• Title/Summary/Keyword: Root mean square errors

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Comparative Analysis of Flood Frequency by L-moment in Weibull-3 and GEV Distributions (Weibull-3및 GEV 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도 비교분석)

  • 이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.25-29
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Gerneralized Extreme Value(GEV) and Weibull-3 distributions for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han,Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin reiver systems. Adequency for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence. Homogeneity , detection of Outlines, L-moments. Design flood sobtaine dby /methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in BEV and Weibull-3 distributions were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME) and Root MEan Square Errors(RMSE). The result wa found that design floods derived by the L-moments using the other formulas for plotting positions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Root Mean Square Errors.

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Parameter Estimations in the Complementary Weibull Reliability Model

  • Sarhan Ammar M.;El-Gohary Awad
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2005
  • The Bayes estimators of the parameters included in the complementary Weibull reliability model are obtained. In the process of deriving Bayes estimators, the scale and shape parameters of the complementary Weibull distribution are considered to be independent random variables having prior exponential distributions. The maximum likelihood estimators of the desired parameters are derived. Further, the least square estimators are obtained in closed forms. Simulation study is made using Monte Carlo method to make a comparison among the obtained estimators. The comparison is made by computing the root mean squared errors associated to each point estimation. Based on the numerical study, the Bayes procedure seems better than the maximum likelihood and least square procedures in the sense of having smaller root mean squared errors.

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Performance Analysis of Three-Dimensional Radar for Angle and Distance Errors (3차원 레이다 궤적 생성 및 성능 분석)

  • Lim, Hyeongyong;Jang, Yeonsoo;Lee, Taewoo;Hwang, Jaeduck;Yoon, Dongweon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.837-839
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    • 2014
  • In radar systems, information of three-dimensional (3D) trajectory is necessary for tracking targets. The information of 3D trajectory for a 3D radar can be obtained by estimating the azimuth angle, the elevation angle, and the distance. The estimated information of the angles and the distance has errors according to received signals. Since these errors affect performances of 3D radar systems, performance analysis of 3D radar for the angles and the distance errors is required. In this paper, the performance of 3D radar systems is analyzed by root mean square error (RMSE) between true trajectory information and the estimated trajectory information according to the angles and the distance errors.

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Design-Based Small Area Estimation for the Korean Economically Active Population Survey (시군구 실업자 총계 추정을 위한 설계기반 간접추정법)

  • 정연수;이계오;이우일
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we suggest the method of small area estimation based on the Economically Active Population Survey (EAPS) data in producing unemployment statistics for the local self-government areas (LSGAs) within large areas. The small area estimators considered are design-based indirect estimators such as the synthetic and composite estimators. The jackknife mean square error was used as a measure of accuracy of such small area estimators. The total unemployed and jackknife mean square errors of the 10 LSGAs within the large area of ChoongBuk region are derived from the estimation procedure suggested in this study, using EAPS data of December 2000. The reliability of small area estimators was assessed using the relative bias values and relative root mean square errors of these estimators. We find that under the current Korean EAPS system, the composite estimator turns out to be much more stable than other estimators.

Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information (생육정보를 이용한 가을배추와 가을무 단수 예측 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Choon-Soo;Yang, Sung-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2017
  • This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

Comparative Analysis of Deisgn Low Flow by L-moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions (Weibull-3 및 Wakeby 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석)

  • 이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design low flows bythe Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the partial consecutive duration series at seven watersheds along Han. nagdong, Geum Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the method of L-Moments with consecutive duration. Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using with consecutive duration, Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions formulas in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design low flows derived by the method of L-moments using Weivull plotting position formula in Wakeby distribution were much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the methods of L-moments with the different formulas for plotting positions in Weibull-3 distribution from the viewpoint of Root Mean Square Errors.

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Small Area Estimation of Unemployment Rate for the Economically Active Population Survey

  • Kim, Young-Won;Jo, Ran
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2004
  • In the Korean Economically Active Population Survey(EAPS), the sample sizes for small areas are typically too small to provide reliable estimators because the EAPS has been designed to produce unemployment statistics for large areas such as Metropolitan Cities and Province. In this study, we consider the synthetic and composite estimators for the unemployment rate of small areas, and apply them to real data on Choongbook province which is from the Korean EAPS of December 2000. The mean square errors of these estimators were estimated by the Jackknife method, and the efficiencies of small area estimators were evaluated in terms of the relative standard errors and the relative root mean square errors. As a result, the composite estimator is much more efficient than other estimators and it turns out that the composite estimator can produce the reliable estimates of the unemployment rate of small areas under the current EAPS system.

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Equilibrium Moisture Contents and Thin Layer Drying Equations of Cereal Grains and Mushrooms (II) - for Oak Mushroom (Lentinus erodes) - (곡류 및 버섯류의 평형함수율 및 박층건조방정식에 관한 연구(II) - 표고버섯에 대하여 -)

  • Keum, D. H.;Kim, H.;Hong, N. U.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2002
  • Desorption equilibrium moisture contents of oak mushroom were measured by the static method using salt solutions at flour temperature levels of 35$\^{C}$, 45$\^{C}$, 55$\^{C}$ and 6$\^{C}$ and five relative humidity levels in the range from 11.0% to 90.8%. EMC data were fitted to the modified Henderson, Chung-Pfost, modified Halsey and modified Oswin models using nonlinear regression analysis. Drying tests far oak mushroom were conducted in an experimental dryer equipped with air conditioning unit. The drying test were performed in triplicate at flour air temperatures of 35$\^{C}$, 45$\^{C}$, 55$\^{C}$ and 65$\^{C}$ and three relative humidities of 30%, 50% and 70% respectively. Measured moisture ratio data were fitted to the selected four drying models(Lewis, Page, simplified diffusion and Thompson models) using stepwise multiple regression analysis. The results of comparing root mean square errors for EMC models showed that modified Halsey was the best model, and modified Oswin models could be available far oak mushroom. The results of comparing coefficients of determination and root mean square errors of moisture ratio for four drying models showed that Page model were found to fit adequately to all drying test data with a coefficient of determination of 0.9990 and root mean square error of moisture ratio of 0.00739.

Combined GPS/BeiDou Positioning Performance in South Korea

  • Choi, Byung-Kyu;Cho, Chang-Hyun;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2014
  • The BeiDou is a satellite-based positioning and navigation system, which is under construction by the China Satellite Navigation Office. Until the June of 2014, the constellation of BeiDou navigation satellite system consists of 14 satellites including five geostationary earth orbit (GEO), five inclined geosynchronous earth orbit (IGSO) and four medium earth orbit (MEO). In this paper, we present the positioning results using BeiDou B1 code measurements obtained from three GNSS reference stations (BHAO, SKMA, MKPO). Combined Beidou/GPS positioning results are also compared to BeiDou and GPS only. BeiDou-only positioning errors for the east-west and north-south direction had less than 2 meter with root mean square (RMS) value. However, the positioning error for the up-down direction had larger than 10 meter at a 95% confidence level. Our results also suggest that the position precision is improved by combined BeiDou/GPS compared to BeiDou-only.

Channel modeling based on multilayer artificial neural network in metro tunnel environments

  • Jingyuan Qian;Asad Saleem;Guoxin Zheng
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.557-569
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    • 2023
  • Traditional deterministic channel modeling is accurate in prediction, but due to its complexity, improving computational efficiency remains a challenge. In an alternative approach, we investigated a multilayer artificial neural network (ANN) to predict large-scale and small-scale channel characteristics in metro tunnels. Simulated high-precision training datasets were obtained by combining measurement campaign with a ray tracing (RT) method in a metro tunnel. Performance on the training data was used to determine the number of hidden layers and neurons of the multilayer ANN. The proposed multilayer ANN performed efficiently (10 s for training; 0.19 ms for prediction), and accurately, with better approximation of the RT data than the single-layer ANN. The root mean square errors (RMSE) of path loss (2.82 dB), root mean square delay spread (0.61 ns), azimuth angle spread (3.06°), and elevation angle spread (1.22°) were impressive. These results demonstrate the superior computing efficiency and model complexity of ANNs.