• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk degree

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데이터마이닝을 이용한 기상정보에 따른 화재 위험 평가 (Fire Risk Assessment Based on Weather Information Using Data Mining)

  • 류정우;권성필
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 일상생활에서 화재에 대한 주민들의 경각심을 고취시킬 수 있도록 기상조건에 따른 화재위험을 평가할 수 있는 날씨 관련 서비스를 제안한다. 제안된 서비스는 기상예보에 따른 화재위험평가등급과 특정 기상조건에서 화재요인에 따른 화재위험도를 제공한다. 제안한 서비스에서는 데이터마이닝 기법인 의사결정트리를 이용하여 화재조사데이터와 관측된 기상데이터로부터 화재위험평가등급을 산출할 수 있는 화재 위험도 매트릭스를 생성한다. 주민들은 제안한 서비스를 통해 특정 기상조건에서 화재요인에 따라 화재위험도를 직접 평가할 수 있고, 화재위험도를 저감시킬 수 있는 예방책을 사용자가 선택할 수 있다. 제안한 서비스를 시스템화하여 서비스의 현실성을 확인하였다. 시스템은 온라인상에서 기상청의 기상예보가 갱신될 때마다 시도별로 기상예보에 따른 화재위험평가등급을 표시하고, 각 시도별로 해당 기상조건에서 화재요인에 따라 화재위험도를 평가할 수 있다.

과학교육과 연계한 위험사회 교육프로그램 개발 (Development of Risk Society Education Program (RSEP) in Connection with Science Education)

  • 이은주
    • 대한지구과학교육학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.103-132
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    • 2023
  • 이 연구는 코로나19로 인한 위험의 인식론적 불확실성의 이해에 도움이 되고자 대학생을 대상으로 위험사회 교육프로그램을 개발하였다. 그리고 대학생의 과학 관련 수업에 적용하였으며 과학 글쓰기를 통해 위험사회에 관한 대학생의 이해정도와 생각을 살펴보는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 대학생들의 과학 글쓰기를 정성 분석하여 정량화한 결과 대학생들의 이공계와 인문사회계열의 전공에 관계없이 참여한 모든 계열의 학생들에서 위험사회에 대한 이해 정도가 매우 높게 나타난 것을 볼 수 있었다. 또한 위험사회 교육프로그램과 과학글쓰기는 대학생들이 코로나19 위험의 인식론적 불확실성을 해소하고, 코로나19 거리두기로 인해 어렵고 힘들었던 마음을 극복하는 자세를 갖는 데에도 도움을 준 것으로 분석되었다. 이 연구의 결과는 과학교육에 있어서 과학기술의 예측범위를 넘어서고 있는 기후변화와 팬데믹의 위험 시대를 살고 있는 미래세대를 위한 위험사회 교육이 필요함을 시사한다.

IPA를 이용한 개인정보 위험도 분석 연구 (A Study on Analysis of Personal Information Risk Using Importance-Performance Analysis)

  • 정수진;김인석
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2015
  • 정보통신계의 발달로 인하여 등장하는 새로운 기술들로 인하여 새로운 개인정보의 형태가 나타나고 있다. 이에 따라, 기존 개인정보들과 결합되어 사용되어지는 개인정보들이 점차 늘어나고 있다. 현행 개인정보보호법에서 정의하는 결합된 정보에 대한 개인정보 위험도를 측정하는 방법은 정성적으로 제시되고 있어, 개인정보 위험도가 평준화되기는 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 기존 연구된 개인정보 위험도 평가 방법을 기반으로 개인정보 중요도와 가중치를 측정한 다음 IPA를 통해 개인정보의 위험도를 분석하는 모델을 제시하는데 그 목적을 두고 있다. 본 연구를 통하여 사용자의 주관적인 판단을 배제할 수 있고, 결합된 개인정보 위험도 산정에 사용될 수 있다. 또한, 제시되는 정략적인 위험도는 객관적인 지표로 사용될 수 있는 기준을 제시할 수 있을 것이다.

위험도분석을 통한 이단횡단보도와 일반횡단보도의 비교평가 (Comparative Evaluation of Staggered Pedestrian Crossings and Pedestrian Crossings by Using Risk Analysis)

  • 김태호;박제진;이연형;노정현
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.1287-1295
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 간선도로 상의 이단횡단보도와 일반횡단보도를 비교대상으로 하여 차량 및 보행자 행태분석을 통해 요인을 추출하고, 보행자의 심리적 부담감이라는 정성적 요소를 포함하여 위험도(Risk Analysis)를 비교하고자 한다. 국내 외 선행 연구고찰을 통해 이단횡단보도의 연구방향을 제시하고, 횡단보도(일반, 이단)에서 차량과 보행자의 위반행태 및 전문가 설문을 통하여 위험도 평가항목 및 구조를 정립하였다. 보행자가 느낄 수 있는 심리적 부담감과 같은 정성적 평가항목을 반영하기 위하여 계층분석법(AHP : Analytic Hierarchy Process)을 통한 가중치(Weight)를 산정하고, 조사내용을 종합 점수화하여 위험도 분석을 수행하였다. 이단횡단보도와 일반횡단보도의 위험도 평가결과, 정량적 요소 측면에서는 차량위반 항목에 대해 이단횡단보도(0.318)가 일반횡단보도(0.241)에 비해 높게 나타났으며, 보행자 위반 항목에 대해 일반횡단보도(0.241)가 이단횡단보도(0.130)보다 높게 나타나 정량적 요소에 따른 상대적 위험도는 일반횡단보도(0.482)가 이단횡단보도(0.448)보다 1.08배 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 다만, 보행자의 심리적 부담감이라는 정성적 요소를 포함하면 일반횡단보도(0.503)가 이단횡단보도(0.462)의 상대적 위험도 보다 1.09배 높은 것으로 분석되어 보행자의 심리적 불안감을 포함하더라도 간선도로 단일로 상에 설치된 이단횡단보도가 일반횡단보도 보다 다소 안전한 것으로 나타났다.

Risk assessment of karst collapse using an integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and grey relational analysis model

  • Ding, Hanghang;Wu, Qiang;Zhao, Dekang;Mu, Wenping;Yu, Shuai
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2019
  • A karst collapse, as a natural hazard, is totally different to a normal collapse. In recent years, karst collapses have caused substantial economic losses and even threatened human safety. A risk assessment model for karst collapse was developed based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and grey relational analysis (GRA), which is a simple and effective mathematical algorithm. An evaluation index played an important role in the process of completing the risk assessment model. In this study, the proposed model was applied to Jiaobai village in southwest China. First, the main controlling factors were summarized as an evaluation index of the model based on an investigation and statistical analysis of the natural formation law of karst collapse. Second, the FAHP was used to determine the relative weights and GRA was used to calculate the grey relational coefficient among the indices. Finally, the relational sequence of evaluation objects was established by calculating the grey weighted relational degree. According to the maximum relational rule, the greater the relational degree the better the relational degree with the hierarchy set. The results showed that the model accurately simulated the field condition. It is also demonstrated the contribution of various control factors to the process of karst collapse and the degree of collapse in the study area.

위험에 관한 이론적 연구 -체계적 위험을 중심으로- (A Theoretical Study on Risk - focused on systematic risk-)

  • 김원기
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 1979
  • The purpose of this study is theoretical research on risk. The research is focused on systematic risk. Chapter I is objective of this study, Chapter II includes definition and measurement of risk. Chapter III introduces attitudes toward risk and classification of risk. Chapter IV discusses Portfolio theory, Capital market line and Shape and Lintner model The objective of firm is assumed to maximize its value. In a world of uncertainty, value is not determined by earnings alone, the degree of risk involved with the streams of earnings. Financial manager has to consider the risk in order to maximize the value of firm. Total risk can be classifier into two parts : Systematicrisk and unststematic risk by Sharpe. Systematic risk is important because investors can't diversify it. Blume and Jensen measured f and they testified that the f is stationary over the time For further study, Korean stock mark has to take emperical study about $\beta$ and its stationarity.

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Risk Factors for Premenopausal Breast Cancer: A Case-control Study in Uruguay

  • Ronco, Alvaro L.;Stefani, Eduardo De;Deneo-Pellegrini, Hugo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.2879-2886
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    • 2012
  • In order to thoroughly analyze risk factors of breast cancer (BC) in premenopausal Uruguayan women, a case-control study was carried out at the Pereira Rossell Women's Hospital, Montevideo, where 253 incident BC cases and 497 frequency-matched healthy controls were interviewed on menstrual and reproductive story, were administered a short food frequency questionnaire and undertook a series of body measurements necessary to calculate body composition and somatotype. Odds ratio (OR) coefficients were taken as estimates of relative risk derived from unconditional logistic regression. Among the classical risk factors, only the family history of BC in first degree relatives was significantly associated with risk of premenopausal BC (OR=2.20, 95% CI 1.33-3.62). Interestingly, this risk factor was found to be stronger in women of ages >40 (OR=4.05, 95% CI 2.10-7.81), late menarche (OR= 2.39, 95% CI 1.18-4.85), early age for their first delivery (OR=3.02, 95% CI 1.26-7.22), short time between menarche and first delivery (OR=3.22, 95% CI 1.29-8.07), and with high parity (OR=4.10, 95% CI 1.79-9.36), although heterogeneity was detected only for age and parity. High consumption of red meat was positively associated with the disease risk (OR=2.20, 95% CI 1.35-3.60), in the same way as fried foods (OR=1.79, 95% CI 1.12-2.84). Conversely, a high intake of plant foods displayed a protective effect (OR=0.41, 95% CI 0.26-0.65). Except for hypertension (OR=1.55, 95% CI 1.03-2.35), none of the analyzed components of metabolic syndrome were associated to BC risk. Particular increases of risk for premenopausal BC were found for family history in first degree relatives in certain subsets derived from the menstrual-reproductive history. Preventive strategies could broaden their scope if new studies confirm the present results, in view of the limited prevention measures that premenopausal BC currently has.

보건계열 대학생들의 스마트폰 중독수준 정도에 따른 주의력 조절, 대인관계 지지에 미치는 비교영향 분석 (Comparative Impact Analysis of Attention Control and Interpersonal Support According to the Degree of Smartphone Addiction of Health-Related College Students)

  • 추연기;배원식
    • 대한통합의학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2021
  • Purpose : To investigate the degree of smartphone addiction among health-related college students, and to compare and analyze the effect of the degree of addiction on attention control and interpersonal support. Methods : 184 people who voluntarily participated and agreed to fill out the questionnaire were randomly sampled. The smartphone self-diagnosis scale was used to measure the degree of smartphone addiction, and the Attentional Control Questionnaire (ACQ) was used as a tool to measure the degree of attention control. In addition, the Interpersonal Support Evaluation List (ISEL) was used to measure the degree of interpersonal support. Results : In comparison of the degree of smartphone addiction according to the general characteristics of the subjects, there was no significant difference according to religion, major, and grade, but there was a significant difference in gender and daily use time of smartphones (p <.05). There was a significant difference in the degree of attention control according to the level of smartphone addiction (high risk, potential risk, general user group) (p <.05), but there was no significant difference in the degree of interpersonal support. Conclusion : The degree of smartphone addiction was relatively higher for women than for men, and users who used it for a long time per day were more addicted. It also showed that attention control was further reduced in highly addictive users.

당뇨병성 족부궤양의 재발과 연관된 위험인자: 심리사회적 위험인자를 포함한 후향적 연구 (The Risk Factors Associated with Foot Re-Ulceration in Diabetes: A Retrospective Study Including Psychosocial Risk Factors)

  • 전숙하;손무원;배서영
    • 대한족부족관절학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.108-115
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: To evaluate several risk factors related to re-ulceration of diabetic foot including psychosocial aspects such as familial support and degree of independence of patients' activity. Materials and Methods: We reviewed medical records and performed telephone interview with eighty-five patients who had a history of hospitalization in our hospital due to diabetic foot ulceration from year 2002 to 2010. Based on the collected data, we analyzed several factors such as age, gender, prevalence duration, accompanying diseases, HbA1c level, degree of independence and familial support. Results: The mean age was 61.4 years and most common in the 4th decade. There were 57 cases (67%) of recurrence, predominance of male. Eleven patients with recurrent diabetic foot ulceration had undergone major amputations. Psychosocial problems such as depression, insufficient familial support and mortality were more frequently observed in recurrent group. Conclusion: This study shows that psychosocial factor such as familial support for patient with diabetic foot could be important to reduce the recurrence rate of diabetic foot ulceration. Therefore, we should pay attention to strategic plans for prevention, screening, treatment, and aftercare through the prospective studies including psychosocial risk factor in diabetic foot ulceration.

한국 폐경 여성의 골다공증 위험 인자에 관한 연구 (Risk Factors for Postmenopausal Osteoporosis in Korea)

  • 이동윤;구승엽;김석현;최영민;문신용;김정구
    • 한국건강관리협회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2004
  • Objective : To identify the risk factors for postmenopausal osteoporosis in Korea Materials and methods : Bone mineral density (BMD) at the lumbar spine and femoral neck was measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry in 808 apparently normal postmenopausal Korean women. Questions about life style, demographic parameters, medical history and social habits etc. were asked on these women; 2ll women with normal bone mineral density, and 597 women with osteopenia or osteoporosis. Results 'Age of >50 years, low body mass index (BMI; <18.5 kg/m2), long duration of menopause(>10 years), and previous history of fracture were associated with increased prevalence of osteopenia or osteoporosis. Women without the outside activity also showed a higher frequency of low bone mass, Risk for osteopenia or osteoporosis was low in women with high BMI (>23 kg/m2) and women with job. The prevalence of low bone mass appeared to be independent of the following parameters: socioeconomic status, familial history, smoking, drinking, exercise, previous use of oral contraceptive, coffee or milk consumption, and degree of sunlight exposure. Conclusion 'Age, BMI, duration of menopause, previous history of fracture and degree of outside activity are the risk factors for postmenopausal osteoporosis in Korea.

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