• Title/Summary/Keyword: Standard Error of Estimate

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Standard Error of Empirical Bayes Estimate in NONMEM$^{(R)}$ VI

  • Kang, Dong-Woo;Bae, Kyun-Seop;Houk, Brett E.;Savic, Radojka M.;Karlsson, Mats O.
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2012
  • The pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics analysis software NONMEM$^{(R)}$ output provides model parameter estimates and associated standard errors. However, the standard error of empirical Bayes estimates of inter-subject variability is not available. A simple and direct method for estimating standard error of the empirical Bayes estimates of inter-subject variability using the NONMEM$^{(R)}$ VI internal matrix POSTV is developed and applied to several pharmacokinetic models using intensively or sparsely sampled data for demonstration and to evaluate performance. The computed standard error is in general similar to the results from other post-processing methods and the degree of difference, if any, depends on the employed estimation options.

Assessing the Precision of a Jackknife Estimator

  • Park, Dae-Su
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.4-10
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    • 2003
  • We introduce a new estimator of the uncertainty of a jackknife estimate of standard error: the jack-knife-after-jackknife (JAJ). Using Monte Carlo simulation, we assess the accuracy of the JAJ in a variety of settings defined by statistic of interest, data distribution, and sample size. For comparison, we also assess the accuracy of the jackknife-after-bootstrap (JAB) estimate of the uncertainty of a bootstrap standard error. We conclude that the JAJ provides a useful new supplement to Tukey's jackknife, and the combination of jackknife and JAJ provides a useful alternative to the combination of bootstrap and JAB.

Assessing the Precision of a Jackknife Estimator

  • Park, Daesu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2003
  • We introduce a new estimator of the uncertainty of a jackknife estimate of standard error: the jack-knife-after-jackknife (JAJ). Using Monte Carlo simulation, we assess the accuracy of the JAJ in a variety of settings defined by statistic of interest, data distribution, and sample size. For comparison, we also assess the accuracy of the jackknife-after-bootstrap (JAB) estimate of the uncertainty of a bootstrap standard error. We conclude that the JAJ provides a useful new supplement to Tukey's jackknife, and the combination of jackknife and JAJ provides a useful alternative to the combination of bootstrap and JAB.

A correction of SE from penalized partial likelihood in frailty models

  • Ha, Il-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.895-903
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    • 2009
  • The penalized partial likelihood based on restricted maximum likelihood method has been widely used for the inference of frailty models. However, the standard-error estimate for frailty parameter estimator can be downwardly biased. In this paper we show that such underestimation can be corrected by using hierarchical likelihood. In particular, the hierarchical likelihood gives a statistically efficient procedure for various random-effect models including frailty models. The proposed method is illustrated via a numerical example and simulation study. The simulation results demonstrate that the corrected standard-error estimate largely improves such bias.

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Bootstrap estimation of the standard error of treatment effect with double propensity score adjustment (이중 성향점수 보정 방법을 이용한 처리효과 추정치의 표준오차 추정: 붓스트랩의 적용)

  • Lim, So Jung;Jung, Inkyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2017
  • Double propensity score adjustment is an analytic solution to address bias due to incomplete matching. However, it is difficult to estimate the standard error of the estimated treatment effect when using double propensity score adjustment. In this study, we propose two bootstrap methods to estimate the standard error. The first is a simple bootstrap method that involves drawing bootstrap samples from the matched sample using the propensity score as well as estimating the standard error from the bootstrapped samples. The second is a complex bootstrap method that draws bootstrap samples first from the original sample and then applies the propensity score matching to each bootstrapped sample. We examined the performances of the two methods using simulations under various scenarios. The estimates of standard error using the complex bootstrap were closer to the empirical standard error than those using the simple bootstrap. The simple bootstrap methods tended to underestimate. In addition, the coverage rates of a 95% confidence interval using the complex bootstrap were closer to the advertised rate of 0.95. We applied the two methods to a real data example and found also that the estimate of the standard error using the simple bootstrap was smaller than that using the complex bootstrap.

Integer-Valued HAR(p) model with Poisson distribution for forecasting IPO volumes

  • SeongMin Yu;Eunju Hwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.273-289
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

Standard Error Analysis of Creep-Life Prediction Parameters of Type 316LN Stainless Steels (Type 316LN 강의 크리프 수명예측 파라메타의 표준오차 분석)

  • Kim, Woo-Gon;Yoon, Song-Nam;Ryu, Woo-Seog
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2004
  • A number of creep data were collected and filed for type 316LN stainless steels through literature survey and experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained for Larson Miller (L-M), Qrr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) parametric methods. In order to find out the suitability for them, the relative standard error (RSE) and standard error of estimate (SEE) values were obtained by statistical process of creep data. The O-S-D parameter showed better fitting to creep-rupture data than the L-M or the M-H parameters, and the three parametric methods did not generate the large difference in the SEE and the RSE values.

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지자기 전달함수의 로버스트 추정

  • Yang, Jun-Mo;O, Seok-Hun;Lee, Deok-Gi;Yun, Yong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2002
  • Geomagnetic transfer function is generally estimated by choosing transfer to minimize the square sum of differences between observed values. If the error structure sccords to the Gaussian distribution, standard least square(LS) can be the estimation. However, for non-Gaussian error distribution, the LS estimation can be severely biased and distorted. In this paper, the Gaussian error assumption was tested by Q-Q(Quantile-Quantile) plot which provided information of real error structure. Therefore, robust estimation such as regression M-estimate that does not allow a few bad points to dominate the estimate was applied for error structure with non-Gaussian distribution. The results indicate that the performance of robust estimation is similar to the one of LS estimation for Gaussian error distribution, whereas the robust estimation yields more reliable and smooth transfer function estimates than standard LS for non-Gaussian error distribution.

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Bootstrap of LAD Estimate in Infinite Variance AR(1) Processes

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 1997
  • This paper proves that the standard bootstrap approximation for the least absolute deviation (LAD) estimate of .beta. in AR(1) processes with infinite variance error terms is asymptotically valid in probability when the bootstrap resample size is much smaller than the original sample size. The theoretical validity results are supported by simulation studies.

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Absolute Vehicle Speed Estimation using Neural Network Model (신경망 모델을 이용한 차량 절대속도 추정)

  • Oh, Kyeung-Heub;Song, Chul-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2002
  • Vehicle dynamics control systems are. complex and non-linear, so they have difficulties in developing a controller for the anti-lock braking systems and the auto-traction systems. Currently the fuzzy-logic technique to estimate the absolute vehicle speed is good results in normal conditions. But the estimation error in severe braking is discontented. In this paper, we estimate the absolute vehicle speed by using the wheel speed data from standard 50-tooth anti-lock braking system wheel speed sensors. Radial symmetric basis function of the neural network model is proposed to implement and estimate the absolute vehicle speed, and principal component analysis on input data is used. Ten algorithms are verified experimentally to estimate the absolute vehicle speed and one of those is perfectly shown to estimate the vehicle speed with a 4% error during a braking maneuver.