• Title/Summary/Keyword: Runoff analysis

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Uncertainty Analysis based on LENS-GRM

  • Lee, Sang Hyup;Seong, Yeon Jeong;Park, KiDoo;Jung, Young Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.208-208
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the frequency of abnormal weather due to complex factors such as global warming is increasing frequently. From the past rainfall patterns, it is evident that climate change is causing irregular rainfall patterns. This phenomenon causes difficulty in predicting rainfall and makes it difficult to prevent and cope with natural disasters, casuing human and property damages. Therefore, accurate rainfall estimation and rainfall occurrence time prediction could be one of the ways to prevent and mitigate damage caused by flood and drought disasters. However, rainfall prediction has a lot of uncertainty, so it is necessary to understand and reduce this uncertainty. In addition, when accurate rainfall prediction is applied to the rainfall-runoff model, the accuracy of the runoff prediction can be improved. In this regard, this study aims to increase the reliability of rainfall prediction by analyzing the uncertainty of the Korean rainfall ensemble prediction data and the outflow analysis model using the Limited Area ENsemble (LENS) and the Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) models. First, the possibility of improving rainfall prediction ability is reviewed using the QM (Quantile Mapping) technique among the bias correction techniques. Then, the GRM parameter calibration was performed twice, and the likelihood-parameter applicability evaluation and uncertainty analysis were performed using R2, NSE, PBIAS, and Log-normal. The rainfall prediction data were applied to the rainfall-runoff model and evaluated before and after calibration. It is expected that more reliable flood prediction will be possible by reducing uncertainty in rainfall ensemble data when applying to the runoff model in selecting behavioral models for user uncertainty analysis. Also, it can be used as a basis of flood prediction research by integrating other parameters such as geological characteristics and rainfall events.

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Performance Evaluation of the Runoff Reduction with Permeable Pavements using the SWMM Model (SWMM 분석을 통한 투수성 포장의 유출 저감 특성 평가)

  • Lin, Wuguang;Ryu, SungWoo;Park, Dae Geun;Lee, Jaehoon;Cho, Yoon-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES: This study aims to evaluate the runoff reduction with permeable pavements using the SWMM analysis. METHODS: In this study, simulations were carried out using two different models, simple and complex, to evaluate the runoff reduction when an impermeable pavement is replaced with a permeable pavement. In the simple model, the target area for the analysis was grouped into four areas by the land use characteristics, using the statistical database. In the complex model, simulation was performed based on the data on the sewer and road network configuration of Yongsan-Gu Bogwang-Dong in Seoul, using the ArcGIS software. A scenario was created to investigate the hydro-performance of the permeable pavement based on the return period, runoff coefficient, and the area of permeable pavement that could be laid within one hour after rainfall. RESULTS : The simple modeling analysis results showed that, when an impervious pavement is replaced with a permeable pavement, the peak discharge reduced from $16.7m^3/s$ to $10.4m^3/s$. This represents a reduction of approximately 37.6%. The peak discharge from the whole basin showed a reduction of approximately 11.0%, and the quantity decreased from $52.9m^3/s$ to $47.2m^3/s$. The total flowoff reduced from $43,261m^3$ to $38,551m^3$, i.e., by approximately 10.9%. In the complex model, performed using the ArcGIS interpretation with fewer permeable pavements applicable, the return period and the runoff coefficient increased, and the total flowoff and peak discharge also increased. When the return period was set to 20 years, and a runoff coefficient of 0.05 was applied to all the roads, the total outflow reduced by $5195.7m^3$, and the ratio reduced to 11.7%. When the return period was increased from 20 years to 30 and 100 years, the total outflow reduction decreased from 11.7% to 8.0% and 5.1%, respectively. When a runoff coefficient of 0.5 was applied to all the roads under the return period of 20 years, the total outflow reduction was 10.8%; when the return period was increased to 30 and 100 years, the total outflow reduction decreased to 6.5% and 2.9%, respectively. However, unlike in the simple model, for all the cases in the complex model, the peak discharge reductions were less than 1%. CONCLUSIONS : Being one of the techniques for water circulation and runoff reduction, a high reduction for the small return period rainfall event of penetration was obtained by applying permeable pavements instead of impermeable pavement. With the SWMM analysis results, it was proved that changing to permeable pavement is one of the ways to effectively provide water circulation to various green infrastructure projects, and for stormwater management in urban watersheds.

Development of Coupled SWAT-SWMM Model (I) Model Development (SWAT-SWMM 결합모형의 개발 (I) 모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Won, Yoo-Seung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.7
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    • pp.589-598
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    • 2004
  • From the continuous long-term rainfall-runoff standpoint, the urbanization within a watershed causes land use change due to the increase in impervious areas, the addition of manmade structures, and the changes in river environment. Therefore, rainfall-runoff characteristics changes drastically after the urbanization. Due to these reasons, there exists the demand for rainfall-runoff simulation model that can quantitatively evaluate the components of hydrologic cycle including surface runoff, river flow, and groundwater by considering urban watershed characteristics as well as natural runoff characteristics. In this study, continuous long-term rainfall-runoff simulation model SWAT-SWMM is developed by coupling semi-distributed continuous long-term rainfall-runoff simulation model SWAT with RUNOFF block of SWMM, which is frequently used in the runoff analysis of urban areas in order to consider urban watershed as well as natural watershed. The coupling of SWAT and SWMM is described with emphasis on the coupling scheme, model limitations, and the schematics of coupled model.

Decision of GIS Optimum Grid on Applying Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model with Radar Resolution (레이더 자료의 해상도를 고려한 분포형 강우-유출 모형의 GIS 자료 최적 격자의 결정)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Chang, Kwon-Hee;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2011
  • Changes in climate have largely increased concentrated heavy rainfall, which in turn is causing enormous damages to humans and properties. Therefore, the exact relationship and the spatial variability analysis of hydrometeorological elements and characteristic factors is critical elements to reduce the uncertainty in rainfall -runoff model. In this study, radar rainfall grid resolution and grid resolution depending on the topographic factor in rainfall - runoff models were how to respond. In this study, semi-distribution of rainfall-runoff model using the model ModClark of Inje, Gangwon Naerin watershed was used as Gwangdeok RADAR data. The completed ModClark model was calibrated for use DEM of cell size of 30m, 150m, 250m, 350m was chosen for the application, and runoff simulated by the RADAR rainfall data of 500m, 1km, 2km, 5km, 10km from 14 to 17 on July, 2006. According to the resolution of each grid, in order to compare simulation results, the runoff hydrograph has been made and the runoff has also been simulated. As a result, it was highly runoff simulation if the cell size is DEM 30m~150m, RADAR rainfall 500m~2km for peak flow and runoff volume. In the statistical analysis results, if every DEM cell size are 500m and if RADAR rainfall cell size is 30m, relevance of model was higher. Result of sensitivity assessment, high index DEM give effect to result of distributed model. Recently, rainfall -runoff analysis is used lumped model to distributed model. So, this study is expected to make use of the efficiently decision criteria for configurated models.

Hydrological Evaluation of Rainwater Harvesting: 1. Hydrological Analysis (빗물이용의 수문학적 평가: 1. 수문해석)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Kyoungjun;Yun, Zuhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2008
  • This study revised a model for hydrologically analyzing rainwater harvesting facilities considering their rainfall-runoff properties and the data available. This model has only a few parameters, which can be estimated with rather poor measurements available. The model has a non-linear module for rainfall loss, and the remaining rainfall excess (effective rainfall) is assumed to be inflow to the storage tank. This model has been applied for the rainwater harvesting facilities in Seoul National University, Korea Institute of Construction Technology, and the Daejon World Cup Stadium. As a result, the runoff coefficients estimated were about 0.9 for the building roof as a rainwater collecting surface and about 0.18 for the playground. This result is coincident with that for designing the rainwater harvesting facilities to show the accuracy of model and the simulation results.

A Comparative Study of Linear-Nonlinear Flood Runoff Models. (선형-비선형 홍수유출모델의 비교연구)

  • 이순택;이영화
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 1986
  • This study aims at the development of flood runoff model by comparing and analyzing nonlinear models with linear models in rier basins. The models which are used at the analysis are Nash model and Runoff function method as linear models, and Tank model and Storage function method as nonlinear models. The results, which are obtained from the analysis of these models by using hydrologic data of a representative basin in Nakdong river, Wi-chun basin, show that the peak time, peak flow and flood hydrogrphs by nonlinear models are better than those by linear models in comparison with observed ones, and that nonlinear models are suittable as flood runoff model.

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An Analysis of First Flush Phenomenon of 3 Catchment area in Lake Sihwa Watershed during Rainfall-Runoff Events (강우유출수 영향에 따른 시화호 소유역별 유입하천의 오염물질 초기유출현상 분석)

  • Kim, Sea-Won;Oh, Jong-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.475-485
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    • 2011
  • Lake Sihwa has a very unique watershed environment, surrounded by industrial, urban and rural catchment area with different land use. The first flush phenomenon was investigated in 3 catchment area. 4TG, representing the industrial area, shows rapid discharges of highly concentrated pollutants during the early stages of a storm and it is indicating a strong first flush effect. At AS, representing the urban area, the pollutant concentration reached its peak approximately 2~3 hours after the start of storm, which is a strong first flush effect did not appear. JJB and MS represent the rural areas, the PEMC analysis results suggest that highly concentrated pollutants were discharged during the middle and latter stages of a storm, instead of early pollutant runoff due to the effects of rainwater runoff.

A Study on Spatial Characteristics of Rainfall in Imha Basin (임하 유역 강우의 공간적 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Lee, Bae-Sung;Kang, Bu-Sick;Hwang, Man-Ha
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2007
  • In this study, spatial characteristics of rainfall in Imha basin were investigated by cross-correlation analysis among rainfall gaging stations and rainfall-runoff analysis used in HEC-HMS model for analysis of influence on observed rainfall. The Kriging technique was applied to rain(all analysis in Imha basin to reflect spatial characteristics of regional rainfall. Their results are compared to rainfall-runoff data with spatially distributed rainfall data as well as the classical thiessen method. The results by kriging technique approached by geostatistical method could reflect spatial characteristics of regional rainfall properly in Imha basin.

Assessing the impact of urbanization on runoff and non-point source pollution using the GIS L-THIA (GIS L-THIA를 이용한 도시화에 따른 유출과 비점원오염 영향 평가)

  • Yun, La-Young;Kim, Dong-Hui;Gwon, Hyeok-Hyeon;Sin, Seung-Cheol;Son, Kwang-Ik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1802-1806
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    • 2006
  • It is important to consider the effects of land-use changes on surface runoff, stream flow, and groundwater recharge. Expansion of urban areas significantly impacts the environment in terms of ground water recharge, water pollution, and storm water drainage. Increase of impervious area due to urbanization leads to an increase in surface runoff volume, contributes to downstream flooding and a net loss in groundwater recharge. Assessment of the hydrologic impacts or urban land-use change traditionally includes models that evaluate how land use change alters peak runoff rates, and these results are then used in the design of drainage systems. Such methods however do not address the long-term hydrologic impacts of urban land use change and often do not consider how pollutants that wash off from different land uses affect water quality. L-THIA (Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment) is an analysis tool that provides site-specific estimates of changes in runoff, recharge and non point source pollution resulting from past or proposed land-use changes. It gives long-term average annual runoff for a land use configuration, based on climate data for that area. In this study, the environmental and hydrological impact from the urbanized basin had been examined with GIS L-THIA in Korea.

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Simulation of generable muddy water quantity and pollutant loads in sloping field using artificial rainfall simulator (실내인공강우기를 이용한 경사지 밭의 토양유실량과 오염부하 모의)

  • Shin, Min-Hwan;Choi, Yong-Hun;Seo, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Jae-Woon;Choi, Joong-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.986-990
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    • 2009
  • Using artificial rainfall simulator, the soil loss, which is deemed as most cause of muddy water problem among Non-point source(NPS) pollutant, was studied by the analysis of direct runoff flow, groundwater runoff, and groundwater storage properties concerned with rainfall intensity, slope of area, and land cover. The direct runoff showed increasing tendency in both straw covered and bared boxes which are 5%, 10%, and 20% sloped respectively. Also the direct runoff volume from straw covered surface boxes were much lower than bared surface boxes. It's deemed as that the infiltration capacity of straw covered surface boxes were increased, because the surface sealing by fine material of soil surface didn't occurred due to the straw covering. Under the same rainfall intensity and slope condition, 2.4 ${\sim}$ 8.2 times of sediment yield were occurred from bared surface boxes more than straw covered surface boxes. The volume of infiltrated were increased due to straw cover, the direct runoff flow were decreased with decreasing of tractive force in surface. To understand of relationship the rate of direct runoff flow, groundwater runoff, and groundwater storage by the rainfall intensity, slope, and land cover, the statistical test was performed. It shows good relationship between most of factors, expect between the rate of groundwater storage and rainfall intensity.

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