankton in Youngil Bay as well as the effect of water physico-chemical parameters. Water samples at three stations were collected and measured monthly from May to November in 2010. The taxa of phytoplankton observed in this study were classified as 33 Bacillariophyceae, 23 Dinophyceae, 1 Euglenophyceae, 2 Crysophyceae and 1 Cryptophyceae. The highest biomass of phytoplankton was observed at inner station in September, which was characterized high concentration of dissolved inorganic phosphate(DIP) in surface water after rainfall. Nutrient concentrations, chlorophyll-a and phytoplankton biomass values showed the marked trend to decrease from the inner bay to the outer bay. Pearson's correlation co-efficient between salinity and other water parameters including chlorophyll-a, pH and DIP showed the strong negative relationship r=-0.82, r=-0.78 and r=-0.75 (p<0.01), respectively. These results indicate that the water quality of Youngil Bay could be stimulated by nutrient enriched input from Hyeogsan River discharge, and the spatial and temporal distribution of phytoplankton biomass principally limited to DIP concentration from Hyeogsan river.