• Title/Summary/Keyword: Shift-Share Analysis

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A Study on Characteristics of Industrial Structure by Shift-Share Analysis : The Case of Chungnam Geumgang Area (변이할당분석을 이용한 충청남도 금강권 산업구조 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Rok;Lee, Jong-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2014
  • This study, in order to complement instability of analysis result stemming from the choice between reference point and comparison point which is pointed out as the defect of shift-share analysis, conducted shift-share analysis using Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) trend of Geumgang area, Chungcheongnam-do for the period from 2000 to 2011. As a result of the analysis, (1) industries that had both the positive Regional Share Effect (RSE) and Industrial Mixed Effect (IME) were service industries such as manufacturing industry, electricity gas, transportation industry, art, etc., which are positively influencing the regional industry. (2) industries that had both the negative RSE and IME were other service industries such as wholesale and retail businesses, lodging industry, food industry, real estate business and leasing service, business service industry, public administration, etc., which provide basic livelihood services for the residents. (3) industries that had the positive RSE and negative IME were agriculture, forestry and fishery industry, mining industry, construction industry, and educational service industry. (4) industries that had the negative RSE and positive IME were info-communications industry, financial and insurance businesses, health industry, etc.

Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis of FDI Inflow into Korea: Comparison to Developed Countries (동태적 변이-할당분석을 이용한 대한(對韓) 외국인직접투자 유입요인 분석: 선진국과의 비교)

  • Sohn, Jung-Soo;Cho, Jungran;Lee, Sanghack
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2014
  • Applying the dynamic shift-share analysis, this paper decomposes inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) of Korea for the period of 2003-2012 into three components: world growth effect, industry-mix effect and competitive effect. Taking the group of developed countries as population for comparison, this paper finds that Korea has been lagging behind the group of developed countries in attracting FDIs, thereby having recorded negative aggregate industry-mix effects and negative aggregate competitive effects as well. However, the following industries have recorded positive competitive effects: textiles, chemicals, electrical and electronic equipment, motor vehicles and other transport equipment, hotels and restaurants and business services. Moreover, in the sub-period of 2008-2012, positive competitive effects have been recorded for most manufacturing industries. This reflects the fact that inward FDI into Korea has not been affected much by the financial crisis of 2009.

Analysis of Characteristics of Chungnam Area Tourism Industrial Structure by Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis (동태적 변이할당분석을 이용한 충남지역 관광산업 구조 특성 분석)

  • Choi, Seung-Mook
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.396-405
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    • 2015
  • Based on the number of employees and sales of tourism establishments in Chungnam ares for the period from 2009 to 2013, this study analyzes the regional growth characteristic of tourism industry using dynamic shift-share analysis. The data used for this analysis are obtained from "The Census on Basic Characteristic of Tourism Establishments". This study decomposes characteristics of Chungnam Area tourism industrial structure into three components: national growth effect, industrial mix effect and regional share effect. The results help to well understand the development and the competitive situation of Chungnam area tourism industry.

Employment Growth and Industrial Change in Cheongju, 1985-2005: An Analysis Using a Shift-Share Model (청주의 고용 성장과 산업 변화, 1985-2005: 변이할당모형에 의한 분석)

  • Kim, Hak-Hoon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.325-341
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    • 2011
  • The population and employment of Cheongju have increased rapidly since the 1970s. This study examines the industrial employment change of Cheongju City and performs a shift-share analysis for the employment growth. The data used in this study are mainly from the 1985, 2000 and 2005 Census of Population and Housing. This study first explained the population change and industrial structure of Cheongju, then reviewed the development of shift-share models. Location quotients and specialization coefficients resulted from this study revealed the diversifying tendency in the urban industrial structure. Shift-share analysis employing the modified Arcelus model elucidated the favorable industrial mix and the competitiveness of industrial sectors. As a whole, Cheongju has advantageous industrial structure in comparison with that of the nation. All sectors of Cheongju except several services sectors grew faster than those of the nation and showed positive competitive effects. It is suggested to utilize more disaggregated industrial data in more fractured subperiod in order to pinpoint the competitive industries.

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Decomposition of Daesan Port's Exports: Neighbor Spatial Effect (대산항 수출변동의 요인별 분해: 근린공간효과를 중심으로)

  • Mo, Soo-Won;Park, Jeong-Hwan;Lee, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2018
  • The standard shift-share analysis decomposes a region's sectoral growth into three components: national, industry-mix, and regional-shift effects. Nevertheless, the three components of the traditional shift-share are not related to the behavior of the regional economies that are neighbors of the region under analysis. We incorporate a spatial structure within this basic formulation, and consider spatial interaction in the decomposition analysis. Daesan Port's export grew steadily at an annualized average rate of 4.0% during 2011-2017, and its rank, in terms of export performance, was 13 in 2010; this rose to 6 in 2016, then declined slightly to 7 in 2017 before reaching 6 as of June, 2018. However, not all ports have a similar growth path. The Onsan Port's share declined from 27.4% in 2011 to 21.0% to 2017, whereas the share of petroleum product exports of Daesan Port increased rapidly, from approximately 8.5% in 2011 to 16.0% in 2017. The standard shift-share analysis shows that petroleum products and basic petrochemicals have a positive regional in dustry-mix effect, but petrochemistry materials and synthetic resins have a negative sign, indicating that the former's exports grow faster than national export, while the increase of the latter's export is slower than national one. The spatial shift-share model indicates that for both petroleum products and basic petrochemicals, Incheon and Ulsan Ports have a positive value for the neighbor-nation regional shift effect and a positive value for the region-neighbor regional shift effect. This paper also shows that Yeosu Port for petroleum products; Ulsan Port for basic petrochemicals; Ulsan, Onsan and Yeosu Ports for petrochemistry materials; and Ulsan, Busan, and Incheon Ports for synthetic resins have a positive value for the neighbor-nation regional shift effect but a negative value for the region-neighbor regional shift effect.

Analysis of Export Competitiveness of Gwangyang Port Using Constant Market Shares Analysis, Shift-share Analysis, and Comparative Advantage (Disadvantage) by Countries (불변시장점유율분석, 변이할당분석, 국별비교우위지수, 국별비교열위지수를 이용한 광양항의 수출경쟁력 분석)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2017
  • This paper examines the export structure of Gwangyang Port and evaluates its comparative advantage from 2005 to 2016 using the Comparative Advantage by Countries (CAC) index. It is found that: (i) Gwangyang Port has a comparative advantage in HS 39 and HS 28, an unstable comparative advantage in HS 29 but a comparative disadvantage in HS 72; and (ii) 4 items have the common features of losing their comparative advantage. Constant market share analysis allows one to evaluate why the exports of one region may grow faster than world exports. This consists of the commodity composition effect, the scale effect, and the competitive effect. Constant market share analysis shows that the commodity composition effect influences exports negatively while the scale effect does exports positively. Shift-share analysis can help evaluate the change in a region's performance relative to the nation over a given period of time. The result indicates that HS 28 has not only favorable industrial mix effect but high competitive share effect, while HS 29 has unfavorable industrial mix effect as well as low competitive share effect. This paper also reveals that industrial mix effect of HS 39 is positive but its competitive share effect is negative, whereas the former is negative but the latter is positive in case of HS 29.

A Development Framework of Processed Fishery Products Using Regional Specialization (지역특성화를 이용한 수산가공품의 개발 프레임워크)

  • Kim, Jin-Baek
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • The proportions of both the fishery industry and the gross regional domestic product in the national economy are gradually decreasing. If high value-added processed fishery products suitable for regional characteristics are developed, these proportions can be improved. In pursuit of this, it is first necessary to discover processed fishery products specialized in each region and then establish a development framework for them. In this study, location coefficient was used to find processed fishery products specialized in each region. Then, dynamic shift-share analysis was used to establish a development framework which consisted of four development types of processed fishery products. Based on the magnitudes of the industrial mix effect and the regional shift effect, the supporting strategy directions were proposed for four development types of processed fishery products. The supporting strategy directions were all focused on revitalizing the local economy.

Change of Knowledge Intensive Service Sectors' Employment in Two Highway Corridors on the U.S. East Coast (미국 동부 연안 I-95, I-85회랑지대의 지식 기반 서비스업 고용 변화에 대한 연구)

  • Song, Ye-Na;Anderson, William P.;Lakshmanan, T.R.
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.584-600
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    • 2010
  • Aiming to reveal the employment evolution around interstate highway corridors, an extended shift-share analysis is conducted for metropolitan areas in two interstate highway corridors on the U.S. east coast: I-95 and I-85. Our focus is on knowledge service sectors, specifically finance, insurance, business services and health services for two time periods, 1977-1990 and 1990-2005. In the first period, the two corridors' metropolitan areas have outperformed their regions in terms of both output and labor productivity. But this picture turned negative in later period with some variation by industries. Also variation in performance over time was found even in metropolitan areas in the same corridor or in geographically adjacent areas.

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A Study on Competitiveness Improvement of Chittagong Container Port

  • Haque Md Jubair;Woo-Chul Ahn
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.439-451
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Market structure is crucial to identify as it defines the market states for new and existing container ports to perform within a given region. the study aims to compare the major ports in the Bay of Bengal in the context of Chittagong Port. Design/methodology/approach - For this study, the past 9 years of container volume data have been collected and analyzed through the HHI index, BCG matrix and shift effect analysis. Based on the analysis, this study has found that the Chittagong Port is in an oligopoly competitive market structure. Findings - The findings have shown that port in low market share and low growth in very recent years with the moderately concentrated ports HHI index. The shift effect analysis shows that the container volumes shifted from one port to another in the 2019 and 2020 periods. This study is the pioneer study in the Bay of Bengal region to identify the market structure, analyze market share and growth, and analyze the market concentration. Research implications or Originality - Future recommendations for the port authority is to take advantage of geolocation; attract international; tax exemption, faster clearance process, reduced waiting charges; increasing storage and technological machinery; promoting maritime logistics education; promoting Chittagong tourism; collaboration with other countries. Also, this study can be used as basic data for the establishment of a new supply chain between Korea and Southwest Asia for the Korean government and companies.

A Decomposition Analysis of FDI Inflow into Korea - Shift-Share Analysis, 2003-2006 - (한국 외국인직접투자 유입요인의 분해분석 - 변이할당분석, 2003-2006 -)

  • Lee, Sanghack;Cheong, Kiwoong;Kim, Jeongsook
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.145-161
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    • 2009
  • Applying the shift-share analysis, this paper decomposes FDI inflow into Korea for the period of 2003-2006. The paper finds that Korea has been lagging behind the world average in absorbing inward FDI, thereby recording negative aggregate industry-mix effects and negative aggregate competitive effects as well. However, the following industries have recorded positive competitive effect: electrical and electronic equipment, motor vehicles and other transport equipment, hotels and restaurants, transport, storage and communications, finance, and business services. In a nutshell, Korea is revealed to have competitive advantage in absorbing inward FDI in a few manufacturing industries and most of service industries. Government policies should accordingly be focused on these industries to encourage more inward FDIs.