• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.609-617
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• 2007

The goal of this study is to forecast the trend of stream quality and to suggest some policy alternatives in Gumbo river. It used the five different monthly time series data such as BOD, COD, T-N and EC of the nine of Gumbo River measurement points from Jan. 1998 to Dec. 2006. Water pollution is serious at Gumbo2 and Palgeo stream measurement points. BOD, COD, T-N and EC data are analyzed with the exponential smoothing model and the trend is forecasted until Dec. 2009.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제31권5호
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• pp.569-575
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• 2015

The current Total Pollution Load Control (TPLC) sets the Target Water Quality (TWQ) by utilizing the delivery ratio, unit loads, and water quality modeling, it also allocates the watershed's permitted discharge load. Currently, common target pollutants of every unit watershed in TPLC are BOD and T-P. This study has reviewed the 1th and 2th of TWQ setting process for the Nakdong River 3th TWQ setting in Total Pollution Load Control (TPLC). As a result of review, 1th and 2th were divided into one management basin (mulgeum) for setting management goals. However, 3th was divided into six management basins (mulgeum, gnagjeong, geumho river, nam river, miryang river, end of nakdong river). The principle of management goal setting were to achieve the objective criteria of Medium Areas for the linkage of the water environment management policy. And Anti-Degredation (principle of preventing deterioration) were applied to the 3th TWQ. Also, additional indicators were considered in accordance with the reduction scenarios for the final management goals.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.203-203
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• 2016

The linkage between climate change and water security, i.e., the response of water resource to the future climate change, have been of great concern to both scientific community and policy makers. In this study, the impact of future climate on water resources in Yellow River Basin in North of China has been investigated using the Coupled Land surface and Hydrology Model System (CLHMS) and IPCC AR5 projected future climate change in the basin. Firstly, the performances of 14 IPCC AR5 models in reproducing the observed precipitation and temperature in China, especially in North of China, have been evaluated, and it's suggested most climate models do show systematic bias compared with the observation, however, CNRM-CM5、HadCM5 and IPSL-CM5 model are generally the best models among those 14 models. Taking the daily projection results from the CNRM-CM5, along with the bias-correction technique, the response of water resources in Yellow river basin to the future climate change in different emission scenarios have been investigated. All the simulation results indicate a reduction in water resources. The current situation of water shortage since 1980s will keep continue, the water resources reduction varies between 28 and 23% for RCP 2.6 and 4.5 scenarios. RCP 8.5 scenario simulation shows a decrease of water resources in the early and mid 21th century, but after 2080, with the increase of rainfall, the extreme flood events tends to increase.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.171-188
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• 2013

고해상도 항공사진과 지적도를 이용하여 4대강 사업 전 후에 발생한 하천구역 내 토지이용변화와 지적정보 오류 형태를 분석하여, 국공유지 지적정리사업 시 정책적 자료로서 활용하고자 하였다. 연구대상지는 토지이용변화가 가장 많이 일어난 낙동강 4개보를 중심으로 총 40km안쪽의 하천구역으로 선정하였다. 그 결과, 4대강 사업이 실시되었던 총 하천구역의 필지별(84.3%)과 면적별(85.5%) 국공유지 소유비율과 유사하게 필지별(79.9%)과 면적별(93.3%) 국공유지 비율이 높게 나왔으며, 지목을 기준으로 사업 전은 하천(71.6%)과 전(12.3%)이, 사업 후에는 하천은 42.7%로 크게 줄어든 대신, 체육용지를 포함한 공원지역(19.6%)과 잡종지(20.8%)가 크게 늘어났다. 또한, 사업 전 후의 필지수를 비교해 본 결과, 행정구역과 소유구분을 고려하지 않았지만, 86.7%의 감축효과를 보이는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 지적정보의 오류 유형으로는, 지적정보 누락, 지적선 중첩, 지적선 위치와 경계 오류, 미세폴리곤 발생, 지적선과 하천경계선의 불일치를 찾아 볼 수 있었다. 항공사진분석을 통한 토지이용변화 모니터링 방법은 하천구역과 같은 국공유지의 효율적인 관리방안으로 신속한 정보획득을 통한 토지이용현황파악 및 재산관리지원에 효과적으로 활용 가능할 것이다.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.187-195
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• 2007

중국은 '중국의 아시아 비즈니스 중심화'라는 전략을 수립하고 항만 및 물류분야 인프라 구축 및 집중 개발정책을 적극 추진하고 있다. 그 중점적인 개발 대상은 상하이항과 장강유역이다. 이러한 중국정부의 상하이항과 장강유역의 개발이 동북아시아의 물류집중화를 더욱 촉진시키고 있고, 또한 중화권의 해운항만이 더욱 활성화되는 기폭제가 되고 있다. 이에 따라, 우리나라의 대응전략으로 크게 세 가지를 제시하였다. 첫째, 중화물류권의 성장에 따른 우리선사들의 차별화된 서비스와 네트워크, 둘째, 장강 유역에서 화물 운송 서비스사업에 나서기 위해서는 중국 기업과 합작 투자, 셋째, 상하이항과 장강 개발에 따른 환황해권 해상교통망을 구축하는 것이다.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.97-120
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• 2006

This paper deals with the extension of and discussion on the System Dynamics model (Jeong & Jeon, 2005) of river crabs in Korea. The previous model has been elaborated to empirically search for the optimal restoration and harvest rates of crabs in the Imjin River, on the basis of theoretical models of population dynamics in the field of bio-mathematics and environmental economics. In this paper, the authors tries to couple a series of new feedback loops related to density restrictions and cannibalistic behaviors with a stage-structured model of the crab ecosystem, and also to endogenize the parameter of baby crabs' survival that is caused by water quality improvement and income increase. Through these extensions and relaxations, the authors are able to argue about the strategic decision of the optimal rates additional considerations as well as the properties of the integrated system that was not covered in the previous paper.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.359-367
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• 2003

The total pollution load management system of watershed has been implemented upon Special Law pertaining to the Han River Watershed Water Quality Improvement and Residents Support, Special Law pertaining to the Nakdong River Watershed Water Management and Residents Support, Special Law pertaining to the Youngsan River Watershed Water Management and Residents Support, and Special Law pertaining to the Seomjin River Watershed Water Management and Residents Support in Korea since 2002. But many other similar systems with total pollution load management system of watershed are being operated separately or independently, even though its purpose is nearly same with those of the total maximum pollutants load management in Law on Water Quality Environmental Protection, environmental impact assessment(EIA) in Law of Impact Assessment on Environment, Transportation and Disaster and Pre-environmental assessment of Environmental Policy Act. Therefore the contents of total pollution load management system of watershed and many other related systems could be overlapped and at some times have inconsistency among them. This study suggests first the integrated operation of total pollution load management system of watershed, EIA, pre-environmental assessment, urban planning, and sewage planning and secondly EIA system development by integration of EIA and pre-environmental assessment and strategic environmental assessment(SEA).

• Water Engineering Research
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.259-267
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• 2002

South Africa has developed a policy and law that calls and provides for the equitable and sustainable use of water resources. Sustainable resource use is dependent on effective resource protection. Rivers are the most important freshwater resources in the country, and there is a focus on developing and applying methods to quantify what rivers need in terms of flow and water quality. These quantified and descriptive objectives are then related to specified levels of ecological health in a classification system. This paper provides an overview of an integrated and systematic methodology, where, fer each river, and each river reach, the natural condition and the present ecological condition are described, and a level/class of ecosystem health is selected. The class will define long term management goals. This procedure requires each ecosystem component to be quantified, starting with the abiotic template. A modified flow regime is modelled for each ecosystem health class, and the resultant fluvial geomorphology and hydraulic habitats are described. Then the water chemistry is described, and the water quality changes that are likely to occur as a consequence of altered flows are predicted. Finally, the responses to the stress imposed on the biota (fish, invertebrates and vegetation) by modified flow and water quality are predicted. All of the predicted responses are translated into descriptive and/or quantitative management objectives. The paper concludes with the recognition of active method development, and the enormous challenge of applying the methods, implementing the law, and achieving river protection and sustainable resource-use.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.179-214
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• 2013

본 연구는 한강 수계의 수변경관 및 생태계의 보전 가치를 이중양분선택법에 의한 조건부 가치평가법 (Contingent Valuation Method, CVM)을 사용하여 추정하였다. 음이 아닌 지불의사를 구하기 위해 지수지불의사 모형을 사용하였는데 이 모형이 특히 이중양분선택법에서 매우 중요한 것으로 분석되었다. 한강수계권역의 경관 및 생태계 보전에 대한 총 지불의사는 연간 약 7,055억원으로 추정되었다. 이는 한강 등 수계권역의 수변경관 및 생태계 보전을 위하여 필요한 예산규모가 더욱 확대될 필요성이 있음을 시사한다고 해석된다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.655-672
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• 2005

한강은 수도 서울을 관통하면서 수도권의 자연환경과 생활환경에 중요한 기능을 담당하고 있다는 점에서 한강이 지니는 사회 경제적인 역할은 매우 크며, 지난 수십 년간 한강의 수질문제는 한국 사회의 중요한 이슈로 대두되어 왔다. 이에 따라 본 연구는 서울을 대상으로 컨조인트 분석을 이용하여 한강수질개선에 따른 속성별 경제적 편익을 측정하고자 한다. 연구결과 설문에 응한 서울시민들은 전반적으로 수질에 영향을 받는 속성들과 가격 사이의 상충관계를 잘 이해하며 응답하였고, 추정결과는 통계적으로 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 본 연구의 결과는 한강수질의 개선문제에 대해 정량적 정보를 제공한다는 측면에서 의미가 있다.