• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.205-220
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• 2016

경제통계에서 기조적 변동인 추세변동과 순환변동을 살펴보려면 경제통계에서 달력변동을 포함한 계절변동을 적절히 제거하는 계절조정이 필요하다. 계절조정방법으로는 전년동기대비 증감률과 같이 간편한 방식이 있지만 통계작성기관에서는 이동평균 또는 시계열모형을 기반으로 한 X-12-ARIMA 또는 TRAMO-SEATS를 이용하여 계절조정계열을 작성한다. 통계청과 한국은행은 X-12-ARIMA 또는 X-13ARIMA-SEATS에 우리나라 고유의 명절, 공휴일 등을 추가로 보정한 계절조정방법을 만들고 이를 이용하여 우리나라 주요 경제통계의 계절조정계열을 작성, 공표하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 그 동안의 연구를 바탕으로 계절조정의 기본 원리와 우리나라의 계절조정 현황을 정리하고, 월별 산업생산지수(제조업)와 취업자의 계절조정을 통해 계절조정의 주요 쟁점을 정리하였다.

• 설비공학논문집
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.173-179
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• 1998

An experimental study was conducted on the effect of compressor capacity control range of heat pump on the seasonal energy efficiency ratio with variation of the maximum and minimum compressor input frequencies. To obtain seasonal energy efficiency ratio, steady state test at the maximum, minimum and intermediate compressor speed and cyclic test at the minimum compressor speed should be conducted. Maximum input frequency was varied to 95Hz, 105Hz, and 115Hz, and the minimum input frequency was varied to 35Hz, 45Hz, and 55Hz. The seasonal energy efficiency ratio increased as the input frequency of the compressor decreased. The maximum input frequency had only slight effects on the SEER.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.131-136
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• 2000

The seasonal data obtained at National Fisheries Research and Development Institute from 1989 to 1994 were analyzed to investigate the seasonal variations of temperature and salinity in incheon coastal area. In the tidal flats covering from Incheon harbor to Sorae, the mean temperatures are higher, the amplitudes of flats, the mean salinities are lower, its amplitudes are larger, and its phases are later than those of outer tidal flats. These suggest that Inchion coastal area may be divided into two areas: the tidal flats from Incheon harbor to Sorae, which is largely influenced by the seasonal variation of solar heating, precipitation and evaporation and the outer tidal flats, which is slightly influenced by the effects of seasonal variation of salinity.

• 호남수학학술지
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.521-533
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• 2008

We investigate a periodically forced Lotka-Volterra type predator-prey system with impulsive perturbations - seasonal effects on the prey, periodic releasing of natural enemies(predator) and spraying pesticide at the same fixed times. We show that the solutions of the system are bounded using the comparison theorems and find conditions for the stability of a stable prey-free solution and for the permanence of the system.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.93-102
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• 2011

본 연구는 관광수요 예측 분야에서 사용되는 계절형 ARIMA 모형과 다변량 계절형 시계열 모형과 오차수정모형의 성능을 비교한 것이다. 본 연구에서는 일본, 중국, 미국, 필리핀에 대한 실제 자료를 이용한 결과 관광 수요에는 계절성이 중요한 역할을 하는 것을 보이고 각 국가별로 예측 정확도를 RMSE를 기준으로 하여 비교하였다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2007

This paper presents the effects of an increase or a decrease of a power reserve by load flow calculations under the seasonal load patterns of each country for the future power shortages faced by the metropolitan areas or by the southeastern area of South Korea in North-East Asia. In this paper, the various cases of the power system interconnections in Far-East Asia are presented, and the resulting interconnected power systems are simulated by means of a power flow analysis performed with the PSS/E 28 version tool. Data for simulation were obtained from the 2-th long term plan of electricity supply and demand in KEPCO. The power flow map is drawn from simulated data and the comparative study is done. In the future, a power flow analysis will be considered to reflect the effects of seasonal power exchanges. And the plan of assumed scenarios will be considered with maximum or minimum power exchanges during summer or winter in North-East Asian countries.

• 한국보육지원학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.53-72
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• 2023

Objective: This study examined the effects of cooking activities related to seasonal customs on the language expression ability and pro-social behaviors of young children. Methods: Participants consisted of thirty-four 5-year-old children who were attending S preschool in Jeollanamdo. Seventeen children belonged to the experimental group and seventeen children to the comparative group. The experimental group participated in cooking activities related to seasonal customs, and the comparative group in cooking activities according to life themes of Nuri curriculum. Results: The results of this study revealed a significant improvement in the language expression ability and pro-social behaviors of young children in the experimental group. That is to say, the scores of the language expression ability and pro-social behaviors of the experimental group were significantly higher than those of the comparative group. Conclusion/Implications: This study carries significant implications for the early childhood field as it provides valuable insight into teaching-learning activities that effectively enhance the language expression ability and pro-social behaviors of young children.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.417-426
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• 2019

This study was conducted to evaluate seasonal effects on production performance of lactation sows reared in two different environments in South Korea. A total of 76 sows ($Landrace{\times}Yorkshire$) from the Dankook University experimental farm and 120 sows ($Landrace{\times}Yorkshire$) from a commercial farm were collected. In the current study, reduced (p < 0.01) feed intake and energy intake during lactation were observed in warm season compared with cool season in both farms. Sows in cool season had higher backfat thickness at weaning but lower back fat loss (p < 0.01) than those in warm season. The weaning to estrus interval was lower (p < 0.01) in cool season than in warm season. Piglets weaned in warm season had lower (p < 0.01) body weight (BW), body weight gain (BWG), and average daily gain (ADG) at weaning than did those weaned in cool season on the Dankook University farm, whereas the reduction effect was only observed during 0 - 21 d on the commercial farm (p < 0.01). Moreover, piglets weaned in cool season had higher BW, BWG, and ADG (p < 0.05) on both farms. In conclusion, our results indicate that warm season had very negative effects on feed intake and production performance of lactating sows and piglets.

• 대한지구과학교육학회지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.151-164
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• 2019

이 연구의 목적은 단계별 질문을 활용해 '계절의 변화' 단원을 재구성함으로써 학생들의 오개념 변화에 어떠한 효과가 있는지 확인해 보고자 한 것이다. 대부분의 학생들은 계절 변화의 원인을 설명하는데 자신의 경험을 바탕으로 하여 선개념을 구성하고 있었다. 그래서 개발한 수업에서는 학생들이 갖고 있는 선개념 중 오개념을 조사하고 이에 대한 지도 계획을 '개념 변화를 위한 수업 설계 요소'로 명시하여 핵심 교수 학습 내용이 되도록 단원을 재구성하였다. 연구 결과, 실험 집단의 24명 학생들을 대상으로 과학 개념 검사를 실시하여 통계적으로 유의미한 효과가 있음을 알 수 있었다. 또한 질적 분석을 실시한 결과, 계절 변화를 설명할 때 활성화한 개념적 자원의 수와 계절 변화를 설명하는 구체성의 정도가 비교 집단에 비해 높음을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대기
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.367-379
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• 2022

In this paper, the evaluation of the performance of Korea Meteorological Administratio (KMA) Global Seasonal forecasting system version 6 (GloSea6) is presented by assessing the effects of larger ensemble size and carrying out the test using different initial conditions for hindcast in sub-seasonal to seasonal scales. The number of ensemble members increases from 3 to 7. The Ratio of Predictable Components (RPC) approaches the appropriate signal magnitude with increase of ensemble size. The improvement of annual variability is shown for all basic variables mainly in mid-high latitude. Over the East Asia region, there are enhancements especially in 500 hPa geopotential height and 850 hPa wind fields. It reveals possibility to improve the performance of East Asian monsoon. Also, the reliability tends to become better as the ensemble size increases in summer than winter. To assess the effects of using different initial conditions, the area-mean values of normalized bias and correlation coefficients are compared for each basic variable for hindcast according to the four initial dates. The results have better performance when the initial date closest to the forecasting time is used in summer. On the seasonal scale, it is better to use four initial dates, where the maximum size of the ensemble increases to 672, mainly in winter. As the use of larger ensemble size, therefore, it is most efficient to use two initial dates for 60-days prediction and four initial dates for 6-months prediction, similar to the current Time-Lagged ensemble method.