• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.49-57
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• 2010

We extended a general attack tree to apply cyber attack model for network vulnerability analysis. We defined an extended cyber attack tree (E-CAT) which extends the general attack tree by associating each node of the tree with a transition of attack that could have contributed to the cyber attack. The E-CAT resolved the limitation that a general attack tree can not express complex and sophisticate attacks. Firstly, the Boolean expression can simply express attack scenario with symbols and codes. Secondary, An Attack Generation Probability is used to select attack method in an attack tree. A CONDITION-composition can express new and modified attack transition which a aeneral attack tree can not express. The E-CAT is possible to have attack's flexibility and improve attack success rate when it is applied to cyber attack model.

• 정보보호학회논문지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.67-74
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 복잡하고 변형된 공격을 탐지할 수 있는 사이버 공격 모델을 위해서 공격 시나리오를 유연하게 표현할 수 있는 능동적인 사이버 공격 트리를 제안하였다. 공격 트리는 네트워크 시스템에 대한 다양한 공격에 대해 보안 대책을 수립할 수 있도록 체계적이고 조직적인 해결책을 제시한다. 기존의 공격 트리는 정점 (${\nu}$), 엣지(${\varepsilon}$) 그리고 조합(${\theta}$)을 이용하여 공격 시나리오를 표현할 수 있다. 그러나 제한적인 애트리뷰트를 인해서 복잡하고 변형된 공격을 표현하기에는 한계가 있다. 우리는 공격 트리 애트리뷰트에 조합 요소와 위협발생확률을 추가하여 기존에 공격 트리가 갖고 있던 한계점을 해결하였다. 우선 조합요소를 강화하여 공격 순서의 모호성을 줄였으며 변형된 공격 표현의 유연성을 향상시켰다. 위협발생확률을 추가하여 자식노드부터 부모노드까지의 공격단계별 위험수준을 알 수 있게 하였다.

• Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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• 제18권6호
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• pp.350-358
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• 2017

Recently, owing to increased interest in low-carbon energy supplies, renewable energy sources such as photovoltaics and wind turbines in distribution networks have received considerable attention for generating clean and unlimited energy. The presence of energy storage systems (ESSs) in the promising field of active distribution networks (ADNs) would have direct impact on power system problems such as encountered in probabilistic distributed generation (DG) model studies. Hence, the optimal procedure is offered herein, in which the simultaneous placement of an ESS, photovoltaic-based DG, and wind turbine-based DG in an ADN is taken into account. The main goal of this paper is to maximize the net present value of the loss reduction benefit by considering the price of electricity for each load state. The proposed framework consists of a scenario tree method for covering the existing uncertainties in the distribution network's load demand as well as DG. The collected results verify the considerable effect of concurrent installation of probabilistic DG models and an ESS in defining the optimum site of DG and the ESS and they demonstrate that the optimum operation of an ESS in the ADN is consequently related to the highest value of the loss reduction benefit in long-term planning as well. The results obtained are encouraging.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.526-533
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• 2011

Contracting is said to be a high-risk business, and a common cause of business failure is related to cash management. A contractor's financial viability depends heavily on how actual payments from an owner deviate from those defined in the contract. The paper presents a method for contractors to evaluate the punctuality and fullness of owner payments based on historical behaviour. It does this by classifying owners according to their late and incomplete payment practices. A payment profile of an owner, in the form of aging claims submitted by the contractor, is used as a basis for the method's development. Regression trees are constructed based on three predictor variables, namely, the average time to payment following a claim, the total amount ending up being paid within a certain period and the level of variability in claim response times. The Tree package in the publicly available R program is used for building the trees. The analysis is particularly useful for contractors at the pre-tendering stage, when contractors predict the likely payment scenario in an upcoming project. Based on the method, the contractor can decide whether to tender or not tender, or adjust its financial preparations accordingly. The paper is a contribution in risk management applied to claim and dispute resolution practice. It is argued that by contractors having a better understanding of owner payment behaviour, fewer disputes and contractor business failures will occur.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제59권3호
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• pp.164-172
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• 2022

A HAZID is a brainstorming workshop to identify hazards in an early phase of a project. It should be flexible to capture all probable accidents allowing experienced participants to exploit their expertise and experiences. A bowtie analysis is a graphical representation of major accident hazards elaborating safety measures i.e. barriers. The result of these workshops should be documented in an organized manner to share as good as possible details of the discussion through the lifetime of the project. Currently results are documented using a three-step representation of an accident; causes, top event and consequences, which cannot capture correctly sequence of events leading to various accidents and roles of barrier between two events. Another problem is that barriers would be shown repeatedly leading to a misunderstanding that there are an enough number of safety measures. A new bowtie analysis method is proposed to describe an accident in multiple steps showing relations among causes or consequences. With causes and consequences shown in a format of a tree, the frequencies of having the top event (Fault tree analysis) and various consequences (Event tree analysis) are evaluated automatically based on the frequency of initiating causes and the probabilities of failure of barriers. It will provide a good description of the accident scenario and help the risk to be assessed transparently.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.48-53
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 LPG용기를 취급판매 하는 소매상점에의 화재 및 폭발 상황시 인근 아파트 단지에 얼마나 영향을 주는지에 관한 피해 분석을 하였다. 위험성 평가는 피해분석과 빈도분석으로 이루어지는데 여기서는 피해분석에 중점을 두고 수행하였다. 피해분석을 위하여 두 개의 최악시나리오를 Event Tree Analysis를 통하여 선정하였다. 선정된 시나리오를 바탕으로 W equivalent Method와 컴퓨터 모델링을 통하여 과압과 비산정도를 예측하였다. 이를 바탕으로 소매상점으로부터 거리별 영향분석을 실시하여 폭발사고 발생시 실제 얼마만큼의 위험 영향이 미치는지를 정량적 분석으로 표현하였다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제17권8호
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• pp.2188-2208
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• 2023

Quality of Service (QoS) is a critical feature of Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs) with routing algorithms. Data packets are moved between cluster heads with QoS using a number of energy-efficient routing techniques. However, sustaining high scalability while increasing the life of a WSN's networks scenario remains a challenging task. Thus, this research aims to develop an energy-balancing component that ensures equal energy consumption for all network sensors while offering flexible routing without congestion, even at peak hours. This research work proposes a Gravitational Blackhole Search Optimised splay tree routing framework. Based on the splay tree topology, the routing procedure is carried out by the suggested method using three distinct steps. Initially, the proposed GBSO decides the optimal route at initiation phases by choosing the root node with optimum energy in the splay tree. In the selection stage, the steps for energy update and trust update are completed by evaluating a novel reliance function utilising the Parent Reliance (PR) and Grand Parent Reliance (GPR). Finally, in the routing phase, using the fitness measure and the minimal distance, the GBSO algorithm determines the best route for data broadcast. The model results demonstrated the efficacy of the suggested technique with 99.52% packet delivery ratio, a minimum delay of 0.19 s, and a network lifetime of 1750 rounds with 200 nodes. Also, the comparative analysis ensured that the suggested algorithm surpasses the effectiveness of the existing algorithm in all aspects and guaranteed end-to-end delivery of packets.

• 예술인문사회 융합 멀티미디어 논문지
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.417-425
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• 2018

본 논문에서는 조선해양 작업장에서 발생하는 중대재해를 줄이고 체계적인 안전관리를 위하여 ETA(event tree analysis)기반 시나리오 도출 및 ICT 기술접목을 통한 안전관리 구축방안을 제안한다. 안전보건공단과 (구)국민안전처의 통계결과 조선해양 관련 중대재해 중 가장 많이 발생하는 사고유형은 떨어짐이고, 주요사고원인은 안전대 미착용 및 안전대 고리 미체결이다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 ETA기반의 시나리오를 작성하여 안전사항에 따른 결과를 도출하고 이 결과를 바탕으로 사고예방을 위한 ICT 기술접목으로 해결방안을 제시한다. ETA 기반 시나리오 도출 및 ICT 기술접목을 통해 제안한 해결방안으로는 안전대 및 안전모 착용여부 감지시스템, 안전대 고리 체결여부 감지시스템, 안전거리 측정을 위한 걸이설비 측정시스템이다. 안전사항별 시스템을 통해 작업자의 떨어짐 위험을 줄여 사망확률을 낮출 수 있다. 제안한 방안을 통해 사고를 예방함으로써 조선해양 분야의 중대재해를 줄이고 체계적인 안전관리를 도모한다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제15권8호
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• pp.5333-5341
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• 2014

최근 실내공간정보 기반의 시설물 운영관리에 대한 관심이 고조되면서 BIM과 GIS를 연계한 시설물 유지관리에 대한 다양한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 특히 대용량 데이터에 대한 형상정보의 가시화 처리는 중요한 이슈로, 유지관리 시스템 운영에 중요한 요소이다. 따라서 본 연구는 GIS 기반 BIM 모델의 효과적 가시화 구현을 위하여 IFC 스키마 기반의 시나리오를 통한 공간인덱싱 알고리즘을 설계하고, OcTree 기법을 적용하여 공간인덱싱 알고리즘을 일부 구현하였다. 구현된 결과를 IFC 샘플데이터에 테스트한 후 최종적으로 BIM 데이터의 효과적 가시화를 위한 공간인덱싱 기법을 제안한다.

• Ocean Systems Engineering
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.41-55
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• 2018

Accidental oil and gas leak is a critical concern for the offshore industry because it can lead to severe consequences and as a result, it is imperative to evaluate the probabilities of occurrence of the consequences of the leakage in order to assess the risk. Event Tree Analysis (ETA) is a technique to identify the consequences that can result from the occurrence of a hazardous event. The probability of occurrence of the consequences is evaluated by the ETA, based on the failure probabilities of the sequential events. Conventional ETA deals with events with crisp failure probabilities. In offshore applications, it is often difficult to arrive at a single probability measure due to lack of data or imprecision in data. In such a scenario, fuzzy set theory can be applied to handle imprecision and data uncertainty. This paper presents fuzzy ETA (FETA) methodology to compute the probability of the outcomes initiated due to oil/gas leak in an actual offshore-onshore installation. Post FETA, sensitivity analysis by Fuzzy Weighted Index (FWI) method is performed to find the event that has the maximum contribution to the severe sequences. It is found that events of 'ignition', spreading of fire to 'equipment' and 'other areas' are the highest contributors to the severe consequences, followed by failure of 'leak detection' and 'fire detection' and 'fire water not being effective'. It is also found that the frequency of severe consequences that are catastrophic in nature obtained by ETA is one order less than that obtained by FETA, thereby implying that in ETA, the uncertainty does not propagate through the event tree. The ranking of severe sequences based on their probability, however, are identical in both ETA and FETA.