• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk cost

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A study on the quantitative risk grade assessment of initial mass production for weapon systems (초도양산 군수품에 대한 정량적 위험등급평가 방안 연구)

  • Jung, Yeongtak;Ham, Younghoon;Roh, Taegoo;Ahn, Manki;Ko, Kyungwa
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to study quantitative risk grade assessment for objective government quality assurance activities based on risk management in initial mass production for weapon systems. Methods: The Defense quality management regulations and foreign risk assessment documents are referred to analyze problems performing quality assurance actives. The failure rate data, maintainability and cost of products have been studied to quantify the risk Likelihood and impact. The analyzed data were classified as risk grade assessment through K-means Cluster Analysis method. Results: Results show that a proposed method can objectively evaluate risk grade. The analyzed results are clustered into three levels such as high, middle and low. Two products are allocated high, eleven low and seven middle. Conclusion: In this paper, quantitative risk grade assessment methods were presented by analyzing risk ratings based on objective data. The findings showed that the methods would be effective for initial mass production for weapon systems.

A Risk Assessment Approach to Safety Management of Electric Railway Facilities (전기철도 전철전력설비의 위험도 평가 기반 안전관리에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Yoon-Suk;Choi, Kyu-Hyoung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.960-967
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    • 2009
  • Power supply system of electric railway has a diversity of safety problems since it should supply high electric power to the trains moving high speed with a lot of passengers on board. This paper provides a risk assessment approach to safety management of the electric railway facilities. Construction of database from field accident information, risk assessment and management of the risk are carried out systematically to ensure the safety. The risk assessment includes hazard identification, cause analysis by FTA(Fault Tree Analysis), consequence analysis by EVA(Event Tree Analysis), and loss analysis. In terms of the severity and the probability of the accidents deduced by these analyses, the risk of the accidents is assessed by using a risk matrix designed for electric railway facilities. Based on the risk assessment, possible risk mitigation options are identified and evaluated by analyzing their impact on the risk reduction and their cost benefit ratio. The long-term safety of the electric railway facilities can be ensured by renewal of the risk assessment and the risk mitigation option analysis with continuous accident database update. The proposed approach is applied to the electric railway facilities of Korean railway based on the accident data from 2002 to 2008.

Research on the Relationship Between the OHSAS 18000 System Implementation and Competitiveness in Taiwan's Industries

  • Chung, Yi-Chan;Chiu, Chung-Ching;Tsai, Chih-Hung;Hsu, Yau-Wen
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.24-45
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    • 2006
  • In recent years, the labor consciousness is gradually valued. During the process of pursuing sustainable operation, the enterprises treat occupational hazard risk as the waste of cost. The purpose of OHSAS 18000 occupational security and health management system is to systematically establish the business managerial measures in terms of occupational security and calamity prevention. This research proceeded with questionnaire analysis with respect to the relationship between the OHSAS 18000 system implementation and competitiveness in Taiwan's industries. The research result revealed that there was significant relationship between Taiwan firms' execution of OHSAS 18000 system and industry competitiveness. Thus, the enterprises can decide the proper managerial plans according to the result of their own risk evaluation to prevent the happening of accidents and reduce the operational cost. They can thus completely control business occupational hazard risk through "systematic" management.

Two-layer Investment Decision-making Using Knowledge about Investor′s Risk-preference: Model and Empirical Testing.

  • Won, Chaehwan;Kim, Chulsoo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2004
  • There have been many studies to build a model that can help investors construct optimal portfolio. Most of the previous models, however, are based upon the path-breaking Markowitz model (1959) which is a quantitative model. One of the most important problems with that kind of quantitative model is that, in reality, most of the investors use not only quantitative, but also qualitative information when they select their optimal portfolio. Since collecting both types of information from the markets are time consuming and expensive, making a set of target assets smaller, without suffering heavy loss in the rate of return, would attract investors. To extract only desired assets among all available assets, we need knowledge that identifies investors' preference for the risk of the assets. This study suggests two-layer decision-making rules capable of identifying an investor's risk preference and an architecture applying them to a quantitative portfolio model based on risk and expected return. Our knowledge-based portfolio system is to build an investor's preference-oriented portfolio. The empirical tests using the data from Korean capital markets show the results that our model contributes significantly to the construction of a better portfolio in the perspective of an investor's benefit/cost ratio than that produced by the existing portfolio models.

Mitigating Threats and Security Metrics in Cloud Computing

  • Kar, Jayaprakash;Mishra, Manoj Ranjan
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.226-233
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    • 2016
  • Cloud computing is a distributed computing model that has lot of drawbacks and faces difficulties. Many new innovative and emerging techniques take advantage of its features. In this paper, we explore the security threats to and Risk Assessments for cloud computing, attack mitigation frameworks, and the risk-based dynamic access control for cloud computing. Common security threats to cloud computing have been explored and these threats are addressed through acceptable measures via governance and effective risk management using a tailored Security Risk Approach. Most existing Threat and Risk Assessment (TRA) schemes for cloud services use a converse thinking approach to develop theoretical solutions for minimizing the risk of security breaches at a minimal cost. In our study, we propose an improved Attack-Defense Tree mechanism designated as iADTree, for solving the TRA problem in cloud computing environments.

A study on the safety management method based on the risk assessment of KORAIL's level-crossing accidents (선진 위험도 평가 기반의 건널목사고 안전관리 전략 연구)

  • Jung, Do-Won;Wang, Jong-Bae;Lhim, Jea-Eun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.1732-1750
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    • 2010
  • Operation of KORAIL's level crossing is in charge of KORAIL. As taking over existing level crossing to KORAIL, they do not conduct risk assessments, so we do not know about any possibilities of inner risk. And present operation of safety of the level crossing is just regular checking of reaction and functions of safety equipments physically, we need to react to the changes of what's going on around of level crossing and incestigation of traffic flow and surrounding conditions more spontaneously. So, we have to prepare the strategies against accidents of level crossing cost-effectively based on regular risk assessments for sustainable safety improvements and overcome operational problems of present level crossing's safety. Here, we're going to investigate the level of safety level and present risk factors of the level crossing using risk assessments for accidents/error of the equipments to show operational strategies of level crossing based on risk assessments.

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Development of A Computerized Risk Management System for International EPCS Projects

  • Yoo, Wi Sung;Kim, Woo-young;Sung, Yookyung
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.614-615
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    • 2015
  • In these days, global construction market is speedily increasing and domestic construction companies have a chance of new contracts. In the meantime, international projects have been increasingly forced to cope with potential risks, which seriously impacted achieving the targeted time and cost. In this study, we introduce a computerized risk management system for international EPCS projects, which is constructed on the needs of practitioners and decision makers as an aid to proactively control the potential risks and to monitor continuously their status and variation. The system is called the Project Risk Management System (PRiMS) is useful for furnishing project managers with warning signals as a project is progressing and helpful for producing the total risk score and tracking risk variation.

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Risk Influencing Factors in Performance of River Disaster Prevention Project (하천재해예방사업의 성과에 미치는 리스크 영향요인)

  • Cho, Jin-Ho;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.417-428
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    • 2020
  • The characteristics of the construction project involved various stakeholders' involvement from the planning stage until completion of the object, which caused the uncertainty to increase. Successful construction projects require risk analysis and appropriate responses. Therefore, this study aimed to confirm the influence of risk management factors on the success of river disaster prevention construction in construction projects and the effect of moderating communication between stakeholders involved in the construction process. The Delphi method was used to derive the risk management factors of the construction process. The survey used a snow ball sampling method. For analysis, SPSS Statistic 20 and SmartPLS 2.0 were used. As a result of the study, the impact of risk management factors on project performance was found to be large in the order of time risk, quality risk, cost risk, safety risk, and construction environment risk. In addition, the impact of the communication moderating effect was large in the order of cost risk, quality risk, construction environment risk, time risk, and safety risk. In this study, it was confirmed that communication between stakeholders related to river disaster prevention work has a moderating effect that changes the ranking of impacts on project performance. This shows the importance of communication in the construction process of river disaster prevention works. This study has important significance in that it identifies the importance of risk management factors and communication in river disaster prevention works.

A National Chronic Disease Management Model and Evaluation of Validity of Primary Care Physician(PCP) Model in Korea (우리나라 만성질환 관리를 위한 질환주치의 모형의 타당성 분석)

  • Chun, Ki-Hong;Paek, Kyung-Won;Lee, Soo-Jin;Park, Chong-Yon
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.92-108
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    • 2009
  • This study suggests a model for continuing and comprehensive management of hypertension or Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Korea. Moreover, this paper computed the contribution cost of hypertension or T2DM management using the healthcare medical cost, which could have occurred from stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) that were successfully prevented from the effective hypertension or T2DM management. Additionally, these costs were compared with the cost of implementing the hypertension or T2DM management model suggested in this study. This study used the medical fee summary of the health insurance claims submitted to National Health Insurance Corporation by medical facilities for services provided during the period from January 1st 1999 to December 31st 2006. The prevalence rate with treatment referred to cases in which patients submitted their medical claims at least once during the period, along with an accordant diagnosis. The incidence rate with treatment referred to cases in which patients who never submitted claims for the accordant disease during the five years from 1999 to 2003 submitted claims for the accordant disease in 2004 and 2005. The relative risk of the occurrence of stroke, MI and ESRD was 11.0, 13.6, and 30.3, respectively. The attributable risk of hypertension or T2DM for stroke was 0.730, and that for MI and ESRD were 0.773 and 0.888, respectively. Based on these, the contribution cost of hypertension or T2DM is estimated to be 986.3 billion Korean Won(KRW) for stroke patients, 330.5 billion KRW for MI patients, and 561.7 billion KRW for ESRD patients as in 2005. Hence, the total contribution cost of hypertension or T2DM to stroke, MI, and ESRD is 1.878 trillion KRW. The estimate for operational costs included an annual expenditure of 50,000 KRW per each recipient and an annual subsidy of 0.22 million KRW per person for the 1.6 million low.income individuals with hypertension or T2DM to cover their out.of.pocket medical expenses. Under this assumption, it took approximately 0.6 trillion KRW to manage 5 million high.risk patients in the low. and mid.income range, coverings up to 50% of costs. In conclusion, considering the potential benefits of preventing stroke, MI, and ESRD, the costs seems to be reasonable.

Evaluation of Best Value for Safety Facilities on Highway Using Risk-based VE Approach - A Case Study of Median Barrier - (위험도기반 가치공학적 기법을 적용한 고속도로 교통안전시설 최고가치평가 : 중앙분리대 적용사레를 중심으로)

  • Ji, Dong-Han;O, Young-Tae;Choi, Hyun-Ho;Kim, Sung-Hun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2008
  • Since the concerns for safety of highway traffic safety facilities inherent in various environmental risk is increased, systematic performance, cost, and effect analysis process is needed for this. In case of median barrier among various traffic safety facilities, quantitative risk assessment is inevitable because it has lots of direct/indirect risk factors. Thus, this study suggests an advanced VE(Value Engineering) approach incorporating quantitative risk analysis. For the applicability, suggested VE approach considering alternative 1(140cm) and 2(127cm) is applied to median barrier in fields. Also, major improvement objects are extracted from governing factors of cost and performance based on functional analysis. It is concluded that the proposed risk assessment methodology will provide rational and practical solutions for best value and the approach could effectively applied for various traffic safety facilities by slight modification of suggest process.