• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권2호
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• pp.395-403
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• 2017

An efficient evaluation method for the probability of a tornado missile strike without using the Monte Carlo method is proposed in this paper. A major part of the proposed probability evaluation is based on numerical results computed using an in-house code, Tornado-borne missile analysis code, which enables us to evaluate the liftoff and flight behaviors of unconstrained objects on the ground driven by a tornado. Using the Tornado-borne missile analysis code, we can obtain a stochastic correlation between local wind speed and flight distance of each object, and this stochastic correlation is used to evaluate the conditional strike probability, $Q_V(r)$, of a missile located at position r, where the local wind speed is V. In contrast, the annual exceedance probability of local wind speed, which can be computed using a tornado hazard analysis code, is used to derive the probability density function, p(V). Then, we finally obtain the annual probability of tornado missile strike on a structure with the convolutional integration of product of $Q_V(r)$ and p(V) over V. The evaluation method is applied to a simple problem to qualitatively confirm the validity, and to quantitatively verify the results for two extreme cases in which an object is located just in the vicinity of or far away from the structure.

• 항공우주시스템공학회지
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• 제14권spc호
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• pp.49-55
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• 2020

항공사에서 운용되는 수송급 항공기는 평균적으로 연 1회(또는 1,000~20,000 비행시간 당 1회) 낙뢰에 피격되는 것으로 추정된다. 그러나 피격 확률이 중요한 것이 아니라 항공기가 낙뢰에 피격된다는 사실이 중요하다. 그러므로 인증 과정에서 항공기의 낙뢰보호설계가 검증되고 낙뢰 관련 감항기준에 대한 적합성이 입증되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 우선적으로 우리나라 최초로 민간 형식증명을 획득한 KC-100 비행기 및 일부 시험 사례 분석을 통해 낙뢰에 대한 적합성 입증방법을 고찰하였다. 향후 본 논문을 바탕으로 우주발사체에 대한 낙뢰 영향성도 고찰해 볼 필요가 있다.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.566-578
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• 2017

For optimizing the operation plan when strike packages attack multiple targets, this article suggests a new mathematical model and a parallel hybrid genetic algorithm (PHGA) as a solution methodology. In the model, a package can assault multiple targets on a sortie and permitted the use of mixed munitions for a target. Furthermore, because the survival probability of a package depends on a flight route, it is formulated as a mixed integer programming which is synthesized the models for vehicle routing and weapon-target assignment. The hybrid strategy of the solution method (PHGA) is also implemented by the separation of functions of a GA and an exact solution method using ILOG CPLEX. The GA searches the flight routes of packages, and CPLEX assigns the munitions of a package to the targets on its way. The parallelism enhances the likelihood seeking the optimal solution via the collaboration among the HGAs.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.237-245
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• 2019

In deep mixed rock strata, a double shield TBM (DS-TBM) is easy to be entrapped by a large force during tunneling. In order to reduce the probability of the entrapment, we need to investigate a favorable driving direction, either driving with or against dip, which mainly associates with the angle between the tunneling axis and strike, ${\theta}$, as well as the dip angle of rock strata, ${\alpha}$. We, therefore, establish a 3DEC model to show the changes of displacements and contact forces in mixed rock strata through LDP (longitudinal displacement profile) and LFP (longitudinal contact force profile) curves at four characteristic points on the surrounding rock. This is followed by a series of numerical models to investigate the favorable driving direction. The computational results indicate driving with dip is the favorable tunneling direction to reduce the probability of DS-TBM entrapment, irrespective of ${\theta}$ and ${\alpha}$, which is not in full agreement with the guidelines proposed in RMR. From the favorable driving direction (i.e., driving with dip), the smallest contact force is found when ${\theta}$ is equal to $90^{\circ}$. The present study is therefore beneficial for route selection and construction design in TBM tunneling.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2000년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Fall 2000
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• pp.33-40
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• 2000

The assessment of earthquake hazards involved consideration of earthquake magnitude, frequency, last movement and probability of occurrence. The appraisal of earthquake potential is feasible because historical data show a good correlation between earthquake size and the fault rupture parameters of length, displacement, and area. Additionally, the characteristics of fault behavior should be considered to evaluate the earthquake potential magnitude. In this study, in order to evaluate the earth quake potential by the fault behavioral patterns, based on the experimental background which the geometric characteristics of the individual domains, such as strike, width, fault tip patterns, and orientation of secondary shears reflect sliding behavioral patterns in each section, the straight sections of A, D and E domains were examined to the creeping section of stably sliding. In contrast, the curved section of B domain was examined to the locked section of stick-slip movement. These results of studies can be applied to evaluate the earthquake potential magnitude from the fault structural parameters.

• 산업공학
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.274-280
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• 2011

Delayed access to surgery may lead to deterioration in the patient condition, poor clinical outcomes, increase in the probability of emergency admission, or even death. The purpose of this work is to decide the number of patients selected from a waiting list and to schedule them in accordance with the operating room capacity in the next period. We formulate the problem as an infinite horizon Markov Decision Process (MDP), which attempts to strike a balance between the patient waiting times and overtime works. Structural properties of the proposed model are investigated to facilitate the solution procedure. The proposed procedure modifies the conventional value iteration method along with the binary search technique. An example of the optimal policy is provided, and computational results are given to show that the proposed procedure improves computational efficiency.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.59-68
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• 2004

Unmanned surface vehicles(USVs) have been developed for special operations in foreign navies. These will be employed to conduct critical missions including inspection, coast guard, ISR, fire protection, precision strike, mine interception warfare and antisubmarine warfare. It is also known the USVs will be deployed at the front line of the network-centric warfare to replace the manned naval operations. The unmanned operation can, thus, minimize unnecessary risk to personnel and enhance the success probability for the imposed mission. In this research, the USVs which are under operation and development in foreign navies are investigated. Based on this, an USV with $7\~10m$ of length and 10ton of weight for the Korean Navy which can be deployed near the Northern Limit Line(NLL), is proposed.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.624-635
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• 2019

항공교통 수요 증가로 항공기의 운항이 증가하면서 항공기 동체와 조류가 충돌하는 조류 충돌 사고가 매년 증가하고 있다. 이에 각 공항에서는 조류 충돌 사고기록을 바탕으로 항공기에 피해를 줄 것으로 예상되는 조류 종을 파악하고 순위를 매겨 충돌 위험을 효과적으로 평가 및 관리할 수 있는 연구를 수행하고 있다. 본 연구는 김포, 김해 및 제주국제공항에서 2005년부터 2013년까지 수집된 통합운항정보시스템 (Integrated Flight Information Service, IFIS) 자료를 바탕으로 항공기에 피해를 줄 것으로 예측되는 조류 종을 파악하고, 단일 및 다중 매트릭스 모델 간 위험성 평가 결과를 비교 분석 및 고찰하기 위해 수행되었다. 단일 매트릭스 모델을 통한 평가 결과 김포국제공항 및 김해국제공항에서는 왜가리, 독수리 2종과 백로류, 기러기류, 오리류, 갈매기류, 비둘기류 및 까마귀류가, 제주국제공항에서는 독수리, 까치 2종과 기러기류, 오리류, 갈매기류, 비둘기류 및 까마귀류가 '매우 높음' 또는 '높음'으로 평가되었다. 다중 매트릭스 모델을 통한 평가 결과 김포국제공항에서는 왜가리, 독수리, 까치 3종과 백로류, 기러기류, 오리류, 도요류 및 비둘기류가, 김해국제공항에서는 왜가리, 독수리, 찌르레기, 까치 4종과 백로류, 기러기류, 오리류, 도요류 및 비둘기류가, 제주국제공항에서는 왜가리, 까치 2종과 오리류, 도요류, 비둘기류가 '매우 심각' 또는 '매우 높음'으로 평가되었다. 모델 간 예측 결과에 있어 김포국제공항과 김해국제공항은 차이가 없었으나, 제주국제공항은 유의한 차이가 있었다. 이는 김포와 김해국제공항은 모두 하천의 하류에 위치하고 있어 대형 수조류들이 주로 관찰된 것에 반해 제주국제공항은 바다와 도심에 가까이 위치하고 있어 몸무게가 작은 소형 조류들이 많이 관찰되었기 때문이다. 이러한 종들과의 충돌이 항공기 동체에 미치는 영향이 적어 모델 간의 공통된 변수의 영향은 적었고, 추가적인 변수에 의해 두 모델의 평가 결과 간 큰 차이가 발생한 것으로 판단된다.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제29권12호
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• pp.68-76
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• 2015

We examine the standalone lightning warning system (LWS) and its warning performances for three years. This system acquires and analyzes the data of cloud-to-ground strike (CG), intra-cloud discharge (IC) and electrostatic field (EF) to produce prior warnings with respect to the impending arrival of CG in the area of concern (AOC). The warnings in this system are carried out based on the fixed two areas method. To evaluate warning performances, we analyzed the statistics of warnings with probability of detection (POD) and false alarm ratio (FAR). Based on the previous study, we revised the trigger and clear conditions of lightning warning for improving the performances of the system. As a result of this revision, POD increased from 0.18 to 0.44 and FAR decreased from 0.96 to 0.78 during the summer of 2014. However, the LWS was not possible to trigger effective alerts (EA) because there was no effective lead time (LT) for the fixed two areas method. Problems related to the low detection efficiency of IC and the use of EF data for warnings still decreased POD and increased FAR. Hence, we proposed the development method of a new LWS (NLWS) that would be composed of integrated weather data, the flexible two areas and the user software in order to trigger EA and improve warning performances.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권8호
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• pp.1589-1599
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• 2017

Field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) are getting more attention in safety-related and safety-critical application development of nuclear power plant instrumentation and control systems. The high logic density and advancements in architectural features make static random access memory (SRAM)-based FPGAs suitable for complex design implementations. Devices deployed in the nuclear environment face radiation particle strike that causes transient and permanent failures. The major reasons for failures are total ionization dose effects, displacement damage dose effects, and single event effects. Different from the case of space applications, soft errors are the major concern in terrestrial applications. In this article, a review of radiation effects on FPGAs is presented, especially soft errors in SRAM-based FPGAs. Single event upset (SEU) shows a high probability of error in the dependable application development in FPGAs. This survey covers the main sources of radiation and its effects on FPGAs, with emphasis on SEUs as well as on the measurement of radiation upset sensitivity and irradiation experimental results at various facilities. This article also presents a comparison between the major SEU mitigation techniques in the configuration memory and user logics of SRAM-based FPGAs.