• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk cost

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Development of the Cost-Benefit Analysis System for the Investment of Safety Facilities in Chemical Plant (화학공장의 안전 설비 투자를 위한 비용$\cdot$편익 분석 시스템 개발)

  • Ko J. W.;Seo J. M.;Kim D. H.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.4 s.21
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2003
  • The objective of this study is to develop a Cost-Benefit analysis system which would help us to make optimal decision among safety investment alternatives, calculating and comparing costs and benefits for facilities in chemical plants. So, the accident frequency analysis module and the accident damage prediction module were developed for estimating quantitative risks in chemical facilities, and domestic societal risk criterion was presented after the comparative analysis of major industrial cases and societal risk criteria of advanced countries like the Netherlands, Australia, U.S.A., U.K., and Germany. Also, the Cost-Benefit Analysis System which compares the safety investment alternatives based on their deduced net present values was developed through the selection of proper cost and benefit items by field studies

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Risk Ranking for Tunnelling Construction Projects in Malaysia

  • Ghazali, F.E. Mohamed;Wong, H.C.
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2014
  • Tunnelling has become a preferred method of construction for road and highway projects in countries with a lot of hilly slope geological conditions such as found in Malaysia. However the construction works of a tunnelling project are usually complicated and costly, which consequently impose great risks to the parties involved. This paper identifies the key significant risks and sub-risks for tunnelling construction projects in Malaysia through a case study. Interview has been used as the solitary means to determine the significant risks from contractor's eleven key project personnel who were directly involved in the tunnelling construction such as consultant, construction manager and tunnel engineers. The importance of the risks identified is then prioritised and ranked via the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)'s pairwise comparison approach to determine their criticality towards a successful delivery of project. As a result, three key risks have been identified as significant for the tunnelling case study project, namely health and safety, cost overrun in construction and time overrun in construction. Two sub-risks each of the latter categories, which are cost underestimation and unforeseen events (cost overrun in construction) as well as plant and machinery failure and delay in material delivery (time overrun in construction), have occupied the top five overall risk ranking.

Developing a New Risk Assessment Methodology for Distribution System Operators Regulated by Quality Regulation Considering Reclosing Time

  • Saboorideilami, S.;Abdi, Hamdi
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1154-1162
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    • 2014
  • In the restructured electricity market, Performance-Based Regulation (PBR) regime has been introduced to the distribution network. To ensure the network stability, this regime is used along with quality regulations. Quality regulation impose new financial risks on distribution system operators (DSOs). The poor quality of the network will result in reduced revenues for DSOs. The mentioned financial risks depend on the quality indices of the system. Based on annual variation of these indices, the cost of quality regulation will also vary. In this paper with regard to reclosing fault in distribution network, we develop a risk-based method to assess the financial risks caused by quality regulation for DSOs. Furthermore, in order to take the stochastic behavior of the distribution network and quality indices variations into account, time-sequential Monte Carlo simulation method is used. Using the proposed risk method, the effect of taking reclosing time into account will be examined on system quality indicators and the cost of quality regulation in Swedish rural reliability test system (SRRTS). The results show that taking reclosing fault into consideration, affects the system quality indicators, particularly annual average interruption frequency index of the system (SAIFI). Moreover taking reclosing fault into consideration also affects the quality regulations cost. Therefore, considering reclosing time provides a more realistic viewpoint about the financial risks arising from quality regulation for DSOs.

The Effect of Debt Characteristics on the Relationship between Anti-Takeover Provision and the Cost of Debt (부채특성이 경영권방어수단과 타인자본비용 간의 관계에 미치는 영향)

  • A-Young Lee;Sung-Hye Kim
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.205-219
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study examines the effect of corporate debt characteristics on the relationship between anti-takeover provision and the cost of debt. Design/methodology/approach - The study analyzes a sample of non-financial firms listed on the stock market with December fiscal year-end from 2011 to 2018. Debt default risk (debt size, liquidity ratio, interest coverage ratio, loss occurrence) and the issuance of bonds are utilized as measures of corporate debt characteristics. Findings - First, it is observed that creditors of firms with anti-takeover provision demand higher returns as the debt default risk of these firms increases. Second, for firms issuing bonds, it is found that bondholders in companies with anti-takeover provision also seek higher returns. Research implications or Originality - This study contributes by demonstrating that the effect of anti-takeover provision on creditors can vary depending on corporate debt characteristics. Particularly, the study highlights the importance of a firm's debt default risk and creditor distinction (bondholders vs. regular creditors) as significant factors that may influence perceptions of anti-takeover provision.

Gender differences in the association between food costs and obesity in Korean adults: an analysis of a population-based cohort

  • Soim Park;Jihye Kim
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.984-996
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    • 2023
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Prior studies, mostly conducted in Western countries, have suggested that the low cost of energy-dense foods is associated with an increased risk of obesity. This study aimed to investigate the association between food costs and obesity risk among Koreans who may have different food cost and dietary patterns than those of Western populations. SUBJECTS/METHODS: We used baseline data from a cohort of 45,193 men and 83,172 women aged 40-79 years (in 2006-2013). Dietary intake information was collected using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Prudent and Western dietary patterns extracted via principal component analysis. Food cost was calculated based on Korean government data and market prices. Logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate the association of daily total, prudent, and Western food cost per calorie with obesity. RESULTS: Men in the highest total food cost quintile had 15% higher odds of obesity, after adjusting for demographic characteristics and lifestyle factors (adjusted odds ratio, 1.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.22; P-trend < 0.001); however, this association was not clear in women (P-trend = 0.765). While both men and women showed positive associations between prudent food cost and obesity (P-trends < 0.001), the association between Western food cost and obesity was only significant in men (P-trend < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In countries in which consumption of Western foods is associated with higher food costs, higher food costs are associated with an increased risk of obesity; however, this association differs between men and women.

A Case Study of Six Sigma Project for Reducing the Project Costs through Project Risk Management (프로젝트 위험관리강화를 통한 원가개선의 6시그마 사례)

  • Jung, Ha-Sung;Lee, Dong-Wha;Lee, Min-Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2005
  • This paper considers a six sigma project for reducing the project costs through project risk management. The project follows a disciplined process of five phases: define, measure, analyze, improve, and control. A risk management process map is used to identify process input and output variables. Seven key process input variables are selected by using C&E diagram and X-Y matrix and finally four vital few input variables are selected by the related statistical analysis. The optimum alternatives of the vital few input variables are obtained by the method of PUGH matrix. The process is running on control plan and we obtained substantial project cost reductions in early stage of the control phase.

Prioritization of Price Volatility Management Strategies in Construction Projects

  • Joukar, Alireza;Nahmens, Isabelina;Harvey, Craig
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2017
  • The existence of material price volatility in construction projects puts forward substantial risks for all parties involved. Depending on the parties involved in the project, type of contracts, and state of the market various risk management strategies are practiced by contracting parties to manage project risks related to price volatility. Unfortunately, in many cases companies fail to select an adequate approach to better manage volatilities of material prices due to the lack of a decision support system to aid in the selection of an appropriate strategy based on the project characteristics. The aim of this study is to identify critical project factors and align them to documented strategies to manage price volatility based on an extensive literature review and industry interviews. This study found Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) as the ideal strategy with respect to project duration; quantitative risk management methods with respect to the cost; and Price Adjustment Clauses (PAC) with respect to the risk allocation, as the top price volatility management strategies.

A Study on The Practical Risk Mitigation Methodology for Systematical Risk Management of Information System (정보시스템의 체계적인 위험관리를 위한 실용적인 위험감소 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Eom, Jung-Ho;Woo, Byeong-Koo;Kim, In-Jung;Chung, Tai-M.
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.10C no.2
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2003
  • In the paper, we can select the best safeguard as proposed the definite and systematical method and procedure on risk mitigation of risk management for information system. The practical risk mitigation methodology has a good fulfillment procedure and a definition to fulfill procedure on each phase. So, it is easy to fulfill and can apply to any risk management methodology. The practical risk mitigation is composed of 6 phases, which are the existing safeguard assessment, safeguard means selection, safeguard technique selection, risk admission assessment, cost-effective analysis and safeguard embodiment. The practical risk mitigation's advantages are as follow. Efficient selection of safeguards to apply to risk's features with safeguard's means and techniques before embodying safeguards. Prevention of redundant works and security budgets waste as re-using the existing excellent safeguards through the existing safeguard assessment. Reflection of organization's CEO opinions to require special safeguards for the most important information system.

Evaluation of Optimal Transfer Capability in Power System Interconnection (연계된 계통간의 최적 송전 용량 산정)

  • Son, Hyun-Il;Bae, In-Su;Jeon, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.4
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    • pp.679-685
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    • 2010
  • As the electrical power industry is restructured, the electrical power exchange is becoming extended. One of the key information used to determine how much power can be transferred through the network is known as available transfer capability (ATC). To calculate ATC, traditional deterministic approach is based on the severest case, but the approach has the complexity of procedure. Therefore, novel approach for ATC calculation is proposed using cost-optimization method, well-being method and risk-benefit method in this paper. This paper proposes the optimal transfer capability of HVDC system between mainland and a separated island in Korea through these three methods. These methods will consider production cost, wheeling charge through HVDC system and outage cost with one depth (N-1 contingency).

Bilevel-programming based failure-censored ramp-stress ALTSP for the log-logistic distribution with warranty cost

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Sharma, D.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.85-105
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    • 2016
  • In this paper accelerated life testing is incorporated in quality control technique of acceptance sampling plan to induce early failures in high reliability products.Stress under accelerated condition can be applied in constant-stress, step-stress and progressive-stress or combination of such loadings. A ramp-stress results when stress is increased linearly (from zero) with time. In this paper optimum failure-censored ramp-stress accelerated life test sampling plan for log-logistic distribution has been formulated with cost considerations. The log-logistic distribution has been found appropriate for insulating materials. The optimal plans consist in finding optimum sample size, sample proportion allocated to each stress, and stress rate factor such that producer's and consumer's interests are safeguarded. Variance optimality criterion is used when expected cost per lot is not taken into consideration, and bilevel programming approach is used in cost optimization problems. The methods developed have been illustrated using some numerical examples, and sensitivity analyses carried out in the context of ramp-stress ALTSP based on variable SSP for proportion nonconforming.