• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.602-607
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• 2013

Financial risks associated with capital investments are often measured with different feasibility indicators such as the net present value (NPV), the internal rate of return (IRR), the payback period (PBP), and the benefit-cost ratio (BCR). This paper aims at demonstrating practical applications of probabilistic feasibility analysis techniques for an integrated feasibility evaluation of the IRR and PBP. The IRR and PBP are concurrently analyzed in order to measure the profitability and liquidity, respectively, of a cash flow. The cash flow data of a real wind turbine project is used in the study. The presented approach consists of two phases. First, two newly reported analysis techniques are used to carry out a series of what-if analyses for the IRR and PBP. Second, the relationship between the IRR and PBP is identified using Monte Carlo simulation. The results demonstrate that the integrated feasibility evaluation of stochastic cash flows becomes a more viable option with the aide of newly developed probabilistic analysis techniques. It is also shown that the relationship between the IRR and PBP for the wind turbine project can be used as a predictive model for the actual IRR at the end of the service life based on the actual PBP of the project early in the service life.

• Nutrition Research and Practice
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.78-87
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• 2024

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The prevalence of obesity, a worldwide pandemic, has been increasing steadily in Korea. Reports have shown that increased intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, independent of body mass index. However, the relationship between dietary intake and IMAT accumulation in the Korean population remains undetermined. The objective of this study was to evaluate regional fat compartments using advanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) techniques. We also aimed to investigate the association between IMAT amounts and dietary intake, including carbohydrate intake, among Korean individuals with obesity. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This cross-sectional study, performed at a medical center in South Korea, recruited 35 individuals with obesity (15 men and 20 women) and classified them into 2 groups according to sex. Anthropometry was performed, and body fat distribution was measured using MRI. Blood parameters, including glucose and lipid profiles, were analyzed using commercial kits. Linear regression analysis was used to test whether the IMAT was associated with daily carbohydrate intake. RESULTS: Carbohydrate intake was positively associated with IMAT in all individuals, with adjustments for age, sex, height, and weight. No significant differences in blood indicators were found between the sexes. CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of sex and age, higher carbohydrate intake was strongly correlated with greater IMAT accumulation. This suggests the need to better understand sex differences and high carbohydrate diet patterns in relation to the association between obesity and metabolic risk, which may help reduce obesity prevalence.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.83-91
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• 2020

최근의 교량 건설 프로젝트는 교량 건설의 증가추세에 따라 위험 손실에 대비하기 위해 보다 정교한 리스크 관리 조치와 손실 예측을 요구하고 있다. 본 연구는 교량 건설 사업에 대한 국내 주요 보험사의 과거 보험료 지급 실적을 토대로 실제 교량 건설에서 목적물의 손실을 유발하는 위험 요인을 분석하고, 정량화된 예측 손실 모델을 개발하고자 하였다. 정량적 교량건설 손실모형 개발을 위해 사고 건당 보험지급액을 총공사비로 나눈 손실비율을 종속변수로 선정하였고, 독립변수로는 1)기술적 요인: 상부 구조 유형, 하부 구조 유형, 상부 가설방법, 교량 길이 2) 자연재해요인 : 태풍, 홍수 3) 프로젝트 정보: 공사기간, 총공사비를 채택하였다. 선정된 독립변수 중 상부구조, 가설방법 및 프로젝트 기간이 교량건설 손실 비율에 영향을 미치는 지표로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과로 도출된 리스크 지표와 손실예측 함수는 정부 관련기관, 교량 건설 설계 및 시공사, 보험회사에 정량적 피해 예측 및 위험 평가 서비스를 제공하며, 향후 기초 교량 리스크 평가 개발 연구의 가이드라인으로 활용할 수 있다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제39권2호
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• pp.115-122
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• 2006

Objectives : This study was conducted to examine the relationships of the several socioeconomic position indicators with the mortality risk in a representative longitudinal study of South Korea. Methods : The 1998 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey was conducted on a cross-sectional probability sample of South Korean households, and it contained unique 13-digit personal identification numbers that were linked to the data on mortality from the National Statistical Office of Korea. Of 5,607 males and females, 264 died between 1999 and 2003. Cox's regression was used to estimate the relative risks (RR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) of mortality. Results: Socioeconomic differences in mortality were observed after adjustments were made for gender and age. Compared with those people having college or higher education, those people without any formal education had a greater mortality risk (RR=2.21, 95% CI=1.12-4.40). The mortality risk among manual workers was significantly greater than that for the non-manual workers (RR=2.73, 95% CI=1.47-5.06). A non-standard employment status was also associated with an increase in mortality: temporary or daily workers had a greater mortality risk than did the full-time workers (RR=3.01, 95% CI=1.50-6.03). The mortality risk for the low occupational class was 3.06 times greater than that of the high and middle occupational classes (95% CI=1.75-5.36). In addition, graded mortality differences according to equivalized monthly household income were found. A reduction of monthly household income by 500 thousand Korean Won (about 400 US dollars) was related with a 20% excess risk of mortality. Self-reported poor living standards were also associated with an increased risk of mortality. Those without health insurance had a 3.63 times greater risk of mortality than the insured (95% CI=1.61-8.19). Conclusions: This study showed the socioeconomic differentials in mortality in a national longitudinal study of South Korea. The existence of socioeconomic mortality inequalities requires increased social discussion on social policies in Korean society. Furthermore, the mechanisms for the socioeconomic inequalities of mortality need to be explored in future studies.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.185-196
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• 2015

Background: Issues concerning with the classification accuracy of Korean Outpatient Groups (KOPGs) have been raised by providers and researchers. The KOPG is an outpatient classification system used to measure casemix of outpatient visits and to adjust provider risk in charges by the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service in managing insurance payments. The objective of this study were to refine KOPGs to improve the classification accuracy and to evaluate the refinement. Methods: We refined the rules used to classify visits with multiple procedures, newly defined chemotherapy drug groups, and modified the medical visit indicators through reviews of other classification systems, data analyses, and consultations with experts. We assessed the improvement by measuring % of variation in case charges reduced by KOPGs and the refined system, Enhanced KOPGs (EKOPGs). We used claims data submitted by providers to the HIRA during the year 2012 in both refinement and evaluation. Results: EKOPGs explicitly allowed additional payments for multiple procedures with exceptions of packaging of routine ancillary services and consolidation of related significant procedures, and discounts ranging from 30% to 70% were defined in additional payments. Thirteen chemotherapy drug KOPGs were added and medical visit indicators were streamlined to include codes for consultation fees for outpatient visits. The % of variance reduction achieved by EKOPGs was 48% for all patients whereas the figure was 40% for KOPGs, and the improvement was larger in data from tertiary and general hospitals than in data from clinics. Conclusion: A significant improvement in the performance of the KOPG was achieved by refining payments for visits with multiple procedures, defining groups for visits with chemotherapy, and revising medical visit indicators.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.217-228
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 9.12 경주지진이 발생한 경주시를 대상으로 AHP와 GIS를 사용하여 지진취약성지도를 작성하고 이를 평가하였다. 지질공학적, 물리적, 사회적, 구조적, 수용적 요인을 주요지표로 선정하였으며, 이와 관련된 18개의 하위지표를 선정하여 공간데이터베이스로 구축하였다. AHP를 사용하여 도출된 가중치는 18개 하위 지표에 적용되었으며, 이를 기반으로 5가지 주요지표의 취약성 지도를 생성하였다. 생성된 5개의 지도에 가중치를 부여한 후, 이를 중첩하여 최종 결과물인 지진취약성지도를 생성하였다. 취약성 지도는 5개의 범주(safe, low, moderate, high, very high)로 분류하였으며, 경주시 전체 면적 중 3%가 아주 높음(very high), 19%가 안전(safe) 지역으로 나타났다. 행정동 기준으로는 중부동, 황오동, 황성동, 성건동, 동천동이 위험지역으로, 보덕동, 강동면, 양북면, 양남면, 외동읍이 안전지역으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 작성된 지진취약성지도는 사전에 취약지역을 파악함으로써 지진 재해로 인한 피해를 최소화하고, 지진 재해 관련 정책 수립 시 중요한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제53권5호
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• pp.323-336
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• 2020

기후변화로 인하여 한국의 연 강수량은 20세기부터 증가해 왔으며 미래에도 계속 증가할 것이라 전망되고 있다. 이와 함께 홍수 발생 가능성이 동반 상승하고 있기에 합리적인 홍수위험도 평가에 기반한 국가 단위 적응정책 수립이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구는 전국의 홍수위험도를 일괄적으로 평가할 수 있는 체계를 정의하고 홍수위험지수(Flood Risk Index, FRI)를 산정했다. IPCC AR5의 개념을 참고하여 위험도를 위해, 노출, 대응능력의 조합으로 평가하는 체계를 확립하였다. FRI는 자료 기반으로 산출되었으며, 요소별 가중치를 부여하여 설명력 향상을 도모하였다. FRI와 피해자료간 스피어만(Spearman) 상관성 분석을 한 결과 적절한 수준으로 잠재적인 홍수피해 크기를 평가할 수 있다는 것이 검증되었다. 미래 홍수위험도 평가를 위해 HadGEM3-RA 기반의 RCP 4.5, 8.5 시나리오를 투영했을 때 21세기 초, 중반에는 약화되었다가 21세기 말엔 현재보다 높은 위험도를 보이는 경향이 있었다.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.226-237
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• 2021

연안안전사고는 인적과실이 차지하는 비율이 매우 높고 같은 요인에 의한 사고가 반복적으로 발생하는 특징이 나타나고 있다. 이들 장소를 중심으로 관리기관에서는 사고 예방을 위한 각종 대비책을 마련하여 시행하고 있으나 제한된 예산에 따른 안전시설물 및 안전관리 인력의 부족과 기상청 기상특보에 의존하고 있는 연안안전사고 위험예보제 운용체계의 한계 등으로 선제적·능동적 대응력이 많이 떨어지는 것이 현실이다. 본 연구에서는 연안안전사고 발생 이후의 수습 중심 안전관리체계에서 안전사고 발생 이전에 사고 유발요소의 관리와 위험도 예측·평가, 사고발생 이후의 대응 및 경감대책을 시행할 수 있는 선제적, 능동적 연안안전 관리체계 구축기반 마련의 일환으로 연안활동장소의 위험도 평가체계를 수립·제안하였다. 2017년 이후의 연안안전사고 현황 분석을 통해 연안활동장소별 안전사고를 유발하는 주요 위험요인을 식별하였으며, 이를 기반으로 위험도 평가를 위한 주요 평가인자 및 지표를 설정하였다. 제안된 위험도 평가 방법론은 해양경찰청에서 지정·관리되고 있는 주요 40개 위험구역을 대상으로 적용하였다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.2595-2598
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• 2013

Background: Prostate cancer is common in elderly men, especially in western countries, and incidences are rising in low-risk populations as well. In India, the age-standardized rates vary between registries. Under these circumstances we have estimated the survival of prostate cancer patients based on age, family history, diabetes, hypertension, tobacco habit, clinical extent of disease (risk group) and treatment received. Materials and Methods: The present retrospective study was carried out at the Tata Memorial Hospital (TMH), Mumbai, India. During years 1999-2002, some 850 prostate cancer cases, including 371 new cases, treated in TMH were considered as eligible entrants for the study. Five-year survival rates using actuarial and loss-adjusted (LAR) method were estimated. Results: The patient population was distributed uniformly over the three age groups. A larger proportion of the patients were diagnosed at 'metastatic stage' and hormone treatment was most common. 20% patients had history of diabetes and 40% with hypertension. The 5-year overall survival rate was 64%. Survival was 55%, 74% and 52% for '<59 years','60-69 years' and '>70 years' respectively. Non-diabetic (70%), hypertensive (74%), with family history (80%) of cancer, with localized-disease (91%) and treated with surgery, either alone or in combination, (91%) had better survival. Conclusions: The present study showed that prostate cancer patients with localized disease at diagnosis experience a better outcome. Local treatment with either surgery or radiation achieves a reasonable outcome in prostate cancer patients. A detailed study will help in understanding the prognostic indicators for survival especially with the newer treatment technologies available now.

• 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.5-16
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• 2017

This study was conducted to compare the nutritional status, nutrient intakes, and chronic disease risks of Chinese elderly people. MNA (Mini Nutritional Assessment) developed for elderly people was used to determine their nutritional status. In this study, participants consisted of 148 urban residents aged 65 years and over residing in three cities in Shandong Province, China. Participants were 67 (45.3%) men and 81 (54.7%) women, and average age was 72.8 years. According to MNA score, 77.7% of participants were 'well nourished', 22.3% were 'at risk of malnutrition', and 2% were 'malnourished'. Nutritional status was divided into two groups by MNA score as 'well nourished' and 'malnourished', which was formed with the combination of 'at risk of malnutrition' and 'malnourished'. Compared with the well nourished group, the malnourished group was older, and physical status indicators such as weight, BMI (Body Mass Index), and calf circumference of the malnourished group were much smaller. The malnourished group had higher prevalence rates of heart disease and stomach disorders while the well nourished group had a higher rate of hypertension. There was no significant difference between the malnourished group and well nourished group in nutritional intake below Chinese DRIs (Dietary Reference Intakes) among elder males. A higher proportion of elder females showed insufficient intakes of energy, protein, vitamin A, vitamin E, and zinc in the malnourished group compared to the well nourished group. The INQ (Index of Nutrition Quality) of calcium, magnesium, zinc, iodine, and most vitamins was less than 1 in both the malnourished and well nourished groups.