• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.312-317
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• 2006

지역규모의 기후변화 모의결과를 이용하여 금강유역 용담댐의 홍수기 치수안전도에 대한 민감도분석을 수행하였다. 기후변화 모의에 사용된 SNURCM(Seoul National University Regional Climate Model)은 미국 National Center for Atmospheric Research의 Community Climate System Model의 전지구모형을 기반으로 spectral nudging 기법을 사용한 공간해상도 30 km, 연직 21층의 지역기후모형이다. 기후변화 시나리오로는 SRES 'B1'이 사용되었으며 과거 control run에 대한 기후모의 정확도 분석을 통하여 SNURCM 기상자료를 관측치와 비교한 결과 면적강우량을 다소 과소추정하였고 이점을 감안하여 SNURCM의 일 모의결과에 보정 계수를 적용하였다. 하천유출량은 SSARR 모형을 이용하여 SNURCM 모의가 수행된 전체기간을 $1980{\sim}1999$년과 $2000{\sim}2019$년으로 20년씩 나누어 용담댐 일 유입량을 산정하여 통계분석을 실시하였고 과거와 미래 20년 동안을 비교하여 본 결과 (1) 유량의 평균보다는 분산이 미래 20년 동안 증가하여 가뭄과 홍수에 대한 위험도가 증가함을 알 수 있었고, (2) 특히 연최대유량 또한 미래 20년 동안 상당히 증가하여 홍수기 치수대책이 더욱 중요해질 것으로 판단되었다. 마지막으로 용담댐 운영은 범용 시스템분석 도구인 STELLA(System Thinking Experimental Learning Laboratory with Animation) 상에서 GUI로 구현하여 유입량 변화에 따른 용담댐 치수안전도 변화를 모의해 보았다. 용담댐의 홍수기 운영은 저수지 수위가 제한수위를 초과하기 시작하면 Rigid ROM 발효하여 방류량을 결정하도록 구성하였고, 무효방류(spill)가 일어나는 현상을 실패로 가정하여 이에 대한 신뢰도(reliability), 회복도(resiliency), 그리고 심도(vulnerability)를 치수안전도 지표로 계산하였다. 전체기간을 1980년${\sim}$1999년, 2000년${\sim}$2019년, 2000년${\sim}$2009년, 그리고 2010년${\sim}$2019년까지 총 4구간으로 나누어 결과를 도출하였으며 예상한 바와 같이 후반기 20년 동안에 세 가지 지표가 취약해 지는 것을 확인할 수 있었고, 특히 2000년부터 2009년까지 10년 동안에는 더욱 취약해짐을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.179-185
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• 2010

장대레일 좌굴과 파단에 대한 안정성을 확보하고 효율적인 유지관리를 위해서는 레일온도의 특징을 파악하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 최근 들어, 기후변화에 의해 여름철 최고 대기온도는 상승하고 겨울철 최저 대기온도는 점점 하강하고 있다. 이러한 현상은 연간 레일온도의 변화량에 영향을 미치게 되고 설정온도와 관리온도의 변화를 일으킬 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후 및 온도 측정시스템을 구축하여 기후요소를 포함한 레일온도를 실측하였다. 실측자료의 심층적인 분석을 통하여, 기존 레일온도 추정식은 특정한 조건(기후요소들의 특정 조합) 에서만 적용이 가능함을 알 수 있었다. 현장의 실제 기후요소를 고려한 레일온도를 확률론적 접근으로 예측하는 것이 더욱 합리적일 것이다.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제60권3호
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• pp.433-438
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• 2022

탄소중립을 달성하기 위한 다양한 정책 및 프로젝트의 실효성을 평가하기 위하여 탄소순환 모델에 기반을 둔 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 모델은 산업혁명 이후 인류에 의한 탄소배출 및 삼림파괴 데이터로부터 대기 중 이산화탄소 농도 증가와 지구평균기온 상승을 적절히 재현함으로써 유효성이 검증되었다. 사례연구로는 삼림벌채, 재식림 및 추가식림에 대한 탄소순환 영향평가를 수행하였다. 대기 중 이산화탄소의 증가는 화석연료사용뿐 아니라 삼림벌채의 영향도 크며, 벌채 직후 재식림을 해도 초기농도로의 복귀는 매우 오래 걸린다는 것이 확인되었다. 제안된 방법은 궁극적으로 미래의 잠재적 기후제어 시뮬레이션에 활용됨으로써 다양한 기후공학 기술의 안전성 검증에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.354-362
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• 2016

Background: The present study aims at investigating whether and how (1) job demands and job resources are associated with work-to-private-life interference (WLI) and (2) job resources moderate the relationship between job demands and WLI. Methods: Data were collected by a self-report questionnaire from three hospitals in Italy. The sample consisted of 889 health-care workers. Results: All job demands (i.e., quantitative demands, disproportionate patient expectations, and verbal aggression) and job resources (i.e., job autonomy, support from superiors and colleagues, fairness, and organizational support), with the exception of skill discretion, were related to WLI. The effects of quantitative demands on WLI were moderated by support from superiors; fairness and organizational support moderate the effects of all job demands considered. Support from colleagues moderated only verbal aggression. Job autonomy did not buffer any job demands. Conclusion: The present study suggests that the work context has a central importance in relation to the experience of WLI among health-care workers. The results indicated that intervention in the work context may help to contain WLI. Such interventions would especially be aimed at improving the social climate within the unit and quality of the organizational process.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제23권2_2호
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• pp.343-349
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• 2020

As global warming accelerates due to global climate change, the International Maritime Organization(IMO) has set up Emission Control Area(ECA) and encourages the use of Liquefied Natural Gas(LNG). For this reason, as the demand for LNG increases, the demand and research of related equipment also increases. In this study, one of them, the vent mast for the discharge of LNG was studied. In general, vent mast receives various loads such as wind load, earthquake load and dead load during operation. Accordingly, consideration of these loads is essential for structural design and safety evaluation of the vent mast. In this study, the structural safety of the vent mast is evaluated by performing finite element analysis. As a result, the structural safety evaluation results were analyzed based on the database of materials of the vent mast, and the stress level was analyzed to provide a design guide.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제47권1호
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• pp.59-65
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• 2015

Background: After the Fukushima accident, the importance of hazard analysis for extreme external events was raised. Methods: To analyze typhoon-induced hazards, which are one of the significant disasters of East Asian countries, a statistical analysis using the extreme value theory, which is a method for estimating the annual exceedance frequency of a rare event, was conducted for an estimation of the occurrence intervals or hazard levels. For the four meteorological variables, maximum wind speed, instantaneous wind speed, hourly precipitation, and daily precipitation, the parameters of the predictive extreme value theory models were estimated. Results: The 100-year return levels for each variable were predicted using the developed models and compared with previously reported values. It was also found that there exist significant long-term climate changes of wind speed and precipitation. Conclusion: A fragility analysis should be conducted to ensure the safety levels of a nuclear power plant for high levels of wind speed and precipitation, which exceed the results of a previous analysis.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제39권1호
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• pp.27-32
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• 2024

This study analyzed cases of hydrogen (H₂) and natural gas (CH₄) leakage from a hydrogen-blended natural gas pipeline to determine a range of leakage characteristics, including leakage type, pipe material, pipe diameter, pressure, and damage size. Based on the results of this analysis, five hydrogen-blended natural gas leakage scenarios were selected. The national vision for a carbon-neutral society by 2050 is a very important strategic objective and promotes environmentally sustainable economic development in the age of the climate crisis. Accordingly, zero-carbon and low-carbon policies are being promoted in various fields, including energy production, consumption, and industrial processes. Hydrogen-blended natural gas is eco-friendly and is considered an important step towards carbon neutrality, with various countries including the United States and several European countries conducting empirical research to further investigate its potential. In Korea, a national research project commenced in April 2023 to verify and demonstrate the life cycle safety of blending hydrogen into the natural gas network. The results of this study will provide important data for the analysis of the damage impacts caused by the leakage of hydrogen-blended natural gas, such as the diffusion of gas clouds, fires, and gas explosions.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.119-126
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• 2021

Background: During the period 2001 to 2016, the maximum temperatures in Thailand rose from 38-41℃ to 42-44℃. The current occupational heat exposure standard of Thailand issued in 2006 is based on wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) defined for three workload levels without a work-rest regimen. This study examined whether the present standard still protects most workers. Methods: The sample comprised 168 heat acclimatized workers (90 in construction sites, 78 in foundries). Heart rate and auditory canal temperature were recorded continuously for 2 hours. Workplace WBGT, relative humidity, and wind velocity were monitored, and the participants' workloads were estimated. Heat-related symptoms and signs were collected by a questionnaire. Results: Only 55% of the participants worked in workplaces complying with the heat standard. Of them, 79% had auditory canal temperature ≤ 38.5℃, compared with only 58% in noncompliant workplaces. 18% and 43% of the workers in compliant and noncompliant workplaces, respectively, had symptoms from heat stress, the trend being similar across all workload levels. An increase of one degree (C) in WBGT was associated with a 1.85-fold increase (95% confidence interval: 1.44-2.48) in odds for having symptoms. Conclusion: Compliance with the current occupational heat standard protects 4/5 of the workers, whereas noncompliance reduces this proportion to one half. The reasons for noncompliance include the gaps and ambiguities in the law. The law should specify work/rest schedules; outdoor work should be identified as an occupational heat hazard; and the staff should include occupational personnel to manage heat stress in establishments involving heat exposure.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.35-42
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• 2022

When an accident occurs, the associated human activity is typically regarded as a "human error," or a temporal deviation. On the other hand, if the accident results in a serious loss or if it evokes a social issue, the person determined to be responsible may be punished with a "violation" of related laws or regulations. However, as Heinrich stated, it is neither appropriate nor reasonable in terms of probability theory and cognitive science to distinguish whether it is a "human error" or a "violation" with a criterion of resultant accident severity. Nonetheless, some in society get on the social climate to strengthen regulations on workers who have caused accidents, especially violations. This response can present a social issue due to the lack of systematic judgment procedure which distinguishes violations from human errors. The purpose of this study was to develop an objective and systematic procedure to assess whether workers' activities which induced industrial accidents should be categorized as violations rather than human errors. Various analysis techniques for the determination of violation procedure were investigated and compared using an analysis approach method. An appropriate technique was not found, however, for judging the culpability of intentional violations. As an alternative, this study developed the process of creating violations, based on cognitive procedure, as well as the criteria to determine and categorize an activity as a violation. In addition, the developed procedure was applied to cases of industrial accidents and nuclear power plant issues to test its practical applicability. The study demonstrated that the proposed model could be used to determine the existence of a violation even in the case of multiple workers who work simultaneously.

• 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.42-52
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• 2013

이산화탄소 포집 및 저장기술(CCS)은 기후변화에 대응하는 효과적인 온실가스 저감기술로서 평가받고 있다. 국내에서는 이산화탄소 포집 및 해양지중저장사업이 2020년 실증화를 목표로 빠르게 진행되고 있다. 하지만 CCS 기술을 실제 환경에 적용하는 과정에서는 수송, 저장과정에서의 $CO_2$ 누출 문제나 영구적인 격리에 대한 불확실성 등의 환경 안전성 관리를 위한 제도적 기반은 마련되어있지 않은 실정이다. 이로 인하여 CCS 사업시행 과정에서 주민이나 이해당사자의 사업 거부 및 이로 인한 사업의 지연 등의 문제가 발생할 수 있다. 원활한 사업 진행에 필요한 사회적 수용성을 강화하기 위해서는 환경 안전성에 대한 국가 차원의 관리 체계 마련이 매우 중요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 환경 안전성 관리 체계의 가장 기본적인 제도라 할 수 있는 환경영향평가와 환경위해성평가 등의 국내외 관련 제도 및 규정 등을 살펴보고, 선진국에서 수행되고 있는 CCS 사업에 대한 환경영향평가기술과 사례를 조사하여, 국내의 제도개선 방향과 기술개발 및 관리방안에 대해 제안하고자 하였다.