• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk mitigation

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Investigation of Flow Characteristics of Sharply Curved Channels by Using CCHE2D Model (CCHE2D모형을 이용한 급만곡부의 흐름특성 분석)

  • Kim, Yeon-Su;Jang, Chang-Lae;Lee, Gi-Ha;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2010
  • In general, curved bends raises a risk of overtopping due to floods and also threatens a bank safety due to a local flow concentration. This study aims to test the applicability of CCHE2D model for experimental flumes with two different types of bends and then investigate flow characteristics in the sharply-curved bend of a natural channel. The results demonstrated that the percent error of water level was within 4.9% for experimental flume applications and the simulated spatial distribution of velocity matched the observed results very closely. The calibrated model based on the experimental flumes was also applied to analyze the flow characteristics in natural channel bends of the Daeyu reach, located in a downstream of the Youngdam Dam. The results showed that in upstream, the simulated water level by the CCHED was observed at 1.5 m higher than the 1-D numerical model (HEC-RAS) result since the HEC-RAS could not represent the bend geometry effect on streamflow. However, the calculated results by several empirical formula support that the CCHE2D is suitable for the super elevation simulation as well as flood stage and velocity in a natural channel bend.

Loss Estimation in Southeast Korea from a Scenario Earthquake using the Deterministic Method in HAZUS

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kang, Su-Young
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.02b
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2009
  • Strong ground motion attenuation relationship represents a comprehensive trend of ground shakings at sites with distances from the source, geology, local soil conditions, and others. It is necessary to develop an attenuation relationship with careful considerations of characteristics of the target area for reliable seismic hazard/risk assessments. In the study, observed ground motions from the January 2007 magnitude 4.9 Odaesan earthquake and the events occurring in the Gyeongsang provinces are compared with the previously proposed ground attenuation relationships in the Korean Peninsula to select most appropriate one. In the meantime, a few strong ground motion attenuation relationships are proposed and introduced in HAZUS, which have been designed for the Western United States and the Central and Eastern United States. The selected relationship from the ones for the Korean Peninsula has been compared with attenuation relationships available in HAZUS. Then, the attenuation relation for the Western United States proposed by Sadigh et al. (1997) for the Site Class B has been selected for this study. Reliability of the assessment will be improved by using an appropriate attenuation relation. It has been used for the earthquake loss estimation of the Gyeongju area located in southeast Korea using the deterministic method in HAZUS with a scenario earthquake (M=6.7). Our preliminary estimates show 15.6% damage of houses, shelter needs for about three thousands residents, and 75 life losses in the study area for the scenario events occurring at 2 A.M. Approximately 96% of hospitals will be in normal operation in 24 hours from the proposed event. Losses related to houses will be more than 114 million US dollars. Application of the improved methodology for loss estimation in Korea will help decision makers for planning disaster responses and hazard mitigation.

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Application of the Fuzzy Models for the Efficient Operation of Pumping Station (배수펌프장의 효율적인 운영을 위한 퍼지모형의 적용)

  • Kim, Yun-Tae;Shim, Jae-Hyun;Chung, Jae-Hak;Ahn, Jae-Chan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.4 no.3 s.14
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2004
  • Urban flood damage has been caused by drainage deficiency. One of the methods to solve this problem is to construct detention basin and Pumping station and to pump out the water to the river. However, because of rapid urbanization, the capacity of drainage pipelines is sometimes not sufficient enough during the rainy season. Therefore, even though we have enough pumping stations, the inflow of surface water never reaches to the detention area, causing floods in urban area. This research is to find improvement of urban drainage system, estimating drainage pipeline risk. Also, eight models for a computer program were developed for practical use. The models were verified changing precipitation duration, intensity, design period, time distribution model, and etc. This verification was processed focusing that the model can regulate the water level in the detention basin and minimize the effect downstream. As a result Fuzzy models were found to be efficient to lower the water level in detention basin, and decreased about 8 cm in water level of downstream.

CASE Study: Policy implications of HAZUS analysis

  • Kim, Yong-Gyun
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.48-52
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    • 2008
  • 대형태풍 카트리나가 준 주요 교훈 중의 하나는, 위험도 분석에 기반한 종합적인 재해경감 프로그램의 중요성이다. 미국에서는 이를 위해 다양한 위험도 분석(risk analysis) 프로그램 개발에 노력해 왔다. HAZUS(Hazarda-US) 프로그램은 대표적인 자연재해 예측 시스템으로서, 위험요인 파악(hazard identification), 지역사회의 취약성 분석(vulnerability of the society), 그리고 피해결과예측(loss estimation)의 세 가지 요소로 구성된다. 1992년 지진을 대상으로 개발된 이 프로그램은 현재, 지진 홍수 허리케인 윈드에 대해 피해예측을 할 수 있는 HAZUS-MH MR3가 사용 중에 있다. FEMA에서는 주정부에서 HAZUS를 활용, 피해 예측에 기반한 재해경감 정책을 추진할 수 있도록 다양한 재정적 기술적 지원을 하고 있다. 이에 따라, 2004년 머릴랜드 주에서는 미국 최초로 주 전역에 걸친 홍수피해 예측을 실히하고 이를 바탕으로 다양한 경감정책을 추진하였다. 머릴랜드 주정부에서 Salisbury 대학에 의뢰하여 수행한 홍수 피해 예측 과정은, 조사구역 및 위험요인(홍수) 결정, 사용 데이터 확정, 수문학적 분석, 수리학적 분석, 피해예측(건물 용도별 피해면적, 건물 용도별 피해액, 건물 재질별 피해면적, 건물 재질별 피해액, 지역의 경제학적 피해)의 과정으로 수행되었다. 홍수피해 예측 결과, 100년 빈도 홍수가 재현될 경우, 주 전체 면적 중 13%이상의 지역에서 약 80조 이상의 피해액이 예측됨에 따라, 종합적인 재해경감 대책의 필용성이 제기되었다. 이에 따라, 머릴랜드 주정부에서는 홍수피해예측 결과를 토대로, 주정부 재해경감 예산 재분배, 홍수터 보호, 건물규제 강화, 토지이용계획 재조정 등 보다 과학적이고 종합적인 재해경감 프로그램을 추진하였다. 머릴랜드 주정부의 이번 연구는 주정부로서는 최초로 HAZUS를 활용하여 주 전역에 걸친 피해예측을 실시한 것으로서, 피해예측 시스템이 어떻게 주정부의 과학적 피해경감 프로그램에 기여할 수 있는 지를 보여주는 사례이다.

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Fuel Mix of Electricity Generating System Considering Energy Security and Climate Change Mitigations : Focusing on Complementarity between Policy Objectives (에너지 안보 및 기후변화 대책을 고려한 발전구성비의 도출 : 정책 목표간의 상호보완성을 중심으로)

  • Ryu, Hanee;Kim, Kyunam;Kim, Yeonbae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.761-796
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this paper is to derive fuel mix of electricity generating system with the lowest cost considering energy security and climate change mitigations as the target of energy policy. Energy Security Price Index(ESPI), based on the measure of market concentration in fossil fuel market and political risk of exporting countries, is chosen to assess the level of energy security. The methodology of Energy Conservation Supply Curve(CSC) is applied to fuel mix to meet the carbon emission mitigation through increasing the alternatives participation and introduction of new technologies. These also represent an improvement on the level of energy security, having the complementarity between two objectives. The alternative measure for improving energy security is exploration and production(E&P) of fossil fuel for energy sufficiency. Fuel mix of electricity generating system to achieve certain objectives in 2020 can be derived with the lowest cost considering energy security and carbon emission mitigations.

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Optmized Design for Flood Mitigation at Sea Side Urban Basin (해안 도시유역의 수재해 저감설계 최적화 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Won Bum;Kim, Min Hyung;Son, kwang Ik;Jung, Woo Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.267-267
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    • 2016
  • Extreme events, such as Winnie(1987), Rusa(2002), Maemi(2003) at sea-side urban area, resulted not only economic losses but also life losses. The Korean sea-side characterisitcs are so complicated thar the prediction of sea level rise makes difficult. Geomophologically, Korean pennisula sits on the rim of the Pacific mantle so the sea level is sensitive to the surges due to earth quake, typoon and abnormal climate changes. These environmetns require closer investigation for the preparing the inundatioin due to the sea level rise with customized prediction for local basin. The goal of this research is provide the information of inundation risk so the sea side urban basin could be more safe from the natural water disastesr.

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Vulnerability Analysis and Threat Mitigation for Secure Web Application Development (안전한 웹 애플리케이션 개발을 위한 취약점 분석 및 위협 완화)

  • Moon, Jae-Chan;Cho, Seong-Je
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2012
  • Recently, as modern Internet uses mashups, Web 3.0, JavaScript/AJAX widely, the rate at which new vulnerabilities are being discovered is increasing rapidly. It can subsequently introduce big security threats. In order to efficiently mitigate these web application vulnerabilities and security threats, it is needed to rank vulnerabilities based on severity and consider the severe vulnerabilities during a specific phase of software development lifecycle (SDLC) for web applications. In this paper, we have first verified whether the risk rating methodology of OWASP Top 10 vulnerabilities is a reasonable one or not by analyzing the vulnerability data of web applications in the US National Vulnerability Database (NVD). Then, by inspecting the vulnerability information of web applications based on OWASP Top-10 2010 list and CWE (Common Weakness Enumeration) directory, we have mapped the web-related entries of CWE onto the entries of OWASP Top-10 2010 and prioritized them. We have also presented which phase of SDLC is associated with each vulnerability entry. Using this approach, we can prevent or mitigate web application vulnerabilities and security threats efficiently.

Age Differences in Safety Perception: A Comparison of Babyboomer, Pre-elderly, and the Elderly (연령별 안전에 대한 인식 차이: 베이비부머, 예비노인, 현재노인의 비교)

  • Chung, Soon-Dool;Oh, Eun-Chan;Kim, Go-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to observe the age differences in safety perception among babyboomer, pre-elderly, and the elderly and to seek for countermeasures to overcome the risk. The data used for this study were from the 2008 Social Survey conducted by Administration on Statistics, Korea. The data were divided into three different age groups such as babyboomer, pre-elderly, and the elderly. Results showed that overall safety level of the society, safety perception of others and oneself, current social safety level compared to 10 years ago, social safety level after 10years, awareness of safety among different social fields, and the rank among the list of factors that lead to social insecurity appeared to differ according to the three different age groups. The awareness of safety for the elderly group was not higher than babyboomer and pre-elderly groups. Age differences in safety perception reflected the times and experiences the same age cohort went through. Countermeasures for security should be developed by considering the characteristics of the generations and different age groups.

A Study on Numerical Analysis for Debris Flow considering the Application of Debris Flow Mitigation Facilities (토석류 저감시설 적용에 따른 토석류 수치해석에 관한 연구)

  • Bae Dong Kang;Jung Soo An;Kye Won Jun;Chang Deok Jang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2023
  • The impact of prolonged rainfall, such as during the monsoon season or intense concentrated rainfall over a short period, can lead to mountainous disasters such as landslides and debris flows. These events, such as landslides and debris flows, cause both human and material damage, prompting the implementation of various measures and research to prevent them. In the context of researching debris flow disasters, numerical models for debris flows provide a relatively simple way to analyze the risk in a study area. However, since empirical equations are applied in these models, yielding different results and variations in input variables across models, the validation of numerical models becomes essential. In this study, a numerical model for debris flows was employed to compare and analyze the mitigation effects of facilities such as check dams and water channel work, aiming to reduce the damage caused by debris flows.

Drought risk assessment considering regional socio-economic factors and water supply system (지역의 사회·경제적 인자와 용수공급체계를 고려한 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Min Ji;Choi, Sijung;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.589-601
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    • 2022
  • Although drought is a natural phenomenon, its damage occurs in combination with regional physical and social factors. Especially, related to the supply and demand of various waters, drought causes great socio-economic damage. Even meteorological droughts occur with similar severity, its impact varies depending on the regional characteristics and water supply system. Therefore, this study assessed regional drought risk considering regional socio-economic factors and water supply system. Drought hazard was assessed by grading the joint drought management index (JDMI) which represents water shortage. Drought vulnerability was assessed by weighted averaging 10 socio-economic factors using Entropy, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). Drought response capacity that represents regional water supply factors was assessed by employing Bayesian networks. Drought risk was determined by multiplying a cubic root of the hazard, vulnerability, and response capacity. For the drought hazard meaning the possibility of failure to supply water, Goesan-gun was the highest at 0.81. For the drought vulnerability, Daejeon was most vulnerable at 0.61. Considering the regional water supply system, Sejong had the lowest drought response capacity. Finally, the drought risk was the highest in Cheongju-si. This study identified the regional drought risk and vulnerable causes of drought, which is useful in preparing drought mitigation policy considering the regional characteristics in the future.