• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk of Investment

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A Causal Model on Household Investment Behavior (가계투자활동의 인과적 모형 분석)

  • 정은주
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.219-235
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    • 1992
  • This study attempted to examine a theoretical framework which synthesizes risk attitude, type of investment management and investment behavior and to provide the specific investment strategy by analysing several variables which have effect upon the investment behavior. The results of this research were as follow : 1. Risk attitude had significant differences by the variabels such as age, sex, education, income and debt/asset ratio. Also the type of investment management was influenced significantly by the variables such as age, education, occupation, income, total asset, debt/asset ratio, achievement motivation and risk attitude. The ratio of risky asset holdings was affected by the variabels such as age, education, occupation, housing ownership, income, total asset, debt/asset ratio, achievement motivation, risk attitude and type of investment management. 2. Among several variables affecting the ratio of risky asset holding risk attitude, education, type of investment management, debt/asset ratio and achievement motivation had direct effect on it. Besides age had indirect effect through risk attitude and age, achievement motivation and risk attitude had indirect effect through the type of investment management. 3. The results of this study showed that causal relation between input, throughput and output can be applied to household's investment behavior and the concept of risk or risk attitude can be applied to other fields except household's investment. Also it could be attributed to provide the investment strategy for improving level of household's financial well-being.

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Risk-Taking Decisions with Major IS Investment;System Downsizing Case

  • Shim, Seon-Young;Lee, Byung-Tae
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2007
  • In the cut-throat competitive environment of business, large-scale IS investment is becoming inevitable strategic necessity for gaining competitive advantage. However. it bears great deal of risk over all the associated processes so that the investment decisions need to be taken in a greatly careful manner. Nonetheless, Korean organizations are prominently showing risk taking behaviors regarding major is investment, in terms of system downsizing. Although decision theory argues decision makers' rational choice of options through the assessment of risk and benefit, the notable trend toward system downsizing in Korea defies common understandings on IS project risk. Furthermore, it encourages us to investigate many impenetrable characteristics underlying organizational risk taking decisions with IS investment. We found out that there is Significant effect of IS decision makers' risk propensity when they make system downsizing decisions. Moreover. we Identified that IS decision makers do not get a strong pressure of cost savings and have tendencies to mimic competitor's decisions.

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Risk Management and Governmental Investment on New & Renewable Energy (Risk Management 관점에서 신재생에너지 투자)

  • Ahn, Eun-Young
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.360-363
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    • 2006
  • Regester & Larkin(2005) suggest the issue and risk lifecycle analysis method in risk management, made up of the potential, emerging, current, crisis, and dormant stages. Investment on New & Renewable Energy is meaningful in effect ive risk management for diminishing or reducing the shock of a energy current, at the potential stage. In this study, we survey the risk of traditional fossil fuel projects and develop the risk analysis model for new & renewable energy projects specially geothermal energy resources and gas-hydrate resources.

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A Study on the Investment Decision of Offshore Aquaculture under Risk (위험 하에서의 외해가두리양식업 투자의사결정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon;Choi, Jong-Yeol;Lee, Jung-Uie
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2008
  • This study is aimed to establish an investment decision model for offshore aquaculture project of rock bream in Korea using a certainty equivalent method (CEM) based on the expected utility theory and to investigate its economic viability under risk and uncertainty. In the analysis with CEM, the effects of risk attitude and risk level on investment and risk premium were examined and the impacts of various risk and uncertainty factors on the investment decision were also assessed. In addition, the outcomes were compared to those evaluated by the traditional net present value (NPV) method. Results show that risk premium grew as the investors became more risk averse and uncertainty level (the variance of NPV) increased. Consequently, the certainty equivalent value was predicted to decrease from the value assessed by the traditional NPV method.

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Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique (Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

A Method of Evaluating Profitability and Risk of Multiple Investments Applying Internal Rate of Return

  • Mizumachi, Tadahiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2010
  • In today's uncertain economic environment, economic risk is inherent in making large investments on manufacturing facilities. It is, therefore, practically meaningful to divide investment over multiple periods, reducing the risk of investment. Then, the cash-flow over the entire planning horizon would comprise positive inflow and negative outflow. In this case, in general, evaluation by internal rate of return (IRR) is not feasible, because multiple IRRs are involved. This paper deals with a problem of evaluating profitability, as well as risk, of investment alternatives made in multiple times of investment over the entire horizon. Typically, an additional investment is required after the initial one, for expanding manufacturing capacity or other reasons. The paper pays attention to a unit cash-flow over two periods, decomposing the total cash-flow into a series of unit cash-flow patterns. It is easy to evaluate profitability of a unit cash-flow by using IRR. The total cash-flow can be decomposed into the series of two types of unit cash-flows: an investment type one (negative-positive) and the borrowing type one (positive-negative). This paper, therefore, proposes a method in which only the borrowing type unit cash-flow is eliminated in the series by converting total cash-flow using capital interest rate. Then, a unique IRR can be obtained and the profitability is evaluated. Thus, the paper extends the method of IRR so that it may help decision making in complicated cash-flow pattern observed in practice.

Understanding User Continuance of Stock Investment Information in an Online Trading Environment (온라인 거래 환경에서 주식 투자 정보의 지속 사용에 대한 이해)

  • Kim, Hye Min;Chung, Sunghun;Han, Ingoo;Kim, Byoungsoo
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2011
  • Given the prevalence of home trading systems, it has become important to examine user behaviors in a stock investment environment. In this vein, this paper developed an integrated model to deeply understand the key determinants of user's continuance intention to use investment information through constructs prescribed by incorporating trust and perceived risk into expectation-confirmation model. The proposed research model was tested by using survey data collected from 160 users who have experience with stock investment. PLS (partial least squares) was employed for the analysis of the data. The findings of this study showed that the proposed framework provides a statistically significant explanation of the variation in continuance intention to search investment information. The findings revealed that trust and perceived risk are more prevalent predictors of continuance intention to use investment information compared to perceived usefulness. It was also found that user satisfaction serves as the salient antecedents of continuance intention to use investment information. The theoretical and practical implications of the findings were described.

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A Study on the Effect of Information about Risk on Decision Making (위험에 대한 정보의 제공이 의사결정에 미치는 영향)

  • 장경수;홍근표
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 1999
  • This study investigates the effect of information about risk on investment decision making. The model was constructed with two independent variables and two dependant variables. The first independent variable deals with whether information about risk is provided or not. The meaning of information about risk is the degree of uncertainty for investment decision making. The other independent variable involves attitude toward risk, such as the degree of tolerance for risk. Two dependant variables are concerned with the effect on investment decision making, such as the degree of riskiness of decision making and decision confidence, respectively. This study deals with the investment decision in options on stock indices. The findings of this study are as follows. The more the degree of tolerance for risk, the more the degree of decision confidence. This means that risk-taker has more desire for achievement than risk-avoider has. And the message alerting risk of investment decision making takes little effect on investment decision making.

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Study on the Gender Differences of Financial Risk Tolerance (남성과 여성의 투자위험 감수성향 차이에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, June-Young;Jung, Ji-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.49 no.10
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2011
  • This paper examined how men and women differ in the attitude and behaviour of financial risk tolerance. The results showed that women were less risk seeking than men in financial risk tolerance. The results of the investment simulation indicated that men invested in higher risk assets like stock. In contrast, women prefered to invest in lower risk assets like real estate. The results of multiple regression analysis showed that if investors have the propensity to take more risk they allocated their money to higher risk assets in the simulation. This analysis also showed that the surveyed respondents invested in risky assets if they had experience in high risk investment in the past.

An optimal continuous type investment policy for the surplus in a risk model

  • Choi, Seung Kyoung;Lee, Eui Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we show that there exists an optimal investment policy for the surplus in a risk model, in which the surplus is continuously invested to other business at a constant rate a > 0, whenever the level of the surplus exceeds a given threshold V > 0. We assign, to the risk model, two costs, the penalty per unit time while the level of the surplus being under V > 0 and the opportunity cost per unit time by keeping a unit amount of the surplus. After calculating the long-run average cost per unit time, we show that there exists an optimal investment rate $a^*$>0 which minimizes the long-run average cost per unit time, when the claim amount follows an exponential distribution.