• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk diversification

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A Risk-Return Analysis of Loan Portfolio Diversification in the Vietnamese Banking System

  • HUYNH, Japan;DANG, Van Dan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2020
  • The study empirically examines the effects of loan portfolio diversification on bank risk and return in the nascent banking market of Vietnam. Loan portfolio diversification is captured through the Hirschman-Herfindahl index and the Shannon Entropy with sectoral exposures. We access each bank's financial reports to collect the required data, especially the breakdown of sectoral loan portfolios, thus constituting a unique dataset. To compute bank return, we use the traditional accounting indicators, including return-on-assets, return-on-equity, and net-interest margin. For bank risk, we utilize the loan-loss provisions and non-performing loans relative to gross customer loans. Using a sample of 30 commercial banks over the period from 2008 to 2019 and the system generalized method of moments estimator for the dynamic panel, we indicate the downsides of portfolio diversification. Concretely, we observe that all diversification measures exhibit significantly negative signs in all regressions across different bank return proxies. At the same time, the estimates display the significant and positive impact of diversification on the non-performing loan ratio. Hence, sectoral loan portfolio diversification significantly hampers bank performance in both aspects of lower return and higher credit risk. The results are robust across a rich set of bank performance and portfolio diversification measures.

Effect of Ownership Structure on Bank Diversification and Risk-Taking Behavior in Bangladesh

  • MOUDUD-UL-HUQ, Syed;BISWAS, Tanmay;CHAKRABORTY, Brishti;AMIN, Md. Al
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.647-656
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    • 2020
  • This study empirically examines the effect of ownership structure on bank diversification and risk-taking behavior. The population of this study is based on all commercial banks listed in Bangladesh. Thirty-two conventional commercial banks were randomly selected from thirty-three conventional banks for this study. Data was collected from the annual reports of the concerned banks from 2000 to 2017. To analyze the data, we had applied the two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimator. The results of the analysis show that ownership structure i.e. managerial ownership, institutional ownership, general public ownership, and ownership concentration have a significant negative impact on bank diversification. On the other hand, institutional ownership, managerial ownership, and general public ownership have a significant positive impact on Z-score, and ownership concentration has an insignificant but positive impact on the Z-score of banks in Bangladesh. Therefore, the study opposes the benefits of diversification and promotes ownership structure which is capable of ensuring better financial stability by reducing the probability of risk. The policy-makers especially, Bangladesh banks should evaluate the fact of this study to issue guidelines on corporate governance, bank diversification, and risk-taking behavior of commercial banks.

The Impact of Corporate International Diversification on Audit Fees and Audit Hours

  • Cho, Jungeun
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.202-209
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the association between corporate international diversification and audit fees and audit hours. Korean firms' overseas investment has rapidly increased in recent years and the trend of international diversification is expected to accelerate in the future. Thus, it is important to investigate how auditors respond to globally diversified firms. Our empirical findings show that internationally diversified firms incur higher audit fees and audit hours. This suggests that auditors perceive global diversification as being a higher business risk and require higher external audit fees so that they can decrease audit risk arising from inherent organizational complexity. Further, auditors expand audit procedures to collect more audit evidences, exerting increased audit effort. This study provides empirical evidences that corporate global diversification results in higher audit fees and audit hours. Auditors may refer to these results when planning their audit and determining audit fees and audit hours.

KOSPI와 KOSDAQ의 포트폴리오 분산효과 실증분석 (An emmpirical test of the portfolio diversification effects (Evidence from KOSPI and KOSDAQ))

  • 이용환;윤홍근;신주범
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2007
  • This paper empirically examines the portfolio diversification effect using data from both KOSPI and KOSDAQ. In KOSPI market, portfolio diversification effect disappears when more than 18 stocks are added in the portfolio. About 63% of portfolio risk is eliminated. In KOSDAQ market, the maximum portfolio diversification effect is achieved when 17 stocks are at least included in a portfolio. The maximum cumulative risk reduction is 35%.

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금융회사의 통합위험 측정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Measuring the Financial firm's Integrated Risk)

  • 장경천;이상헌;김현석
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.207-223
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 국내 금융회사중 내부모형을 승인받아 사용하고 있는 국내 은행의 실제 위험유형별 자료를 이용하여 시장위험과 신용위험간 관계를 고려한 통합위험을 측정하였으며, 이를 통하여 위험유형간 분산효과가 존재하는지 검증해 보았다. 검증방법은 법규상 규제자본과 내부모형을 통해 산출되는 시장위험과 신용위험의 단순 합산 및 위험액 자체에 직접 임의의 상관관계를 고려하는 단순통합모형을 이용하여 비교 검증하였다. 실증분석 결과, 다음과 같은 사실들을 확인할 수 있었는데, 먼저 내부모형은 시장위험에서는 평균적으로 규제자본에 비해 40.4%, 신용위험은 45.4%의 분산효과를 보였으며, 통계적으로도 유의한 차이를 보였다. 이는 내부모형의 경우 하위 위험요인간 분산효과로 인하여 규제자본에 비해 필요자본이 작아진 다는 것을 의미한다. 다음으로 실무에서 이용하는 위험액 자체에 임의의 상관관계를 적용하여 산출한 단순 통합위험을 경제적 자본의 대용치인 내부모형의 단순합산과 비교해 본 결과 분산효과는 크지 않았으며, 통계적으로도 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 이는 은행의 시장위험이 신용위험에 비해 규모면에서 과소하여 분산효과가 크게 나타나지 않는 것으로 설명할 수 있다.

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Risk Characteristic on Fat-tails of Return Distribution: An Evidence of the Korean Stock Market

  • Eom, Cheoljun
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study empirically investigates whether the risk property included in fat-tails of return distributions is systematic or unsystematic based on the devised statistical methods. Design/methodology/approach - This study devised empirical designs based on two traditional methods: principal component analysis (PCA) and the testing method of portfolio diversification effect. The fatness of the tails in return distributions is quantitatively measured by statistical probability. Findings - According to the results, the risk property in the fat-tails of return distributions has the economic meanings of eigenvalues having a value greater than 1 through PCA, and also systematic risk that cannot be removed through portfolio diversification. In other words, the fat-tails of return distributions have the properties of the common factors, which may explain the changes of stock returns. Meanwhile, the fatness of the tails in the portfolio return distributions shows the asymmetric relationship of common factors on the tails of return distributions. The negative tail in the portfolio return distribution has a much closer relation with the property of common factors, compared to the positive tail. Research implications or Originality - This empirical evidence may complement the existing studies related to tail risk which is utilized in pricing models as a common factor.

Diversification, performance and optimal business mix of insurance portfolios

  • Kim, Hyun Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.1503-1520
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    • 2013
  • For multi-line insurance companies, allocating the risk capital to each line is a widely-accepted risk management exercise. In this article we consider several applications of the Euler capital allocation. First, we propose visual tools to present the diversification and the line-wise performance for a given loss portfolio so that the risk managers can understand the interactions among the lines. Secondly, on theoretical side, we prove that the Euler allocation is the directional derivative of the marginal or incremental allocation method, an alternative capital allocation rule in the literature. Lastly, we establish the equivalence between the mean-shortfall optimization and the RORAC optimization when the risk adjusted capital is the expected shortfall, and show how to construct the optimal insurance business mix that maximizes the portfolio RORAC. An actual loss sample of an insurance portfolio is used for numerical illustrations.

불확실한 수율하에서 단일소싱의 최적성 (Optimality of the Sole Sourcing under Random Yield)

  • 박경철;이경식
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.324-329
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    • 2015
  • Though the supplier diversification is considered as a vital tool to mitigate the risk due to supply chain disruptions, there are results which show the optimality of the sole sourcing. This paper further generalizes the results to show that the sole sourcing is optimal under very mild conditions. Discussion on why the sole sourcing is optimal is given with the insight on the value of supplier diversification.

Asymmetric Interdependence and the Selective Diversification of Supply Chains

  • Nagy, Stephen R.;Nguyen, Hanh
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.237-258
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    • 2021
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the risks of an over-concentration of supply chains in one country. It has motivated stakeholders to pursue diversification strategies. However, a paradox exists. Stakeholders have shied away from a complete decoupling and preferring to selectively enhance economic ties with China. This article explores this paradox by examining supply chain concentration in China as a form of asymmetric interdependence and the countermeasures from the U.S., Japan, Australia, and India to minimize vulnerabilities. It argues that while the COVID-19 disruptions have brought to light the risk of supply chain overconcentration in China, countermeasures are also driven by coercive diplomacy and the deepening U.S.-China rivalry. The paper also examines the feasibility of diversification efforts by focusing on the capacity and capabilities of alternative supply chain hubs. It finds that while states are actively seeking ways to prevent China from using asymmetric interdependence of supply chains and trade to gain political leverage, there are structural limits to the degree of diversification in the short to mid-term.

Copula를 이용한 국민연금기금의 통합위험에 관한 연구 (Copula Approach for the Measurement of Integrated Risk of National Pension Fund)

  • 변진호;남재우;이호선
    • 산업공학
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.24-39
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we study the methodology for the measurement and integration of market risk and credit risk using Copula. We apply the methodology of Rosenberg, and Schuermann(2006) to the assets of pension system. Firstly we estimate dynamics of risk factors and their effects on investment returns, then use the estimated result to simulate future movement of risk factors and distribution of investment returns. Finally we measure integrated risk using integrated return distribution by Copula and simulated future investment return distributions. We found the integrated risk changing with the correlation of risks and investment weights of risks and confirmed the diversification effect of risks. This result is consistent when we use normal Copula and normal marginals, t-Copula and t(3) marginals, and normal Copula and non-parametric marginals. And in the case of non-parametric maginals, larger integrated risk is calculated. It means that use of non-parametric marginals is more conservative.