• 제목/요약/키워드: Root mean square errors

검색결과 270건 처리시간 0.022초

Weibull-3및 GEV 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of Flood Frequency by L-moment in Weibull-3 and GEV Distributions)

  • 이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.25-29
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Gerneralized Extreme Value(GEV) and Weibull-3 distributions for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han,Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin reiver systems. Adequency for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence. Homogeneity , detection of Outlines, L-moments. Design flood sobtaine dby /methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in BEV and Weibull-3 distributions were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME) and Root MEan Square Errors(RMSE). The result wa found that design floods derived by the L-moments using the other formulas for plotting positions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Root Mean Square Errors.

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Parameter Estimations in the Complementary Weibull Reliability Model

  • Sarhan Ammar M.;El-Gohary Awad
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2005
  • The Bayes estimators of the parameters included in the complementary Weibull reliability model are obtained. In the process of deriving Bayes estimators, the scale and shape parameters of the complementary Weibull distribution are considered to be independent random variables having prior exponential distributions. The maximum likelihood estimators of the desired parameters are derived. Further, the least square estimators are obtained in closed forms. Simulation study is made using Monte Carlo method to make a comparison among the obtained estimators. The comparison is made by computing the root mean squared errors associated to each point estimation. Based on the numerical study, the Bayes procedure seems better than the maximum likelihood and least square procedures in the sense of having smaller root mean squared errors.

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3차원 레이다 궤적 생성 및 성능 분석 (Performance Analysis of Three-Dimensional Radar for Angle and Distance Errors)

  • 임형용;장연수;이태우;황재덕;윤동원
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2014년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.837-839
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    • 2014
  • 레이다 시스템에서 3차원 궤적 정보는 목표물 추적을 위해 필수적이다. 이때 3차원 레이다는 수신 신호를 통해 방위각, 고각 및 거리를 추정하여 3차원 궤적 정보를 얻게 된다. 수신 신호에 따라 추정된 각도들과 거리는 오차를 가지게 되며 이 오차의 정도에 따라 3차원 레이다 시스템의 성능에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석이 요구되어진다. 본 논문에서는 3차원 레이다 시스템의 각도 및 거리 오차에 따라 추정된 3차원 궤적 정보와 실제 궤적 정보에 대해 RMSE (Root Mean Square Error)를 통해 성능을 분석한다.

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시군구 실업자 총계 추정을 위한 설계기반 간접추정법 (Design-Based Small Area Estimation for the Korean Economically Active Population Survey)

  • 정연수;이계오;이우일
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 현행 경제활동인구조사 체계에 근거하여 대영역 내의 시군구 단위 행정자치구역들에 대한 실업통계들을 생산할 수 있는 소지역 추정법이 제안된다. 고려된 소지역 추정량들은 합성 추정량, 복합추정량과 같은 설계기반 간접 추정량들이며 이러한 추정량들에 대한 평균제곱오차 추정식이 경제활동인구조사 체계 하에서 산정되어 시군구 단위 소지역 추정값들에 대한 정확도의 측도로써 활용된다. 2000년 12월 충북지역의 경제활동인구조사 자료로부터 이 지역 내의 10개 시군구 단위 행정자치구역들에 대한 실업자 총계 및 잭나이프 평균제곱오차가 본 연구에서 제시된 추정절차에 의해 추정된다. 시군구 단위 실업자 총계 추정값들의 신뢰성은 이들 추정값들의 상대편향(Relative Bias)과 상대오차제곱근(Relative Root Mean Square Error)에 의해 평가된다. 현행 한국 경제활동인구조사체계 하에서 복합추정량이 다른 추정량들에 비해 매우 안정적임을 밝힌다.

생육정보를 이용한 가을배추와 가을무 단수 예측 모형 개발 (Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information)

  • 이춘수;양성범
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2017
  • This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

Weibull-3 및 Wakeby 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of Deisgn Low Flow by L-moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions)

  • 이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design low flows bythe Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the partial consecutive duration series at seven watersheds along Han. nagdong, Geum Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the method of L-Moments with consecutive duration. Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using with consecutive duration, Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions formulas in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design low flows derived by the method of L-moments using Weivull plotting position formula in Wakeby distribution were much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the methods of L-moments with the different formulas for plotting positions in Weibull-3 distribution from the viewpoint of Root Mean Square Errors.

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Small Area Estimation of Unemployment Rate for the Economically Active Population Survey

  • Kim, Young-Won;Jo, Ran
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2004
  • In the Korean Economically Active Population Survey(EAPS), the sample sizes for small areas are typically too small to provide reliable estimators because the EAPS has been designed to produce unemployment statistics for large areas such as Metropolitan Cities and Province. In this study, we consider the synthetic and composite estimators for the unemployment rate of small areas, and apply them to real data on Choongbook province which is from the Korean EAPS of December 2000. The mean square errors of these estimators were estimated by the Jackknife method, and the efficiencies of small area estimators were evaluated in terms of the relative standard errors and the relative root mean square errors. As a result, the composite estimator is much more efficient than other estimators and it turns out that the composite estimator can produce the reliable estimates of the unemployment rate of small areas under the current EAPS system.

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곡류 및 버섯류의 평형함수율 및 박층건조방정식에 관한 연구(II) - 표고버섯에 대하여 - (Equilibrium Moisture Contents and Thin Layer Drying Equations of Cereal Grains and Mushrooms (II) - for Oak Mushroom (Lentinus erodes) -)

  • 금동혁;김훈;홍남운
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2002
  • Desorption equilibrium moisture contents of oak mushroom were measured by the static method using salt solutions at flour temperature levels of 35$\^{C}$, 45$\^{C}$, 55$\^{C}$ and 6$\^{C}$ and five relative humidity levels in the range from 11.0% to 90.8%. EMC data were fitted to the modified Henderson, Chung-Pfost, modified Halsey and modified Oswin models using nonlinear regression analysis. Drying tests far oak mushroom were conducted in an experimental dryer equipped with air conditioning unit. The drying test were performed in triplicate at flour air temperatures of 35$\^{C}$, 45$\^{C}$, 55$\^{C}$ and 65$\^{C}$ and three relative humidities of 30%, 50% and 70% respectively. Measured moisture ratio data were fitted to the selected four drying models(Lewis, Page, simplified diffusion and Thompson models) using stepwise multiple regression analysis. The results of comparing root mean square errors for EMC models showed that modified Halsey was the best model, and modified Oswin models could be available far oak mushroom. The results of comparing coefficients of determination and root mean square errors of moisture ratio for four drying models showed that Page model were found to fit adequately to all drying test data with a coefficient of determination of 0.9990 and root mean square error of moisture ratio of 0.00739.

Combined GPS/BeiDou Positioning Performance in South Korea

  • Choi, Byung-Kyu;Cho, Chang-Hyun;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2014
  • The BeiDou is a satellite-based positioning and navigation system, which is under construction by the China Satellite Navigation Office. Until the June of 2014, the constellation of BeiDou navigation satellite system consists of 14 satellites including five geostationary earth orbit (GEO), five inclined geosynchronous earth orbit (IGSO) and four medium earth orbit (MEO). In this paper, we present the positioning results using BeiDou B1 code measurements obtained from three GNSS reference stations (BHAO, SKMA, MKPO). Combined Beidou/GPS positioning results are also compared to BeiDou and GPS only. BeiDou-only positioning errors for the east-west and north-south direction had less than 2 meter with root mean square (RMS) value. However, the positioning error for the up-down direction had larger than 10 meter at a 95% confidence level. Our results also suggest that the position precision is improved by combined BeiDou/GPS compared to BeiDou-only.

Channel modeling based on multilayer artificial neural network in metro tunnel environments

  • Jingyuan Qian;Asad Saleem;Guoxin Zheng
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.557-569
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    • 2023
  • Traditional deterministic channel modeling is accurate in prediction, but due to its complexity, improving computational efficiency remains a challenge. In an alternative approach, we investigated a multilayer artificial neural network (ANN) to predict large-scale and small-scale channel characteristics in metro tunnels. Simulated high-precision training datasets were obtained by combining measurement campaign with a ray tracing (RT) method in a metro tunnel. Performance on the training data was used to determine the number of hidden layers and neurons of the multilayer ANN. The proposed multilayer ANN performed efficiently (10 s for training; 0.19 ms for prediction), and accurately, with better approximation of the RT data than the single-layer ANN. The root mean square errors (RMSE) of path loss (2.82 dB), root mean square delay spread (0.61 ns), azimuth angle spread (3.06°), and elevation angle spread (1.22°) were impressive. These results demonstrate the superior computing efficiency and model complexity of ANNs.